Operator
Operator
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. At this time, we would like to welcome everyone to Braskem's Second Quarter 2012 Earnings Conference Call. Today with us, we have Carlos Fadigas, CEO; Marcela Drehmer, CFO; and Guilherme Mélega, IRO and Corporate Controlling. We would like to inform you that this event is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] We have a simultaneous webcast that may be accessed through Braskem's IR website, www.braskem.com.br/ir. The slide presentation may be downloaded from this website. Please feel free to flip through the slides during the conference call. There will be a replay facility for this call on the website. We remind you that questions, which will be answered during the Q&A session, may be posted in advance on the website. Before proceeding, let me mention that forward-looking statements are being made under the Safe Harbor of the Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1996. Forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of Braskem management and on information currently available to the company. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions because they relate to future events and, therefore, depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Investors should understand that general economic conditions, industry conditions and other operating factors could also affect the future results of Braskem and could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Now I'll turn the conference over to Guilherme Mélega, IRO and Corporate Controlling Officer. Mr. Mélega, you may begin your conference. Guilherme A. Mélega: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for participating in yet another Braskem earnings conference call. Today, we'll be commenting on our results for the second quarter and first half of 2012. First, we would like to remind you that pursuant to Federal Law 11638 from 2007, the results presented in today's presentation reflect the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards, or IFRS. Note also that as of the second quarter, the company began to recognize investments in jointly controlled companies using the equity method and no longer base it on proportionate consolidation. In addition, unless stated otherwise, for the periods presented, Braskem's consolidated results reflect: the proportional consolidation of Refinaria de Petróleo Rio-Grandense, or RPR, until Q1 2012; the full consolidation of Cetrel as of the second quarter of 2011 retroactive to January 2011; and as of the fourth quarter of 2011, the polypropylene business acquired from Dow Chemical. Information in today's presentation was reviewed by the independent external auditors. Let's go to the next slide, where we will begin our comments. Slide 3 presents Braskem's highlights in the period in the quarter marked by continued deceleration in the global economy, which was adversely affected by Europe's sovereign debt crisis and the slowdown in China's economy. Braskem was able to operate its crackers at a high utilization rate, which averaged 88%. Brazilian demand for thermoplastic resins, however, weakened by 9%. Meanwhile, Braskem maintained its strategy based on expanding the local market, growing its domestic market share by 3 percentage points to 71%. Braskem's net revenue in the quarter was BRL 9.2 billion or 11% higher than in the previous quarter, driven by the appreciation in the U.S. dollar in the period. EBITDA was BRL 845 million, growing by 7% sequentially. Excluding the nonrecurring effects of BRL 108 million resulting from the prepayment of installments under the tax amnesty program and the adjustment on the compensation paid by Sunoco, EBITDA was BRL 737 million or 34% higher than recurring EBITDA in the first quarter of BRL 551 million. In US dollars, EBITDA in the quarter was $430 million. In line with its strategy to add value to its existing streams, Braskem began operations at its PVC and butadiene plants, which should reach normalized levels already in the third quarter. In the greenfield project in Mexico, construction has already begun, and earthmoving works are already in the final stage. For the project's financing, $3 billion was already been approved by the various banks structuring the project finance. Braskem also made progress in its strategy to further diversify and improve its competitiveness through the acquisition in July of the propylene splitter assets at the Marcus Hook refinery, which will assure the continuity of operations at the polypropylene plant in the region while also diversifying its feedstock sources. And through the consolidation of its partnership with Enterprise Products with the signing of a long-term propylene supply agreement, for which a portion of the pricing is linked to the U.S. propane reference price. In July, Braskem returned to the capital markets and raised $250 million through the reopening of its 2041 bond issue. Let's go to Slide 4, please. Slide 4 shows the performance of Brazil's thermoplastic resin market, as well as Braskem's performance. Demand for the thermoplastic resins reached 1.1 million pounds in the second quarter of 2012 or 9% lower than its previous quarter. This lower consumption is explained by the continued deceleration in the domestic economy caused by the weak global macroeconomic environment, which led to contraction in Brazil's industrial chain. In this scenario, Braskem's thermoplastic resin sales