Arturo Rodriguez
Analyst · Alliance Global Partners. Your line is open
Thank you, Devin, and thank you everyone for joining us today. On today's call, I will be discussing the following. One, a brief introduction to Aterian for our new callers. Two, a brief highlight of the fourth quarter results and a summary on how we have focused, stabilized, and simplified Aterian throughout 2024. And three, our plan for 2025, which will be focused on our avenues for growth, our continuing improvement in our profit profile, and we'll discuss the subject of tariffs, including our responses to date. Josh, our CFO, will then cover in-depth our financial results for the fourth quarter and will provide details on our financial outlook for 2025 and beyond. For those of you joining us for the first time, Aterian owns and operates its own brands, marketing and selling consumer products across multiple categories, primarily on e-commerce marketplaces. We sell our products primarily in the US, and today we derive our revenues primarily from Amazon.com, Walmart.com, Target Plus, and our own websites. Since 2014, we have either organically launched or purchased brands, and today our focus is on operating six amazing brands. They are, number one, hOmeLabs, which currently focuses on dehumidification and refrigeration, a best-selling leader of dehumidifiers on Amazon. Number two, Pursteam, another best-selling brand on Amazon which leverages the natural power of steam to clean your home with its steam ops or reduce wrinkles in your clothes with its steam irons. Healing Solution, a collection of essential oil brands provides consumers a great essential oil experience. Photo Paper Direct, our DIY or do-it-yourself iron-on transfer and photo paper, provides joy and fulfillment to all consumers who love making their own t-shirts, arts and crafts, and printing their own photos from home. Number five, Mueller Living, which focuses on innovative quality products for your kitchen and has multiple top-selling products on Amazon. And number six, and finally, Squatty Potty, the original toilet stool, the leader in the category. Squatty Potty is the number one way to go number two as it continues to help people daily around the world poop easier and better. With these six foundational brands, Aterian is well positioned to grow and consistently deliver high quality affordable products to consumers. Now, briefly to our fourth quarter performance. We are pleased with our fourth quarter results as we delivered our net revenue at the high end of our guidance. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter landed essentially at break even in line with guidance and improvement of $5.5 million versus the same year ago quarter. And we reduced our net losses by approximately $6.4 million to $1.3 million for the quarter. The fourth quarter now closes 2024, which has been a year of achievement for Aterian. As we've delivered our key strategic objectives of focusing, stabilizing, simplifying our company. Here are the five key highlights. One, streamlining our product portfolio to six highly regarded foundational brands I just mentioned. This focused approach ensures that we are concentrating our efforts on those products that deliver the highest ROI while retaining our ability for diversification with our brands as we grow and evolve. Two, optimize our go-to-market strategy by simplifying our marketplace account structure, which improves efficiency, marketing effectiveness, and conversion rates. Three, strengthen supply chain through diversified partnerships, reduced warehouse footprints, and expanding the volume of our shipping contracts, making our operations more agile and resilient. Enhance our technology stack. Our transition to a best-in-class third-party tech platform has improved efficiency, reduced cost, and enabled faster expansion into new channels and geographies. And five, improved our financial position by right-sizing our inventory, renegotiating and extending our credit facility, and strengthening our working capital, setting a solid foundation for our future growth. These actions, along with the support of a remarkable team, produced significant improvements in 2024 in the areas of margin expansion, narrowed losses, and improved financial position. We believe the foundational work we accomplished in 2024 will allow all of us to grow and scale more predictively and efficiently starting in 2025 and beyond. We believe our momentum from 2024 will carry over to 2025 and drive a resumption of growth and improved adjusted EBITDA. We expect our net revenue for 2025 will increase between 5% and 7% from net revenues of $99 million in 2024. Excluding approximately $4 million in net revenue from discontinued SKUs that occurred in 2024, net revenue is expected to increase on a performant basis by 9% to 12%. Further, we are targeting 2025 to be essentially break-even, including the impacts of tariffs, representing a significant improvement from the 2024 adjusted EBIT loss of $2.1 million. Our 2025 growth will be driven by two key elements. One, channel and geo expansion, and two, new product launches. Channel expansion, along with omni-channel approach, is a natural progression for any product company, whether they started on Amazon, direct-to-consumer, or brick and mortar. With our third-party best-in-class software model and more nimble supply chain, Aterian is poised to expand channels, which we believe will allow us to grow our top line. In 2024, we started our expansion with Mercado Libre in Mexico and late in Q4 with Target Plus. 2025's growth on channels will continue with further expansion on our portfolio within Target Plus, as well as further growth to other Mercado Libre marketplaces. We also expect to add at least two more well-known channels in the second half of 2025. In 2025, we expect to