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Barrett Business Services, Inc. (BBSI)

Q4 2018 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 27, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and thank you for participating in today’s conference call to discuss BBSI’s financial results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year ended December 31, 2018. Joining us today are BBSI’s President and CEO, Mr. Michael Elich; and the Company’s CFO, Mr. Gary Kramer. Following their remarks, we’ll open the call for your questions. Before we go further, please take note of the Company’s safe harbor statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The statement provides important cautions regarding forward-looking statements. The Company’s remarks during today’s conference call will include forward-looking statements. These statements, along with the information presented that does not reflect historical fact are subject to a number of certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those implied by these forward-looking statements. Please refer to the Company’s recent earnings release and to the Company’s quarterly and annual reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for more information about the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. I would like to remind everyone that this call will be available for replay through March 27, 2019, starting at 3:00 PM Eastern Time this afternoon. A webcast replay will also be available via the link provided in today’s press release, as well as the Company’s website at www.barrettbusiness.com. Now, I would like to turn the call over to the Chief Financial Officer of BBSI, Mr. Gary Kramer. Sir, please go ahead.

Gary Kramer

Management

Thank you, Brenda. Depending upon where you’re dialing in from, good morning or good afternoon, everyone. The operations of the Company continued to be strong in the fourth quarter. Diluted income per share for the quarter increased 60% to a record $2.21 compared to $1.38 in Q4 2017. Net revenue in the fourth quarter of 2018 were $237.8 million compared to $244.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2017 and reflected weaker staffing revenue. Gross billings of $1.5 billion grew 6% over the same period. PEO gross billings increased 7% to $1.5 billion compared to the fourth quarter last year. Gross billings grew by 4% in California versus 17% in all other combined geographies. Same-customer sales growth was 6.3% compared to 7.2% in Q4 of 2017 and was about 100 basis points lower than we forecasted. Southern California comprised 51% of our total gross billings in the quarter and experienced the softest same-customer sales growth at a rate of 4.8%. Also, bonuses our clients pay to themselves and their employees were lower than expected, with only 2% growth over the prior year quarter, down from 16% growth in 4Q of 2017. We continue to increase our client base with a gross addition of 370 clients or 183 net of run-off in the quarter. This was a record for gross additions for any fourth quarter in our history. Staffing revenues in the fourth quarter decreased 16% to $37 million. This was a slightly greater decrease than expected and as a direct result of the continued tight labor market. Each quarter we’ve discussed that this trend is making it difficult for our employers to hire and we are experiencing this effect in our staffing business. We have the demand and orders from our clients, but it is challenging to fulfill orders without…

Michael Elich

Management

Hello and thank you for taking the time to be on the call. Before I move on to a discussion about the quarter, I’d like to comment on 2018. We had a strong year. While top line remains softer than historical levels, we feel very good about the record earnings and our ability to create shareholder value. The fundamentals of the business remained strong and we are seeing continued support of our value proposition in the market. As we closed out 2018, I spent a great deal of time in the field aligning vision, which reinforces confidence in the maturity of the organization. We also continue to spend time with referral partners broadening and strengthening our referral channels, and we continue to spend time with business owners working to understand what they may be seeing in their market. These disciplines provided means to understanding how we may evolve our offering over time to address challenges business on our space. Additionally, we restructured our agreement with Chubb, while continuing to emphasize discipline in our approach to workers’ compensation. We also opened new branches in California and Nevada and we successfully navigated slight headwinds of top line growth while at the same time adding 831 net new clients in the year. In the quarter, we added 370 new PEO clients. We experienced attrition of 187 clients; eight due to accounts receivable, 10 for lack of tier progression, five were canceled due to risk profile, 17 businesses sold, 35 businesses closed, and 112 left due to pricing competition and companies that have moved away from the outsource model. This represents an approximate build in the quarter of 183 net new clients. Also in the quarter, once again we took time to pull our existing clients to better understand what they may be seeing…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first questions come from the line of Jeff Martin with ROTH Capital.

Jeff Martin

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning, Mike and Kramer. How are you?

Michael Elich

Management

Good morning, Jeff.

Gary Kramer

Management

Hey, Jeff.

Jeff Martin

Analyst

Can we look out beyond 2019 in terms of growth? Say, we get past some of these revenue headwinds and your business has traditionally grown at a much faster rate, what sort of things would need to transpire in the market and effect to maybe California and your strategy overall, to get back to, say, a 15% to 20% growth rate?

