Greg Garrabrants
Analyst · Brad Berning with Craig Hallum. Please proceed
Thank you, Johnny. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us. I'd like to welcome everyone to Axos Financial’s conference call for our fourth quarter and fiscal 2019 year-end ended June 30, 2019. I thank you for your interest in Axos Financial, Axos Bank and Axos Securities. Axos announced record net income of $155.1 million for the fiscal year ended June 30 2019 up 1.8% over the $152.4 million earned for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2018. Axos’ return on average equity for fiscal 2019 was 15.4% and the bank’s efficiency ratio is 40.51%. Fiscal 2019 earnings per share increased 4.6% to $2.48 per diluted share compared to $2.37 per diluted share in the fiscal year-end 2018. Excluding acquisition related expenses and nonrecurring costs related to excess FDIC expenses and a client related trading loss in our clearing business, non-GAAP earnings per share increased 15.1% to $2.75 per share in fiscal 2019 equating to non-GAAP return on equity of 17.1%. Net income for Axos’ fourth quarter ended June 30, 2019 was $40.6 million up 9.5% when compared to the $37.1 million earned in the fourth quarter ended June 30, 2018. Earnings attributable to Axos’ common stockholders were $40.6 million or $0.66 per diluted share for the quarter ended June 30 2019 compared to $0.58 per diluted share for the quarter ended June 30, 2018 and $0.63 cents per diluted share for the linked quarter ended March 31, 2019 in which we recognized the vast majority of our tax related revenue. Other highlights for the 2019 fiscal year and the fourth quarter include, net loans and leases increased by $283.7 million in the fourth quarter, representing 3.1% growth linked quarter and an annualized growth rate of 12.4%. For the full year ended June 30, 2019, net loans and leases grew by $949.8 million representing 11.3% growth year-over-year. Total assets reached $11.2 billion at June 30, 2019, up $1.7 billion or 17.6% when compared with June 30, 2018. Net interest margin was 3.81% for the quarter ended June 30, 2019 up 10 basis points from 3.71% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018. Excluding average balances associated with short term H&R Block lending products and excess H&R Block liquidity net interest margin was 3.81% in the fourth quarter of 2019 up 1 basis point from 3.8% in the comparable period a year ago. Our Bank only net interest margin without H&R Block was 3.87%, up 4 basis points for 3.83% of the fourth quarter of 2018. Loan yields increased 17 basis points year-over-year at a 5.56% in the quarter ended June 30, 2019 a mix shift resulting from higher yielding C&I loans. For the fiscal year ended June 30, 2019 our consolidated net interest margin was 4.07% roughly in line with the prior fiscal year with bank only net interest margin remaining steady at 4.14% in the fiscal year 2019 and fiscal year 2018. Non-interest income increased by 36.8% in the fourth quarter to $23 million from $17 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018. Growth in non interesting com was boosted by fees and deposit related revenue from securities clearing and by higher prepayment penalty fee income. Return on equity was 15 4% for the fiscal year 2019 compared to 17.05% for the fiscal year 2018. Excluding acquisition related expenses and non-recurring expenses related to excess FDIC insurance and a client related trading loss in our clearing business, our non-GAAP return on equity was 17.1% for fiscal year 2019. As we grow our fee income business from securities related and commercial banking, they are more capital efficient than our consumer and commercial lending businesses. We believe we'll be able to further improve our return on equity. Our efficiency ratio was 51.12% for the full year fiscal 2019 and 53% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2019, the primary drivers of the year-over-year and sequential increase in our efficiency ratio where the additions of COR Clearing and the WiseBanyan acquisition and the reserve for potential losses related to a correspondent clearing client. Excluding the $15.2 million reserve recorded in the third quarter of 2019 related to the corresponding clearing client, operating expenses of $65.5 million were down by approximately $1 million from Q3 2019 to Q4 2019. The efficiency ratio of our banking segment was 40.51% for the year ended June 30, 2019 compared to 34.55% for the comparable period a year ago. The primary drivers of the year-over-year increase in our banking efficiency ratio were investments in technology, branding, new business initiatives and the inclusion of Axos fiduciary services which operates at a higher efficiency ratio than our other banking businesses that provides a solid source of fee income and low cost deposits. Excluding merger related costs, non-GAAP efficiency in fiscal 2019 would have been 39.2 for the banking business segment. Our securities business segment has an efficiency ratio of 88.1% for the fiscal year 2019 excluding merger related costs, acquisition related amortization expenses and provision related to trading losses for an Axos Clearing client. The fourth quarter ended June 30, 2019 was the first quarter that we included the full quarter contribution from our