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Axos Financial, Inc. (AX)

Q3 2018 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 26, 2018

$98.85

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the BofI Holding, Incorporated Third Quarter 2018 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Johnny Lai. Please go ahead.

Johnny Lai

Analyst

Great. Thanks Darren. Good afternoon everyone. Thanks for your interest in BofI. Joining us today for BofI Holding, Inc.'s third quarter 2018 financial results conference call are the company's President and Chief Executive Officer, Greg Garrabrants; and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Andy Micheletti. Greg and Andy will review and comment on the financial and operational results for the three and nine months ended March 31st, 2018, and they will be available to answer questions after the prepared remarks. Before I begin, I would like to remind listeners that prepared remarks made on this call may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties and that management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of current views and assumptions of management regarding future events and performance. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties. Therefore, the company claims the Safe Harbor protection pertaining to forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The call is being webcast today and there will be an audio replay available in the Investor Relations section of the company's website located at bofiholding.com for 30 days. Details for this call were provided on the conference call announcement and in today's earnings press release. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Greg for his opening remarks.

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst

Thank you, Johnny. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us. I'd like to welcome everyone to BofI Holdings conference call for the third quarter of fiscal 2018 ended March 31st, 2018. I thank you for your interest in BofI Holdings and BofI Federal Bank. BofI announced record net income of $51.3 million for the fiscal third quarter ended March 31st, 2018, up 25% from the $41 million earned in the fiscal third quarter ended March 31st, 2017 and up 61.9% when compared to the $31.7 million earned in the prior quarter. Earnings attributable to BofI's common stockholders were $51.2 million or $0.80 per diluted share for the quarter ended March 31st, 2018 compared to $0.63 per diluted share for the quarter ended March 31st, 2017 and $0.49 per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31st, 2017. Other highlights for the third quarter include; third quarter ending loan balances as of March 31st, 2018 increase by 14.9% from March 31st, 2017. Average loan balances excluding Refund Advance increased -- including Refund Advance increased by 8.44% and excluding Refund Advance loans increased by 4.6% from the December 2017 quarter with some payoffs and line reductions, primarily in single family lender finance and mortgage warehouse at the end of the quarter reducing ending loan and lease growth to 2.4% for the December 2017 quarter end. Excluding single family lender finance and mortgage warehouse, ending net loans and leases would have increased by $297 million last quarter, representing 3.7% growth or 49% annualized. Total assets reached $9.8 billion at March 31st, 2018, up $1.1 billion compared to December 31st, 2017 and up $1.3 billion from the third quarter in 2017 as a result of organic growth from our lending businesses and a seasonal boost from tax related products. Our efficiency ratio…

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Thanks Greg. Our 10-Q was filed with the SEC today and it's available online through EDGAR or through our website at bofiholding.com. I will highlight just a few areas rather than go through every financial line item. Please refer to our press release or our 10-Q for additional details. BofI's net income for the third quarter ended March 31, 2018 was $51.3 million, up 25% when compared to the $41 million earned in the third quarter ended March 31, 2017 and up 61.9% from the $31.7 million earned last quarter. Earnings attributable to BofI's common stockholders were $51.2 million or $0.80 per diluted share for the quarter ended March 31, 2018 compared to $0.63 per diluted share for the quarter ended March 31, 2017, and compared to $0.49 per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31, 2017. As Greg indicated earlier, we experienced a significant increase in Refund Advance funding this tax season. Related to the increase in Refund Advance funding this quarter is an increase in the loan loss provision to $16.9 million, up from $4.9 million in loan loss provisions for the quarter ended March 31, 2017. Of the $1.1 billion of Refund Advance loans funded during the quarter, we reserved 1.3% of the total originations yield in loan loss provision of $14.1 million related to RA and included in the other loan category. Last year, we funded $277 million and reserved 1.5% of the total fundings for a loan loss provision of $4.5 million. The credit performance of the Refund Advance loans this year is in line with our expectations. Also related to H&R Block for the nine months ended March 31, 2018, fee income from Refund Transfer and Emerald Card was $10.7 million and $5.9 million, respectively, about equal to the $10.9 million and $5.7…

Johnny Lai

Analyst

Thanks Andy. Darren, we're ready to take questions.