Michael Elich

Management

So one of the things that we’ve watched as we’ve gotten through different periods of time is that as you go through a period of expansion there typically can be a sellout period, there can be a recession, there can be different things that will create softness in the market where maybe a little bit of dry-down in that market. One of the things that we do in our discipline is one from an expense standpoint, we move into a mode where we load-level against the organization and reinvest dollars where we know we can create the most traction, that’s number one. Secondly, we are always focused on the discipline of widening our base. So the control what we have is how many clients we can add and retain in our book. And as we do that, we simply get wider. So even today if we see ourselves adding smaller clients and probably facing a headwind of expansion in labor based on the shortage or softness or tight labor market, that becomes our headwind. And so with that headwind, we continue to widen our base and at some point when that market eventually settles out corrects and we get back to more of a growth environment related to our customer, you will see them start to hire people, and as they can hire people, you’ve got a wider base and that’s where the uptick comes from.

Jeff Martin

Analyst

Okay. And then, kind of segued into my next question here. Your client adds in the second half of the year were up 39% versus second half of 2017, whereas the first half was down 18% versus the first half of 2017. Does that suggest you’ll get an acceleration of growth here in the next two, three quarters, based on the client add if we continue to see the year-over-year growth in that kind of range?

Michael Elich

Management

You should see that. It just depends on what happens in the underlying clients themselves. So if you take the base of getting close to 6,000 clients and then you’re adding, call it, 800-plus in the year, you’re making a little bit of a turn on new to old or – and what you’re adding. Yes, we should – you should by just nature of the numbers be able to see a bit of a turn as you have quarter-over-quarter comps in your bills. And then with a little bit of help from same-customer momentum, yes, you should. That’s how we’re viewing it. It’s just hard to predict exactly when that happens.

Jeff Martin

Analyst

Okay. And then in terms of the California workers’ comp market with rates being more competitive, is there any shift in your approach to the market there?

Gary Kramer

Management

Yes. Hey, Jeff. You’re getting to a point in the market where it’s rate reductions on rate reductions, which is where it gets kind of exponential. And when you get exponential, your rate decreases get lower. So when I think about where the market is going to go for 2019, I think the rate reductions will be much less than we’ve seen in the historical just because of the whole exponential rate on rate factor. And then, for us, we try to be long-term partners with our clients. We’ve done a lot of things in 2018 that are going to pay dividends in 2019 as far as trying to revamp our cost structure. And then really the decision comes down to rather not doing a book idea, but doing a surgical idea. And if we have accounts where we can be a little more flexible, we can – we have the gas in the tank to give that flexibility based upon the way we’ve rightsized some of our costs here.

Michael Elich

Management

One of the things I feel very good about the work that we’ve gotten done even over the year to 18 months with that dry-down is that we have not put ourselves in a spot where we see at any kind of adverse selection. The clients that we want, we’re keeping and we’re in a good spot to make sure that we’re not losing business for the wrong reason. And as we’ve watched it, we’re starting to see a little bit of a normalizing in some of the sea change that we saw over the last year to 18 months and that’s when we look out into the next year. It’s hard to understand exactly what period you’re going to see maybe a shift in reverse. But we at least feel comfortable that where we’re at right now, we’re in a good spot and we can see a new trend.

Jeff Martin

Analyst

Okay. And then, Kramer, could you elaborate on the payroll taxes and benefits adjustment in the fourth quarter and how that affected the quarter and the year in general?

Gary Kramer

Management

Yes. So the – when we do our accruals through the year, we based that upon estimates and those estimates are going to have a couple different factors, right. So really what you see is the wage caps, they’re not keeping pace with wage inflation, right. So people are getting, call it, 3.5% raises, but those wage caps are staying fixed, which means that payroll tax ratio is going to go down. We’re also seeing in some states for the employer taxes were less than we thought that they would be and then really the other bucket of this is the pseudo tax which is really based upon the client’s experience and the clients’ experiences have been coming in favorable because the pseudo taxes really peg to an unemployment tax and unemployment flow. So really you’re getting these three confluences which are making the estimate for the payroll tax come down. And then when I think about that or if I’m sitting at your desk and thinking about how that’s going to react 2019, when I think about that payroll – let me say, it’s the annual payroll tax to revenue ratio for 2018 take the full year ratio that’s going to be consistent to what we think 2019 is going to be. Actually I think the 2019 ratio is going to come down a little bit from where we were for 2018, but really that’s the trend of this is – it’s not a one-time thing, this is just how taxes are trending and how we’re going to have positive accretion to our gross margin from it.