clearing and global advisory businesses. Although over the intermediate term we will improve the efficiency of the clearing business as we bring them into our process improvement framework and introduce automation in a variety of areas. As a fee-oriented business the clearing business has the potential to run with a significantly higher return on capital as we grow the business, given the business is focused primarily on fee income and suite balances that can be placed off-balance sheet or replace the existing bank deposits and consume no additional capital. As we discussed on last quarter's call, investments we are making in existing and new businesses with Axos Clearing and Axos Invest, our digital wealth management platform will constrain the near-term profitability and returns in the securities business segments relative to their long-term potential. Owning a securities clearing custody and digital wealth management platform is critical for us to realize our long-term consumer banking vision and will be additive to the quality of our customer base earnings and growth. Our credit quality remains strong. The bank had 19 basis points of net charge-offs in fiscal 2019 and ended the year with only 51 basis points of nonperforming loans of total loans. Of the 19 basis points of net charge-offs in the fourth quarter, 13 basis points or 68% was attributable to losses from refund advance loans we originated in the third quarter of 2019. Our allowance for loan loss represents 117% coverage of our nonperforming loans. Our effective tax rate was 26.6% in the quarter ended June 30 2019, compared to 26.4% in the comparable quarter a year ago. Our tax rate in the fourth quarter benefited from the federal rate reduction under the tax cuts and job act of 2017. Our tax rate for fiscal year 2019 was 27.1% we expect our GAAP tax rate to be in the 26% to 28% range for our fiscal year 2020 which began on July 1, 2019. We generated strong loan growth in the fourth quarter, led by robust loan originations in commercial real estate, multi-families, C&I lending and mortgage warehouse. Despite elevated pay-offs in our jumbo single-family lender financing, commercial specialty real estate loans, ending loan balances increased by $283.7 million in the fourth quarter and $949.8 million in fiscal year 2019 representing annualized growth of 12.4% and 11.3% respectively. We originated approximately $1.77 billion of gross loans in the fourth quarter up 8% year-over-year. Our originations for investment increased 10.3% year-over-year to 1.5 billion and 41.2% linked quarter when you exclude the $1.16 billion of seasonal refund advance loans originated in the quarter ended March 3, 2019. Our loan production for the fourth quarter ended June 30, 2019 consisted of $102 million of single-family agency eligible gain on sale production, 318 million of single-family jumbo portfolio production, 149 million of multifamily and other commercial real estate portfolio production, 861 million of C&I production resulting in 143 million of net C&I loan growth and 52 million of consumer unsecured and auto production. For the fourth fiscal quarter originations, the average FICO of single family agency eligible production was 731 with an average loan to value ratio of 75.6%. The average FICO of the single family jumbo production was 735 with an average loan to value ratio of 63.5%. The average loan to value with originated multifamily loans was 56.2% and the debt service coverage was 1.1. The average loan-to-value ratio of the originated small balance commercial real estate loans was 52.1% and the debt service coverage was 1.36. The average FICO of the auto production was 758. At June 30, 2019 the weighted average loan-to-value ratio of the entire portfolio of real estate loans was 56% these loan-to-value devalue ratios use origination date appraisals over current amortized balances. As of June 30 2019, 62% of our single-family mortgages have loan to value ratios below 60%, 30% have loan-to-value ratios between 61% and 70%, 2% have loan-to-value ratios between 71% and 75%, 5% between 75% and 80%, and less than 1% have a loan-to-value ratio greater than 80%. We have a well established track record of strong credit performance in jumbo single-family mortgage lending with lifetime credit losses that originated in single-family loan portfolio with 3 basis points of loans originated. Originations in our single-family jumbo mortgage lending business rebounded this quarter to 318 million up 33% and the 239 million in the quarter ended March 31, 2019. Improved sentiment among high net worth home buyers and recovery from the holiday seasonality were the primary tailwinds for the sequential improvement in our jumbo mortgage loan production. Prepayment rates remain elevated, resulting in ending loan balances dropping modestly from March 31, 2019. We continue to believe that our jumbo single-family mortgage loan portfolio will grow in the low-mid single digit range in fiscal 2020. Ending balances for our multifamily loan portfolio increased by approximately $37 million or 8.64% annualized to $1.8 billion at June 30 2019 representing approximately 19% of our total loan book. The weighted average loan-to-value ratio of our multifamily loans is 53% based on appraised value at the time of origination. Approximately 