Marcelo Noronha
Management
Good morning, I am Marcelo Noronha, and I'm here live speaking from Cidade de Deus, it’s 10:32 AM to present the numbers for the full year of 2023 and of Q4 2023. After that, we will have a second topic. Our guidance for 2024. You probably read our book in our guidance for 2024. To us, 2023 was a challenging year. It's not the result we would have loved to deliver to you. And the guidance of 2024 falls short a bit. But to us, 2024 will be a year of transition of transformation at Bradesco. And lastly, the third topic is our strategic plan, of course, here bringing the executive summary of the plan that we put together in the last 60 days. I will present that to all of you. And then we'll be able to debate that during the Q&A. And I will be available to all investors for us to talk later. We already have some meetings scheduled for buy-side and sell-side investors so we can speak about our clients for the next five years in more detail from 2024 to 2028. So now I have the challenge of presenting at the same time that we present an income statement of Q4 '23 to speak about full-year results, the guidance, and the strategic plan in an executive summary, as I mentioned. So I'll try to do this as quickly as possible so we can have our Q&A. Let's start with our numbers. Our results. As you can see, we have an additional number in lighter color was the end of the quarter with KRW4.3 billion. Here, we had an ALL enforcement for two cases in the wholesale bank. We were a little more conservative in these two cases. We reduced the ratings, that's why our recurring net income was KRW2.9 billion. In addition, we had two major nonrecurring events. As you can see here in this last topic here on the right of the screen. The provision for the restructuring that we had and the contingent liabilities. I think you should comment on some positive aspects of our income statement. Wholesale ALL was forced in the two cases that I mentioned, and this is relevant. We have a comfortable coverage level for the wholesale bank for this year with the reduction of ALL in mass retail. Just that we're going to show a reduction in all delinquency ratio. We cannot show the higher delinquency that we had for SMEs and mass retail. Credit stats accelerating. I will show you that this happened for individuals and SMEs. We had market NII recovering, total NPL dropping 50, and here, there's another positive point which differentiates with this in a position. We are growth that has a bank business and also the largest insurance login Latin America. Our insurance group with a higher level with an ROAE close to 25% in 2023. Our operating expenses were within the guidance, and I will detail more on our expenses. So moving forward, like I said, we had an inflection of the curve for both individuals and SMEs in the vital going 1.3% despite a reduction we had in our appetite for risk in 2022, 2023 and also a change of level for SMEs, posting a 1.5% growth quarter-on-quarter. We had the write-off of a well-known case, which happened in the end of 2022 in Q4 of 2022 to call your attention to our average daily production. In the second half [indiscernible] increased because we changed our credit models and to policy for individuals, which became more restrictive than in the past. Yes, it's true. But we've had new controlled vintages, the singles for SMEs. We tested modules in April, we implemented the new models as of September, and restarted to grow again in the segment of small and midsized companies, again, with more control and credit policies. So we won't have any issues in the new vintages, which are performing really well. As I mentioned, the delinquency ratio. We can see all curves of NPLs dropping, some for the second to second. So we have this portfolio under control. Our coverage ratio grew to 165% and NPL creation decreased. I mentioned these two cases, we had in the wholesale bank with total provisions of BRL10.5 billion in Q4 and three before, this is our net interest income, NII. We reduced rose capital, as I mentioned, in the end of 2022 and throughout 2023. And of course, we stopped having new productions for a while. We resume that towards the end of the year and continue to grow. We will definitely grow, but step by step with good vintages, both in mass retail and in SMEs. In terms of personal credit, working capital, and other lines that we've been growing. And our market NII is a highlight, posting growth in Q4, BRL0.7 billion, seeing good expectations for [indiscernible].Fee and commission INCOME. We know that this is a line item that is under pressure. I think the whole market is talking about that, particularly in card income. We posted 3.4% growth quarter-on-quarter. However, we know that animal payments boepd over time were compromised because we had a structural change here on the brake with free cars. So that impacted current income, but our loan operations grew quite well in Q4 because of this resumption that I mentioned. We grew in consortium eminent and in checking account. We have challenges because of payment accounts, but we continue to work on that to offer better pace, we have a good expectation for capital markets for [indiscernible], as for our operating expenses, I think I should make three comments here. Number one. In 22, looking at the line item, other operating expenses... Also a reduction in 2022. So that's a baseline for comparison in 2023 -- lower base volume. Therefore, we have a greater valuation. And we balanced this line item of other operating expenses in 2024, bringing them back to the levels of 2019, 2020. So there's some fluctuation in these