Mark Grescovich
Analyst · Jim Simmons with ICM Asset Management
Jim, this is Mark. I think, first of all, I thank you for the questions, it’s an excellent one. And obviously with the conditions that are occurring and with the general economy, the reduced confidence in the business environment in terms of clarity of where the economy is going, it has provided a cloud. So that being the backdrop, more importantly for our region, which is the Pacific Northwest, I think we need to take into consideration a couple of different things. First and foremost, if you look obviously at the drivers of our economy, you have Boeing, which is doing very well and has significant backorder, should take it out over seven years. They’ve renegotiated the labor contract. So there is employment add there along with stability in their performance.
We have the agricultural belt, which has done very well through this cycle and is continuing to do well, and has added for significant improvement in shipments coming out of the port, which is a very big business for the Pacific Northwest, so the ports are doing well. You have the technology companies, Microsoft and Amazon that are doing well also and if just Microsoft, the Merit increase that they push through, through their entire organization. The latest statistic I heard from the economic development area was that should add somewhere around $400 million to the local economies.
So there is a number of positive factors of our geography here that are doing well versus other parts of the United States. So I would tend to think that as the economy continues to mend and there becomes more clarity as to the political policy going forward, that our economy will do very well in terms of growth. So I view this area as very positive, we’re still outstripping the national numbers in terms of per capita income. And while the housing market is still strained, and we’re seeing pockets of valuation diminution in various areas, the pace of that valuation diminution is just reducing dramatically. So, I view the next slow growth economy for our area, but we have some things that are a little bit more positive in the other parts of the country.