68% of our multifamily loans are under 60% LTV, 30% are between 60% and 70% loan-to-value and only 2% are between 70% to 75%. And no multifamily loans have a loan-to-value ratio above 75%. The lifetime losses in our originated multifamily loan portfolio are less than 1 basis points of loans originated over the 18 years we've originated multifamily loans. Our C&I lending business had another strong quarter with broad based strength in originations in our lender finance, equipment finance and commercial specialty lending groups. We continue to focus on well-secured, well-structured asset based loans and lines to credit worthy borrowers, financing high quality projects and attractive markets and our lender financial, commercial specialty real estate businesses. Our commercial lending teams continue to grow in terms of relationships, products and expertise. The experienced bankers we added in our New York and Los Angeles offices have good pipelines and will produce incremental growth in commercial loans and deposits in fiscal 2020. Loan demand remains strong across a number of our lending categories as reflected in our 1.2 billion consolidated loan pipeline, which consists of 446 million of single-family jumbo mortgages, 152 million of single-family agency mortgages, 150 million of income property loans, and 444 million of C&I loans. We continue to transition our portfolio away from single-family lending and to C&I lending and commercial real estate lending. Demand for auto and consumer unsecured lending remains solid even as we maintain disciplined underwriting, optimize our marketing and expand our distribution. We anticipate strong originations of costs across our auto, small business, commercial real estate and C&I lending groups as they identify new opportunities that meet or exceed our risk adjusted return criteria. On an annual basis we target overall loan growth in the low-teens, which we believe is prudent given the competitive landscape for loans and deposits, the credit cycle in the shape of the yield curve. Switching to funding total deposits increased 1 billion or 12.5% year-over-year with gross across various consumer and commercial deposit categories. Checking and savings accounted for approximately 74% of total deposit balances at June 30, 2019, up from 71% in March 31, 2019 as we replace the expected run-off of nationwide CDs with commercial and lower cost deposits. Our deposit base is diversified across a variety of consumer and business product verticals which helps offset some of the competitive funding pressure. At June 30, 2019 approximately 41% of our deposit balances were business and consumer checking accounts, 20% money market accounts, 4% IRAs, 5% savings and 5% prepaid accounts. The addition of the deposits from nationwide and the MWA Bank acquisitions and the growth in our bankruptcy related deposits have been instrumental in our ability to grow deposits and optimize our cost of funds to offset a challenging yield curve and competitive landscape for loans and deposits. The integration of the COR Clearing and WiseBanyan digital wealth acquisitions are progressing well. The two businesses which have been or will be rebranded Axos Clearing and Axos Invest, provide us with a solid foundation from which we can expand our securities servicing, wealth management and private label banking services to RIAs, independent broker dealers and their underlying retail clients. In our internal market research in the diligence process of these and other potential securities based servicing and advisory businesses, we saw a several structural, demographic and industry trends that provide opportunities for Axos. First, industry consolidation driven partly by fee compression for active and passive investment managers and by the transition from commission to fee-based models has resulted in smaller and mid-size RIAs and brokers receiving less and less attention from the big four securities and clearing firms, purging national TV and Schwab. Service levels for these RIAs have declined and the gap between what large and small RIAs get from a technology pricing and product perspective continue to widen. As one of the few independent clearing firms focused on serving small IBDs and RIAs, we see opportunities to take market share through a better and more focused and efficient service model. Second, 1000s of advisors continue to leave large wirehouse, such as Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo to become independent advisors. This dynamic is driven by better economics and more autonomy over their practice for the advisors by going independent. The downside of leaving the wirehouse is that advisors lose their ability to provide banking and lending services to their high net worth clients. We see tremendous opportunity to provide a comprehensive set of consumer banking and lending services to individual advisory clients of independent RIAs, leveraging the reputation and experience we have with our Axos Advisor business and adding new capabilities we have through acquisition and internal development. A third macro trend is that more advisors than ever are nearing retirement and a large majority of these baby boomers own smaller advisory, practices with one or two principals with no succession planning in place. While existing