Robert Hombach
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thanks, Bob, and good morning, everyone. Let me briefly walk you through the P&L by line item for the quarter before turning to our revised financial outlook for 2011. Starting with sales, worldwide sales totaled $3.5 billion in the second quarter and advanced 11%. Excluding foreign currency, sales grew 6%, which compares favorably to the guidance we've provided of 4% to 5%. This is primarily the result of robust growth in plasma proteins and antibody therapies, as well as better-than-expected vaccine revenues and the benefit of unplanned sales of approximately $20 million related to the U.S. multisource generic injectables business divested in early May. In terms of individual business performance, beginning with BioScience. Global BioScience sales of $1.6 billion increased 14% in the second quarter. Excluding foreign currency, BioScience sales increased 10%, reflecting a sequential improvement in the growth rate of 6 percentage points versus growth in the first quarter of this year. Within the product categories, recombinant sales of $570 million grew 9%. Excluding foreign currency, sales improved sequentially on a global basis and increased 3% driven by improved growth outside the U.S. Excluding the impact of the U.K. tender, which has now been substantially annualized, recombinant growth was in mid-single digits globally and international growth was in high single digits. Moving on to Plasma Proteins. Sales in the quarter were $363 million and increased 16%. Excluding the impact of foreign currency, sales rose 11% due to strong demand, particularly outside the U.S., for FEIBA, albumin and plasma-derived Factor VIII. More than 70% of our plasma revenues are outside the U.S. where growth on a constant currency basis was 20% and offset lower sales in the U.S. The 6% decline in the U.S. was driven by a short-term backorder situation for ARALAST and the impact of higher rebates on FEIBA due to a significant increase in patients reimbursed by Medicaid. In antibody therapy, sales of $381 million increased 23%. Excluding foreign currency, sales climbed 21% driven by robust demand. This performance continues to reflect the success we've had with our commercial strategies and the benefit related to meeting volume previously served by Octapharma, which for the quarter was an incremental $30 million to $40 million in sales. Sales in regenerative medicine, which includes our BioSurgery products, totaled $147 million and increased 11%. Excluding foreign currency, sales increased 6%, driven by double-digit growth of surgical sealants and hemostats. This growth was partially offset by lower Actifuse revenues, triggered by a temporary disruption in the channel resulting from a recent integration-related decision to transition from the ApaTech distributor model to primarily a direct sales model, which is consistent with our current go-to-market strategy within the BioSurgery business. Finally, revenues in the other category, which includes vaccines, totaled $92 million increasing 21% versus the prior year. Excluding foreign currency, sales increased 12% due to strong growth of FSME vaccine in Europe. In Medical Products, global sales in the second quarter totaled $2 billion, reflecting an increase of 8% on a reported basis. After adjusting for foreign currency, sales increased 3%, and after also adjusting for U.S. multisource generic injectable divestiture, sales growth was 5%. Turning to the product categories. Renal sales totaled $633 million and increased 8% on a reported basis. Excluding foreign currency, sales growth improved sequentially as PD growth globally accelerates the 5% due to continued momentum in patient gains in the U.S., Latin America and Asia. This performance was offset by expected loss of PD patients to another U.S. service provider and lower HD revenues. Sales in the Global Injectables category advanced 7% to $506 million, and excluding foreign currency, sales grew 3%. Excluding the divestiture, growth of this category was 10%. Contributing to this performance was a very strong growth in our Contract Manufacturing and Compounding businesses as well as strong demand for MINI-BAGs. IV Therapy sales totaled $452 million and rose 8%. Excluding foreign currency, sales were up 3%, driven by low single-digit growth of IV solutions and double-digit growth in the U.S. Nutrition business as a result of continued share gains related to competitor supply shortages. Infusion System sales totaled $233 million, reflecting growth of 8% and sales were up 5%, excluding foreign currency. Growth was driven by expanded placements in sales of the Spectrum pump, which reached a new high in the quarter. Finally, anesthesia sales of $143 million increased 10%, and excluding foreign currency, sales grew 8%. This performance was driven by improved demand, which was somewhat offset by competitive pricing pressures for generic Sevoflurane. Turning to the rest of the P&L. Gross margin for the company was 51.9% in the second quarter, which exceeded expectations and reflects a sequential improvement of 90 basis points versus the first quarter. Compared to the prior year, gross margin improved by 60 basis points as a result of mix improvements, primarily driven by strong sales of high-margin vaccine and anesthesia products and a modest benefit from foreign exchange. These items more than offset incremental costs associated with the Castlebar PD solution issue and the impact of manufacturing inefficiencies incurred in the Plasma business during 2010. SG&A totaled $765 million in the quarter and increased 10% versus the prior year period, with the impact of foreign currency driving nearly half of the year-over-year growth. We continue to aggressively manage general, administrative and discretionary spending areas across the company, while making select investments in a number of key promotional areas aimed at demand creation and new product launches. In addition, we continue to recognize the incremental savings associated with the actions we announced in January, which were offset by incremental pension expense and the pharmaceutical drug tax. R&D spending accelerated in the second quarter to $239 million, representing an increase of 9% in the quarter as we continue to advance our pipeline and fund many of the exciting programs we've discussed with you over the last several years. The operating margin in the quarter was 23.5%, reflecting an 80 basis point improvement