Christine Ramon
Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead
Thank you, Graham. Good morning and good afternoon, everyone. As you've heard from Venkat and my other colleagues, we continue to deliver on our self-help measures reflected in the strong set of results again beating market consensus views. These improved metrics together with lower debt levels have resulted in improved free cash flow generation in the Group providing the much needed flexibility in the current volatile environment. I'll now talk through our fourth quarter's and full year's performance and conclude on the outlook for 2016. Slide 32, our geographic diversification continues to differentiate AngloGold Ashanti from the majority of its peer group providing resilience in a volatile market. With the exception of the dollarized environment in Continental Africa, we realized benefits which cushioned the impact of the lower gold price in South Africa, Brazil, Argentina and Australia. Together these comprised the remaining two-thirds of our production. We note that even though the gold price has declined by 8% in the past year, on a production weighted basis the Group has realized a 30% increase in the gold price when taking our currency exposure into account. We remain sensitive to changes in our currency baskets and the oil price and we issue the following sensitivities with a health warning. For every $10 per barrel change in the average Brent crude oil price, it will impact our cash cost by approximately $8 per ounce and for every 1% change in our currency basket it will impact our cash cost by approximately $6 an ounce. Slide 33, despite the falling gold price since the fourth quarter of 2012, we have been able to steadily reduce both our all-in sustaining costs and all-in costs per ounce through relentless focus on cost controls, portfolio improvements and operational excellence. All-in sustaining costs have been reduced by approximately $735 per ounce from the quarterly peak and all-in costs has been cut by more than $1,200 an ounce over the same period. Our margins have improved through the cycle, reflecting a 3% improvement in our all-in cost margin compared to last year at 21%. Slide 34, quarter four, has delivered a strong operational and cost performance with production and cash cost beating guidance. Year-over-year production declined due to the disposal of CC&V, Obuasi's move into limited operation, South Africa's disruptions linked to safety stoppages and the grade related reduction in contribution from Australia. Both the cash costs and all-in sustaining costs for quarter four at $663 an ounce and $860 an ounce respectively are the lowest since 2012 and reflects the benefits of our cost savings initiatives, weaker currencies, lower oil prices, favorable inventory movements and lower sustaining capital spend. All-in costs for Q4 were $959 an ounce. Despite 3% lower adjusted EBITDA at $388 million for quarter four margin improved to approximately 38% compared to a little under 33% in 2014. Free cash flow for the quarter at $160 million improved significantly as a result of lower all-in costs, tax and VAT refunds, which together amounted to $36 million, favorable inventory movements which amounted to $35 million and lower finance costs. Moving onto Slide 35, looking at the cost performance in the year -- year-on-year, we note that efficiencies were key to delivering the improvement in cash costs for the quarter compared to last year as the favorable currency effects were offset by inflation and lower volumes and grades. All-in sustaining costs per ounce were $145 per ounce lower in quarter four compared to last year on the back of lower cash costs, lower sustaining capital and favorable rehabilitation and other non-cash effects. In particular, the lower sustaining capital benefited from favorable currency effects, mine plan adjustments at Iduapriem resulting in lower deferred stripping and lower ORD development in the South Africa region due to the safety stoppages. The lower deferred stripping together with favorable currency effects can be banked as permanent savings and the ore reserves development in South Africa is regarded as a timing issue. Moving on to Slide 36, the full year ended with an adjusted headline earnings of $49 million or US$0.12 per share compared to an adjusted headline loss of $1 million last year. As indicated on the slide, we normalize the adjusted headline earnings for deferred tax rates, prior year adjustments, inventory and other provisions for comparability purposes. Adjusted headline earnings was mainly impacted by the 8% decline in the gold price, lower ounces sold and inflation increases, whilst it was offset in part by weaker local currency, lower oil prices, improvements in operating costs and lower finance costs. Slide 37, the $819 million net proceeds received from the disposal of CC&V in August 2015 helped reduce the net debt levels in the Group by approximately 30% compared to last year. We have now reached our target net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.5 times through the cycle and we compare favorably to our peers. The ample headroom to our capital levels of 3.5 times net debt to adjusted EBITDA, our stronger liquidity, sufficient undrawn facilities and long dated maturities provides the financial flexibility required in the current volatile environment. Slide 38, our self-help measures have benefitted our free cash flow generation and for the first time since 2011 we have been free cash flow positive on an unadjusted basis and that is after taking all costs and CapEx into account, including tax. On an adjusted basis, excluding once-off payments related to the bond offer repurchase premium in 2015, the Obuasi retrenchment payments and the Rand Refinery loan in 2014, for two consecutive years we have been free cash flow positive. Going forward we expect the positive cash flow momentum to continue, benefiting from efficiency improvements as well as the leverage to currencies and the oil price. Furthermore, we will be significantly reducing the spend in Colombia to approximately $44 million in 2016 reflecting AGA's attributable share while retaining optionality on the project spend. As Graham mentioned, we will be proceeding to secure a reimbursement package for Obuasi and the related spend in this limited operational space will be reduced to approximately $70 million in 2016. We have saved about 30% on our annual interest bond by repurchasing 62% of the high yield bond in the past year. We continue to see the option on the high yield bond at the end of July 2016 as an opportunity and we will keep all options open in this regards. Hence, we will prioritize further deleveraging in 2016 with the aim of further optimizing the interest bill in order to improve free cash flow. We are focused on creating a platform to deliver sustainable returns to shareholders whilst pursuing incremental growth opportunities. Finally on Slide 39, which deals with the outlook for 2016. Our production guidance of 3.6 million to 3.8 million ounces takes into account the disposal of CC&V. Obuasi in limited operations phase with no production, planned reductions in Geita and Tropicana according to the mine plan, mitigated by the recovery in South Africa. Please note that the first half in South Africa factored in a slower startup post the festive season and the Easter break. No production disruptions, power shortages or changes to the asset portfolio have been factored into the outlook. Cash costs have been guided at $680 to $720 an ounce and all-in sustaining costs at $900 to $960 an ounce and that takes into account the revised exchange rates and oil prices as stated as well as the lower production guidance and grade variances. Capital expenditure of $790 million to $850 million includes project capital of $120 million to $140 million, which relates to Siguiri, the Kibali underground and Mponeng with 85% of CapEx in 2016 relating to sustaining capital. In order to reduce costs slightly and keep the focus on the value-adding business initiatives AngloGold Ashanti will be moving to half-yearly reporting. We will continue to provide market updates on selected key data on a quarterly basis. However, the full interim financial reporting will now be done on a six-monthly basis. We will continue to engage with the market in this regard. I will now hand over to Venkat to conclude.