Operator

Operator

At this time, we'll be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Brad Berning of Craig-Hallum. Please proceed with your question.

Brad Berning

Analyst

Good afternoon guys. A couple of follow-ups in the Refund Advance. Obviously, a nice number there, but a little bit more specifics on the provisioning, if you don't mind. I think last year even though you provisioned 1.5%, I think, the loss rate ended up being at around 1.0%. Can you talk a bit about in the other loan category, how much of that has been collected post quarter end? And give us a little bit of idea how the collections are going on the remaining piece of that? And is there any reason why the 1.0% loss rate would fluctuate one way or another?

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst

Well this with respect to the question of whether that 1.0% loss rate was for -- it was for a different product. We did a number of things this year. The line amounts are much greater. The window of time that the loans were originated prior to e-file is greater and some things like that. So, there is a bit of a product mix change, but I'll let Andy answer.

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Yes, so just to give you a sense on timing. So, last year, the ultimate loss rate was approximately 1%, but that was after through the entire remainder of the post-tax season, which would include the September 30 quarter as well. So, we ended up the year June 30 at a higher than 1% number, just to be clear. And then the rest were recoveries throughout that period. So, while the 1% rate is right, by June 30, the number is technically a little bit higher. As it relates to collections, we believe we're on pace with the collections such that the provision of 1.3% that we provided will exactly match what's remaining of that $1.077 million. So, the collections stream, including the decreases we see on a week-by-week basis do indicate that we should come in at that 1.3% level by June 30. Now, as of June 30, like we did last year, we will write-off all the uncollected balances as charge-offs. If we have any subsequent recoveries, they will be included as a recovery in the post period. But to be clear, the 1% approximately loss rate of last year did include recoveries throughout the September period of the post-tax season.

Brad Berning

Analyst

Yes, understood. Thank you for the details on that. Can you talk a little bit more about the treasury team that you've hired and talk a little bit more detail? Can you scope up the magnitude of the opportunity here a little bit better? Obviously, that should be a pretty sticky business to use an open API infrastructure like that and I think it's been part of the vision you've been talking about for a while. Can you give us some thoughts to how big the pipeline is and how big the mix do you think this business can be?

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Well -- so we've got -- so we hired that Orange County team. We have some -- we have a great hire that just accepted really -- plus I'm very excited about with great senior leadership skills and deep experience in these areas. So, I'm excited about that. It's going to be difficult for me to give you forecast and numbers, however, because as we do this, a lot of it is -- it's working with software providers that are also working through what their API infrastructure is like. I think the opportunity is massive. The ability -- the value proposition is clearly there. There's lots of profit pools. When we do our account analysis and we come up against other banks, we're saving customers and potential customers a very significant amount of money that can get their attention. So, it's an exciting area for us, but it's difficult for me to give a timeframe. What we've seen is that sometimes, we think that we have a great prospect that they're going to switch immediately and the CFO is busy and it takes months longer. So, these are long-term plays, but it's something that we're going to need to succeed at at some level if we want to maintain a net interest margin, if the yield curve flattens out and those -- and rates continues to rise and the yield curve inverts because the online banking competition side has gotten very brutal. So, this is a strategic initiative we need to succeed on. I'm confident we will, but I really can't -- this just wouldn't be -- it wouldn't be good because it'd be too much inaccuracy in the numbers. Pipelines, there are very -- they're substantive, but the issue is just because you have somebody who is willing to look, talk, take a bid, doesn't mean you actually get a conversion. So, that's why I'm not going to able to give you direct numbers.

