Shabtai Adlersberg
Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your questions
Thank you, Niran. We're very pleased to report record financial results for the fourth quarter and the full year 2020. Let me talk first about several major milestones achieved throughout the quarter and the full year. First and foremost is the strong financial performance, which Niran just provided a detailed description of it. I'd like to stress some of the most important achievements, which are strong expansion of our gross margin, operating margin and jump in net income, strong cash flow positive cash flow, all I'll discuss further on in the following. Then it's the evolution of our enterprise business. Now close to 80% of our business, growing 17% year-over-year. Third is the resurgence of three new growth engines for 2021 and going forward, namely Microsoft Teams, context center, and conversational AI, all in the enterprise space heading into 2021. Then it's the rapid transition before a solution in services to real time cloud communications, much was achieved in 2020. We now invest full force and accelerate investment in these areas driving the momentum into more real time cloud communication solutions. On top of this, we have substantially moved our focus in sales. So the recurring revenue model as compared to the previous years, where the majority of sales was done as CapEx transaction. To highlight this last point, in March 2020, we have announced our AudioCodes live initiative, which is a portfolio of professionally managed services designed to offer AudioCodes voice expertise products and solution to enterprises via a flexible subscription based managed service model. We have already made nice progress in the second half of 2020 and now see the momentum building up into 2021. Now let me touch on the achievements made on the financial front. Overall company top line revenue grew 10% about 10% year-over-year. However, once you break down the revenue into key segments, enterprise and service providers, one can easily see that the progress made in 2020 in the enterprise space, about 78% of our business today was substantially higher and more impressive. Enterprise business consisting mainly of Unified Communication UCaaS and contact center, grow 17% in 2020 and now provides for about 78% of the overall company revenue. We expect this annual growth rate to continue well into 2021 and beyond, for reasons I will dwell on shortly. Therefore, in our updated long term financial model for next three years, we can clearly see that the company annual top line will step up to a range of 13% to 15% growth annually, every year, in two years from today. UCaaS and contact center segments will drive this growth going forward. UCaaS is driven mainly by continued success in the Microsoft team space, where annual revenue grew by over 300% year-over-year and more than 30% compared to the third quarter of 2020. Additionally, we experienced higher than originally planned revenue coming from the contact center business, which grew over 15% in 2020. With the world adopting substantially more collaboration and work from home in the coming years, the new normal so to speak, we anticipate similar such growth in 2021 and beyond. Now, let me touch on the achievements made on the financial front to provide a more complete picture of the revenue in 2020. I'll just add that while we grew nicely on the enterprise, we didn't do so well on the service provider front and technology. I'll say that we have experienced a declining service provider as a business about which is now about 18% of business and which has declined for about 10% year-over-year, and also continuing small decline in the technology business, which now provides for about 4% of business. So 78% of business grew 17% about 22% declined, and that gives you the average of about 10% growth for the full year. Providing more color on growth in different businesses business lines in 2020 UC-SIP business line sign grew about 20% year-over-year. By the way, this would be the last time we will report numbers on UC-SIP very simply as this indicator bundles growing -- business signs such as the SBC management software and routing software together with devices and hardware appliances using the service provider space and in on-prem deployments. As these two last ones are bound to continue to suffer from the ongoing pandemic and not essential to our business we will drop the UC-SIP report. It's not going to be a good indicator to indicate our business health, we will obviously track our business through the development in our UCaaS and contact center and conversation on AI business. Revenue related to UCaaS as a whole grew close to 20% as well. All-in-all, we talking about 140 million annually at the end of 2020. Revenue related to sales of Session Border Controllers, SBC have jumped in the full score, bringing this business time very close to 100 million level for overall 2020. That's a real jump. The overall year, we sold above 40 plus percent real Cornerstone in our business going forward. Service revenue grew about 20% in the first quarter 16.7% annually. Professional managed services growing substantially faster in the mix. So lots of emphasis on managed services, professional services. Those are growing very fast actually on an annual level we talking about 30% a year, which is nice growth. Now let's talk about the growth engines, which is becoming key factor for 2021 success and beyond. Entering 2020 Microsoft on-prem Skype for Business was our main growing business. However, with the pandemic growing in impact throughout the first quarter, two new key major trends evolved for the year, collaboration and work from home. These two trends became essential to preserve business continuity and workplace productivity in the enterprise world. These trends drove as a result, accelerated