Jeff Martin

Analyst

Okay. Great. That’s helpful. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next questions come from the line of Chris Moore with CJS.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon, guys.

Michael Elich

Management

Good morning, Chris.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Maybe we could just go back to the same-customer sales for a minute and just kind of compare 2019 versus 2018 and talk a little bit more about expectations, most of the growth you’re expecting coming from wages or kind of how you’re looking at it?

Gary Kramer

Management

Yes. So I mean, when we give our guidance number, we have to take a step back and think of the macro. And for the macro, first, we think the macro for 2019 is going to be consistent with the macro for 2018, all right. So that’s a basic assumption that we’re making in there. And then when we look at same-customer sales, the way that our same-customer sales are growing now is through wage inflation, right. And that’s a function of where we are in the cycle of the economy. So, we get wage inflation, we get ad and worksite employees and then we get hours worked and really what we’re seeing, over half of our same-customer sales growth now is coming from wage inflation. So when we take that for 2018 and I’ll call it a simple average for the year is about 6.2% overall geographies. And then if we think about how that’s going to trend going forward in 2019, we think it’s going to trend lower than that. So we think it’s going to trend around 6% and that’s how we’re building up our guide and building up our model. I think it’s arguably potentially a little conservative, we can maybe have some upside there, but it’s really going to depend upon the macro effect of the economy for that same-customer sales. I mean, that’s the true uncontrollable that we don’t have in our book.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Got it. That’s helpful. When we’re talking about – looking at that the Chubb Trust, I’m just trying to get a feel for, I know the program started in July, and then it will ultimately roll in on the policies by July of 2019. Is that – when you talked about potential flexibility in pricing when you’re adding new clients or retaining new ones, is that kind of an important component of what the conversation is there?

Gary Kramer

Management

It depends on the client. And I’ll say it this way, it’s just kind of another tool in the box that we have to use. I don’t want to say it’s a strategic concerted effort to try and go and give back any efficiency we’ve gained, but we know it’s there if we need it.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Got it. Specific question, the legal fees that you guys incurred in 2018, that will not necessarily be recurring. I know you said it was about $3 million in Q4. What was the total number for the year?

Gary Kramer

Management

So we had the SEC which was earlier in the year which was 2Q. And then, in the fourth quarter, we had a – you’ll see it in the K when we release it next week, but we had a couple of legal actions go against this that added up to $3 million in addition to that. And they were specifically that’s just the normal course of business and they were just changes in facts on those claims and you’ll see some disclosures on that in the K.

Chris Moore

Analyst

Got it. And just in terms, you started out – on the staffing side, so you assume a couple of points kind of negative headwind at this point in time where you’re sitting?

Gary Kramer

Management

I think, for staffing in general, it’s going to be down another 5% to 10% for 2019. I mean, we’re just – that’s a tough market to be in. Unemployment where it’s at, it’s hard to find bodies to fill it and what we’re seeing with a lot of our clients is they’re having to modify the behavior based upon that or modify their operations to try to maximize the efficiencies of where the people are, which are the scarce resources. So we’re seeing some things for clients shifting operations from West Coast to East Coast and things of that nature and that’s a function of really trying to get the work where the people are to do it.

Chris Moore

Analyst

That’s helpful. I appreciate it, guys.

Operator

Operator

Our next questions are from the line of Josh Vogel with Sidoti.

Josh Vogel

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, guys.

Michael Elich

Management

Good morning, Josh.

Josh Vogel

Analyst

Okay, good. I guess, first question is around pricing. I guess, when you look at 2019, what are your initial plans are? Are you going to look to maybe keep it flat and I guess on that vein, are you seeing any cost pressures or even relief maybe outside of workers’ comp that you think you can pass along to clients?

Gary Kramer

Management

Yes, I just want to kind of level set kind of 2019. So when you’re going to get into Q1, Q1 we know is going to be our toughest compare, because we had – that was our biggest growth in Q1 of 2018, but also in Q1 of 2019 we have one less business day. For the year, the year-over-year is a good analysis, because in the third quarter we have an extra business day, so it right sizes for the whole year. But just to kind of give you a heads up in your modeling, Q1, going into this, we know that revenue is going to be a little – it’s going to be the softest quarter of the year, I’d say it that way. And then, when we think of gross margin, gross margin, we’re going to have accretion in gross margin, all right. We’ve had, first quarter is going to be probably a better first quarter than we’ve seen based upon the last couple of years and a lot of that’s going to be due to the margin that we’re getting, the margin that we’re holding and then also, you’re going to see more of the workers’ comp change in structure come through as those clients roll in for the one-one selling cycle. So when we think about margin for the year, we think margin for the year is going to be better than it was for 2018.

