Rodrigo Barbosa
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, and good morning, all. I'm super proud to be here sharing a few information, not only the results, but all the strategic advancements that Aura is pursuing. If I remind all the investors here and analysts about our strategy, we are very much executing right on track on our strategy. The strategy is, number one, to increase production through development of greenfield projects. Number two, to increase resource and reserves as we see significant potential in our current deposits to increase the reserves. And number three, continue to grow through M&A and address our daily trading volume or multiple that is still discounted compared to our peers. And doing all these 3 while we continue to pay significant dividends to our shareholders. And I'm glad today that I will be able to walk you through that we've been executed in all of those 3 areas while we pay dividends. So number one, first, going to the results, and I ask to put on the first page. In terms of executing greenfield projects and also improving the results, we see, again, the company going on record high production on a quarterly basis and also on a yearly basis. On a quarterly basis, which we have already disclosed to the market, we produced 82,000 ounces gold equivalent ounces, 11% up compared to Q3 '25 and 23% compared to Q4 last year. On annual production, 280,000 ounces of production, 9% up at constant price. And at guidance prices, excluding MSG acquisition that was not on the budget and was not on the guidance, we were very much in line with the middle and actually slightly above the middle of the guidance with the market. The combination of higher production, cost under control and higher gold prices drove us to hit $208 million in the quarter with a gold price of $4,090, while MSG only 1 month and Borborema is still on the final phase, achieving nominal capacity. When we look to the year, we reached $548 million of EBITDA with the gold price $3,400. If I remind the investors, since '23, we've been doubling the EBITDA coming from $135 million, $270 million, now $540 million. And if you take into account the last EBITDA of $208 million with the gold and put the new gold price and then put a higher production, we'll see that we'll be able to, during this year, perhaps maintaining this gold price, double again our EBITDA if the current gold prices continue to be as strong as it is today. On the all-in sustaining cash cost, we are glad also to disclose to the market that we have not only reached the guidance, but we are slightly below the low end of the guidance, and we will talk more through this during the presentation. Higher gold price, cost under control, we have a very also strong recurring free cash flow of close to $100 million on last quarter, understanding that we are also investing in inventories, investing in developing the mines, which put some low grade into the inventory. So some working capital is allocated as an inventory as low grades -- we leave the low grades of the mines that are entering production to the further years while we now focus on higher grades. And I will talk more about this also during the presentation. Combination of strong cash flows. And although we acquired MSG, we continue to be in a very -- and paid dividends. We continue to be at the low leverage ratio. Kleber is going to walk you through that always being able to grow without even leveraging our cash flows that coming from the operations being more than enough to fund our acquisitions and our greenfield projects, while we also count with leverage to fund those projects, freeing more cash to be distributed to our shareholders. A good news, it's a net loss of $20 million. That means that gold price continues to appreciate. And if you take out the noncash nonrecurring losses, we'll see that during the year, the adjusted net income was $206 million, and Kleber is going to walk you through all the details how to achieve this $200 million. For the year 2026, we have a strong -- continue to have a strong production coming from our operations and some increase in all-in sustaining cash costs, some increase also in CapEx due to positive news. We are now expanding Almas. We are coming from Almas, we built a 1.3 million tons plant. Last year, we finished above 2 million tons. We are now upgrading to 3 million tons to the plant. That means that we have to develop the mine that needs to raise the tailings then. We are also advancing in Era Dorada. We just announced Era Dorada early works. We also acquired MSG for $76 million. MSG has structurally a higher sustaining CapEx and a higher CapEx during the year of the turnaround and structurally will be higher than our average. However, the price that we paid for MSG more than justified this higher CapEx, sustaining CapEx and also higher sustaining cash cost, which we will walk you through also during the presentation. Very important additional events. Again, we closed MSG. We got the license for early works in Era Dorada, which we already started the early works. We are now finishing all the analysis, all the studies to be able to go and approve in the Board the full construction. Yesterday, we also announced a major milestone for Borborema, which we obtained the license to move the road, reaching now 1.5 million ounces just with the reallocation of the road freeing additional 670,000 ounces of reserves into the project, while we continue to analyze during the next few weeks for the AIF or 20-F to be released by the end of March, we are updating our resource and reserves based on higher gold price, which means lower cutoff that will free more reserves into all across our operations. Major milestones that we conquered also is after listing in NASDAQ and after the new issuance in $200 million all came from in 1 year, $1 or $2 million being traded per day, now reaching $100 million per day, addressing the low trading volume that we had now being attractive for major investors to invest in the company. And finally, not least, announcing again a very strong dividend of $0.66 per share on a quarterly basis, which gives us a yield on the last 12 months of 6.2% to our shareholders while we made acquisition, while we ramp up Borborema and while we're doing all these growth projects. So in summary, we can see that we are