Pete Gundermann
Analyst · CJS Securities. Please proceed
Thanks, Debbie, and good morning, everybody. We’re going to do the normal routine of talking through our second quarter results and including the review of our expectations for the rest of the year and then do questions and answer as usual. So, the highlights for the second quarter. You saw the numbers this morning. It was a strong topline performance for our Company. We had record consolidated revenues. Our Aerospace segment turned in another record performance on the top line, and our Test segment had its best quarter in three years or so, almost tripling sequentially what it did in the first quarter. With the strong topline performance, our margins recovered well from our first quarter, again largely driven by the volume improvement. And finally, we remain on target for our 2018 forecast, which at the midpoint calls for consolidated sales of about $790 million, up about 25% from where we ended last year. So, diving into the details of the second quarter. Specifically, revenue was strong at $208 million. That is a new all-time high, as I said, about 38% higher than our comparative period of a year ago and up about 16% from our first quarter of 2018. Acquisitions, specifically Telefonix contributed about $27 million of the $58 million in growth. So, if you’re inclined to back out the acquisition growth, you will find organic growth in the quarter was about 20%. As I mentioned, Aerospace set another record at $166 million in revenue, up about 28% over the comparator period but up marginally over the first quarter. Test is -- gets a lot of credit for our second quarter results with revenue of $42 million, doubling the comparator quarter of a year ago and tripling the first quarter of 2018. Margins responded nicely with the increased volume. We had net income of $14 million, about 6.7% of sales, up substantially from $7.7 million and 5.1% of sales in the year ago period. We talked a fair bit about margins in our first quarter call. And to recap that conversation briefly, now that we have the benefit of second quarter results in, we said at the time that the Company was sized for a higher volume. And we think our second quarter kind of confirms that thesis. With the higher volume, our margins came up substantially. It’s most easy to see in our Test side. We did experience kind of reduced purchase accounting or legal expenses as we expected. That drops from about $5.7 million of expense in the first quarter to $2.5 million in the second quarter. We made some progress, though frankly not as much progress as I might have expected in our -- some of our challenged operations on the Aerospace side, where we had collective operating losses in the first quarter of about $8.7 million; and in the second quarter that dropped to about $8 million, but not as much as we had hoped. We expect further improvement in that number over the rest of the year. In the second quarter, we had diluted earnings per share of $0.49 and that compares to about 26% in the second quarter last year. Finally, bookings were solid at a $187 million. That’s slightly off the pace from the last couple of quarters but still very strong by historical norms with the book-to-bill of 0.9 and in our Aerospace business, the book-to-bill was 0.96. So, our bookings are keeping up with our record shipments. Test was quite a bit lower at 0.66. And one way to think about that everybody knows that our Test business tends to be a little bit lumpy in terms of shipments, but bookings, if you think of it is even -- tends to be even lumpier because we tend to get big orders that are delivered over multiple periods. So, lumpy shipments, but lumpier bookings. So, we don’t get too alarmed about a Test book-to-bill of 0.66 in any particular quarter. Our backlog consolidated at the end of the second quarter was $377 million. We think that sets us up for a really good second half. We will talk about that more in a minute. Year-to-date results. Revenue, consolidated, $388 million, up 28% from $303 million last year. Acquisitions contributed about $52 million. So, organic growth year-to-date was quite a bit smaller, 0.7%. [Ph] Net income for the first half was $17.3 million, 4.5% of sales. That’s down about 10% from $19.3 million in 2017. We had $0.60 per diluted share in the first half versus $0.64 last year. One observation which I would like to put forward is that last year we started the year with our strongest margins in the first quarter and the margin profile dropped throughout the year. We think this year, 2018 is going be just the opposite trend. We started on the low side and we’re going to continue to strengthen. So, those year-to-date comparisons are going to flip pretty dramatically from this point going forward through the end of 2018. On the booking side, through six months, we had consolidated bookings of $383 million. That’s the book-to-bill of 0.99, just almost exactly equal to shipments. Aerospace through six months has a positive book-to-bill of 1.03. So, bookings are leading shipments a little bit. Test is showing book-to-bill of 0.76. Turning to our segments. The Aerospace segment, specifically, again, revenues in the second quarter of $166 million, up 28% over the comparator period, operating profit of $18.2 million or 11%. Bookings were $159 million. That’s a little bit of a drop to where we’ve been in the previous quarters, but still strong with the second quarter book-to-bill of 0.96 and a year-to-date book-to-bill of 1.03, ending backlog in the second quarter of $299 million, among our highest ever, and quite adequate for where we expect to go through the rest of the year. Looking at year-to-date numbers referring to some the charts in our press release. Revenues of $331 million that’s about 85% of our consolidated total and again, up 24% over the first half of 2017. Operating profit of $31 million, 9.5% of sales. That’s down a little bit from where we were through the first half of 2017. But, we expect those numbers to flip as we’re going to have a stronger second half this year. We had a weaker second half last year. And bookings are hanging in there with the book-to-bill of 1.03, $340 million through the first six months. Looking at some of the market numbers and product line numbers. Commercial Transport sales through the first six months were $266 million. That’s about 70% of our total sales and up strongly at 27%, 28% compared to where it was last year. Our acquisition of Telefonix gets a lot of the credit for that. If you look at our major product lines, our Electrical Power & Motion, which includes our In-Seat Power franchise, which makes up a significant portion but not all of the category, had second quarter sales of $67.6 