Leandro Miranda
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Jorge, your line is open, you may proceed
Thank you very much. Good morning, everyone and welcome to our first Q 2021 earnings conference call. As we all know, the first quarter was marked by the worsening of the COVID-19 pandemic situation, with the second wave unfortunately leading to a new peak in case and victims, much as what we have witnessed in 2020. We believe that restricted measures adopted in March in both states, somewhat controlled the spread of the virus and thereby reduce it case and hospitalizations. Despite levels remaining high, we believe that we will see an improvement in this statistic over the course of May. The worst-case scenario we believe is going to be June, and even greater reduction in restrictions, especially as vaccination progress. We sympathize with all those impacted by the disease and take our employees for the full efforts during this difficult time. The impact on the economy in 2021 appears to be lower than it was in 2020, probably due to the fact that people in business are better prepared to conduct business in the midst of the restrictions. Our performance was solid in the first quarter. And the second wave of the pandemic had no significant vary on business dynamics with the exception of a natural deceleration in the origination of some credit lines. We now see signs that appear to indicate an improvement in the scenario of the pandemic. We believe that this improvement should continue throughout May, as some of the restrictions are already being relaxed in a number of states. With vaccination efforts continuing, we expect that risk groups will be vaccinated at the end of the first half of the year, which will allow the economy to see a more pronounced recovery starting mid-May or June. We now move on to Slide 3. We have revamped our corporate strategy to further reflect our ambition, viewing our clients as our inspiration. A practical example of this is the 100% client program, which establishes to apply the best market practice available to transform our business model and make sure that our clients are always at the center of our patient. Another pillar of our strategy is digital transformation, improving the way we do things with an active connected and innovative mindset. We have a solid foundation in the people pillar, our team. They are for performing professionals who are totally committed to ethics, transparency and respect. They are really awesome. And of course, we can't leave out sustainability. After all, we are a company built select and to provide value to all stakeholders. Our purpose is at the center, it's all drivers. It's the impact we strive to create and change. We want to bring about people, companies and society as a whole. Turning now to slide 4. We have our financial highlights for the first Q. We posted a very strong result in the first Q with a profit of BRL6.5 billion, an increase of more than 70% compared to a year ago, and a quarterly ROE of 18.7%. Our operating income was BRL9.7 billion rising both in a yearly and quarterly comparison, which is the highest in our historical series. The loan portfolio grew 2.6% in the quarter, and 7.6% when compared to first Q 2020. Our Basel Tier 1 ratio remains at a fairly comfortable level of 13.6%, a substantial recovery of 220 bps compared to a year ago. Operating expenses dipped 4.7% in an annual comparison, and 2.4% compared to the previous quarter. An extraordinary performance resulting from the optimization we promoted in our structures in 2020. The 12-month efficiency ratio reached 45.3%, down by 3.8 percentage points in the annual comparison. Let's now move to slide 5, in which we can present our P&L. As we mentioned before, we posted good results in the quarter. Net interest income rose 7.4% annually, with growth in the client portion and are still strong performance in the market portion as well. Our expanded ALL expenses dropped once again this quarter. Insurance operations reported a healthy recovery with emphasis on premiums, as well as in its financial income. In costs, as I mentioned before, we maintained an excellent performance. The next slide will show details on all of our lines. Turning now to slide 6. We can see that funding shows a positive evolution in the annual comparison, deposits from clients net of compulsory deposits grew 18.2% and the total fund 12.8% in the annual comparison. Our loan funding ratio in the quarter at 87.5%, which shows our high degree of liquidity in relation to loan operations. Turning now to slide 7. As mentioned before, the total portfolio grew by 7.6% in 12 months. The growth for individuals was 13% with an emphasis on real estate financing, which grew 38.1%, and payroll deducted loans, which grew 11.5%. We have a strong focus on real estate, with a very competitive origination process and channels. Our real estate financing is offered digitally. And even the contract is now signed through digital methods with some markers. Growth in SMEs was 18.6%, mainly due to the lines of the emergency programs and the consolidation of bulk. Just to let you know nine represents 5% out of the 18.6%. For large companies, the annual comparison was somewhat hampered by the solid growth of working capital lines at the start of the pandemic and greater access to capital markets. Loan origination remains at a pace that we consider to be very good. And we believe it will intensify as the economy begins to reopen. Turning now to slide 8. Our expanded ALL expenses fell to the BRL3.9 billion in the quarter, consistent with our expectations for the year. We carried out a BRL 1 billion supplementary provision over the quarter, reinforcing our stock of provisions given the expectation of worsening ratings and the consequent provisions for those clients who extended their debts, but did not pay the first instrument. However the performance in this quarter is fully in line with the center of the