competitors are focused on large transactions involving firms with $1 billion of assets under management or greater, small RIAs and IBDs have very few options if they want to sell or transition their practice. Through Axos Bank and Axos Securities, we are building a comprehensive platform to deliver lending banking and securities services to independent RIAs and IBDs to help them manage and monetize their practice. Lastly, the digitization of wealth management and retail brokerage is a natural evolution that provides opportunities for digital bank like Axos to expand its consumer product offering. Just as a consumer banking, personal and student lending and many other parts of financial services have accelerated their transition from offline to online and mobile channels due to lower costs, more convenience and a better user experience for digital channels. We believe that more consumers will migrate to digital providers that can deliver banking, financial planning, investing and asset protection services in work streams that are already part of their everyday lives. This is one of the primary reasons we decided to build UDB via online banking platform. The personalization engine and central data warehouse coupled with new services and features we're building in the next iteration of UDB give us a clear path to be able to deliver on the experiences and functionalities that consumer and small business owners want from their financial services provider. It's a daunting task that requires detailed plan and lots of testing and iteration and collaboration across business and functional units. It’s equally exciting because of the vast opportunity it could potentially generate from an operational efficiency, customer service and revenue growth and branding perspective. Securities based lines of credit in margin lending represent meaningful long-term revenue opportunities and the source of incremental revenue from our securities business in the short-term if client uptake ramps faster than we expect. These businesses tend to grow faster when the stock market is appreciating and clients are looking to increase investments. They’re are nice balance to client cash balances which tend to be counter-cyclical as investors and advisors hold more cash when they're more risk averse. We're also looking at other sources of fee income in the clearing business. We continue to believe that the combined security business, which includes Axos Clearing and WiseBanyan will operate at a high-80s and low-90s efficiency ratio for this coming fiscal year, as we integrate WiseBanyan into the universal digital bank and begin cross-selling digital investment advisory services to bank and clients and providing banking services to our digital investment advisory clients. As we invest in infrastructure to provide clearing services to larger broker dealers. We expand the platform to provide more services to RIAs and monetize the pipeline of firms interested in converting to Axos Clearing. We're seeing good progress in our strategic initiatives to grow and expand our commercial banking business. Axos Fiduciary Services, the trustee and fiduciary services business acquired from Epiq in April 2018, continues to perform well. Our trusted relationship managers and senior business leaders continue to work alongside bankruptcy trustees and fiduciaries nationwide to provide the essential services they need to administer, track and report on Chapter 7 bankruptcy and other non-7 legal matters. Concurrently, we are making good progress on our next generation cloud-based bankruptcy software platform called The Entity. With enhanced functionalities that will make it easier for trustees and trustee assistance to access and administer client and case data, unity will further strengthen our competitive position in the marketplace. We look forward to hosting our trustees at the annual NABT conference in Denver next month. A second component of our commercial banking strategy is expanding our geographic presence and industry expertise through selective additions of experienced bankers in banking teams. We added an experienced team on the East Coast to target general middle market deposits and select specialty deposit verticals and opened our office in Manhattan last quarter to accommodate that team and other securities personnel. This group will work side-by-side with our existing commercial lending and significant existing lending book of business from that market. This team already has a robust pipeline of exciting deposit in lending opportunities. We're also making good progress on West Coast commercial banking expansion with our new office slated to open in Downtown LA later this quarter. Many of our senior commercial bankers who have been servicing that market, but currently working in our Orange County or San Diego offices will relocate the Los Angeles where they live to enhance the focus on specialty lending and deposit opportunities in Southern California. Deposit competition remains high across the industry coupled with a flat yield curve, these dynamics have created downward pressure on net interest margins for many banks. We were able to expand our net interest margin in this cycle of higher short-term rates in a flat yield curve with net interest margin expansion of 10 basis points