ratios. And personal exposes, looking at the last indicator, we see a 6.4% increase despite the collective bargaining agreement, which meant a 7% salary increase and administrative expenses, we grew 2.5% inflation. We had a reduction in customers at this point as you can see on this slide. You can see this on the screen in our earnings. Let's talk about the insurance growth. And I think that this is a big highlight in our results. We had exceptional results along 2023, growing about 21%, 21.1%, 2023 over 2022. Net income growing significantly, almost 25% ROE with revenues greater than BRL100 million. Insurance group went to a whole new level. So regarding our IUC, we declared 11.3 as you can see in the graph and our vessel Tier 1 grew 81 bps compared to Q4 2022, reaching 13.2% as you can see. So done with that, let's move to the [indiscernible]. The comment is that we have an expected growth for our loan portfolio of 7% to 11%. In the middle point, we're talking about 9%, slightly above what the market should expect. Yes, the expectation is around 8%. Why is that the NII does not follow the loan book because of the average portfolio effect will grow month by month step by step. And not really, we will have total NII, depending on the mix, we should also improve our mix, but above the average portfolio, and we are going to see improvements in 2025. Fee income 2% to 6%, suffering some pressure, as I mentioned, operating expenses. That's not the best ratio. We have an effect of other revenues and expenses. But I think that we are doing quite well regarding personnel and administrative expenses. We'll speak about our goal in terms of operating efficiency targets. So the expected growth is 5% to 9%. Regarding the insurance group, we expect growth from 4% to 8%. The natural question for new is why only 4% to 8%, but there are three phenomena to mention here. First, the reduction in interest rates that should reach 9.5% in 2024 December 2024. And then we have the variation of the indices GPM and we can see also the variation of insurance core and growth of 4% to 8% in 2024 means that if we go back to 2022, what do we see in the insurance growth to 25% and 30% in two years for the insurance group is large the largest on America. And lastly, our expanded ALL, BRL35 million to BRL39 billion. This is reducing. But we're not reducing more because of the increasing loan book and the mix we want to have, which requires more provisions for expected loss. If the portfolio were more stable, we would have an expanded A provision or -- so now, ladies and gentlemen, I'm going to move to our strategic plan mentioning our expectations. Our expectation is that 2014 will be a year of position and transformation. Then I would like to make a comment such a strategic plan, such as the one we have adopted would naturally take about six months for us to execute, but [indiscernible] challenge of doing it in 60 days. We're going to do it where the renowned consulting firm -- it's waken. I can tell them in looking supported by other cool firms so that we can have safe and monitors that we can execute perfectly. So what we've done was to follow academia by the book with the market diagnosis for Bradesco, then developing a plan. And now moving on towards the execution here to have the entire market diagnosis as we developed. It wasn't only the involvement of Brazil's consulting team, but from different ventures in the world who came to support us in this diagnosis of the market with benchmarking technology, credit and so on. In addition to -- well, after the diagnosis, we developed this plan that's actually a set of initiatives. We had ongoing initiatives in the bank. And what we did was to revalidate those initiatives, measuring everything we had determined to make sure the initiative was valid, sound, and whether or not we should continue with them. We maintain some others we identified that we had to change the way of getting it done and the perspectives that we have. And then there are others that were not part of our plan, and we've included them in the set of initiatives to develop our plan. And then we move into the execution phase. We do know the consulting, the company's work, and the stage of execution. What we do is take the initiative, break it down at greater detail levels to conform the economic intervals that we determine, the timeline for the development, what type of investments we need to make. In some cases, we are already making progress. We're already entering the execution and detailing phase. Others are just starting this stage should on this process to further detail and execute the plan. But what happens when we develop the plan? We started with a new structure based on that strategic plan, and now we have [indiscernible] and a framework for us to pursue over the next five years. Of course, when you develop a strategic plan, your plan is not static that you stick to it and do only that. No, the initiatives are reviewed. We may include new initiatives over time and also adjust whatever is or may not be working out as expected. So we entered into this execution process, which is the toughest, but it's decisive for us to be able to deliver what we expect to deliver in our structure, and I'll detail this execution process. Allow me to say that the plan is dense, it's ambitious. And we can't, in one screenshot talk about the entire Brazilian market. I have here overall lines to discuss with you because this is the basis for what we're doing. You're going to see our starting point. So far as the Brazilian market, I don't have to tell you, it's one of the most resilient profitable markets in the