Arturo Rodriguez
Analyst · Oppenheimer
Thanks, Yaniv, and good day, everyone. Here are the financial performance details of our third quarter. For the third quarter of 2021, net revenue increased 16% to $68.1 million from $58.8 million in the year ago quarter from an increase in net revenue from our acquisitions, offset primarily by a decrease in our organic business, net revenue reduction in wholesale net revenue. The current quarter net revenue of $68.1 million is comprised of $35.4 million of our organic business, which is the revenue from our built brands and acquired brands after one year purchase; $30.7 million of net revenues from our mergers and acquisitions; wholesale of $1.9 million; and $0.1 million of our past business. The year ago quarter net revenue of $58.8 million was comprised of $46.9 million of organic business; $1.4 million of net revenue from our mergers and acquisitions; $10 million of wholesale, which was predominantly PPE; and $0.3 million of pass. As a reminder, our first material acquisition happened in the third quarter of 2020. The decrease in our organic business of $11.5 million is related to a decrease in our sustained phase products of approximately $11.1 million to $29.1 million from $40.2 million when excluding M&A revenue; due to an increased pricing of our products affected by global supply chain disruptions, which has led to reduced sales velocity, the opening of retail and changing and consumer habits in the initial phase of COVID-19's reopening; and impacts from products which sold well during the initial COVID-19 phase last year but did not have the same repeat performance due to demand on pricing, which represents approximately $5 million of the $11.5 million decrease. Our organic business also saw a slight increase in launch phase revenue of $0.3 million to $5.3 million. We launched zero products in this quarter versus eight in the last year's quarter. Year-to-date, we have launched 40 products versus 32 the same prior year-to-date period. Even though the rate of year-to-date product launches grew, we did not have the same success as market conditions and our need to raise pricing due to supply chain disruptions has led to a decrease in demand and performance of certain of our recently introduced products. This has also led our products staying longer in their launch phase than originally planned. As Yaniv mentioned previously, we have decided to pause the launching of our products for the time being until supply chain normalizes. Our M&A revenue of $30.7 million is in line with expectations for Smash and PPD and Squatty Potty outside of the seasonality and the timing of the closing of those acquisitions. As previously mentioned, Healing Solutions is off our expectations due to supply chain difficulties in our shift from sellers' manufacturers capabilities to new third-party vendors as previously planned. That said, we are still pleased with Healing Solutions acquisition and the long-term strength of its branded product. We still believe the upfront purchase price falls within an accessible acquisition purchase multiple. Finally, on net revenue, we suffered from inventory shorts in the quarter, which we estimate to be an impact of approximately $3 million in the current period as compared to inventory shorts of approximately $7 million in the prior year ago period. Overall, gross margin for the third quarter increased to 50.2% from 47.8% in the year ago quarter, an increase from 48.0% in Q2 2021. The quarter over sequential quarter increase in gross margin is primarily due to product mix and pricing. Our gross margin improvement versus last year is predominantly in the favorable product mix from the inclusion of our acquired brands pursuant to M&A. We believe the increased cost of shipping containers impacted our gross margin by approximately 1.5% in the third quarter alone. We expect to see a slightly larger impact in Q4. Our overall Q3 2021 contribution margin is 12.1% when excluding noncash charges from inventory step-up impacts from our acquisitions, which decreased compared to prior year's CM of 19.1%. Within CM, our sales and distribution costs were negatively impacted by global supply chain disruptions, which drove higher cost than last-minute mile fulfillment given the carrier tightness in the quarter. Our Q3 variable sales and distribution expenses as a percentage of net revenue increased to 39.4% as compared to 28.7% in the year ago quarter. We expect to see these impacts continue in the current quarter. Q3 2021 saw our sustained products contribution margin decrease to 15.9% versus 23.6% in Q3 2020. Outside of the action items discussed, we believe we'll continue to see CM pressures for the remainder of 2021 due to the global supply chain disruptions and increased last mile cost. Adjusted EBITDA as defined in our earnings release for the third quarter of 2021 was $0.7 million compared to $5.1 million in the third quarter of 2020. Our operating loss for the quarter includes $9.6 million of stock-based compensation expense and also includes income from change in fair value contingent liabilities of $4.3 million, which is primarily related to a decrease in the share price at September 30 versus June 30, 2021. Our net loss for the quarter has been impacted by our equitization of the majority of the High Trail debt, leading to a distinguishment loss of $107 million, offset by income from our change in warrant valuations due to stock price fluctuations of $8.1 million. Turning to the balance sheet. As of September 30, we had cash of $37.5 million compared to $61.9 million at the end of June 30. The decrease in cash is predominantly driven by previously reported $10 million cash payment to our lender, cash net loss and working capital. As we previously disclosed, in order to navigate through the global supply chain disruption, we will need to increase our inventory on hand and purchase inventory earlier than initially anticipated. This will put pressure on our minimum liquidity requirements during the early part of 2022 as we build for our summer 2022 seasonal products such as ACs and humidifiers. As previously mentioned, we equitized the majority of our High Trail debt by issuing approximately 9.3 million shares on September 23 under the terms of the loan of the agreement, leaving $25 million in loan debt with a bullet maturity in April 2023. We are in compliance with all our covenants as of September 30. We continue to be impacted by COVID-19 and the global supply chain disruptions, and we believe that these issues are temporary, they caused us to have diminished visibility and our ability to forecast our results. We will resume giving guidance as soon as the visibility improves. Having said that, our fourth quarter is our third strongest quarter, and we believe the fourth quarter will have revenues closer to $60 million. In closing, our business has been impacted by the global supply chain disruptions, and our year-over-year figures are against very difficult COVID-19 comparables in a uniquely difficult environment. As previously stated, our organic products continue to be some of the bestsellers in Amazon. We have a very strong organic brand and product portfolio. Overall, our acquired brands and products have performed well, and we remain confident in their future successes. We believe the current pressure on the profitability is acutely related to the global supply chain disruption. The actions we have taken and continue to progress are key for us to help navigate through this different environment and will help us direct us back towards profitability. For example, assuming 2020 normative contribution margins, which we still believe to be achieved in the future and with our typical disclosed adjustments, the Company believes its Q3 2021 adjusted EBITDA would be similar, if not better, than the prior year's figure. Although we have been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and the related global supply chain disruptions, we continue to be very confident and proud of our business, one, that we've built; we're proud of our products, both organic and acquired; our technology, our logistics network; and most importantly, our dedicated and hard-working people across the globe. Together, we believe Aterian will overcome these challenges and continue to be a leader in our industry. With that, I'll turn it to the operator to open the call to questions.