very much delivering on the long-term strategy. Number one, we are increasing production and developing the greenfield projects. Borborema last year, again, on time, on budget, commercial production in September. Then we also acquired MSG. This is the third avenue is continue to grow through M&A. Add daily trading volume. So on the third avenue, we acquired MSG, and we significantly increased daily trading volume, which is helping us to attract more bigger investors, although yet we are still discounted compared to our peers. And the second avenue to increase resource and reserves, again, with the Borborema, we increased Borborema reserves by 82% of reserves, significantly increasing cash flows of this project. And I can also walk you through a little bit the importance of this additional 670,000 ounces, which I will do during the presentation. So very much increasing production, increasing resource and reserves and address the multiple through daily trading volume and also new acquisitions. In terms of safety, super proud. And again, now -- all those numbers are putting Aura as a benchmark in the world in the sector. Not only we had the full year without any single lost time incidents, but now we're achieving over 18 months with no lost time incidents, which put our in a benchmark in the world in terms of safety. Any well-managed company will give you strong levels of safety and also strong results. In terms of stability of the structures, again, we make reviews every quarter, every month through external consultants and all our geotechnical structures are in satisfactory levels. Next slide. So when we look on the quarterly basis on the production that we have already disclosed, now we see since Q1 2025, a constant growth on production through a combination of the ramp-up of Borborema and lastly, still not only December, the acquisition of MSG. For the further quarters, we should see now continue to grow in terms of production on a quarterly basis as MSG now comes a full quarter and then gradually, we should also improve our production from our other operations. When we look on the guidance, we see that Aranzazu, the production, when you consider the same metal prices of the budget, we see that we were very much in line with the guidance in terms of production. I will get attention for those that are not used to looking carefully our numbers, Aranzazu, we have -- we sell copper and gold concentrate. And then we convert all the copper into gold equivalent ounces. When you do that, you get just the revenues, the revenues from copper and you divide by the gold price. The higher the gold price, the lower the conversion into the gold equivalent ounces. So when you look at the number of Aranzazu and you see the gold equivalent ounces decreasing along the last year, it's not because we are decreasing production, but it is mostly because our gold price is appreciated, which is positive for our whole company and that conversion goes to a lower gold equivalent ounces, which also translates to higher all-in sustaining cash cost because you divide by the total cost by the gold equivalent ounces gives -- and the gold equivalent ounces is lower. So that gives us a higher all-in sustaining cash cost. But that is because of a good news of gold appreciating. Apoena, we've been able to develop faster than where we were projecting during the year, so we could also produce above the guidance. Minosa very much in line with the guidance. Almas also very much in line with the guidance. And Borborema is where we were a little bit below the guidance. That's because we had the project, we had some minor issues with the agitators of the CIL tax that did not jeopardize the ramp-up. But as this drove to a lower -- was driving to a lower recoveries, we decided just to put for a couple of months very low grades instead of high grades, not to lose the long term, not to lose recoveries on that project that droves the production down while we preserved those -- that high-grade gold when we could finish the fix on the CIL tanks, which took us just a couple of months, not jeopardizing the ramp-up again, not jeopardizing reaching our capacity and not jeopardizing the recoveries that we reached after we changed those parts on the CIL tanks. Next. So in terms of all-in sustaining cash cost, excluding MSG, I'm proud also to show the market that we also could not only be within the guidance, which is the next slide, but also slightly below the low end of the guidance, fulfilling what we promised to the market in terms of production and also in terms of cost. If we take out the MSG, our all-in sustaining cash cost for Q4 would have been $1,363. And as we know, as we acquired MSG, we know MSG had over $3,000 of all-in sustaining cash cost, which doesn't scare us. I think that was the positive point on acquiring MSG was to see those high all-in sustaining cash costs and project and believe that during the turnaround of this year, we'll be able to drive that all-in sustaining cash cost to below $2,000 for the years ahead, not this year, but for the years ahead. Next, so just quickly going to the guidance. I just -- I mentioned to you, in terms of production, very much in the middle, slightly above the middle of the guidance. On the cash cost per gold equivalent ounces also, we reached the finish the year at $1,070. The low end of the guidance was at $1,078. All-in sustaining that translates also to a lower all-in sustaining cash cost finishing $1,368 and the low end of the guidance at $1,374 and also very much in line with the guidance in terms of CapEx, understanding that there was a year that we also built Borborema and decided to move forward with the expansion of Almas, the first phase, and now we are going to the second phase of the expansion of Almas. Next. So for the 2026, an overview here of the guidance and then Kleber can go in a little bit more detail in the next slide. But in terms of production, now we project full year of Borborema, full year of MSG, although MSG still during this year on 2026 in MSG, we are not focusing to produce the most at the lowest cost. We are focused on preparing that mine to be able to produce over 80,000 ounces per year and below 2,000 for the next years. So this year is a turnaround, although during this year, imagine that we should we projected a producing 50,000 to 