world with good returns. The second point, the market represented according to our measures, 1.3 trillion in post-risk revenues in 2023, with approximately 30% to 40% of this revenue coming from mass retail, where we have extensive penetration. But of course, the main challenge of mass retail is the cost to serve. And here, there is still some medium income share. SMEs represented nearly 15% of the Brazilian market's total revenues. And our expectation for this segment is that it should double in value in five years. Bradesco maintaining its leadership position with 1.7 million clients and the largest loan portfolio with approximately JPY 100 billion in revenue. And if we get this according to the Centrobank classification and Bradesco is one of the largest portfolios of affluent clients, prime clients, and close to private clients. And we have 1.7 million clients. Of course, here, there's an opportunity for us to expand our share of wallet. Why am I bringing this customer base to you? I think it was never disclosed to the market. It's simple. We've received many questions. How are you going to compete in high income if you're not in? How are you going to penetrate just bring these clients in? We're not going to bring the clients in. They're already here. What we have to do is to improve our value proposition and our share of wallet. [indiscernible] is the anchor for possibility as well. So of course, I'm going to give you some very important figures during this presentation. What we've seen in this diagnosis, of course, the fintechs are beginning to grow, but they don't respond or even 3%. The main players are the incumbent banks, both in individual and corporate loans, and we have the opportunity to improve our credit structure. That's what we've been doing as well as improve our modeling using more transactional data that we have. We have plenty of data in Bradesco as well as generative AI. The organizational structure, I'm going to talk a little bit more about this because this is very important to us. Here we've already changed the disclose organizational structure in our diagnosis was complex with excessive layers, unbalanced spend. We need to admit it, right, what we had to improve, and that increases decision-making time and of course, also makes plans orientation difficult. We've already changed, and I will talk about this organizational structure in a minute. Investments in technology. Here with [indiscernible], we saw that we clearly invest the same amount the other incumbent banks invest in technology. However, we've been working on an IT transformation, migrating to the cloud, but we could. And actually, we can accelerate this migration to the cloud before that deadline that we had expected, and we can also gain in our time to market. That's what we saw. I really looked at this diagnosis with our IT team and the consulting company because I had doubts about this increase in productivity that could be a driver for time to market. And what we have to do is to effectively transform outsourced personnel into bank employees so that we can gain productivity, and that's what we're going to do, hiring 3 or 4,000 employees technology department but replacing with third parties. So it's not a matter of cost. It's the way of doing it. And finally, we have a series of strengths with more than 71 million customers, and we are not or leader in all customer segments as we're going to see. This snapshot tells you a little bit about our ambitions without getting into too many details. You can read it later, but we are either leaders or top three in all major five segments. So our ambition is to get from that market share that you see of 14% for loans. I'm talking about the expanded portfolio here in Brazil to a share between 15% and 19% within five years by 2028, increase our SME client base going from 1.7 million to this figure here on the screen, reducing our operating efficiency ratio to around 8% in up to five: years. That's the goal that we have set for this plan. Just to mention briefly this box here at the bottom. Maybe one of the main objectives of this plan, it is actually the main objective of this plan is to increase profitability, returns, deliver more ROE, but not in the next quarter, not only in 2028 but throughout this period, during these five years, quarter after quarter, step by step. That's our objective here.And to summarize, where are we starting from? That was the beginning of a very important debate for us. We're not building a new bank. There's no silver bullet here. We are reorganizing our bank to make it more competitive. But look, the starting point for Bradesco is high. Whatever way you look at it, we had NPL problems we did. Are we going to pay for this? We are, we're paying, that's fine. We're going to pay. We're going to turn it around, and we're going to increase profitability over time. So we are leaders in SME, as I said, top two corporate and middle, top two private banking in Brazil, top two in the affluent market, as I mentioned. We're one of the leaders in retail with more than 60 million clients, almost 30 million account holders in this mass retail base. We have the largest bank response in Brazil, Bradesco Expresso. We had important deliveries in the end of the year, combining eight platforms, more than 38 points thousands of points, and that's the key for our turnaround in the service model, the reduction of the cost to serve, and the penetration of this retail segment. We have completeness of offers connected to payments. What I mean here is Cielo, [indiscernible] in partnership with Banco do Brasil with more than IDR 1.2 trillion of total