Michael McQuade
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question
Thanks Rajat. Looking at the state of the North American steel market today, we are clearly seeing pricing levels off from the highs of just a few months ago. However, prices still remain historically higher than any point prior to 2021 and approximately double mid-cycle pricing. We expect pricing to find a near-term equilibrium and we remain optimistic about where that level should shake out. This is supported by the fundamentals we see in the market and in our order book. We have a diverse customer base that provides selling opportunities across Canada and the U.S. traditionally servicing as many as 150 customers in a calendar year. We strategically target a higher percentage of contract sales and currently sell approximately 65% of our steel on contract. These volume commitments provide stability to our order book and operations and the lagging price mechanics helped us move some of the volatility experienced when prices shift up or down quickly. We sell a wide range of offerings that include play products, which currently enjoy a price premium of over $685 per ton as compared to hot-rolled coil. We've always maintained that investments in our plate mill should service well, given we are Canada's only producer and heat treater of discrete plate products. Our modernization project remains on track and we recently completed the assembly of our new hot leveler and commissioned our automated 3D surface inspection unit, which is designed to further enhance our capabilities. We look forward to completing this project during the balance of calendar 2022. We have a number of reasons to be optimistic that the near and intermediate term pricing will settle at attractive levels. These potential positive factors include underlying strong demand from the automotive sector and other steel intensive industries and supply factors relating to imports. We are well-positioned to benefit from these favorable market conditions operationally, even as we execute the development and construction of the EAF project, providing a real one-two punch of long-term value creation to our shareholders. Now, let me talk a little bit more about our capital allocation policy. Our primary focus is on delivering long-term shareholder value by utilizing prudent financial discipline and operational excellence to ensure our ability to execute our EAF project, ushering in the next phase in our company's history. In the meantime, the steps we have taken to strengthen the balance sheet and to position our operations to benefit from strong market pricing have also afforded us the opportunity to initiate a $0.05 per share regular quarterly dividend. Finally, we have initiated a normal course issuer bid program that gives us the flexibility to be opportunistic and allow for the purchase of our shares in the open market from time-to-time. It's exciting to have reached a point in our history, where we can produce attractive results from existing operations, develop and build transformative new assets, initiated dividends, and considering repurchasing our shares from time-to-time, quite a change from where we were just a few short quarters ago. We will continuously reevaluate our capital allocation policy with the Board as we expect it to be a significant generator of free cash over the longer term. That being said, I will reiterate that our focus is to live within our means, not spend money we do not yet have. So, in conclusion, our fiscal third quarter included achieving a number of major milestones in our 120-year history, including our return to public markets, the retirement of our senior secured debt, the decision to proceed with our transformative EAF development project, achievement of historically strong financial results, and a continued legacy of safety for our employees. We now enter a phase centered on new project development and construction with the dual EAF facilities, a generational investment designed to forever change how steel is manufactured in Sault Ste. Marie, and that Algoma as well-capitalized and positioned to execute. Our team is focused both operationally and financially on this critical investment to make our business greener, more competitive, and more resilient. We expect this transformation will create a compelling value proposition for all of our stakeholders. Thank you very much for your continued interest in Algoma Steel. We very much look forward to what the future holds. At this point, we would be happy to take your questions. Operator, please give the instructions for the Q&A session.