Eugene A. Castagna
Analyst
Thanks, Steve. As you heard from Len and Steve, we earned $1.12 per diluted share in our fiscal third quarter. We are pleased with our positive fiscal third quarter results, and we continue to be cautiously optimistic about the remainder of the year. As noted in our prior calls, I would like to remind everyone of the following 2 items. First, since fiscal 2012 was a 53-week year, the net sales generated of approximately $184 million during the extra week in the fourth quarter last year and the related approximate $0.05 earnings per share will not be repeated in the fiscal fourth quarter of 2013. Second, due to a shift caused by our 53rd week last year, there are differences in the date ranges between the fiscal and comparable store sales calendars on a quarter-by-quarter basis. Please refer to the chart included in our fiscal first and second quarters of 2013 10-Qs that highlights the differences in those date ranges. That said, I would like to now provide our remaining assumptions that support our revised model for the fourth quarter. One, based upon sales to date and our assumptions for the rest of the fourth quarter, comparable store sales are now modeled to increase by approximately 2% to 4% versus our previous model of 3.5% to 5.5%. For the fiscal second half, we are modeling comp store sales, which compares 26 weeks both this year and last year to increase by approximately 1.7% to 2.7% versus our previous model of 2% to 4%. Comparable store sales for the full year, consisting of 52 weeks, are modeled to increase by approximately 2.5% to 3.1%. Two, net sales are now modeled to decrease by approximately 3.9% to 5.7% when comparing the 13 weeks of this year's fiscal fourth quarter to the 14 weeks of last year's fiscal fourth quarter. Excluding the effect of the 14th week in last year's fourth quarter, which would be a 13-week to 13-week comparison, we estimate fiscal net sales would be in the range of a decrease of approximately 0.3% to an increase of approximately 1.6%. For the full year, net sales are modeled to increase by approximately 5.4% to 6% when comparing the 52 weeks of fiscal 2013 to the 53 weeks of fiscal 2012. Excluding the effect of the 53rd week in fiscal 2012, which would be a 52- to 52-week comparison, we estimate net sales would increase by approximately 7.2% to 7.8%. Three, depreciation for fiscal 2013 is modeled to be approximately $220 million. Four, for the fiscal fourth quarter, we are now modeling operating profit margin as a percentage of net sales to deleverage versus our previous fourth quarter operating profit margin model, which was planned to be flat due to the lower net sales estimate in addition to an increase in advertising expense, payroll and cost of sales as a percentage of net sales. For the full year, we are now modeling operating profit margin as a percentage of net sales to deleverage. Five, net interest for our fiscal fourth quarter, which -- will include approximately $2.2 million in World Market net interest expense, resulting substantially from the inclusion of sale leaseback obligations related to its distribution facilities. Six, the fourth quarter and full year tax provisions are estimated to be in the mid to high 30s percent range, with expected variability as distinct tax events occur. Seven, including the 24 stores opened so far, we are modeling the number of store openings for fiscal 2013 to be approximately 33 stores across all of our concepts. Eight, during the fiscal fourth quarter, we expect to continue our program of renovating and repositioning stores. Nine, capital expenditures for fiscal 2013, subject to the timing and composition of the projects, are now planned at approximately $340 million. Projected capital expenditures, which include World Market and Linen Holdings, for the full year are primarily for new stores and existing store refurbishments, information technology enhancements, including the relaunching of our buybuy BABY and Bed Bath & Beyond websites, upgrading our mobile sites and apps, enhancing network communications in our stores, continuing work for future point-of-sale improvements and building, equipping and staffing our new IT Data Center to enhance our disaster recovery capabilities and support our ongoing technology initiatives. Ten, we expect to generate positive operating cash flow and continue to fund operations entirely from internally generated sources. Eleven, we plan to continue to repurchase shares under our current $2.5 billion repurchase program, which we anticipate completing by the end of fiscal 2015. Our share repurchase program may be influenced by several factors include business and market conditions. Based on these and other assumptions, including the change in the model of net sales, the previously mentioned change in the model of our operating profit margin and the modeled higher weighted average shares outstanding estimate as a result of actual and expected repurchase activity through the end of the quarter, we are now modeling net earnings per diluted share to be approximately $1.60 to $1.67 for the fiscal fourth quarter as compared to our previous model of $1.70 to $1.77. For all of fiscal 2013, we are now modeling net earnings per diluted share to be approximately $4.79 to $4.86 as compared to our previous model of $4.88 to $5.01. Turning to fiscal 2014. While we are in the progress of completing our annual budget, our preliminary planning assumptions include the following. One, we anticipate opening approximately 30 stores across all our concepts. We anticipate the mix of store openings to be relatively consistent with fiscal 2013. Two, we expect to continue our program of renovating or repositioning stores within markets when appropriate. Three, our operations will continue to be entirely funded from internally generated sources. Four, as previously discussed, we anticipate completing the current share repurchase program by the end of fiscal 2015. Five, we expect continuing variability in our quarterly tax rates. We will provide further information related to the fiscal first quarter and full year 2014 on our next quarterly conference call on April 9, 2014. Before concluding this afternoon's call, a few additional comments relative to our recently concluded fiscal third quarter. Our balance sheet and cash flows remain strong. We ended the fiscal third quarter with cash and cash equivalents and investment securities of approximately $781 million. This includes approximately $51 million of investments related to auction rate securities. These securities have an estimated temporary valuation adjustment of approximately $3 million to reflect their current lack of liquidity. Since this valuation adjustment is deemed temporary, it did not affect the company's earnings. We will continue to monitor the market for these securities and will expense any permanent changes to the value of our remaining securities, if any, as they occur. As of November 30, 2013, retail inventories at cost were approximately $2.8 billion or $66.89 per square foot, an increase of approximately 2.1% on a per square foot basis over the end of last year's third quarter. Retail inventories continue to be tailored by store to meet the anticipated demands of our customers and are in good condition. Consolidated shareholders' equity at November 30, 2013 was approximately $4.1 billion, which is net of share repurchases, including the approximately $171 million, representing approximately 2.3 million shares repurchased during the fiscal third quarter of 2013. As of November 30, 2013, the remaining balance on the current share repurchase program authorized in December 2012 was approximately $1.7 billion. As a reminder, our next conference call to review operating results for the fourth quarter and year ending on March 1, 2014, will be on Wednesday, April 9, 2014. If you have any questions, Ken Frankel and I will be in our offices this evening, January 8, to take your calls. We would like to wish you a happy and healthy new year and as always, we appreciate your interest in Bed Bath & Beyond.