Jamie Moses
Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please go ahead
Thanks, Sean. As you noted earlier, our fourth quarter earnings were $0.30 per share, and were $0.28 in core EPS. Core PPNR declined by $6 million to $24 million. In addition to pandemic impacts on our core PPNR, we also recorded $3 million in charges following an operational review of consumer loan servicing primarily related to past conversions and acquisitions, and is reflected in the increases quarter-over-quarter to the professional services and other expense categories. This project has been completed and we believe that the expense impact has been fully recognized and is limited to this quarter. Pandemic impacts on PPNR, included interest write-offs on non-accruing loans and loan workout expense, as well as constrained business volumes. I’ll take a minute to comment on the balance sheet before further elaborating on the income statement. We had an unusually high payroll deposit balances at year-end, and as a result, short-term investments were up $622 million and total assets increased by $220 million. On December 2, we announced an agreement to sell our Mid-Atlantic branches and so we transferred $617 million of deposits and $301 million of loans to held-for-sale. Adjusting for this branch sale, our loans declined by approximately $600 million or 7%. We invested some of these funds into an additional $236 million in Investment Securities. We also paid down wholesale funding, and the average balance of earning assets therefore decreased by approximately $200 million or 2%. Looking forward, we're targeting commercial loan growth ex-PPP at a mid single-digit pace in 2021. We also plan to grow the mortgage portfolio due to higher originations, slower pre-pays and purchases from in footprint correspondent banks. We expect this growth to generally offset continued runoff of indirect auto in certain commercial business we’re working down such as aircraft and some COVID sensitive types of borrowers. So the portfolio is generally expected to be stable or up slightly before the impact of PPP loans. We expect most of the $633 million in PPP loans that remain on our books to be forgiven in the first-half of the year, and therefore total loans are expected to be down for the year due to these payoffs. As Sean noted, we've engaged a third-party to expedite new PPP loans, and so these won't show up on our balance sheets. We’re hoping to see up to 50% of the volume that we handled on the first round, and expect to receive some fee income as well as the related deposits. We expect total earning assets to also reflect the PPP run-off, as well as the sales in Mid-Atlantic loan balances as part of the branch sale. Additionally, Investment Securities may come down as we allow higher costs in wholesale funds to run-off without replacement. On the liability side for the fourth quarter, adjusting for the branch sale, along with payroll deposits and broker balances, all other total deposits increased 1% for the quarter. Wholesale funds decreased to approximately $1.2 billion at year-end compared to $1.5 billion at the end of the third quarter and $2 billion at the start of the year. Looking forward, we expect to see organic deposit growth in the low single digits in 2021 while we expect to further pay down brokered deposits in borrowings with total wholesale funds decreasing to $1 billion or less by year-end. Turning back to the income statement, net interest income was down a couple percent in the fourth quarter due to the decrease in average earning assets with no change in the margin. We moved down the cost of deposits to support the margin, including reducing brokered deposits, pricing down maturing time accounts, and reclassifying the higher cost Mid-Atlantic deposits as held for sale. Loan interest income was negatively impacted by the increase in non-accruing loans and benefited from revenue recognition from PPP loan forgiveness. Looking forward, we expect to continue to see further margin benefit as we focus on deposits re-pricing down more than assets. We expect asset yields to benefit from the change in mix toward more core lending. The income benefit from this is likely to be more than offset by the impact of lower earning assets. Separately, we expect that the net interest income benefit from additional PPP loan forgiveness will be mostly recognized in the first-half of the year. The balance of unamortized deferred PPP fees stood at $13 million at year-end 2020. Moving to fee income, we had good results in the fourth quarter across most categories except for mortgage banking, which is normally seasonally lower. We continue to target $19 million to $20 million in quarterly fee income in the New Year. Moving to provision expense, we recorded $10 million in the fourth quarter. The increase from the prior quarter primarily reflected the impact of higher non-accruals on the qualitative component of our model. Future provision expense will depend significantly on the severity of the pandemic and its impact in our markets. Turning to expenses, total GAAP expense decreased primarily due to the non-core costs related to the CEO separation recorded in the third quarter. Core non-interest expense increased by $4 million, primarily due to the loan servicing related project I mentioned earlier, along with the impact of problem loan related costs. Looking forward, we're targeting to manage core non-interest expense down below $70 million per quarter in the second-half of the year after our branch initiatives are completed. The benefit from our branch initiatives is expected to initially be partially offset by loan related expense. Regarding taxes, we had a tax benefit for the year, primarily due to the higher provision expense. In 2021, we expect to have a core tax rate in the area of 15%. As we've previously noted, we expect to record a net gain on the sale of the Mid-Atlantic operations and charges related to the plan consolidation of 16 branches. We expect to report these as non-core items during the first-half of the year. Based on the asset decline from PPP loans, we expect to be operating with lower assets in 2021, while we also target earnings that will continue to build capital. Our financial focus is on improving our return on equity, and we're hopeful that conditions will be supportive of that objective as we move through 2021. Before I close, I'd like to share that I've previously had the opportunity to work alongside our new CEO and I'm looking forward to doing so again in Nitin's new role as the leader of our team here at Berkshire. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Sean.