TPV in the year. Just reminding you, these companies here that have no lever removing [indiscernible] part without [indiscernible] that has another partner has effectively 10 billion [indiscernible].And we're calling this [indiscernible] that responds a little bit to our strategic plan and we're doing it here because we are highly able to invest with all of that cash available in this segment that remains profitable with companies that bring upwards of 40% ROE every year. There's no need to status that we're leaders in the insurance group. It's the largest insurance group in Latin America with more than BRL100 billion in revenue in 2023. It's a very important starting point for Bradesco. And one of the qualitative points that I consider important here is the first bank to use AI in the client's day-to-day life with our BIA. We're top of mind for 18% of resilience humanized customer service that are extremely valued by our clients. This point here of our culture that I think is a value at high sense of belonging that our employees have, and that sound brand that Bradesco has, and then I moved to this Mandala image with 10 initiatives, five business initiatives and five enabling factors, mentioning very quickly. We want to revolutionize our model -- for retail, we will create a new affluent segment prime -- it was the top of the prime segment. We're going to talk more about those details. We're not going to say exactly how the segment is, but this is an ongoing initiative. We're going to adjust our customer service model to the SMEs with a new network of platforms. We're already doing this, delivering 122 platforms to scoping €350 million of revenue and improve our value proposition with remote digital service for those up to BRL3 million that are part of our network as well as micro companies as well. Payment model for us here, it is to redefine our action and one of the items that goes through the public offering that we mentioned about Cielo. We are a lot more competitive with the SMEs and larger companies together with our acquired and other businesses, the credit cycle. What we did was create the credit business unit that responds directly to me, and parts that were fragmented in the bank analysis decision. Portfolio management. Collection credit recovery. And now a portfolio management unit, everything combined, and we're going to increase all of that using generative AI and a lot more data for us to increase the efficiency of our model, operating efficiency to ensure competitiveness and returns. This is great at our organization. We have a series of initiatives that will be developed for us to evolve in operating efficiency including a good review of our footprint that is ongoing. Culture model organizational structure. I will talk to you about in a minute. It's very important that we're already working on this. We've done this already for technology, the idea is to accelerate technology and intergroup synergies and innovation, we have a lot of detailed initiatives, but I will not get into the details in this presentation. And how do we guarantee a safe, efficient execution of our strategic plan? The separating teams in to run the bank and change the bank. Since the bank we're creating the CTO figure that's Chief Transformation Officer, which is the Vice President is from the company because he knows exactly which keys open the doors. Every initiative has a senior team led by a director, a superintendent from the bank with a dedicated team, the transformation office to provide support to the CTOs and for us to be able to deliver this execution at a fast pace every week, and we're going to keep track a new MIS that we're implementing in our organization that we'll be able to follow each of the initiatives online in real time. And we're going to execute all of the different points at once. That's why execution is crucial at our business. This year is our new structure. There are six business units or support units plus a chief of staff, we created wealth, we had the spin-off from retail, creating the business unit for digital businesses that's going to focus on mass retail customers. I can't detail everything right now. We can talk about it later. The [indiscernible] responding directly to me. We are reporting retime Treasury CEO is our CFO with separate structures. He will dedicate most of the time most of his time to be CDO, CRO related to risk, HR, and the chief staff, which there really has new strategic initiatives and the whole inorganic growth [indiscernible]. It is important to observe the bottom part. What we have already done during this period with that diagnosis about the structure I mentioned. We increased the effort spend by 15% in that group that reports to the CEO with a number of around 6%, but we changed the spin of control throughout the organization. We reduced significantly the layers of the leadership and [indiscernible] the Vice President, only 40% of this number of executives were between 1 and 3. Now 100% of them are in these levels and one to end of three, which means we significantly reduced our leadership group of vice presidents, all the way to executive superintendents. So eliminating some positions. I don't need to mention them individually here, but it is a fact that we had some colleagues leaving since the last year. And more recently, we also had some colleagues who helped us in the past, leaving the company, and the fact is we have been changing. For example, we have that in the past, take over also an Executive Officer [indiscernible], who is the Head of a corporate unit was promoted to Executive Officer. He would be replaced as Head of