Srinivasan Venkatakrishnan
Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead
Thank you, Richard. If we can move on to Slide number 32, what you see before you is the gold price tracked from around April 2012 to April 2014. As you can see, the impact of the gold price drop has been formidable within an 18-month period and AGA had to adapt very quickly with a rapid turnaround response and we have successfully done that and if you look at the ultimate measure, which is the free cash flow, which is after all outgoings; tax, interest, capital, the whole lot, in the second quarter of 2013, we were negative $497 million. In the third quarter of 2013, we were negative $205 million. In the fourth quarter of 2013, we were negative $82 million and in the first quarter of 2014, we are positive $9 million. On Slide number 33, we've put together what the production has done during 2013 quarter on quarter and what the all-in sustaining costs have done over the same period and bearing in mind that the first quarter and to a certain extent, the second quarter tend to be not only our weaker quarters, we've superimposed on that slide, what the first quarter of 2014 production, and all-in sustaining cost were. The key messages from the slide are, we've pulled together five quarters of consistent good delivery in pretty challenging market conditions. As a team, we've been able to show production growth and cost decline over this period. Quarter one and quarter two tend to be weaker quarters, but as you can see year-on-year improvement is noticeable both on production and on cost. Having said that, we should never underestimate the headwinds, which continue to be formidable in a business like ours and it may cost us to miss a quarter here and there, but certainly the overall trend line is setting in the right direction. Moving on to Slide number 34, which is a snapshot of our corporate and exploration cost reductions. Our cost saving efforts have been markedly apparent when it comes to this area of cost and we have shown there what the quarterly profile has done through 2013 into 2014. In the case of exploration, as Graham mentioned, it's focused exploration efforts taking into account the price environment where we see the best bang for our buck. In terms of corporate cost it has involved extensive restructuring, removing inefficiencies and duplication, but placing a lid on our indirect spend as well. As Richard mentioned, the first quarter of any year, tends to have some timing benefits. So our annual numbers, which we provided in the last call for 2014 remain valid. Exploration and evaluation is $150 million to $175 million and corporate costs are $120 million to $140 million, a bit more than annualizing the first quarter by four times. Turning to capital expenditure, you would recall 2012 and 2013 were heavy capital years for AngloGold Ashanti as we were building Tropicana and Kibali. We are starting to see the project capital reduce and the cash flows come in from those two projects. Our sustaining capital of 2013 was just over $1 billion and for 2014 including deferred stripping, it's around $1 billion. Project capital for 2014 has come down markedly to $400 million and it reflects spend on CC&V mine life extension, Mponeng below 120 level, the Kibali underground and the declined project at Obuasi. To conclude with Slide number 36, which is a scorecard of what we promised in terms of delivery just over a year ago, if you look at it from the foundation of the business on people, safety and sustainability, we have kept a core team intact where safety performance has improved significantly. Thanks to very good foundation and system, which were put in place over the last five to six years and our sustainability record has been improving considerably and environmental incidence has reduced. Looking at the financial flexibility, the $1.25 billion seven-year bond improves our debt tenure and provides liquidity. Debt covenants have been relaxed temporarily by the bank for two testing periods, but we are not being able to -- we've not had the need to use the loosened covenants. We are well within our original schedule. In terms of debt levels, currently the net debt of $3.1 billion is reflective on the capital, which was spent on the two acquisitions, which is Mine Waste Solutions and MSG Serra Grande and the project spend on Tropicana and Kibali close to around $2 million. So two thirds of the debt reflects the money, which we have spent on the projects. Turning to the cost side, our all-in sustaining costs, our overhead and exploration cost and CapEx and all-in costs have all come down by respectable margins year-on-year and that is seen in our numbers, which we have published. Looking at the portfolio we are fortunate to have two new projects coming on stream last year in the third quarter ramping up through fourth quarter and the first quarter Kibali and Tropicana, both commissioned ahead of time and on budget. The Navachab sale is in progress for $110 million. The process is with the regulators in Namibia at the moment going through the normal approval process and the Cripple Creek and Victor expansion is on track and on schedule. In terms of our exploration spend, focused exploration in respect of three areas would exit from six countries and our South African technology innovation continues to make significant progress. So in terms of 2014 the areas of focus will continue to remain safety, quality of production being improved and cost. On the debt level, we've made good progress by improving our financial position, by addressing our operating and our capital cost base, our broader financial flexibility by addressing the refinancing risk, diversifying our sources of funding, extending our maturity profile and improving our liquidity headroom. However leverage levels are still high and therefore financial flexibility is going to be a key area of our focus going forward for us. Having achieved a number of the above objectives, we are certainly taking all of our efforts now to address the problem child in the portfolio, which is the Obuasi mine. We are tackling this asset head-on now as the cash bleed is simply not affordable given where the gold price environment is. To put it in context, the mine consumed $120 million of cash flow from corporate. In 2012, $220 million in 2013 and has drawn $40 million in the first quarter of 2014. And as Graham outlined, we are drawing a line and we are taking a radical approach to this mine, which has been in operation for over 100 years. We have been spending a fair amount of time investing six to nine months working in partnership with the Governments of Ghana, the Union and the stakeholders and we have widely consulted with a range of government officials, union and stakeholders as follows. In terms of the government, notably our Sector Minister, Honorable Alhaji Fuseini, who has been extremely supportive in terms of addressing the challenges at the mine. The Minister for Environment and other ministers, our principle regulators, which is the Minerals Commissions and the EPA, the traditional chiefs and kings of the Ashanti region and the Obuasi area, the Members of Parliament and the Members of the Local Counsel for Obuasi, the General Secretary and the Leadership team of the National Ghana Mineworkers Union and a good cross section of our employees and other wide group of stakeholders. The support we have received from all of the stakeholders and in particular, our Sector Minister and the Environmental Minister and the General Secretary and his team at the union have been remarkable in terms of taking the short term paying, which is needed at the community to protect the long term future of the mine. The principle advantage of our proposal, which is in its initial stages, which we will continue to develop over the next few months includes a collective approach by all stakeholders to address what is ultimately a common problem in Ghana. It stems the cash bleed rate at the mine going forward. Importantly, it ends legacy overhangs and outdated business models, which have been in practice for several years and it makes the asset far more attractive, opening up strategic alternatives, which are currently not available to the mine. With those concluding remarks, happy to take any questions.