transition to rhythm cloud communication, and the introduction of a series of more and new key technologies that we have developed such as WebRTC, call automation processing, intelligent assistance in virtual agents. As such, we emerge out of 2020 and add into 2021 with three new growth engines. The first and most visible one is the Microsoft Teams, which became in 2020, the fastest growing business for us, it has grown more than 300% year-over-year, and more than 30% in the last quarter over the previous quarter. Next to it, we saw accelerated growth of the activity in the contact center, where a series of disruptions in the space related to the transition to cloud supporting high quality communication for work from home agents over the open internet and the increased need for call automation and self-service drive growth in the space. Third engine is the conversational AI which has become top priority for many contact centers and need to quickly and efficiently respond and as a customer calls coming in large masses as people who have locked the term and providing a satisfactory customer experience. Now to our long term financial model, as we've mentioned before, gross margin and operating margin have demonstrated record levels in 2020. We ended the year with gross margin for the fourth quarter, it's 71.5% and 26.2% for the operating margin. By the way, talking about gross margin, we looked at into our annual performance, and I'd like to draw your attention to the progress we made in the past five years. We're at gross margin staff from about 60% back in 2015 to 68.1% in 2020. This is a result of the shift of mix for revenues from hardware appliances, more and more into software solution and services. So a very decent growth, we believe we will continue to grow in coming years. Obviously, the last quarter as I've mentioned we did 71%. Operating margin, this is the second quarter in a row where operating margin is well above the 20% level, which is kind of a mark for us. So let's talk a bit first on the longer term financial model. We believe that as we will keep progressing with our enterprise business growing above 16% a year, we believe that we will step up gradually in a matter of two three years into annual revenue growth of about 13% to 15% overall for the company. Our gross margin, we are at 68. We believe that the range we define 67 to 70, we should be able to grow beyond that at the end of this period, we would obviously work out of a strategy and actually we are defining kind of a modified strategy for 2021. We see much more value in keeping operating above 20 but still allowing a big portion of it to be applied to growth and investment. So we will not try to achieve 24%, 25% operating margin and above we will instead opt for 20% plus and then invest the remaining into developing new areas for us such as conversational AI and like. So let me go now into this specific business line or more interesting data points. Let's first let's look obviously on Microsoft business. In the fourth quarter, overall revenues were close to $30 million. This represents a growth of 18% year-over-year, and close to 15% sequentially. For the full year, we saw a nice increase of about 19% compared to 2019 combined. However, as we all know, there was a big shift in mix in Microsoft revenues between the two different collaboration solutions. Entering into 2020, we entered with about $84 million in revenue, of which about $70 million came from Skype for Business only about $13 million came from teams. That picture is substantially reversed in 2020. We're coming out with teams substantially on top teams has grown now just to give you an idea as I've mentioned 300% year-over-year looking at 13 million in 2019, we should look now into, we've done about 55 million in 2020. So that that that's big growth. Also, I'll mention that in the fourth quarter, we kept growing sequentially grew more than 30%. Skype for Business on the other end declined, declined from a level of, give or take an average of 17 million, 18 million a quarter. We ended up the last quarter with less than 10 million. So all-in-all a gradual decline. I would say that the decline is I've mentioned in previous quarter is kind of been mild. So we do expect continued decline, but obviously, in terms of absolute millions of dollars, that will be less in 2021. Now, let's talk about new accounts. So we definitely grew with large number of new Microsoft Teams accounts in 2020. On a overall annual level, I'll tell you that we have grown substantially, we've grown more than 200%, from 2019 to 2020. We have, we've seen the numbers I mean, roughly, if you look on the fourth quarter I'll give you a data point here, that about, one, one third of the accounts, where accounts migrating from Skype for Business, and about two thirds of the accounts, were actually new accounts. So all-in-all, a very nice growth on teams and new accounts. As to the future, as we kept saying, we have a very long runway ahead of us. If Microsoft 365, is now at about 270 million teams was announced to have 150 million last October, I'm confident we'll hear new numbers, as Microsoft releases their numbers today. So far, we believe it's only about 10% of the team's users have implemented voice. Very simply, we know for a fact that if Microsoft tried to become the dominant player in that market, the intention was put really more into collaboration, chats, and meetings. And voice was not a requirement. So many organization could live up with their old PBX, it could be another company PBX, one of the previous manufacturers name Avaya name, Cisco name Mitel any other, so people could stay with their PBX but still get on board with teams using the collaboration in meetings. We believe that as time goes by the benefit of using an integrated solution, all coming from Microsoft will basically