corporate. And of course, that other job position was filled by somebody and he will go to the fourth flow. So this is now the Executive Officer will be in the front line. It is the case of one colleague that we recognized. And this position will be filled by the skills, ability to execute of this person to prepare for my future succession and the succession of the vice president, so people will continue to run that business unit. We didn't replenish those empty seats. We did have some promotions of vice presidents and executive officers, but with no replacement so that at the end of the day, reduces our management cost, and it leads to a simplification of our structure. As an example, to the organization, we created this Executive Committee and these two boxes, digital business. We're not bringing you details now. We're in the process of hiring one Vice President in the market. For the first time, we'll bring in the value officer from the officer from the market. And here, we have the level of human resources with a human resources structure to help us in the transformation process. And in the process of partly changing our culture to a culture of transformation. This is a practical example of what we've done. And very soon, we'll be announcing the names of these two C Street colleagues and other colleagues who will complete our executive management. And moving towards the end, bring you some initiatives here with some of our ambitions in the case of retail, this is our ambition to grow the customer base, to maintain customer centricity. So the fact is we have high penetration with 60% municipality in this retail customer base. Second, we know ambitions to have a strength on the stream. But in this case, we are delivering this new segment of the new affluent segment. I have a colleague leading this with her own team and with the support of the consulting firm, she mapped 105 opportunities in this F1 segment, and we will be improving our value proposition in high net worth clients. In SMEs, as I mentioned, implementation of new branches and a change in way to manage. And in our value proposition, I'd like to remind you, we hold 20% market share. We did have high delinquency. That is true, but we have changed the model. So we will compete to remain in the leading position in this market with our ambitions on the screens. I spoke about credit. Our ambition is to grow our market share from 15% to 19% in a five-year time frame. And we know what this means, we will know what this means in our final conclusion. I'm not going to be mentioning each one of them. I'll just say that our conclusions are represents a significant advance profitable financial market. We are already in the execution phase of a solid idea strategic plan. The group has experienced that will be leveraged. The starting point of Bradesco is quite high. Fourth, we're making great strides towards delivering ambition initiatives, realigning our organizational structure, particularly in the last 30 days. We will have a new human resources coin. We are working on it. We will sit and debate in the month of February to approve by March this new org structure connecting all of the levels of evaluation, compensation and performance for the executive group. We have these goals here on this topic I talked about the efficacy ratio, and we will find the leadership in the most profitable pace. No reason why we shouldn't be fighting for these retail clients. It's not binary. They're not physical or digital, they're both, and we are mapping all that, and we will compete on reducing the cost to serve, improving our value for position with solid credit modeling and take advantage of our competitive hand and our level of penetration in retail. And here, some data for you. What does credit growth mean? Credit is the big anchor of results in revenue in the Brazilian market. It is still dominated by the incumbent bank with some share of the fin tax, as I mentioned. But if the market grows, as our team has forecasted together with the consulting forms, 8% CAGR until 2028. This means that in 2028, we are going and expanding additional expanded loan book of 3.3 trillion. From 2019 to date set, the loan book grew INR 2.4 trillion, again expanded loans. So if we grow our share, this potential, substantial growth here, and we have the potential to grow even further and get back a significant portion of these PR3.3 trillion and a big commission. Our biggest goal is to increase our profitability and return over the next years, transforming the organization and executing the plan with discipline. We will be periodically showing you everything we do and everything we intend to deliver. Thank you for your attention. We'll start the Q&A. I'm here with my colleagues, I said, I'm speaking to you live. We continue to be live. I have my colleague Casciano, CFO; and now our CEO, our IRO, Carlos Firetti, sitting on my left and Andre Cano, who is going to be the new IR officer in [indiscernible]. Andre Cano has been working with us for seven years now. Andre has a good background -- recently, he was the Chief of equity strategy in the global markets of BBI. He would really well with the buy side. So we'll be starting in a new role. Ready. We have a transition period with Andre and then our colleague, Firetti will take a new role at the bank together with us in Bradesco. Firetti, I think I've spoken too much. That's why we have four people here so that we can all speak Marcelo. Before anything, I would like to welcome Andrea [indiscernible] said we're going to have a transition. So interacting with you for a while still. So welcome, Andre. [indiscernible].