Brad Berning

Analyst

Yes. No, fair enough. It will be exciting to see how that develops over time. And last quick question on the C&I business, at this level of origination that you've had the last couple of quarters, is that sustainable? Can you grow that pace of originations from here? And can you talk about what the drivers have been? Obviously, substantial growth in the C&I book and could you expand upon that a little bit further?

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Sure. Yes, I think that there's a lot of opportunity there. We've got some good strategic hires that are in the pipeline and are close there to help expand that business. So, I feel very good about that. I think that is an area where I am most certain that growth is available to us if we just execute. With respect to what that looks like, there's -- the lenders finance business has good growth, the commercial and a specialty real estate side is -- there's a lot of opportunity there. Leasing has good pipelines. So, I think that there's a decent balance there. Clearly, the commercial specialty real estate product set has lots of opportunity, specifically.

Brad Berning

Analyst

I'll get back in the queue. Thank you.

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Perito of KBW. Please proceed with your question.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Good afternoon guys.

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

Hello.

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst · your question.

Hey Mike.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Thanks for taking the questions. I have just a few quick ones I want to address. One, I didn't hear in all the information you guys gave around the Refund Advance, but the 4.77% reported NIM, did you guys provide like a core NIM, I think, it was 3.97% in the March quarter last year. Did you guys provide a comparable number for the quarter this year?

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst · your question.

Yes, we did. 3.84% is the number, that's separating out all the H&R Block loan stuff and separating out all the excess liquidity.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Okay, perfect. Thank you. And I was curious if you guys -- it seems like this season went pretty well. I mean I know a couple of months ago, H&R Block was happy, it seems on their earnings call and obviously the revenue production on your side looked good. I'm just curious if there have been an initial conversation about next year with H&R Block management about all putting the Refund Advance product again or is that probably something that will occur over the summer?

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

Well, clearly there have been conversations, but there is -- that's something that -- look, we think it went very well. We focused hard on delivering a competitive product. We delivered well. We have a great relationship there. I think the teams work well together. From everything I know that they're very happy. But -- look, I think things are good, but I'm not going to get ahead of myself on that.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Okay, that's fair. There's just two more, one on the expenses. You guys mentioned the -- some of the stuff you're doing on the rebranding side, which will be announced by the end of the year. Is there -- I mean when we try to think about those expenses specifically, is that, I guess, expense that could eventually come out, once the rebranding is completed. I guess, asking another way, is that expenses are potentially elevating you temporarily here above which you would normally think? Or should we just think of it as expense that will be replaced with other investment once the rebranding is done?

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

I think it's the latter rather than the former. With respect to those things, clearly, there are expenses such as branding agencies, naming agencies, and all those things. We've really tried to be very thoughtful and frankly not scrimp on these things, because we want this to be really outstanding and really be delivered as well as it possibly can be. The -- but the reality of it is with that consumer vision that I described for you and that's also going to be for the small business side, we're really looking essentially what -- a lot of what this looks like is if essentially with respect to, for example, the treasury management side is providing a little more service, which requires a higher level of non-interest expense, but you get that benefit other places. And so with respect to the consumer side, there's just so many things that we're going to develop once we get this platform. We're going to be pounding down better ways of using credit reports to lower or eliminate checking hold times and all that kind of stuff. So, there's going to be this relentless pounding on this consumer digital bank vision that -- yes, sure, we'll get rid of branding agencies, we'll get rid of this printing expense, and all those things. But it's hard for me really to want to say that we're going to be able to then claw that back. It's just not anywhere near as important as the achievement of the strategic vision, which is of so much more value.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Okay. And then just on kind of leaning into the -- my last one here. Just -- on the C&I business and the treasury management business, the C&I business, obviously, already had pretty tremendous success on the loan side, sounds like the treasury management is not too far behind with pipeline you guys have. But Greg, I was curious if you can give us a little bit more background on to how these teams are sourcing their leads? My guess, the answer is somewhat similar, but given obviously differences between commercial and consumers, my guess is there's certain businesses regions you're targeting, I'm curious, if you give us a bit more color on how these new people that are coming on are, kind of, attacking the whole country and trying to get quality credits and relationships?

