Shabtai Adlersberg
Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question
Thank you Niran. We are very pleased to report strong financial results and continued business momentum for fourth quarter and the full-year 2016. As reported, fourth quarter revenues and earnings came within the range of our guidance for growth over the previous and the year-ago quarter. Reality though is that we had a better quarter to report until January 19. We ended the fourth quarter with record results with revenues above $38 million though the target and earnings that had beaten the Street consensus of $0.08. As stated on our press release earlier today, on January 19 Avaya filed a voluntary petition under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code and about $650,000 of revenues related to Avaya as customers were moved to deferred revenues. That belongs to the past looking at we have good reason to believe that business with Avaya will continue on the yields of the first nine months of 2016 and we understand that their business is profitable and thus we assume the business will continue going forward except for may be a slight decline in revenues. So on a bigger picture level we continue the past two years momentum of turning the boat and steering the company into sustained annual revenue and earnings growth. Now this the direct result of successful execution or strategic initiative for the past five years of growing the UC-SIP business in areas relatively Unified Communications, contact centers and SIP trunking, all of which keep expanding on a multi-year basis. Growth in these areas has picked up recently as a result of the growing pace of transition to All-IP networks. This acceleration is clearly evident in revenues related to the North American market where we experience good growth in 2016, compared to previous years. The U.S. is leading the All-IP migration and AT&T and Verizon are leading that front. But we already see similar such trend in West Europe and it is obvious that the rest of the world will follow this trend between now and 2025 and so the grounds for continued growth in coming years are there. Getting back to fourth quarter developments we enjoyed growth across most business line most notably in the UC-SIP area where revenues continue to grow more than 20% year-over-year. Just to highlight that the UC-SIP business which is relatively young business, that business delivered about $9 million of revenue in 2012, grew to about $47 million in 2015, $58 million in 2016. And now we believe that we will get to the $100 million mark in 2019, growing at a rate of around 20% a year give or take. In many ways this evolution should be perceived as reinventing the Company since 2009, when our previous business of technology – that was centered around technology and gateways started to decline. Key to this success is a solution approach we took several years ago, which allows us to provide higher value to the end customers when compared to competition which provide solution and products on a best-of-breed product approach. Another pleasant surprise in the fourth quarter was the strength of the gateway business which grew 7% above the previous quarter. In fact, the gateway revenues increased in second half 2016 about 10% above the first half of 2016. Entering into the first quarter of 2017 we see preliminary, similar such trends. As mentioned, on our previous call this better result should be mainly attributed to the increasing trend of migration to All-IP. This trend is evident in the U.S. and West Europe and owning the right portfolio of product and services will benefit us in the next five to ten years. We also saw increased pace of RSPs and proof-of-concept trials by service providers in North America and Europe to start migrating their voices’ to offset UC, SIP trunking, a trend that will further facilitate growth in coming years. In the fourth quarter of 2016, UC-SIP and gateways combined revenues comprised above 90% of the business. And thus decline of the legacy technology business is now fairly contained and cannot impact early our quarterly revenues going forward. All this leads us to believe that we have strong foundation for growth and confidence in strong and healthy business in coming years. Now to some of the business highlights of 2016, as mentioned, UC-SIP growing to above $55 million, 20% over previous year. We mentioned that we are confident in our ability to grow that business to $100 million in three years. Gateway business will recover, we discussed that. 2016 annual decline really moderated to less than 10%, we now believe that that performance should be sustaining in coming years due to the All-IP Migration. We will remain focused on growing and positioning AudioCodes to become the leader in Enterprise Voice market. In that market is our three key pillars, we’re talking about Unified Communications, we’re talking about advanced IP-based contact centers and we’re talking about voice infrastructure that now is moving towards an All-IP. AudioCodes is building itself to become the leader in that market and we believe that we are in a very unique position and see competition surely we can hold them with what we have developed so far. We continue to invest in collaborating with our key partners, namely, Microsoft, Genesys and Broadsoft and saw a meaningful return on this investment. We emerged a very successful vendor of CPE gear to our partners. We believe that currently we are one of the leaders if not the leader in that category. We have substantially increased our penetration into the Service Provider market. In 2016 we had lot of success in the EMEA market in that area. We are at the same time going Cloud, transition to the Cloud era we made important steps in evolving our business to the Cloud era with growing capabilities in the areas of virtualized SBC and Skype for Business online. Finally, we continue to buy back our shares in the fourth quarter. We continue to buy shares in the fourth quarter of 2016 with the aim of increasing return to our shareholders. Just to make a note, that buy back in the fourth quarter was done in a much higher price level about $6 versus the previous range of $4.3 that tells you our confidence in our operations and the sense of making that buyback. Now touching on some of other significant data points relating to the full year 2016, all of which are non-GAAP numbers. So I’ll go over the short list. Services revenue grew 14.6% over the previous year to $43.3 million, that comprises now 30% of the company revenue that is growing for us above 10%, 10% to 15% on a multi-year basis for five, six years already. Gross margin improved to 61.5% from 60% in 2015. We are growing steadily here on an annual basis from 58% in 2015. Why? Simply because we deliver more services, we are migrating our solution to be more software-based that will result in growing gross margins. Operating income grew nicely in 2016 to 7.2% from 4.5% in 2015, or [indiscernible] goal