Matt Espe
Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is now open
Thanks, Tom. Good morning, everyone. We have a lot to cover today, so let me start by laying out our agenda. First, I will spend a minute on fourth quarter and full year results, and I will leave the bulk of that discussion to Dave. I want to spend the majority of my time discussing the announcement we made this morning to separate our two businesses and provide some context on our guidance for 2015 and the internal and external factors that inform our view on the coming year. For the fourth quarter, reported sales of $587 million in EBITDA of $78 million were within our guidance range after moving our European flooring business to discontinued operations. Dave will help you reconcile that impact and touch on a one-time item that helped us deliver earnings near the top of the range we provided in October. Within the fourth quarter results, our North American Residential businesses were challenged. The Wood business continued to see volume losses as a result of competitor pricing actions and profitability for this segment swung to a loss. Residential Resilient experienced a mid single-digit sales decline. Commercial Resilient in the Americas had a solid quarter with sales and EBITDA, both up. The Ceilings business in the Americas delivered another quarter of record profitability with up over 10% from 2013 despite volumes being down year-on-year. For the full year Ceilings grew sales 3% and profitability to a record level. America ceilings' EBITDA margins expanded to 42%, with continued price and mix gains, strong manufacturing productivity and an increased contribution from WAVE, driving the results. For the year, consolidated as reported sales of $2.5 billion were down 0.5%, but sales were up slightly when adjusted for foreign-exchange. EBITDA for the year of $384 million was up $12 million or 3% in 2013. Turning now to this morning's announcement that our Board of Directors has unanimously approved the plan to separate Armstrong into two independent companies, I want to walk through our thinking, give you a sense of what each company will look like, cover the timeline and process for completion and outline the opportunities we see for each company to create value. Now, let me start by saying that today's announcement is a continuation of the actions we have been taking to create long-term shareholder value since we emerged from bankruptcy. Since 2008, we have improved margins by dramatically reducing SG&A, divesting non-core and underperforming businesses and investing growth opportunities around the world. Over the same period, we have returned over $1.5 billion of capital to our shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, which brings us to today's announcement. We believe that the time is right to separate the businesses. As you can see on Slide 5, we are creating two industry-leading publicly traded companies. Armstrong World Industries, which will be made up of our Armstrong Building Products business unit and Armstrong Flooring. These are two very different businesses with distinct market positions, operating models, margin and return profiles and capital needs and each have sufficient scale to operate as standalone entities. Separating them will create pure play businesses, giving investors greater choice and ownership in each company greater flexibility with respect to strategic options. Armstrong World Industries will be a global provider of suspended ceiling solutions for use in renovation and new construction, mostly operating in the commercial space with diverse end-use applications. Led by Vic Grizzle, the company will continue strengthening its leadership position key domestic and international markets. Recently completed emerging market investments and expanded sales and manufacturing capabilities provide upside for future growth and profitability. We are also seeing an increasingly solid contribution from our WAVE joint venture and we expect that trend to continue. Armstrong flooring designs, manufactures and sells high-quality flooring products in North America and Pacific Rim markets led by Don Meyer the company's North American residential and commercial franchises', our leading designers and manufacturers of hard surface flooring. With significant investment focused in the key LVT category, it is well-positioned for both, residential and non-residential cyclical recoveries. International, the company had strong positions in commercial flooring in China, Australia and expanding coverage throughout Southeast Asia. I will provide some further details in a moment on the actions we are taking to strengthen the business and build a foundation for flooring to thrive as an independent company which will be the focus of our 2015 investment. Turning down to Slide 6, a want to quickly cover some of the key transaction details, the separation is expected to be achieved through a spinoff of the flooring business that will be it will be tax-free to the company shareholders and we expect the separation to be completed in the first quarter of 2016. During this time, we will continue to operate the businesses in the normal course under the combined AWI umbrella. Post-separation, both businesses will continue to use the on Armstrong brand and both will be headquartered on our Lancaster campus. Today's announcement is the first step in a process and there are still a number of decisions to make. We will announce updates like board composition, capital structure and other details in due course. Before we can complete the separation, there are a few customary conditions that need to be met, including final approval from our Board, receipt of an opinion from legal counsel with respect to the tax-free nature of the spin-off and the filing and effectiveness of appropriate documents with the SEC. We anticipate filing the requisite SEC documents later this year a. ABP AFP have minimal overlap and already functioned quite independently. The businesses do not share plants or warehouses and each business has a separate sales force, independent distribution partners and supply chain, so we do not expect the operational logistics to be challenging and we are confident that we can execute the separation with very little disruption. At the corporate level, we will have to realign and adjust some functions to meet the needs of two separate public companies. We expect to enter into a transition services agreement, under which Armstrong World Industries will provide Armstrong Flooring with certain shared back office services such as IT, HR and transaction processing support for transition period. We have created a separation management office to oversee the process. Moving to Slide 7, I want to walk