Peter Gundermann
Analyst · CL King & Associates
Okay. Let's do that one first because it's relatively straightforward. Three years ago, if you were to look at, monitor airplanes coming off of the production line, both in Toulouse and, or I guess, Hamburg and Seattle, 370 and 320, you would hardly ever see a seat with In-Seat Power on it. They just weren't that, it wasn't that big a deal 3 years ago, and those airplanes that were getting power were largely getting it an aftermarket modification. In fact, I don't, I'm not sure we were really offerable three years ago. In other words, if airlines wanted to have Boeing do it, they couldn't three years ago. Today, if you were to stand at the end of those production lines and monitor seats coming off on new airplanes, you'd probably see something proportional to our market share, probably somewhere in the 10% and 20% range. It's pretty low. We would -- and in most of the installations these days we think are more aftermarket rather than line-fed. But as we roll forward, we would expect those percentages to increase so that more and more seats coming off the production line have power on them. That's the second question you asked. The first question has to do with the aftermarket, and I think what we're seeing is -- I don't think the airplanes are flying less necessarily. I think there's just a cooling off of modifications from the airlines themselves. And there could be a bunch of different reasons for that. There could be some economic stress involved, although I think it's equally as likely that a lot of the airlines are kind of reconsidering their path forward with respect to providers. And that tends to slow down the state of the business. So one of the realities in the IFE market -- and we're involved in the IFE market, but we're not an IFE provider. It's important to keep that in mind. A few years ago, it was relatively simple. The advent of connectivity, however, has brought in more and more players. So it's a pretty complex market. And airlines have more options today than they did, say, 5, 10 years ago. So part of my thinking is that there's a little bit of a pause going on where airlines are reconsidering their path. And so I would expect the aftermarket to pick up when those paths are reconsidered and they start acting on them. I would expect it also to pick up when new wide-body models get into production, most notably, the 777X and the 350.