fell by 6% from the first quarter of the year but grew by 4% comparing to the second quarter of last year. To partially offset the weaker demand in the second quarter, Braskem expanded its market share by 3 percentage points from the previous quarter, which reached 71% in the second quarter. Compared to the second quarter of last year, Braskem's market share expanded by 6 percentage points. Considering only its polyethylene and polypropylene sales, Braskem increased its market share by 2 percentage points to reach 77% market share in the second quarter. Let's go to Slide 5. The slide details the factors that influence EBITDA in the second quarter of 2012 compared to the previous quarter. Braskem's consolidated EBITDA was BRL 845 million, growing 7% from BRL 787 million in the first quarter. The lower sales volume, which had a negative impact of BRL 35 million, was offset by a positive impact of BRL 38 million from the contribution margin, which was influenced by the better price per exit. And 11% depreciation in the average dollar exchange rate generated a net positive impact of BRL 212 million, which was formed by the positive revenue impact of BRL 743 million and the negative cost impact of BRL 532 million. The increase of BRL 28 million in fixed costs and SG&A is explained by the restructuring at Braskem Europe due to the acquisition of the PP assets as projected at the time of their acquisition. The payment of recurring audit service, which, in 2011, were booked in the first quarter and today, no recurring costs which publicity [ph] in the period. Note that Braskem remains focused on improving its competitiveness and continues to work hard to reduce its fixed costs. EBITDA was also positively impacted by nonrecurring effects, totaling BRL 108 million, which included BRL 28 million related to adjustment on the compensation paid by Sunoco and BRL 80 million from the prepayment of tax installments under the tax amnesty program known as REFIS. Excluding these effects, Braskem's EBITDA was BRL 737 million or 34% higher than the recurring EBITDA of BRL 551 million in Q1 2012. Let's go to the next slide, please. Slide 6 shows the change in EBITDA in the first 6 months of the year comparing to the same period last year. Braskem's consolidated EBITDA was 22% lower than in the first half of 2011. The higher sales volume and U.S. dollar appreciation, which generated a positive impact of BRL 496 million, were insufficient to offset the contraction in spreads, which are comparing the downward trend in international markets, decreasing in the period by 25% for resins and by 11% for basic petrochemicals. The variation in periods was also affected by the BRL 267 million increase in the cost and expense, specifically by the increase in selling expense due to the higher production volume of the Brazilian assets, which in 2011, had been impacted by the power blackout in the Northeast, by the consolidation of the polypropylene assets in the United States and Europe which were acquired in late 2011 and by the restructuring of Braskem Europe mentioned earlier. Let's go to Slide 7. Slide 7 shows Braskem's debt on June 30, 2012, when the company had gross debt of $8.3 billion or 2% higher than March 31, which this amount, including Braskem's total amount of the bridge loan for the Mexico project of $110 million, which will be repaid once the project finance is disbursed. In Brazilian reais, gross debt was BRL 16.7 billion, increasing by 13% due to U.S. dollar appreciation of 11% in the period. At the end of the period, 69% of gross debt was denominated in US dollars. Meanwhile, the balance of cash and investments decreased by 12% to $1.8 billion. Braskem's consolidated net debt ended the second quarter at $6.5 billion or 7% higher than at the end of the previous quarter. In Brazilian real, this amount was BRL 13.2 billion, which increased 7%, also due to the U.S. dollar appreciation in the period, and 82% of net debt was denominated in dollar. In line with its strategy to maintain adequate liquidity, Braskem's debt amortization coverage stood at 26 months. And considering the 3 standby credit lines totaling $600 million, this coverage increases to 32 months. The 14% reduction in EBITDA in the last 12 months to $1.8 billion, which was mainly due to the lower spreads in the international markets, led financial leverage as measured by the net debt/EBITDA ratio to increase from 2.87x to 3.55x when measured in US dollars. In Brazilian real, the leverage ratio increased to 4x, mainly due to the U.S. dollar appreciation in the period, as explained before. Excluding the total balance of the company's bridge loan for the Mexico project and the respective cash, financial leverage measured by the net debt/EBITDA ratio was 3.9x in Brazilian real and 3.46x U.S. dollar. On June 30, the average debt term was 15 years. Considering only the portion denominated in US dollars, the average debt term was around 20 years. Maintenance of the lower average debt term reflects the prepayment of short-term debt with higher costs, as well as conclusion in May of the $500 million funding operation. The company's average debt costs in the quarter decreased from the first quarter to 6.07% in dollars and 8.51% in real. Let's go to Slide 8, please. Slide 8 shows CapEx in the first 6 months of 2012. Maintaining its commitment to making investments with high returns above the cost of capital, in 2012, Braskem made operational investments totaling BRL 1.1 