million, up 8% over the comparator quarter and $140 million year-to-date, up a smaller 3.9%. We’re pretty excited about prospects for this group. And the demand continues to be pretty strong, despite the smaller 3.9% growth through the first six months. And as a sneak preview, our expectation is that by the end of the year, we will see strong double-digit growth for the year cumulatively in our Electrical Power & Motion group in 2018 over 2017. Lighting & Safety, a major product line of ours, $86 million through the first half, 22% of total, about flat with the year before. And Avionics, this is where we categorize a lot of the Telefonix product lines that are -- that we’re delivering on today, about $69 million sales in the first half, that’s up pretty crazy 245% and making that 18% of our total. Before I forget, let me make a little comment here that our Telefonix acquisition is working out very, very well. If you kind of read the little comments throughout the press release, the group there’s doing a really good job, fitting into our company culturally, strategically and executing on their business plan. So, it’s only been six or seven months, but we’re very pleased with how that -- how that group is performing so far. We’re happy to have them as part of the team. Some trends in Aerospace. Market demand continues to be really strong. We’re setting record sales; we’re having record bookings; and we’re very, very busy on the front end of our business, kind of across the Company. And we don’t see that changing. There are some weak spots here and there, there are some scheduled slides in various programs, particularly things we’re trying to get going on the incentive internal side of our business or some foreign military programs but by and large, demand continues to be very solid. There’s always a little bit of price pressure. We see it in some places in our business, especially in product lines that have grown dramatically over the years, but it’s not dramatically changing things. We have been spending some time in recent weeks trying to understand the potential implications of the tariff talk, which dominates the airwaves these days. And we don’t have any definitive answers today because nothing is firm yet. But potentially, it could be a negative impact, difficult to quantify. But we think it -- in a worst case scenario to be somewhere in the neighborhood of $10 million charge or something like that. But, there’s a lot of puts and takes between here and there we believe. Turning to our Test segment. Again, a very good second quarter, revenues of $42 million, almost double last year and triple the first quarter. The operating profit was $6.3 million, 14.7% of sales. The improvement was driven by strong semiconductor test shipments. Those were bookings that were pretty evident in the second half of ‘17. If you look back at those booking numbers from the second half of ‘17, you’ll realize we still have quite a bit in backlog. And that backlog is expected to deliver substantially in Q3, maybe a little bit in Q4 and Q1 of 2019. But, it’s good to see that demand come through which we’ve been waiting for, for quite a while. Year-to-date revenue is $57 million, up 50% from last year. Operating profit year-to-date $4.3 million, 7.6% with Q2 contributions covering the loss from the first quarter. Bookings in the second quarter were $28 million, that’s a book-to-bill of 0.66. We actually had some success in the Aerospace & Defense side, and we have some other prospects which we are not ready to talk about today, but we believe we’re on the verge of some important wins. But, I guess, we’ll have to communicate some other way if and when they happen. But, I guess, I’d tell you that between the semiconductor business and the A&D business, we’ve got a more optimistic prospect list for potential business than we’ve had some time. And we believe that we’ve got more good times ahead of us, not like 2017 or even 2016 for that matter. Our backlog at the end of second quarter was $78 million. We think that’s really good enough to drive our forecast for the year. Balance sheet. At the end of the second quarter cash was from $10.7 million, total debt of $265 million. We expect our cash position to strengthen as the year progresses. The one thing that could throw a wrench in that is substantial Test orders that require material investments, which may deliver in 2019 rather than 2018. But of course that’s a good reason to have to use cash, if it comes to. We feel that we’re comfortable where we are with our debt covenants right now. And we expect we will have more room as the year progress and we put up stronger quarters. So, looking forward, we are maintaining our initial guidance for revenue for 2018. That specifically is an expectation of consolidated sales of 765 to $815 million with Aerospace coming in at $650 million to $680 million and Test coming in at $115 million to $135 million. If you take the midpoints of all that, you would anticipate consolidated growth of about 26% for the year, Aerospace growth of about 24% for the year and Test growth of about 39% or 40% for the year. We’re obviously maintaining the same range as we had before. That’s because there are -- there is room for things move yet. We’ve got some programs that need to be nailed down and we’ve got some of the things we expect to win, which could generate upside potential. And we would normally expect to be tightening ranges at this point, but felt it’s appropriate to leave them where they were. When you look at Q3 and Q4 specifically, for those who want to make models, we expect Q3 to be perhaps the stronger of the two with Q3 coming in, I would suggest, a little bit higher than were we were in Q2, and Q4 coming in little lighter maybe than we were in Q2. We have better insight in Q3 and Q4. So, there is room for Q4 to move. There also will be a little bit of a mix change. Q3 will have stronger semiconductor shipments, again, kind of like Q2; Q4 will be much stronger Aerospace-oriented, as we expect an uptick in certain Aerospace programs towards the end of the year. We expect also the margins will continue to improve. We talked about some of the dynamics that we’re working towards. The acquisition, legal, SG&A expenses, we expect to drop on a predictable path. And we expect that we’ll continue to make progress with our more struggling units. How much progress we can make will be something that we’ll report on when the time comes. But, we think we’ve got positive trends underway, as demonstrated by the second quarter results. And we don’t think we’re going to disappoint going forward on that front either. So, I think that concludes my prepared remarks. We’ll open up for questions now. Sherri?