Christine Ramon
Analyst · Paulson & Co
Thanks, Kelvin, and good day, everyone. You will see we have delivered another solid operational and financial performance for the half year. We have achieved this, despite the impact of COVID-19-related suspensions, which straddled the latter part of Q1 and the front end of Q2 for certain of our operations. It was also a more prolonged impact on Mponeng, which operated at 50% capacity for a longer period, but is now in the process of gradually ramping up to full operational capacity. Despite the accounting treatment of our South African portfolio as a discontinued operation, we will continue to talk to the Group as a whole, which makes year-on-year comparisons easier. Production for the first half was 5% lower year-on-year, while cash costs were up only 2%, and all-in sustaining costs were 3% higher. Excluding the COVID-19 impacts, production would have been flat on last year. The stronger gold price, which was up 26% for the first half, as well as weaker operating currencies helped us deliver a 59% improvement in adjusted EBITDA and a 76% increase in cash flow from operating activities to $604 million. But our cash generation was the real star over the period, with all of the regions making strong contribution. Free cash flow generation, which is after all outgoings, came in at $177 million for the half year with $173 million of that figure in Q2 alone. That performance is a vast improvement on the $31 million outflow over the first half of last year and was due to the improved gold price working in tandem with a steady production results. The sheer cash flow potential of the business is especially clear when you consider that our free cash flow results came in even as we invested $93 million in the Obuasi redevelopment project at the period. We also saw higher tax payments and the continued cash lock-up in the DRC. We received $54 million in dividends from Kibali during the first half and our attributable share of the in-country cash balances have grown to $293 million at the end of June. It is important to note that this cash is available for use at the site, if needed. Our partners at Barrick continue to have constructive engagements with the DRC government on the issue. They have received confirmation that the cash can be used to pay dividends or repay shareholder loans to the joint venture, and are in the final phase of obtaining the approval to transfer the funds. We have invested $147 million in growth CapEx for the half year, which include spend for Obuasi as I mentioned previously, as well as $29 million for Quebradona Feasibility Study, $19 million for Tropicana Boston Shaker project, and $4 million for Gramalote. The negative working capital movements were related mainly to Argentinian export duty, the additional buildup of ore stockpiles and consumable inventories to mitigate COVID-19 impacts. We also saw gold in process buildups at the Obuasi plant and at Siguiri. There is, of course, the matter of outstanding VAT in Tanzania, which was $131 million at the end of the period, an increase of $15 million over the six months. These negative moves were partially offset our gold refining proceeds received in January for the Brazil operation from gold produced at the end of last year. On July 1st, the Finance Act became effective in Tanzania. This new law effectively allows for the recovery of VAT refunds from July 2020 onwards, effectively confirming that VAT receivables are due from July from the 2017 year. In the DRC, we had $71 million in VAT lock-up, a $6 million increase from Q1 to Q2. We saw a temporary suspension of that offsets against taxes, which has since continued through Q1, but these resumed again in Q2. Moving on, our diverse global portfolio and our proactive management of our balance sheet over several years have together given us excellent flexibility during what remain an uncertain time. When it comes to debt, we continue to believe that less is more. The current market provides us an excellent opportunity to continue our self-funded program of debt reduction or without issuing equity. Our strong cash flows enabled us to lower our debt position by 18% or $311 million below where it was at the end of last year. And all while, we self-fund of Obuasi and the other exciting growth initiatives in our pipeline. We ended June with adjusted net debt of $1.4 billion, which is now down to 0.67 times to adjusted EBITDA generated by the business. That is well below our target of one times through the cycle. We see this taking another significant step down over the course of the year, with the very strong gold price and proceeds from asset sales accelerating the overall deleveraging process. Our liquidity is also very strong, and has been a central peg of our COVID-19 response, as we have planned for the longest possible liquidity runway in order to effectively manage any disruption, while also taking care of our people throughout. You saw us make a full drawdown on a $1.4 billion RCF facility in late March. We used a portion