expand further into brick and mortar and to land a select group of products into a national retailer sometime in the second quarter. For geo expansion, our focus in 2025 will be the UK. Late in 2024, we qualified our accounts for Amazon Seller Fulfilled Prime in the UK, which will allow us to expand many of our US products in the UK in the second half of 2025. As it relates to new product launches, we restarted this engine in 2024. And late in 2024, we launched three new products across our Pursteam and Mueller Living brands. As we look into 2025, we expect to launch approximately five new categories across brands. With our focused brands, we are being very thoughtful on ensuring the products we launch are in tune with our brand vision and strengths. This includes consumable-based products. We believe our product portfolio, rounding it out with consumer-based products, will allow consumers to buy repeatedly and often and will help us grow our top line and improve margins long term. Further, consumable products will allow us to pursue broader sourcing opportunities, including product sourced within the United States. Along these lines, we are very excited about the launch of our Squatty Potty Flushable Wipes. In 2025, these wipes will be sourced from Italy with the intention to begin sourcing them from the United States sometime in 2026. When launched, we believe these 100% plant-based wipes will be amongst the best in the market, delivering a great cleaning experience for users while still being safe for sensitive and eczema-prone skin, pH-balanced, alcohol-free, and up to the latest plumbing and septic standards for both the U.S. and the U.K. These wipes will be a natural fit to the Squatty Potty family and will continue to iterate the brand's dedication to improving the bathroom experience. We expect these wipes to be available in early fall and will be launched practically simultaneously in both the US and the UK markets. As to our profitability in 2025, as we continue to grow, we expect to realize improved leverage and associated profits as our growth rates outpace our fixed cost investments after factoring the impacts of recently announced tariffs. This will be further enhanced over time as we expand our push into consumable products, which with the achievement of certain volumes will, on average, have better contribution margin than many SKUs in our current portfolio. As to tariffs, this has been a very sensitive and valuable topic for the world. Our expectation and guidance does factor the latest tariffs, the 20% on China-sourced imports, and to a lesser extent, Canada. We have planned to raise prices to offset, as best as possible, the impacts amongst other actions. We do believe further increased tariffs on China goods will be impactful in the short term, and we would see pressure on our growth rates and leverage. During 2024, we have made efforts with our manufacturing partners to find alternative regions to source and manufacture our key products. Today, we source approximately 75% of our net revenues from China. And we are working with our manufacturer partners to have that number reduced by 50% by the end of 2026. Once the previously announced reciprocal tariffs are communicated, we will be able to more definitively understand the impacts to our cost of goods if we're to move manufacturing away from China and revise these sourcing targets as necessary. We feel confident that we have the ability to further diversify our supply chain away from China over the coming years on our existing products if the cost structure makes sense. Further, as previously mentioned, as we continue to expand our product launches into consumable-based goods, we naturally will see a diversification away from China. With our strong balance sheet, we believe we can navigate these challenges, allowing us to adapt as needed while continuing to focus on long-term growth and profitability. As for our capital deployment, we are excited to announce that our board of directors has approved a two-year share repurchase program, allowing us, at our discretion, to repurchase up to $3 million of shares of our common stock on the open market over the next two years. This buyback reflects a collective confidence in the company's future, the strength and flexibility of our financial profile, and our commitment to shareholders. We firmly believe that Aterian stock is significantly undervalued, and this repurchase program underscores our conviction in the long-term value we are creating. Finally we continue to consider M&A and we still believe this may help our growth opportunistically. However, given the opportunity landscape for organic growth, this is not a primary focus. In closing, Aterian is a turnaround story that is evolving into a growth story. Our passionate, talented, and tenacious people worldwide have worked and addressed a variety of issues that impeded our success in the past and have reconstructed a foundation that we believe will allow us to grow and deliver long-term shareholder value. It was just about 12 months ago that we reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of more than $22 million for 2023. In just one years time, we've improved that figure by more than $20 million. And now, we are proud to report our expectation for even further progress in 2025, including our first year of growth in a very long time. Still a lot of work to do, but we are excited for the challenges ahead. We are confident that we have the balance sheet strength and operational agility to navigate this environment, including tariffs, allowing us to continue to grow Aterian, while improving our operating performance. And most importantly, we remain grateful for the continued support of our shareholders. I am looking forward to a successful 2025. And with that, I will pass the call to Josh.