Brian MacNeal
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is open
Thanks, Vic. Good morning to everyone on the call. In reviewing our second quarter results, I will be referring to the slides available on our Web site. I will now quickly review Slide 3, which details our basis of presentation used throughout this discussion. As you know, on April 1, 2016, we completed the separation of AFI. Accordingly, AFI's historical financial results have been reflected in AWI's consolidated financial statements as a discontinued operation for all periods presented. As a reminder, effective January 1, 2016, in anticipation of the separation, the majority of our historical corporate support functions and costs were incorporated into the three new operating segments. Slide 16 in the appendix summarizes the consolidated corporate cost pushdown, which equaled $60 million for Q2 and was held constant in the prior years for comparability purposes. Slides 13 and 14 detail the pro forma adjustment made the prior year for comparability purposes by our new reporting segments. Starting with Slide 4, consolidated sales for the quarter of $315 million were up almost 4% versus 2015 on a comparable foreign exchange basis. Adjusted operating income increased over 24%, which translated to 320 basis points of improvement. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 19%. Global margins expanded by 340 basis points versus the prior year quarter. The primary difference to our reported results are expenses related to separation, the non-cash impact of our U.S pension plan and a pushdown of stand-alone corporate costs into the reporting segments. Net debt was down $49 million driven by refinancing and debt repayments over the last 12 months. In the chart at the bottom of Slide 4, you will note the sales and adjusted EBITDA change by segment versus the prior-year period. On a comparable foreign exchange basis, sales in the Americas were up 6% driven by broad-based volume growth across the product range and higher AUV behind positive like-for-like pricing and mix. EMEA sales decreased 2% compared to Q2 of 2015 largely driven by the Middle East. Our Pacific Rim segment sales were up one versus the prior year quarter where growth in India and Australia offset a decline in China. Adjusted EBITDA for the Americas increased by $9 million or 14%. Much of this due to mid single-digit volume growth and a record earnings quarter from our WAVE joint venture. Equity earnings from WAVE were up $4 million or 25% behind double-digit sales growth and lower steel costs. Internationally, adjusted EBITDA grew by $1 million and $3 million versus the prior-year period for EMEA and the Pac Rim respectively behind strong cost controls. It's important to note that we improve adjusted EBITDA for all of our reporting segments in this quarter. Turning now to Slide 5, you will see our consolidated Q2 adjusted EBITDA bridge versus the prior year quarter. The increase in adjusted EBITDA of $14 million is up 19%, just about all lines of the P&L contributed. The key drivers of our consolidated EBITDA growth are volume growth in the Americas, volume growth at WAVE which in turn helped WAVE achieve a record earnings quarter which flows through our equity P&L line item and cost containment in SG&A. As mentioned earlier, we had positive AUV in the Americas, driven by higher sales at the premium end of our product range and positive like-for-like pricing. Our input costs benefited from lower energy costs that offset inflation in our direct materials. Our gross profit margins expanded by 100 basis points. Turning to our segments in further detail on Slide 6, the Americas absorbed nearly all of the stand-alone corporate cost pushdown. The $16 million includes $2.7 million of depreciation expense. These costs were held constant in 2015 to facilitate comparability between periods. Approximately 70% of the costs were expense to SG&A in the current year and allocated on a pro forma basis to SG&A in the prior year with the remainder impacting costs of goods sold. The Americas business, which includes Canada, had an impressive quarter. On a comparable foreign exchange basis, sales up were over 6%. Sales growth was driven by mid single-digit broad-based volume growth and higher AUV. Our strategic growth initiatives contributed to this volume growth as well. Premium products in our quartile business grew by double digits as we continued to listen to the demands of our customers and provide products that meet their design and their [indiscernible] needs. Architectural specialties grew over 25% within the quarter driven by our specification strength and design and product capabilities. We continue to be the choice of architects and designers as they continually turn to Armstrong to provide innovative and unique creative solutions in spaces. On a comparable cost basis, you can see the drivers of profitability on the bottom of the slide. I’m happy to see volume growth for the second straight quarter. In the quarter, we continue to make modest SG&A investments to enhance our selling capacity and capabilities. Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 240 basis points. Moving to our EMEA segment on Slide 7, please remember the EMEA segment includes Russia and the Middle East. Quarterly sales were down almost 2% on a comparable foreign exchange basis driven primarily by weakness in the Middle East, which was down over 40%. However, like Vic already mentioned, we're encouraged by the results in Russia for the quarter where sales were up over 15%. The drivers of profitability are listed on the bottom of the slide. The negative impact of lower volume was more than offset by the prior cost actions we’ve taken and continue to take in this region, which includes right sizing the Middle East organization and reductions in back office support. The segment drove adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 130 basis points. Moving to our Pacific Rim segment, on Slide 8, please remember this segment is comprised mainly of China, India and Australia. Quarterly sales increased by 1% on a comparable foreign exchange basis driven by improvement in AUV. AUV was driven by both positive, like-for-like pricing and mix. Similar to the EMEA segment, prior cost actions we’ve taken and continue to take improved both manufacturing and SG&A costs. Adjusted EBITDA margins expanded 710 basis points. We will continue to be focused on improving the returns of both international segments. Our first half results start on Slide 9, and the drivers are very consistent with those for the second quarter. Consolidated sales of $607 million were up almost 3% versus 2015 on a comparable foreign exchange basis as 6% growth in Americas was offset by weakness in the international market. Adjusted operating income increased by over 24%, which equates to a 320 basis points of improvement. Adjusted EBITDA improved by nearly 19%. Globally adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 340 basis points versus the prior-year period. The primary difference to our reported results is driven by separation-related expenses and non-cash impact of our U.S pension plan and a pushdown of our corporate costs into the reporting segments. Slide 10 details our first half consolidated adjusted EBITDA bridge versus the prior-year period. The increase in adjusted EBITDA of $23 million is up almost 19%. The key drivers of our EBITDA growth are volume growth in the Americas, WAVE equity earnings, also driven by volume and steel costs. SG&A cost containment and energy deflation which offset direct material inflation. The first half AUV performance was driven by the Q1 AUV items we discussed during the Q1 earnings call. As we saw in Q2, we do not expect the negative trend in the first half to continue into the second half. Manufacturing costs increased due to the strategic investments in our manufacturing capabilities in the Americas to support growth in the high-end of the product range. Slide 11 outlines our revised 2016 guidance. We now expect to deliver revenue growth of 1% to 5% versus prior year. Adjusted EBITDA guidance remains unchanged and is expected to range from $310 million to $330 million. Adjusted free cash flow remains unchanged at $80 million to $100 million, excluding the cash impact of separation. The cash impact of separation is expected to range from $50 million to $60 million, assuming normal accruals and payables at the end of 2016. The remaining separation activity relates mostly to IT actions needed to complete the physical separation of our SAP system and is expected to be completed in Q4. As a reminder, this guidance is presented on a stand-alone basis. The financial performance of AFI prior to separation is included in discontinued operations and 2015 has been adjusted on a pro forma basis for comparability purposes. The top line guidance reduction is driven by the continued softness in our international markets, specifically, sales in the Middle East have been negatively impacted by lower oil prices and continued geopolitical uncertainty in the region, which has driven many projects to be delayed. Furthermore, the Brexit referendum in the U.K has increased the likelihood that the second half in our EMEA segment will not improve as much as we originally outlook in Q1. We are reaffirming our EBITDA guidance based on the strength of our Americas volume growth and the cost reduction actions in our international business that offset the reduced sales and international. We expect our AUV achievement to improve in the second half versus the first half driven by continued mix improvement behind the volume growth and our premium offerings. The benefit of our August 1, 5% price increase in the Americas on our mineral fiber products and abatement of one-time items impacting AUV in the first quarter. We continue to focus on identifying additional actions to improve the EBITDA performance in our international markets. We continue to expect approximately $42 million of stand-alone corporate costs. Excluding the non-cash impact of our U.S pension, depreciation and a 1% to 2% cost savings over inflation. We will continue to invest modestly in sales and marketing to accelerate our architectural specialty share gains, total selling solution capabilities and new product initiatives. On a stand-alone basis, we anticipate SG&A will be in the range of 18% to 19% of sales. We expect interest expense to be around $45 million, excluding the $11 million charge that we recorded in the first quarter related to the settlement of interest rate swaps incurred with the refinancing of our new $1 billion credit facility as we separated AFI. This $11 million charge is a key driver to our revised EPS. Finally, I wanted to comment briefly on our share repurchase program announced this morning and that Vic referenced. Our Board approved a $2 year, $150 million share repurchase program based on the confidence in our outlook. Cash generation in our guided net debt leverage range of two to three times EBITDA. We expect to make repurchases in the open market and under trading programs in accordance with regulatory requirements. We expect to hold the repurchase shares as treasury stock. This share repurchase program gives us flexibility in the near-term as we work towards a balanced capital allocation plan. To wrap up, I understand that there is still a lot of moving pieces this quarter. And we are happy to, for the first time report segments based on geographies, Americas, EMEA, and the Pacific Rim. As you work to analyze these new changes in our reporting, Kristy and I will be available for follow-up questions after the call. With that, I will turn it back over to Vic.