60,000 ounces of production. Even if the cost is above $3,000 per year all-in, we have -- the price -- gold price today is $5,200. So it's $2,200 of free cash flow margin in a turnaround year for MSG. That price converted to 50,000 or 60,000 ounces means that the free cash flow and the EBITDA will be way above this is $120 million, $130 million in this project that we acquired for $76 million in the year that yet we are not focused on production. We are not focused on cost. We are focused on preparing that mine to higher production along the next years. In terms of -- and that higher all-in sustaining cash cost, which Kleber is going to explain, is translated to -- from MSG is translated to higher cash cost in our consolidated levels, higher all-in sustaining cash costs also in our consolidated levels and Kleber is going to explain that 65% to 80% of this increase is explained by MSG. And then we have other factors that we will disclose in more details during the presentation. In terms of CapEx, it's the same situation. It's a year that we are investing in MSG. We are expanding Almas, Almas we're doing the pushback of the pit to fast access also the underground development. We are expanding the capacity of the plant. We are already doing in this expansion project is not the full investment in Era Dorada, but yet already the first groundwork and the first early works. So there's a lot of capital that's been committed for good news, which we are expanding production, expanding to go at 600 or even above 600, preparing the company goes above 600,000 ounces of gold equivalent on the upcoming years. In terms of production, again, Aranzazu, that decrease comes from mostly metal prices, although Aranzazu is where we are more stable and getting more lower grades during the next years, while we continue to explore opportunities to decrease the cost of mine and the cost of plan to offset this slightly lower grades in Aranzazu. Borborema, the range of 65,000 to 77,000 ounces. This is also accounts that we are working, and we should publish our new resources and reserves, the old AIF, now the 20-F by the end of March. That means that we are updating our resources and reserves and all the mine plan of the company based on the new cutoff with a higher gold price. That means with the higher gold price, we reduce the cutoff, we can free and release and convert more resources into the reserves. On the other hand, the grades -- average grade goes down. But all in all, it builds value. It's a positive news because we are now assessing grades that was not economically viable in the past with this higher gold price. We've been able to access more ounces on total, although it's lower than former grades that we were projected in the past. So that is a positive news that has -- on the long term, that has minor impact on the short term. So next slide. Kleber?
João Cardoso: Yes. Sure, Rodrigo. So good morning, everyone. So let's start with understanding the main drivers behind the impact of the increase in first in the all-in sustaining cash costs. We expect all-in sustaining cash cost in 2026 is expected to increase between $262 and $407 compared to 2025. And as we can see here on the right side on the top, the main driver for the increase by far is MSG that's bringing up our weighted average cash cost explains 70% to 80% of this increase. Metal price effect that Rodrigo was explaining, the gold equivalent conversion because gold prices on average in '26, if you take market projections are above the average of '25, so accelerated more than copper price, so explains another 5% increase. And the second impact that we have is in Almas. Almas due to mining sequencing this year, we're doing a pushback in the mine and having higher strip ratio. So the costs and lower grades also due to mining sequencing. So the cost is the increase this year. This is not expected to be repeated, for example, in 2027. And we also have tailings dam expansion this year in Almas. So in Almas mostly nonrecurring this effect. And then other impacts are marginal. We have slightly minor worse cash costs in Minosa, for example, but better cash costs in Apoena, so they compensate each other. So then on the bottom, understanding the main increases behind the sustaining CapEx is a similar story. So 75% to 70% of the increase. We're expecting to see an increase in '26 compared to '25 between $15 million and $17 million, of which about 2/3 are MSG. First, because it's an underground mine, so it has a higher sustaining cash cost. So we should not expect going forward to see sustaining CapEx for MSG comparable to the other open pit Brazilian mines. So it's going to be higher. But also it's a turnaround year as we have been communicating, we're going to be allocating some additional capital, especially in maintenance in MSG. And Almas is the same reason Almas explains another 15% to 20% of the increase in the sustaining CapEx for the same reason. The pushback a portion of the waste is capitalized the sustaining CapEx and explain also a portion of this increase. And finally, of course, Borborema is going to be operating for a full year. In '25, we had just 3 years of commercial production for Borborema -- 3 months, sorry. And then in '26, we have 12 months. Of course, that brings a higher sustaining CapEx. And finally, when we look at the expansion CapEx, what is in our guidance for '26 mainly is Almas underground development and the plant expansion that we are investing to increase the plant capacity to 3 million tonnes until the end of the year. Apoena, we have the second year of the North pushback that we are planning in '25, '26 to invest in the North Phase 3 pit to have higher grades from '27. So this is the second year. In Borborema, we have a filter press expansion. So the filter press now is the current bottleneck that we have at the plant. So by expanding the filter press, we can go beyond the nominal installed capacity that we have today at the plant. And also is going to help us prepare for potential expansion of the plant in the future. And also, we're going to be investing in engineering studies for potential expansion now that we were able to get the permits to move the roads. Era Dorada as well, we're investing in the early works, and we have then some other impacts such as Matupa and some investment in the projects.