guidance for 2021. The corporate ratio over 90 days and including renegotiation remain at a very comfortable level. We will now take you to -- take a look at slide 9. I would like to point out that we provided a charge with an extended historic information back to December 2008. As we had expected, the delinquency ratio over 90 days rather a slight increase shifting from 2.2% in the previous quarter to 2.5% in this quarter. The rise was seen in individuals and SMEs. This increase is in line with expectations and occurs as a consequence of seasonality in the beginning of the year, as well as a consequence of reduction in the pace of renegotiations and the end of crispers. We provisioned less the formation as a significant portion of the delinquencies came from renegotiated portfolio. Therefore from operations that already had a high level of provisioning. We believe that delinquencies will continue to rise gradually and reach an even higher level at the end of the year. This level will probably not be much different from pre pandemic levels. We are comfortable with that. We think that the good quality of credit is due to the quality of origination during the period prior to the pandemic and to the solid financial health of clients overall, as households have accumulated savings throughout this period. Slide 10 details the extended portfolio. The balance of extensions continue to shrink. Totaling BRL 44.1 billion as amortization continues. As of March 31, this balance was composed of BRL 37.4 billion on time meaning that they came out of the grace period of payment or at least one instrument, BRL 2.9 billion was still within the grace period at the end of March. And I would like to point out that 55% of this amount has already came out of the grace field in April and are up to date. They are on time. And finally BRL 3.9 billion in overdue loans which are operations that came out of the gray spirit and overdue for more than 30 days. This represents only 0.7% of the bank's total loan portfolio. We continue to permit extensions during the first quarter. We believe that we may see a moderate increase in the second quarter, but definitely not the intensity witnessed in 2020. We now proceed to Slide 11. Our renegotiated portfolio was stable compared to the previous quarter which halted the growth cycle. This was due to a gradual return to the renegotiation conditions in place before the pandemic. We witnessed an increase in delinquencies within this portfolio which reached 14.4%. However this level is still well below the historical average. We believe that delinquencies in this portfolio will continue to add slightly higher and we can state that the renegotiated portfolio will be one of the drivers for the rise in our delinquencies over the upcoming quarters, which is totally in line with our expectations. On the other hand we emphasize that this portfolio contains high level of provisions 64%. As a consequence of this the rising delinquencies will lead -- will not lead to significant pressures in terms of new provisions. We are very well covered. Now let's take a look at Slide 12. The total financial margin performed well in the year-on-year comparison posting a growth of 7.4%. The client portion remained stable over the quarter and grew 2% annually mainly due to the growth in volume and the mix favored by the solid growth in individuals. These factors more than offset the following spreads in the fewer number of days. We expect a recovery in the client portion throughout 2021 in line with our guidance. The market portion performed well in the quarter despite a decline relative to the fourth quarter when we reposted a rather strong performance. As indicated before, we expect a drop in the market portion for 2021 in relation to 2020 but in levels around 2019. Turning now to slide 13. We had a drop in fee and commission income in both a quarterly and annual comparison. In annual terms due mainly to the baseline comparison effect. The first quarter of 2020 it still did not fully reflect the impact of the pandemic. Despite the drop in the annual comparison, the fee income result was in line with our budgets, which forecasts a better performance in the second half, allowing the guidance to be fully achieved. This is due to the base of comparison and the reopening of the economy in the second half. Important lines have been pressured by specific factors. The card line suffers the most in co-branded and private label as many retailers had restriction operation due to the lockdowns. The fund management line has had a strong migration on resources to fixed income and reduce IT management fees in the first half of 2020. And last but not least, checking account line due to the lower volume of transactions in the network of bank respondents due to the restrictions of the operation of commerce as I have said before could be locked down. We now turn to slide 14 where we have the operating expenses. Our performance in cost remains a strong point. The following expenses reflects our strict discipline in costs, managing the adjustments we made last year when we revised our cost of survey, including the closing of branches and converting branches into sourcing points, taking advantage of the opportunities created by the change in our client’s behavior. We continue our cost reduction efforts in 2021 and over the next years. Turning now to slide 15. Our insurance operations posted a solid recovery net income, which grew 40.6% as well as the operating income, which grew 7% both in the annual comparison. The performance is above guidance and should convert on guidance throughout the year. The highlight of the quarter was a 3% growth in premiums, compared to the pre-pandemic first quarter 2020 driven by auto and insurance, which grew 7.3% and 6.5%, respectively. The financial income also record a positive performance, primarily due to the income of positions in equities, multi-market funds and IPCA indexed