of those funds to repay the $700 million bond redemption in mid-April and we keep the balance in our treasury as a buffer against any future uncertainty. As we looked at the early of COVID-19 and the disruptions that were caused by the whole industry shutdowns and also broader lockdown, we took the step in April of bolstering our liquidity headroom with a one-year $1 billion standby credit facility. This can be extended at the lender’s discretion. When you put that altogether, we closed the half year with $1.3 billion in cash and with our total liquidity at around $2.5 billion. Our credit ratings are unchanged with investment-grade ratings from Moody’s, and Fitch and a sub-investment grade rating from S&P. All have a stable outlook. Moving on to the cost performance on Slide 15. As we look to our cost performance year-on-year, our cash costs increased by 2% to $810 an ounce. Of course, we saw from strong tailwinds, including $58 an ounce from weaker currencies and also higher volume at Geita and Siguiri, which gave us around $28 an ounce benefits. These two factors together more than offset inflationary pressures that we have seen across the emerging economies that we operate in, particularly in South Africa where inflation was 7% and Argentina inflation where inflation was 38%. But there are also headwinds, including lower grades with an impact of $104 an ounce and higher royalty costs which cost around $15 an ounce. All-in sustaining costs during the half year rose 3% to $1,031 an ounce. It is worth noting that these all-in sustaining cost for the half year would have been $53 an ounce lower than what we reported were it not for the COVID-19 impacts on our operation. These COVID-19 impacts comprised $43 an ounce linked to the opportunity cost of impacted production and another $10 an ounce direct impact of additional costs incurred by the operations, including direct support to local communities. Moving on to Slide 15. While we are well placed to manage through this period both from a portfolio and balance sheet perspective, the fact remains that there is little certainty for anyone on how severe this outbreak will be in the medium term or what additional measures will need to be put in place by our host governments to combat the pandemic. As you know, we took account of the prevailing uncertainty when we withdrew our guidance on March 27. In addition to the COVID-19 losses I have spoken about in the first half, we expect to see another 40,000 ounce impact in H2, with a commensurate effect on cost. Assuming no further significant deterioration, we remain on track to meet the original guidance range set in February this year, with COVID estimated to impact annual production by 3% to 4%, and at this stage with the biggest impact at our South Africa and Obuasi operations. In line with past trends, production is weighted to the second half of the year with Obuasi expected to notwithstanding COVID-19 challenges to continue to ramp-up through the course of the year. It goes without saying that the timing of the closure of the sale of the South African assets and Sadiola will dictate the impact to production, net debt and other metrics. We are still seeing the cost benefits of lower oil prices, primarily in Continental Africa and from weaker local currencies. On the other side of the coin, there are COVID-19 impacts, including occasional temporary operational suspensions and disruptions as well as adjustments to accommodate social distancing. There are also costs related to the interventions that provide flexibility and reduce costs across our operations. These include additional logistics costs relating to transporting gold, increasing stocks of critical consumables, quarantine and testing arrangements, additional facilities and infrastructure, and ore stockpiling strategies. We expect all-in sustaining cost to increase in the second half from the back our higher sustaining CapEx, which is mainly related to our program to increase ore reserve development and underground drilling across our operations. This is a key part of our strategy to improve operating flexibility and extend mine life. Growth capital for the year remains between $280 million and $320 million. $262 million of that relates to Obuasi, while $40 million is budgeted for the Feasibility Study at Quebradona, $8 million for Gramalote and $28 million for Boston Shaker. In short, we are in a catalyst-rich phase with the stronger second half production and our exceptional leverage to a record gold price set to drive debt down for lower. This will also drive an increased dividend based on our existing formula of 10% of free cash flow pre-growth capital. Our balance sheet will get another big boost when we receive the proceeds from our asset sales and work through our cash lock-up in the DRC and Tanzania. We will also be driving hard to manage our costs down and capture as much of this increased margin as possible, as we maintain a clear, disciplined posture. I will now hand over to Sicelo to cover the Africa region. Thank you.