Eric Lloyd
Analyst · Confluence Investment Management
Hey, David, thanks for the question. And we're glad that we're providing more transparency around the CSA and appreciate your recognition that it's Barings bears that risk and losses are not to shareholders. I would say on MVC, as you said, we, there are three large assets we underwrote at MVC. We referenced two of them that we still hold which are equity positions. We had one that was a debt position. And we went into that debt position, the customer was the one that's had the realized losses that were significant, which is part of what Elizabeth referenced relative to the CSA. And so the day when we underwrote it, we didn't expect the loss severity on that to be to the extent that it was, obviously, when you underwrite a portfolio that you didn't originate and underwrite, you have a certain amount of information, but not the full type we would normally have and certain type of underwriting. The two equity positions, as Elizabeth referenced one of them, we're in the process right now of beginning a process to look at an exit on that, whether that the timeline of that is kind of TBD. The other one, we believe, a little longer hold on, that will benefit for some of them, basically, some macro reasons that are occurring and kind of the European area that will we think will support infrastructure, those equity positions can obviously come back and basically offset the losses that we've had to date on the MPC portfolio. But time will tell whether that happens or not. So I'd say on MVC, the short answer is the surprise, I guess, if you think of it that way, it was on the one custom outway asset, the loss severity, as we underwrote, it was higher than what we thought it would be, to the extent it defaulted. The two equity positions I'd say are performing in line or above what we thought they were going to perform. And therefore I believe we look at the net-net, which got to the 23-ish million dollar CSA. We think as we look at it today, it should be inside of that number on a fully realized basis. But time will tell the equity position will really drive that. On Sierra, it was a more diversified portfolio. When you look at that from the assets that were in there, I would say that the thing there, it's performed in line with what we underwrote, in general, as we referenced kind of 5-ish million of realized losses, the primary part of the 30-ish million of unrealized that Elizabeth referenced, it's almost -- it's not perfectly this but think of it as kind of half-ish or so is kind of CLO equity and half-ish or so is kind of the JV that's within that. Both of those are really just impacted by this significant increase in base rates, which led to broadly syndicated loan prices to coming down, which really just impact the underlying equity value of your CLO equity or the underlying equity value of your JV. So I'd say the surprise there would only be that the actual realized part of the portfolio has been in line with what we expected from an underwriting perspective, maybe even a little bit better, frankly, than what we underwrote, then the unrealized part is just the impact of the rise in base rates, which I don't think we, as Ian referenced, we've kind of stress tested portfolios, assuming that. I think all of us wouldn't have underwritten a base case it would have had type of base rate increases over the last 12 to 18 months that we've seen on kind of the pace of them or this significant increase in them. But again, from a realized perspective, we feel really good about that portfolio. I don’t know if team would add anything. Future M&A, Dave, sorry, I didn't hit that one. Thanks, Bryan, for reminding. I'd say you shouldn't expect us to do some M&A that would be in line with particularly what I'd say MVC. MVC was one that was a different type of assets than what we historically would generate here at Barings. At the time, we believe we got that really attractive value for shareholders. We believe over time, that's going to continue to be true when you balance the CSA that Barings bears the risk on and the BDC does not bear the risk on combined with the value of the underlying equity assets that are in there. We believe that will be an attractive acquisition for shareholders. Same with Sierra, but as I referenced earlier, really this year and next year and probably 2025. It's all about focus, kind of refocusing taking the complexity out of the BDC. Simplifying the BDC, simplifying the story, and really just getting back to basics are focusing on first lien senior secured assets and rotating the Sierra and MVC portfolio out and really focusing on the Barings assets, which I referenced earlier. If you look at the entire portfolio, right, Barings originate assets represent one of our nonaccruals, every other nonaccrual step from what we acquired. And so we really believe that the quality of our originated deals over time will benefit shareholders and that's going to be our focus.