year-over-year to 3.81 basis points on a consolidated basis including the securities segment and a 12 basis point expansion at the bank. Excluding the impact from H&R Block related loans and deposits, our net interest margin for the banking business unit increased by 4 basis points to 3.87 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2019. This margin expansion was the result of strong growth in our floating rates, C&I loan portfolio and the lower growth in our fixed rate jumbo single-family mortgage book and improvements we have made in the quality of our deposit base, including our investments in our consumer platform are focused on growing our commercial bank and deposit verticals and our entry into the bankruptcy trustee and clearing space. With respect to the sensitivity of loan yields to short-term declines at LIBOR or other indexes, I believe Axos is in a relatively good position with respect to its portfolio. Of the bank's portfolio, approximately 50% of the loans are jumbo single-family loans with rate floors at the start rate, less than 6% of these single-family loans are above their current stock rate, meaning that the client in short-term rates will have no impact on the underlying loan rate for 94% of that single-family portfolio. Additionally, 25% of the loan book in the multifamily and commercial real estate loan types have a similar dynamic with rate floors at the start rate with less than 8% of that portfolio currently above their flow rates. Of the remaining 25% of the book classified as C&I loans, less than 260 million of loans have floor rates below 5% and only 30 million of loans have a rate floor below 4% with no loans with a rate floor of below 3.5%. We expect approximately 72% or approximately 1.8 billion of the C&I portfolio to reprice with the first 25 basis point rate reduction and 66%, approximately 1.6 billion in the second 25 basis point rate reduction with less than 900 million of our entire portfolio continuing to reprice in a 100 basis point decline in short-term rates. Although, we're in a reasonably good position from a portfolio perspective with respect to loan rate reductions as a result of the potential decline in short-term rates, we do not believe that deposit pricing and competition, given our growth objectives will decline commensurately in all segments with a potential rate reduction, such that we will be able to realize immediate rate reductions in all segments of our deposit portfolio. Therefore, we continue to maintain our net interest guidance in the 3.8 to 4 range for the intermediate term. We completed another successful tax season with H&R Block’s clients, providing them approximately 1.6 billion of Refund Advance and Emerald Advance loans and distributing over 17 billion of refunds to Block customers to the refund transfer program with credit losses in line with expectations. Our emerging businesses continue to grow. Our indirect auto lending business, which focuses on serving prime customers, primarily for purchase transactions, generated approximately 116 million of loan production in the year ended June 30, 2019. Our credit quality in this book remains very strong with delinquencies over 60 days at 9 basis points of auto loans outstanding. We continue to scale this business in a controlled manner while testing cross sell initiatives inside our consumer banking platform and new distribution channels over the next several quarters, I'd like to congratulate our team members for helping Axos achieve another year of record earnings, continued strong credit quality, an exemplary service to our clients and business partners. We maintain strong growth in clients, loans and earnings, while we integrated five acquisitions, launched new strategic partnership with nationwide, opened three new offices, rolled out our new online banking platform and completed a successful rebrand. Our capital and credit metrics with Tier 1 leverage to adjusted average asset ratio of 9.21% for the bank and 8.75% for the holding company at June 30, 2019 affords us with the flexibility to invest in strategic initiatives, opportunistic M&A and share repurchases. With our strong and growing capital base and highly profitable business model, we’re able to find all our acquisitions with excess capital, while buying back approximately 47.8 million of stock in the 12 months ended June 30, 2019. Our strategic focus and priorities for capital have not changed. While I share in your disappointment that our strong financial results have not resulted in a commensurate stock performance, we are committed to making prudent capital allocation decisions to maximize returns for our shareholders. Before I turn the call over to Andy to provide additional detail on our financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2019, I'd like to invite you to San Diego October 31st for our investor day. We plan to provide additional details regarding our strategic plan and growth initiatives. It's a great opportunity to meet other members of our Executive and Management teams. Details for Investor Day will be included in an e-mail that will go out later this week. The event is by invitation only and spaces limited. Please contact Johnny Lai, VP of Investor Relations if you'd like to attend, if you not receive an e-mail invitation. Andy?