drive the migration of those into Microsoft telephony solution as well, so definitely a lot of potential going forward. We have heard that customers who have standardized on Microsoft Teams really not looking back. The product is working well and has become an important part of their daily work. And we've seen in surveys that, these days in the enterprise surveys show that more than 50% already selected Microsoft Teams over the other players. And actually that number is expected to grow in about two to three days from three years from today to about 60%. More on the Microsoft business, so we have launched SBC as a service on Azure a few months ago. It is available on Microsoft marketplace in North America will soon be available in other regions as well. Basically, very, very easy for customers to get on board teams by clicking few times on the keyboard and getting connected. Also we enjoy strong activity in the field. We in several cases we also meet you know with the field that sells field stuff for Microsoft helping winning counts. Also we had a rather big investment in 2020 into expanding our meeting room offering for teams. So we just getting to market with some of our newer products in that space. We getting to market with our meeting inside, shortly, two three weeks from today .So all-in-all, definitely definitely an activity. To name few new wins in the quarter. So, we want a leader, a team's project, actually migration project from Skype for Business from one of the leaders in the financial services world. Basically, we have provided their session border controller technology in our management technology, and all-in-all, some professional services. So a nice mix about half a million project. We won a large project with a very large world leading agent, Asia Pacific service provider, where we have expanded into several of their subsidiaries. We have provided there SBC as a as a service, it's running on Azure, and we plan to expand into few more subsidiaries. We want a world leader in in chemical products for the car industry. We are working through a very large service provider who provides a fully managed service as part of their team's rollout. A lot of success. So all-in-all, a lot of activity Microsoft. Assuming that well, knowing that Microsoft is now 45% of business, right about 100 million out of the 20 -- 220 -- 2020 teams now becomes the most important business for us. Traditionally, we've been selling to the enterprises, companies that have 5000 10,000 and more employees, we now starting to target the midmarket with our AudioCodes live offering as I mentioned before the Casella offering is a managed services offering providing many solutions. We offer it in like a three tier program and we enjoy quite a success in second half of 2020. How do we grow from here on Microsoft Teams? So first is obviously, we intend to grow in the number of articles live users. That's one dimension. The second dimension is trying to scale up in revenue from the essential program to the prop and premium services, where we can charge for more on a per user, per user per month basis. We do intend to introduce new business application services this year. We will shortly announce our recording services. We several times been selling contact center solution from partners. We work with -- we will be providing analytics voice analytics and meeting analytics shortly conversational AI services and more. So all-in-all, this is the main focus of the company going forward. Now to take you to the second priority in the company, which is the contact center market. We -- this is a fast growing market, no question that COVID-19 pandemic further accelerated growth in this space. Right now, about 15% of our business basically are in the contact center market grew 15% last year. All-in-all, this market is a great market for us, very simply a lot of disruption, a lot of room to apply technology. As I have mentioned transition to cloud, I've mentioned work from home, and WebRTC to maintain quality of service. I've mentioned the trend to intelligent contact center that's emerging. That's basically providing a much greater role to conversational AI to deal with customers, inputs and requests. So basically, we are expanding. While in the past our play was majority around Genesis business. We now see more entry into other names in the industry, then basically quite extend the reach of our solution to other contact center vendors. Also, we have changed a bit our strategy that in instead of trying to focus on the [Indiscernible] themselves, such as Genesis, and we've mentioned throughout the years names like five, nine and nice incontact. We now intend to go more towards end users. Some of them prefer to say on-prem and not transition to cloud, and then they find our solution, fairly helpful in allowing them to maintain this on-prem operation. On top of that conversation AI gets a big boost for automatic handling of self-service customer engagement. So we providing you that market, connectivity solution, voice quality monitoring solution, we're about to see virtual agent solution and agent assist solution, all-in-all fairly active space. In terms of revenues, we didn't grow much between 19 to 18. We say, its about $30 million level. In 2020, revenue grew to, close to $35 million, that's 15%. Throughout the year, we didn't broke down yet revenues from different quarters, but we can easily see that we've been stepping up in revenues throughout the year. So ending the year on strong note on the contact center. Obviously conversational AI, that's built to improve customer experience and reduce costs is growing in use. It is estimated that already 30% or 40% of customer prefer to use self-service speech interfaces, not involving a human agent, it is predicted that towards 2023, that percentage will grow to 70%. So lot of room to grow