both sequentially and over the prior year period. Interest expense was $15 million compared to $25 million last year. This reduction is primarily the result of a benefit from higher rate debt and maturity in the second half of 2010 and higher interest income. Other totaled $13 million this quarter compared to $3 million last year, with the increase driven primarily by the impact of foreign exchange on balance sheet positions and noncontrolling interest. The tax rate was 21.7% in the quarter, 180 basis points higher than last year's rate of 19.9% and is the continued result of a change in earnings mix between higher tax and lower tax jurisdictions. And finally, as previously mentioned, adjusted EPS increased 15% to $1.07 per diluted share, which exceeded our guidance of $1.01 to $1.03 per share. Turning to cash flow. Cash flow from operations in the quarter totaled $632 million compared to $783 million in the prior year period. The reduction year-over-year is the result of an increased outflow related to working capital and $87 million in payments for the infusion pump recall and business optimization actions we announced earlier this year. The working capital outflow is driven by higher receivables, particularly in Europe, and increased inventory levels to meet anticipated demand for infusion pumps and PD solutions given the Castlebar situation. In addition, over the last 6 months, we have ramped internal plasma collections and purchased significant quantities of third-party plasma. DSO ended the quarter at 58 days, which is higher than last year by 4 days. This is largely due to the challenging macro environment and our international country mix as DSO in the U.S. remains at approximately 30 days. Inventory turns of 2.5 are comparable to the prior year. This is primarily driven by improvement in BioScience versus the second quarter of 2010, offset by low returns in Medical Products. Capital expenditures in the quarter were $210 million versus $237 million in the prior year period and are also trending below 2010 on a year-to-date basis. And lastly, during the second quarter, we repurchased approximately 8 million shares of common stock for $478 million. Through the first 6 months of the year, we have repurchased 21 million shares for $1.1 billion, or on a net basis, 14 million shares for approximately $824 million in line with our full year objective. Finally, let me conclude my comments this morning by providing our financial outlook for the third quarter and full year 2011. First, for the full year, we now expect earnings of $4.27 to $4.32 per diluted share. By line item of the P&L and starting with sales, we expect full year sales growth, excluding foreign currency, of 3% to 4%. We currently expect foreign currency to benefit sales growth by approximately 2 points. Therefore, we expect reported sales growth of approximately 5% to 6%. This outlook includes the first half sales of approximately $60 million related to the U.S. multisource Generic Injectables business and $60 million to $70 million of incremental sales related to Octapharma. The impact of these nonrecurring items depresses our second half sales growth by approximately 2 points. For the full year, we continue to expect gross margin in the 51% to 51.5% range with a modest improvement over the gross margin rate in 2010 of 51.1%. We now expect both SG&A and R&D to grow in mid-single digits for the year. The projected increase in the growth rate is primarily due to foreign currency impacts and a ramp in R&D spend in the second half relative to our original guidance. We expect operating margin to improve modestly year-over-year. We now expect interest expense of approximately $60 million to $70 million and other expense, which includes noncontrolling interest, to also total approximately $60 million to $70 million. Given our mix of earnings, we expect our tax rate to approach 21.5%, and finally, we expect a full year average share count of approximately 575 million shares, which assumes approximately $1 billion in net share repurchases. From a cash flow perspective, we continue to expect cash flow from operations of approximately $2.8 billion. This includes a 2011 pension contribution of $150 million and an outflow of approximately $300 million related to the execution of a COLLEAGUE consent order. Now to expand on full year sales assumptions for each of the businesses. First, on a constant currency basis, we expect low single-digit sales growth for medical products. Excluding the impact of the generic injectables divestiture, sales growth is expected to be mid-single digits. Within the product categories, there is no material change from our previous guidance. We continue to expect renal sales to grow in low single digits, anesthesia sales to grow in low to mid-single digits, Infusion System sales to be approximately flat and IV Therapy sales to grow in mid-single digits. In addition, we expect global injectable sales to increase in low single digits. Excluding the generics divestiture, we expect sales in this category to increase 10% to 12%. For BioScience, we now expect sales, excluding foreign currency, to grow in the 5% to 6% range, which is at the higher end of our prior guidance. For the Recombinant business, we now expect sales growth for the full year to be in low single digits. Second, we expect plasma proteins sales to increase in high single digits and Antibody Therapy sales to increase approximately 10%. Our current guidance assumes a modest benefit in the third quarter related to Octapharma as we currently assume that they will return to the U.S. market by the fourth quarter. As a reminder, due to year-over-year sales comparisons related to Octapharma, we expect Antibody Therapy sales growth to moderate in the back half of 2011. Third, we expect regenerative medicine sales to grow in the low to mid teens, and finally, we expect the other category within BioScience to decline approximately 10%, reflecting the better-than-expected sales in the second quarter and the difficult comparison from pandemic revenues generated in the first quarter of 2010. For the third quarter, as we mentioned in our press release, we expect earnings per diluted share of $1.07 to $1.09 and sales growth, excluding the impact of foreign currency, of 3% to 4%. Based on our outlook for foreign exchange rates, we expect reported sales to increase in the 6% to 7% range, reflecting a 3 percentage point benefit from currency. Thanks, and now I'll open up the call for Q&A.