Michael Elich

Management

Yes, Josh. And I would say too that if we look at the roadwork we’ve done over the last couple of years organizationally whether it’s how we’re generating pipeline, how we’re bringing clients on, how we’re creating alignment within our model, our value proposition today is probably never been stronger. And I – when we look at just the echo chamber of the market to our teams to how – the value we’re bringing back, I think that there is a continued accretion there where the – our ability to even expand margin and/or be able to sustain where we’re at has improved dramatically even in the last couple of years. And so, I think that we’re on a good trend there.

Josh Vogel

Analyst

Okay, great. And just looking a little bit more at margins. Clearly, you’re seeing great leverage on the workers’ comp front. But where else can we look to or expect to see additional operating leverage? Over time, do you think workers’ comp can come in at 4.5% or lower? Is there room on the SG&A line?

Gary Kramer

Management

Yes, we gave – we lowered our expectations for the workers’ comp range from 4.6% to 4.8%. We’ll see how the year goes and give a revise on that. Ultimately, when we give our earnings guide, we try to err on the side of conservatism. So keep that in mind when you’re looking at it. And then really for SG&A, we try to keep our SG&A in line with our revenue growth so that we can show leverage in the model. So our SG&A in 2018 was higher than our revenue growth and what we’re going to see in 2019 is more the normalizing in that SG&A, where it’s going to grow with parity to the gross revenue number.

Michael Elich

Management

Yes, I’d also add, Josh, that as you look at the stratification of branches as we get more of those branches a larger percentage of the branches to that mature and super-mature level, they tend to operate more efficiently and then that’s where you in time we’ll see more leverage coming from our individual operating units, which will also begin to leverage our operating infrastructure more effectively.

Josh Vogel

Analyst

Okay, great. And just one last one. When we look at workers’ comp, I know it kind of, at this point, is running around net neutral to earnings. Is this something that you think you can try to squeeze some profits out of over time? Or you’d rather just pass that along to the clients?

Gary Kramer

Management

How do you get to the net neutral?

Josh Vogel

Analyst

That was just based on commentary you told in the past.

Gary Kramer

Management

Okay. Yes, I mean, historically we try to price it at a breakeven to a slight profit. We don’t really – we don’t ever – I mean, our philosophy is, we don’t ever want to be the highest, we don’t ever want to be the lowest, we want to be consistent, right. And that’s really what we’re seeing. And then what you’re seeing now is the industry and the work we’ve done is paying some dividends here and we’ve seen a change in estimate two quarters in the row in the third quarter, in the fourth quarter for our prior is coming in more favorably than we thought and we don’t include any of that in our 2019 guide if that happens that would be greedy, but we don’t bank on that, we bank on the core operations of the business.

Josh Vogel

Analyst

Okay.

Gary Kramer

Management

And I’d say also, Josh, well, as we’ve matured the program that we also can look at that little different than we may be used to have to look at it and I think it’s the efficiencies that we’re finding that does allow it to be little bit more accretive.

Josh Vogel

Analyst

Okay. And Mike, you just had some commentary around the branches. I may have missed it, I’m sorry, but of the four physical locations you plan to add in 2019, are those going to all be outside of California?

Michael Elich

Management

No.

Gary Kramer

Management

It will be a mix of inside California and outside.

Michael Elich

Management

I think our target markets right now, there’s one in California right now that’s already in works, we have one in Colorado, one in Philadelphia.

Gary Kramer

Management

Allentown and Nashville later in the year.

Michael Elich

Management

And Nashville, yes, so Tennessee. So we’re diverse, so one-third – or one-quarter California and three-quarters outside.

Josh Vogel

Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Gary Kramer

Management

Thanks, Josh.

Michael Elich

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next questions are from the line of Bill Dezellem with Tieton.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Thank you. A group of questions. First of all, relative to the $3 million charge that you referenced, if we understand correctly, that’s going to be roughly $0.34 additional earnings that you would have had in the fourth quarter, had you not had those expenses, is that correct?