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

Well, -- so with respect to -- I would say that the treasury management side of our business is well behind the lending side on the commercial side. So, I -- just I think that categorization -- look I'd love to tell you differently, but I think that would be unfair. So, that's there. With respect to that, obviously, one other things that we have lagged on, and just in general, and this isn't true only on the consumer side -- only on the commercial side, but also true on the consumer side is doing a great job of cross-selling our superior deposit products. There's superior in pretty much every way unless you actually think you have to walk into a branch and yes, we do a poor job. We're doing a much better job this year than we did last year of selling our consumer products to our single-family customers, our commercial product to our multifamily, and our real estate customers, and getting C&I customers to use our treasury management services. So, that's obviously one piece of low-hanging fruit and there's -- that's the easy component of that. The other is that there is customer profiles that make a significant difference. So, if you have very high transaction volume, complex software needs, you need customization through APIs and things like that, and you're not looking for a big cash flow loan, which we're not going to be likely to provide you then you might be our customers. So, I think that's -- and then you're going to get a real benefit economically and then hopefully also from an operational perspective with respect to how you're actually interacting from system perspective. I mean that's the vision, that's capability, and those are the wins that we have had. But this is still -- there's still a lot to do here.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Okay, great. Well, thanks guys for taking my questions. I appreciate.

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Austin Nicholas of Stephens. Please proceed with your question.

Austin Nicholas

Analyst · your question.

Hey guys, good afternoon.

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

Good afternoon.

Austin Nicholas

Analyst · your question.

Maybe just on the margin, I know you touched on the core NIM, but maybe just digging into the core yields, I think, you said it was 5.31%, maybe just give us a flavor of what the components of that did in terms of C&I, CRE, and mortgage yields did, kind of, quarter-over-quarter?

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

You want to do that Andy?

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst · your question.

Yes.

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

Yes. So, Andy will get back to you specifically on that. Do you have another one then kind of circle back to that one?

Austin Nicholas

Analyst · your question.

Yes, sure. I guess as you think about your expense growth and crossing $10 billion, I think there's a $2 million to $3 million of DFAST expense already in the run rate, I guess, is that correct? And then anything additional we should see as you kind of cross here?

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

Well, so we have -- so what we're looking to do is we're not looking to cross before December of this calendar year. So, we're looking to stay under and squeak underneath it this December. Then subsequent to that, it's a December measurement period for Durbin. There's a little bit of a different measurement period December, the last quarter of the calendar year measurement. So, that would be -- so in December -- the December quarter of 2019, we would cross. We would have Durbin impact in July 1st of 2020. I've mentioned that before as an impact. I have not sized it for you, and I'm not ready to do that today. And then with respect to what's happening with the DFAST, I suppose there was a lot of talk where we went through our mark DFAST this year from a regulatory perspective, and they gave us feedback and stuff that that this might go away. So, it's a little bit hard to tell. And a lot of types of things that are costly associated with whatever enhanced regulatory scrutiny are these elements that are related to some system and process that you don't really think about that somebody wants to have tightened up. We've done a lot of work in our system and processes with our processed diagram database, ERM system we put in, and things like that. So, I think we're in a reasonably good shape there. But that's the continued dialogue you need to have and it's difficult to say if there's other things. As Andy is kind of messing around, I'll give you a thought on the loan yields side. I think single family was kind of flattish. We did -- so in December, we didn't raise single family or multifamily rates. Frankly, we had -- that decision -- we did that once out of every other rate increase. We raised single or multifamily rates. So, they were a little bit flattish and multifamily was a little flattish as well. C&I did well adjusting; auto went up, unsecured was pretty flat. So, look, it didn't go up much, it went up, excluding H&R Block, four basis points. But we did a raise rates 12.5 basis points on single and multifamily in this March timeframe and so those rates will start flowing through the portfolio in the next month or so.