through the strategic rationale supporting this decision, why we believe separating these businesses will create value and why now is the right time to initiate the process. As we discussed on our Investor Day last year, we have been focused on actions to improve the flooring business and can create value for shareholders. Building on the steps we have already taken, including the completion of the floor plants in China and the exit of the European flooring business and the pending completion of the LVT plant, we believe that the rationale and economics of separating the businesses are compelling and flooring is now ready to stand on its own. As I mentioned, there is limited overlap between the businesses, so there is limited synergies and operating them on a combined basis. Our goal in separating ABP and AFP is to improve the business focus and agility of each. As independent companies, each will realize important strategic, operational and financial benefits. Strategically, the separation will increase the flexibility to pursue domestic and international growth opportunities and sharpen management's focus on each company's distinct priorities, market opportunities and distribution channels, unencumbered by considerations of the potential impact on the other business. Furthermore, the new structure will enable closer alignment of compensation with results. Operationally, as the businesses already operate independently, each team will be able to build stronger and more intimate relationships with customers and enhance its ability to meet their needs. Finally, the separate companies ABP and AFP will be able to optimize their capital structures and gain direct access to the capital markets to fund their growth agendas. Combined with greater transparency in operating performance, this will allow investors to better evaluate each business on its individual merits. With that, we will move on to the discussion of our outlook for 2015 on Slide 8. Looking ahead to 2015, the corporate staff and the leaders of our business units will be focused on driving growth and positioning both companies for success in the future. We expect overall market conditions to improve slightly, driven largely by strengthening North American economy, where we generate roughly three-quarters of our revenue. We anticipate low single-digit growth in the commercial market led by the office sector. The North American residential market should continue to improve with growth in new home construction and an improved repair remodel opportunity as homeowners gain confidence from rising home prices and improving employment numbers. Overseas, we expect a flat market in Europe with improving conditions in the U.K. and Middle East, offsetting continued weakness in the euro zone and a challenging operating environment in Russia. In the Pacific Rim, we continue to expect overall growth in China, driven by the publicly funded healthcare and education sectors, but the high-end office sector will decline year-on-year. We expect India to grow double digits. We anticipate Australia will be mixed with ceilings up on project work and flooring down on constrained public spending. Overall, we expect emerging markets to remain below our previous expectations, with slowing private investment in China and the economic and currency challenges in Russia, returns our emerging market investments will remain challenged over the near-term. For the Flooring business 2015 will be an investment year as we revitalize our marketing efforts and look to recapture volume. After several years of constraining go-to-market spending in flooring in order to protect profitability given challenging market conditions. We will be ramping up our sales and marketing efforts in 2015 to coincide with the opening of our LVT plant and the completion of the Somerset, Kentucky engineered wood flooring investment. As a market leader, Armstrong has tremendous opportunities to getting closer to our residential customers, drive volume as the market improves and react more nimbly to competitive actions. The investments we are making are designed to increase our visibility with retailers and consumers, including improved samples in literature, more versatile and targeted display systems, revitalized promotional and advertising efforts and more engagement directly with distributors. We intend to be very competitive in the marketplace, working closely with our winning customers to directly address the competitive threats we are seen, especially in our word and resilient sheet businesses. We are confident these investments will pay off as we move into 2015 or '16.. On our last call, I mentioned that I will be leading a deep dive review of all aspects of our residential flooring businesses, and for the past several months I spent significant time internally and externally with our customers, discussing Armstrong's residential product portfolio and marketing and service capabilities. These meetings that Don Meyer and I that had with our flooring distributors and other customers have been productive and have honed our view of the issues. Armstrong's partners clearly value the relationships with us and are excited to take the steps we have outlined to recapture volume and reinvigorate the market for our products. These actions will position the company well for [ph] operation as an independent organization. We expect flooring to be positioned to earn more in 2016 than it did in 2014. Dave will give you additional details on expected impact on 2015 when he reviews guidance in a moment. In the Ceilings business, we expect another solid year performance in the Americas as price, volume and mix all contribute to sales growth. We expect profitability to improve as the margin impact from higher sales is aided by gains in productivity and contributions from WAVE. Investments will be made in our plant, [ph] SG&A in the Ceilings business to improve our industry-leading manufacturing and innovation capabilities and improve go-to-market service. We anticipate European profitability will improve slightly as Russian plant is now online, but the macroeconomic and concurrency issues in the region will constrain growth. Pacific Rim sales will grow as markets expand and we gain share, but profitability will be challenged due to the low product mix nature of the sales in China and inflationary pressures. We expect Ceilings to continue to grow earnings as a standalone company in 2016. I am confident that both our businesses are on the right track. We believe Ceilings will post yet another record earnings year and flooring is taking the steps needed to win as an independent company in 2016. With that said, let me turn the call over to Dave, for a more detailed discussion of the financials. Dave.