there. Let me touch on our SBC operation, because this is turning to be a stellar performance in our company with a record revenue of growing, as I've mentioned, above 40% in the quarter. All-in-all, as I've mentioned, we will grow to close to $100 million from just $60 million plus last year. The share of sales of SBC into the Microsoft space grew substantially in the fourth quarter. Now it's more than 50%. We have a rather a nice geo split, about 38% of revenues in North America, about 34% in Western Europe, and about 10 to 11 in Asia Pacific and then CALA. We've seen strong booking growth going forward. So we feel very confident in our ability to perform here. On a -- if I'll do the breakdown between product and services, I'll tell you that product grew more than 50% this year, and we also grew very nicely on the services. One very important note to make here is that, as I've told you in the beginning, we put a lot of emphasis on managed services. Just to tell you that in the SBC business line, those services really jumped and almost tripled in the year. So we started from a low number of millions in the SBC managed service, and now we've grown close to three times in that. Also very important, being questioned many times about, what's the portion of software versus hardware. I'll tell you that while we saw a huge increase in SBC in 2020, the hardware portion of it almost did not grow. It did grow. But a very much between five to 10. Majority of the growth really came from the software. And now, virtual SBC, and it's being used in data centers and in the cloud, basically, SBC software solution grew more than 150% as compared to 2019. So give or take, all of the SBC use the same software load, the same technology. It's a great success and the gross margin is really high there. I've just mentioned also on the SBC side that we've seen nice growth on WebRTC as a result of the move to work from home and we've grown more than 50%. So definitely interesting. The last area I'll touch is conversational AI, which is really seems to be our next gen growth engines. It's a very fast growing market with COVID-19 pandemic, definitely driving that with the lockdown situation in many countries in this world. Booking in revenues grew more than 50%. Still we talking about small numbers, less than 4 million, but we do have a target of targeting above 10 million in two years by the end of 2022. Conversational AI business grow fast. It does include three different business line. One is recording services. It's the smartapp, which is a compliance recording, which has got certified about a month ago for Teams. You are the second company certified for Teams. So that sell nicely. We also, as I mentioned before, going to introduce meeting inside in a major way, in Teams shortly. Second line is the Voice AI Connect. Voice AI Connect basically allows chat bot and textbox to be serviced and approach enabled by voice. So, you have today hundreds and thousands of different chatbots used daily. Some could be used as millions. Take a service provider allowing customers to reach out through messaging and WhatsApp and like and messenger. So if you want to allow all the public to access those same services by voice, that's definitely where Voice AI Connect comes in and we enjoy quite a success. Third is our Voca operation, which was very successful this year, growing more than 150%. All-in-all, the technology used in all those three business plan has been homegrown. It's a combination of some homegrown cognitive services technologies. We use in conjunction with some Microsoft and Google and AWS, cloud cognitive services. And above all, our huge experience in networking, telephony and SBC really gives us an advantage as compared to other players in the market. So all-in-all very exciting business. I'll just say that, we definitely intend to grow in 2021, substantially above 50% in this line. So do expect to see it popping to the range of $5 million to $10 million at the end of this year. One more, very important note to make is that we are expanding our solution for Voice AI Connect. While in the past we just offer its connection to cognitive services mainly and to analyze solution. Now we're talking about adding recording capabilities to adding speaker verification and authentication to it and few more technology. So all-in-all, we believe that we will come with a very comprehensive voice subsystem for conversational AI, which will basically leave us fully at the top of the competition. Finally, to complete my presentation, I'll just repeat what Niran mentioned in terms of guidance. So, in terms of revenue we now guide based on results in the fourth quarter and plans for the year. We guiding for a range of between $240 million to $250 million. As to the earnings, as Niran guided, we have announced the range that's a bit wide than before. We're talking about $1.45 to $1.65. Few reasons for rates. The business outlook is good and tracking along the same lines of success in 2020. So we see no different in that. There are going to be two new changes in 2021. One is a big change in the U.S. dollar and New Israeli Shekel conversion rate, which we assume that this will impact the bottom line of our earnings by about 10%. So, unfortunately with the U.S. dollar weakening in Israel, we're going to lose like 7% or 8% in terms of applying it to salaries. And that will results in about $0.10 in the profit. Second, is that we believe that as we enter 2021, our new effective tax rate is going to be raised. And it's going to be raised to a level we predict of 10% to 10%. So that will basically lead to additional impact of about $0.10. All-in-all, we still believe that will keep growing, but we therefore provide a relatively larger band of 145 to 165. And with that, I have ended my presentation. We'll move it now to the Q&A session. Operator?