Austin Nicholas

Analyst · your question.

Got it. Okay. Thanks. That's helpful. And then maybe just on loan growth. Obviously, it was very strong. And maybe just thinking about maybe some of the non-core businesses or less core, the warehouse business is, kind of, down more than maybe I was expecting this quarter, can you just give your outlook for that business and how you think about it in terms of growing it or [Indiscernible]?

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

Yes. It's interesting because it was down and I was looking at the numbers recently and its back up. So, it was actually doing just fine. So, clearly, I do think there's -- obviously the question on what's going to happen with mortgage banking broadly. The loan rates have been pretty flattish and they've actually stayed relatively low in the cycle so far. Clearly, we do see pressure on some of our mortgage banking customers when we look at their profitability. There's definitely folks calling us, asking for exits. And so there may be some opportunities for some aqua hires from our perspective. I think it's just going to be thinking through doing that the right way. We, obviously, have a much stronger business than an independent mortgage banker. And I think our systems and processes are tighter and with our Costco relationship, it will -- and all of our data stuff we do, it's going to allow us to try to get through that. But, look, I think, obviously, warehouse lending for independent mortgage bankers -- look, I think that's not that big of a business that we shouldn't be able to grow it. But it will be growing it in the face of some downward pressure on the industry, which we see from a profitability perspective. But it's interesting because right now it's one of the reason -- I think it actually hit a record at one point in time this post quarter as far as its size. So, that's where just the variability sometimes. You can't use one quarter to really make judgments, because there's just -- you make -- you do -- you get a big win there and it can pop it up pretty quickly.

Austin Nicholas

Analyst · your question.

Yes. Great. Well, thank you for taking my questions guys.

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst · your question.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Andrew Liesch of Sandler O'Neill. Please proceed with your question.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

Hey guys you have covered all my questions, but one, just going back to the expense line here. This $45.5 million or so, how much of that encompasses fee that might be related to the Refund Advance or Refund Transfer products that might go away? Or is this is a good run rate to build off going forward?

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Sure. Included in the other general and administrative expenses are approximately $1 million of loan processing for the EA product. So, that's the same amount it was last year, but looking on a linked-quarter basis, that won't repeat. So, that's probably the easiest to one to pick out.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

Okay. So, then call it $44.5 billion, just given the hires that you make, it sounds like it's been a few -- that seems like a good level to build off going forward as far as operating the core bank?

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Yes.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

Okay. You covered the rest. Thanks so much.

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our final question comes from Edward Hemmelgarn of Shaker Investments. Please proceed with your question.

Edward Hemmelgarn

Analyst

Yes, actually you answered all of my questions too.

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst

Ed, come on, look I want to encourage all if you have -- we will get off in time for you run into another investor call.

Edward Hemmelgarn

Analyst

You've answered. It's a quarter. You answered my questions. I guess, maybe the one I would have was it would be your anticipation that you -- if given the opportunity a year from now to be ramping up your securities portfolio more than -- I mean you've kind of held it down obviously just because the returns haven't been as attractive but--

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst

Returns have been attractive. We also want to stay -- we want to stay onto that limit, the Durbin, the $10 billion for the period. Well, look it depends on where long-term rates are. There's just -- the fact that, right, you're sitting there looking at -- you're not getting paid anything for duration. That's going to go one way or the other, right? There's going to have to be -- if there's an inversion, some kind of downturn then there'll be opportunities. It will be different. And if not, then that ought to get you -- start to get some shape in the curve. But I think unless you get some shape in the curve, I just don't really think there's a lot out there.

Edward Hemmelgarn

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks.

Gregory Garrabrants

Analyst

All right. Hey thank you very much. Appreciate it. I appreciate everybody's interest. And we'll talk to you next quarter.

Andrew Micheletti

Analyst

Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.