is to achieve 10% in 2017 for the last quarter of that year. Net income increased to $9.4 million in 2016, about 60% increase, compared to 2015. Operating cash flow was strong for the second year in a row. We generated $6.7 million in the fourth quarter we generated $18.3 million in 2016, back on the yields of 2015 when we generated $17.6 million. Headcount grew to 700 employees from 640 employees a year ago. The increase was fairly build up about 50% in R&D personal, 50% in customer facing activities, marketing, sales, customer care. The good news is that we believe that the R&D budget for coming years is pretty much contain and we do not see major increase in R&D and product expenses in coming years. Most of the increase in budget will be done in sales and marketing that should increase modestly in 2017. We believe that we will tie up those expenses to growing sales, so we believe that our ability to control the P&L is getting better. Now I’ll touch two new areas that we have not reported so far, but intend to start reporting steadily on an annual basis. First is deferred revenues. Deferred revenues at the end of 2016 rose to $31.8 million, now that is 12.9% growth over $26.3 million at the end of 2015. In fact, growing deferred revenues tells you that side by side with reported revenues we have – we are building for our self a strong and very helpful cushion for revenues in coming years. The second area that I would like to touch for the first time is our activity in the applications area. In the applications area we do have internal activity, you may call that internal startups. Those are located in three key areas, one is compliance recording prescribed for business, we call that activity SmartTAP. The second one is our Mobility solutions called MobilityPLUS. And the third our voice recognition, voice dialing and routing, which we code name VocaNOM. In 2016, revenues in these application areas and others were above $3 million. We intend to grow them above 30% in 2017 and get close to the $4.5 million or $5 million range. We have much belief in growth in these areas. Those are software products they will tie in into our solution story. So we believe that we have a great customer base to turn to with this new application in order to grow revenues. Looking on the sales side most regions performed very well, we saw nice growth in North America, both the Enterprise, which was very strong in the fourth quarter, actually growing above 10% in service provider segment. We attribute that – again as I’ve mentioned before the Skype for Business and the all-IP activity. We saw similar, better trends in EMEA, where activity has picked up substantially more in the western region. APAC cap performing, APAC is the region that has proved the mass in 2016 on in all above 13%. Now touching on two key business lines and providing some color in it, I’ll talk about the market of Skype for Business activity. In 2016 we grew above 20% compared to the previous year. All-in-all, we got to a level of about $45 million. That’s almost one third of the company revenues. Microsoft continue to push for Cloud PBX in 2016 with Cloud Connector Edition for hybrid voice and we’ve been – I’m glad to know that we have been the first partner to sign a license distribution with Microsoft on the CC. 2016 was also the strongest year for us in terms of selling IP phones for Skype for Business. I’ll talk about phones in a minute, but I’ll tell you that IP phones prove dramatically we have had more certifications we now consider our self to be a very fast growing vendor in the Skype for Business active phone area. All in all, we are very pleased with the activity we are perceived as market leader, we’re being approached by enterprise customers, by service provider customers and we do anticipate continued growth of at least 20%. From some signs that we have seen at the end of 2016, I’ll note that we have been – we have seen increased activity around Cloud Connector Edition that is the ment to help Cloud PBX grow. I’ll tell that simply because I think that we went through some long 12, 18 months of inability to growing this market, we do believe and we see a lot of push in the market that by mid-2017 or end of 2017 the latest as Cloud PBX will become very strong in the market. We intend to become a very strong player in that market. So we believe that at the end of the day starting from the beginning of 2018 and on we will see very strong activity and revenues coming from that market. On Session Border Controls, we have seen the best quarter ever in the first quarter. Revenues went up above 30%, compared to the year ago. All-in-all we are growing in software solutions, in service solutions, in large enterprises, in managed enterprises we see an access in core. We are going to launch based on few design wins that we had with large enterprises. We’re going to launch through Enterprise Connect, a very ambitious firm on modernization of the voice network in enterprises. Be believe we’ve got a good portfolio and services that will support good market share in that market. We have been very successful at deploying global SIP tracking with several world leading service providers. So all-in-all we’re very encouraged about the Session Border Controls activity. I’ll mention last, on the business line, the IP phone area we grew very nice about 50% in 2016 to about $10 million. We have seen very strong growth on the Skype for Business segment and we already crossed hundreds of thousands of units in 2016. We expect similar such growth in 2017, growing above 50%, going forward. Finally, I will get to our guidance and outlook for 2017 and the next three years. Regarding revenues we now guide for the range of 150 to 157, a 6% to 7% growth that takes into account growth of 20% on UC-SIP and decline of 8% to 10% gateways. We’ve been conservative here, we may see lower decline on gateways, but at this stage this is the guidance we will be giving. We expect that over the next three years we will grow around 25% to reach a level of $180 million in 2019 based on organic growth. Regarding earnings, we expect better performance, we expect to grow earnings per share about 25% in 2017 and believe we can more than double earnings per share compared to 2016 in the course of the next three years. The better expected performance on earnings relies on leverage we have in our financial model. This is related to the fact that the majority of the increase in investment required in R&D and the product front have been made and so additional OpEx in coming years will be made in proportion to growth in sales. Lastly on the buyback, as reported we purchased 1.26 million shares in the fourth quarter, spending $7.7 million and continuing the buyback in the first quarter of 2017. As we intend as we complete the current program to evaluate and further offset on such glance. With that I’ve completed my initial presentation and I’ll turn the session to Q&A. Thank you. Operator?