billion. Around BRL 508 million or 45% of this amount was allocated to capacity expansion projects and operational improvements in its assets. The new PVC and butadiene capacities that are already operational required disbursements in the year of BRL 300 million and BRL 162 million, respectively. For the project in Mexico, Braskem, based on its equity interest in the project, invested BRL 34 million. The project finance structuring has already received approval for amounts totaling $3 billion, which $600 million loan from Saatchi, $600 million in an A loan from the Inter-American Development Bank and IFC, which will be complemented by a B loan of up to $800 million, $700 million from the BNDES and $400 million from Banco Mexico [ph]. For 2012, Braskem's total capital expenditure is estimated at approximately BRL 1.7 billion, with 40% going to capacity expansion projects. Let's go to the next slide. On Slide 9, we'll comment on the acquisition announced in July of the propylene splitter assets at the Marcus Hook refinery. Following the shutdown of operations at Sunoco's Marcus Hook refinery, which was responsible for supplying 55% of the propylene consumed by the PP plant, Braskem's management began working to develop alternative supply and logistics solutions. The supply agreement signed with Sunoco when acquiring the PP assets included not only the payment of compensation in the event of an interruption in supply, but also the possibility of acquiring the splitter assets located at the refinery. Braskem exercised its right of first refusal and, in July 2012, announced the acquisition of the splitter, which guaranteed feedstock supply for various different sources and the continuity of operations at its 350,000 tons PP plant located in the region. The splitter transforms the refinery-grade propylene into polymer-grade propylene, which is the raw material used to make the polypropylene. The refinery-grade propylene also has historical cost advantage since its average price is around $200 per ton lower than polymer-grade propylene. The splitter assets have the capacity to meet 100% of the supply needs of the Marcus Hook plant; in other words, 350,000 tons per year. Let's go to next slide, Slide 10, please. Slide 10 presents the macroeconomic scenario and the outlook for the petrochemical user. The short-term scenario continues to be marked by caution. The lack of definition regarding Europe's sovereign debt crisis, the slowed down Chinese economy and the still fragile U.S. economy continue to affect the level of global economic growth. It is further aggravated by the geopolitical stability in Arab countries which pressures the price of oil and consequently, the price of naphtha, the main input used by petrochemical industry. In the short term, we expect the high volatility in international spreads to continue. However, a potential recovering demand following the depressed consumption in the first half of the year could support higher profitability in the industry as of the second half of the year. In Brazil, the policies adopted by the government are expected to stimulate economic growth starting in the second half of the year. And here, we should mention that provisional measure that we reduce payroll charge in certain sectors and transfer BRL 45 billion from the Treasury to the Brazilian Development Bank, BNDES, which will use these funds to offer low-interest loans for investments in the industrial sector. These measures, which still require approval by the Senate, could stimulate economic growth in the second half of the year and, in turn, help drive demand for plastic products. It is important to note, however, that Brazil's economic scenario in the medium and long term remains optimistic. The forecast for annual GDP growth in 2013 and beyond remain above 4%, which the economy expected to be positively influenced by the preparations for the Fifa World Cup in 2014 and the Olympic Games in 2016. Let's go to Slide 11, please. On this last slide, we present the main areas on which management is currently focused. In line with its strategy to strengthen its business and boost its competitiveness, Braskem remains committed to supplying its main consumer market and working to build an industrial policy for Brazil that will strengthen the country's petrochemical and plastics chain. The company also remains focused on continuing to improve its partnership with clients and consequently expanding its market share in Brazil on fully capturing the synergies from the acquisitions of Quattor and the polypropylene assets in the United States and Europe. while continually improving its operational efficiency by cutting costs and adding value to its product portfolio; on ensuring reliable and efficient operations at its new PVC and butadiene plants, which add value to existing streams; on structuring the project finance and construction of the Mexico project and beginning presales, marketing efforts which clients in Mexico. In addition to being fully aligned, which is the strategy to increase the diversity and competitiveness of its raw materials, the project further strengthens the company's presence in North America, which currently has one of the world's most competitive gas reserves. And all these will be done without losing sight of maintaining the company's financial solidity in a scenario marked by a global financial crisis. That concludes today's presentation, so let's go now to the question-and-answer session.