Gary Kramer

Management

Your math is not mine, it doesn’t…

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

$0.30 to $0.35?

Gary Kramer

Management

Yes, it doesn’t sound unreasonable though.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And then relative to the frictional cost reduction, what was the benefit that that experienced in the fourth quarter specifically?

Gary Kramer

Management

It’s hard to try to parse that out specifically for those programs, which is why we’re trying to do this in an annual guide. I mean, the way this is going to trend is you’re going to see first quarter be less, second quarter is going to trend down and then in the third quarter of 2019 is where we get to call it our new normal for where those synergies are all baked in as these run off.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

And so, given that we are now halfway through the year, but the renewals are not linear, what proportion of the benefit do you feel like you have now accrued?

Gary Kramer

Management

It’ll be – if you look through kind of the way our clients onboard, we have a pretty consistent build quarter-over-quarter for when our clients add. I mean, that’s really the strength of we’re not a comp company and we don’t hold ourselves accountable to the comp selling cycle. So looking by the time we get to the end of Q1, I would say roughly about 80% of our clients will be on the new structure.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

And as of the fourth quarter, what was that number?

Gary Kramer

Management

I’m shooting from the hip here, Bill. So I can do a little work and try to get your number offline.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Okay. No…

Michael Elich

Management

On a linear basis that would be half, but I think it’s still little less than that.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Fair enough. And you’ve referenced your improving referral partner process. Would you talk about the changes that you have made to improve that funnel and what additional changes you still think that you can or should make to improve it even further.

Michael Elich

Management

One of the things that we had to move from was a – an organization based on individual contributors be it individual branches to recognizing that our markets function in more micro regions and regions where we’ve got shared relationships and so a couple of years ago when we really started taking a more active effort toward educating those individuals on a more aggregated basis about who we are, what we’re about and what we’re trying to accomplish is where we started to see there was traction around when we start with quality, any one of our referral partners when we started the tip of the spear may be the leader in that organization or the owner and then helping them to understand what we’re really about. We eliminate them as a roadblock in that process. That’s the first step. The second step is that once we really get them to be able to understand and see what we are and what our product is about well outside workers’ comp, but more on that how we impact small business, once they start to see that and they begin to be ambassadors in their own organization to support our build, and then the next phase that we go through and this is probably where we’re putting our most energy in today is we have these producer track meetings that we work with the boots on the ground for those individual organizations to help them understand more effectively how they bring us to market and when they do it effectively the benefit that they drive. I think the next turn of that is where we want to continue to mature that low in that process in the field, and then looking more at how we strategically align both within those micro regions, regions and then how those regions with some bigger players that we work with have a bigger footprint and really enter into call it a multi-year strategic plan with those individuals to even front run our brand into new markets.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Great. Thank you. And then finally, SG&A was over 18% of revenues versus 14% or so in the year-ago quarter. I mean, it was a $9 million absolute difference. Can you talk about what led to that and I presume $3 million of it is the charge – or the charges that you referenced. What’s the remainder?

Gary Kramer

Management

Yes, I mean, it’s really the $3 million that we mentioned is a big piece. The second is, we invested in a company at the end of the day, our investments are in our people, our people, product, and we have our management payroll is going up. And then the other piece is as the Company earns more money and we had record earnings in the year, we have our branches and folks are incentivized based upon profit. And as we earn more, we pay out more and that’s something I actually like to do there. So I’m not afraid of – I’m not afraid of paying our profit share for making the money.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Okay. We’ll hope for a massive profit sharing next year. Thank you, both.

Gary Kramer

Management

Thanks, Bill.

Michael Elich

Management

Thank you, Bill.

Operator

Operator

At this time, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the call back over to Mr. Elich for closing comments.

Michael Elich

Management

Thank you. In closing, I would really just like to reach out to thank all of you for being on the call. I know you’ve been there to support us over a long period of time. And as we close out 2018, I just want to let you know I’m really excited about where we’re going, 2019 and well beyond that. And I’d also like to just thank our referral partners we work with for their trust and our clients that we work with for their confidence in us and our ability to continue to stay in the ring for them. But just as much, I wanted to thank everybody, every person, every member of the BBSI team who continue to mature as we stay in the ring in pursuit of what’s possible. It’s core that we get to do and it has very good purpose when we look at the impact that we have on small business and we’re just getting started. And I think you got a pretty fired up organization that’s ready to go get it. So I want to thank everybody for all that you do to make it all work. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today’s teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.