securities. Insurance claims were impacted by the health and life segments, which were affected by higher frequency related to the pandemic. We now move on to slide 16. Our Tier 1 capital ended the quarter at 13.6%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points compared to the start of the pandemic in March of last year. The fall of 20 basis points over the previous quarter was due to mainly market, market of securities available for sale and the growth in loan operations. Our capital position has settled to rather comfortable levels with a common equity at 12.6%. We recently announced a share buyback program that complements our practice of distributing capital through dividends and interest on shareholders' equity. Turning now to slide 17, where we can see that we continue to make advances in digital with an ongoing focus on client’s needs. In this quarter, we had 130 million client interactions almost five times more than first quarter 2019. In the month of March alone, there were 5.16 million client interactions and it was not just data, since these are transaction. As we have already mentioned, in the earnings reports, for example, we delivered 2.5 million reports to clients in March. The CRM 2.0 that we provided you in 2019 already results in 5 times more active contacts with clients and with a high degree of personalization. Now we turn to slide 18. Digital continues to widen its share of total transaction, as traditional and hybrid clients are increasingly adapting online methods to conduct transactions and business. Around 98% of our total transactions are now done digitally. Annually, we saw a 21% growth in our mobile clients and 16% in digital clients, which also accounts for internet banking. The volume of cash transactions is 83% lower than it was in the first quarter of 2020 and the volume in mobile financial transactions increased by 75% over this period. We now go to slide 19, to discuss our three digital business. Agora reached 632,000 clients, a growth of 52% in year one -- in one year, while AUC grew 55%. Agora has one of the most comprehensive offers on the market and will continue to grow. Next has further accelerated its growth curve and is now at 4.4 million clients, almost double its base a year ago. The goal for this year is to reach 7 million clients. Bitz, our digital wallet was introduced in September 2020 and has already exceeded 0.5 million accounts. It's expected to grow significantly throughout the year. And we would like to remind you that Bitz offers clients a complementary product to Next and Bradesco. The marketplace and cash-back features offered at Next are now becoming available to Bradesco's clients. We introduced a pilot for prime segment this quarter, with a marketplace that includes seven partners. We will soon expand this pilot with more partners and we are working on combining the vision of Viva Prime, cash back and Livelo points into one place within the prime app. Ultimately, we want to offer clients a clear overview of the benefit they can take advantage of. We plan to expand these clients in other segments in the near future. Turning now to slide 20, regarding to our ESG agenda. We are very, very proud to announce that for the third consecutive year, we have won the silver category in the S&P Global Sustainability. We are among the top five banks in the whole world and the only Brazilian bank there. These are a result of our commitment and continued progress in implementing the best CSG practice at Bradesco. Speaking of commitment, we are taking a new step today in Bradesco's mission, to promote social economic development and encourage the initiatives needed to transition to an increasingly sustainable economy. We would like to announce our goal of allocating BRL 250 billion in corporate credit lines, providing advice on capital market operations and financial solutions, with a focus on promoting a positive social environment impact by 2025. By doing this, we expand our business scope to support the targeted sectors, while helping clients transition to best practice from any sector. We now move on to slide 21, our last slide today. Despite the intensification of the pandemic in Brazil during the first quarter, we were able to post a solid performance in line with, in some case above, our budget for the quarter. We are performing at the top or even better than the guidance when it comes to expenses and insurance. In annualized terms, we have performed at the center of our guidance for ALL at the bottom of our clients for NII and below of our guidance in the loan portfolio and fee and commission income. In terms of these two weaker performing lines, we can see an accelerated growth in client NII, primarily in the second half, due to the reopening of the company, the economy, and a growth in line with higher spreads. The annual growth in the loan portfolio has been hindered momentarily by a baseline comparison effect in large companies which will lead to a natural acceleration of the second half of the year with a more beneficial base and a pickup in business gradually increasing towards the center of the guidance. We also see a potential acceleration in growth in individuals and medium sized enterprise. Finally, we believe that there will be a natural increase in fee and commission income as the economy begins to reopen with an impact on cards income, collections and payments with increased volumes, investment funds, through a shift in the mix and potential growth end, DI funds with an increase in the sale rates as well as a more favorable baseline comparison. As we previously mentioned, this line went through some adjustments in the first half of 2020. In summary, we expect our performance to improve over the upcoming quarters. As such, we believe that our guidance remains consistent and there is no reason for any changes at all. I would like to thank everyone for your time and attention so far. We will now move on to the question session.