William B. Shepro
Analyst · Omega Advisors. Your line is open
Good morning and thank you for joining today's call. Before I discuss our 2017 results and our outlook for 2018, I want to highlight a few key factors that are set forth on Slide 3, which we believe are significant for our investors, lenders and other stakeholders. First, Altisource is a capital-light company with long-term customer contracts. Second, Altisource generates strong operating cash flow and has limited CapEx requirements. Third, our momentum of customer wins accelerated in Q3 and Q4 and continues into 2018. Fourth, we have been and are investing in our businesses to support our competitive positioning and the tremendous opportunities our newer businesses represent. Fifth, two competitors, one field services provider and the other in the online auction space, recently sold at very attractive multiples relative to our market valuation. And finally, we believe 2018 will be an inflection point for Altisource, with anticipated 2019 adjusted pre-tax income equal to or greater than 2018, with growth in the following years. Turning to our 2017 results and Slide 8, Altisource generated $900 million of service revenue and $2.80 of adjusted diluted earnings per share, excluding the $284 million net income tax benefit we recorded in the fourth quarter. This translates into $110 million of adjusted operating cash flow, or $100 million after CapEx. This is also after expensing approximately $16 million of investments in 2017, a number which should decline going forward. We believe these investments will generate long-term value for our shareholders and help us exploit the strong opportunities in our addressable markets. Service revenue was 105% at the midpoint of our scenarios. The higher service revenue was driven by greater revenue from Ocwen, partially offset by lower growth in revenue from non-Ocwen customers. With respect to non-Ocwen customers, we are disappointed that we did not meet our growth expectations for 2017, but we believe we are well-positioned for 2018 and beyond. We believe the pause in growth was primarily caused by some current and prospective clients deciding to perform additional diligence on Altisource following the CFPB and state actions against Ocwen in April 2017 and the uncertainty associated with NRZ's announcement in May that it was acquiring servicing rights from Ocwen. This additional diligence largely affected timing, not wins, as evidenced by our recent success at winning new business and growing market share with existing customers, as shown on Slide 9. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $2.80 was 102% of the midpoint. We benefited from the higher service revenue I just discussed, a lower effective tax rate, and fewer diluted shares, partially offset by higher investments in our newer businesses. We generated $110 million in adjusted cash flow from operations, adjusting for $28 million paid in 2017 for a 2016 litigation settlement, and increased real estate investments in the buy-renovate-lease-sell business which I'll refer to as BRS. We opportunistically purchased $60.1 million in par value of our senior secured term loan at an average discount of 10.7%, generating a $5.6 million gain. We also used $30 million to repurchase 1.6 million shares of our stock at an average price of $23.84, bringing outstanding shares to approximately 17.4 million. We ended the year with $154.2 million of cash and marketable securities, and $259.9 million of net debt less marketable securities. As you can see on Slide 10, this marks a reduction of 40% since the beginning of 2015, the year we began our discounted debt buyback program. During the fourth quarter, we amended our credit agreement to allow direct debt buybacks from the market and permit the corporate restructuring I will discuss next. The $284 million net income tax benefit recorded in the fourth quarter relates to the merger of two of the Company's Luxembourg subsidiaries, the impact of statutory tax rate changes in the U.S. and Luxembourg, and foreign income tax reserves. In December 2017, the Company merged two of its Luxembourg subsidiaries in an internal restructuring plan to simplify and streamline the Company's structure. For Luxembourg tax purposes, the transaction was recognized at fair value and generated a net operating loss of $1.3 billion. This NOL is not subject to any limitation on its usage and has a 17 year life. In short, we should not pay cash taxes on $1.3 billion of taxable income generated in Luxembourg over the next 17 years. Now, turning to our 2018 scenarios set forth on Slide 11; as you can see, at the midpoint we project total service revenue of $855 million, which includes $320 million of non-Ocwen and non-NRZ revenue. This represents a 5% decline in total service revenue but a 34% growth in non-Ocwen and non-NRZ revenue. Slide 12 reflects our updated estimates with respect to the Ocwen-NRZ portfolios. The anticipated primary drivers of the growth from other customers include expanding market share and adding new clients in our property preservation business, higher home sales volumes in our BRS business, growing origination revenue from existing and new platform customers, growth in Owners.com home closings, and other customer wins. To provide you with additional color around our Servicer Solutions and Origination Solutions growth, Slide 9 shows a summary of what we believe our 2017 and first quarter 2018 client wins could represent on a stabilized basis compared to the revenue we actually generated from these wins in 2017. In essence, these wins produced $9 million of revenue in 2017 but are expected to produce $75 million on an annualized stabilized basis over time. At the midpoint of our 2018 scenarios, we anticipate generating $2.20 of adjusted earnings per share. This reflects the previously disclosed $0.35 to $0.45 per share impact from the NRZ Cooperative Brokerage Agreement, the change in revenue mix associated with growth in our lower-margin BRS business, and a normal run-off of the Ocwen-NRZ servicing portfolio, partially offset by earnings from new clients, reduced investment spend, and expense reduction initiatives. We anticipate that Altisource will continue its long history of generating attractive cash flow while further reducing our CapEx requirements. At the midpoint of our 2018 scenarios, adjusted cash flow from operations is $90 million and capital expenditures are $8 million to $9 million. Our financial strength allows us to invest in businesses that should benefit from macroeconomic trends and our addressable markets where we can leverage our core competencies and competitive advantages. In 2018, we have budgeted for approximately $40 million in investments to build out our services and technology offerings, the majority of which is related to our Consumer Real Estate and Origination Solutions businesses. Both of these businesses demonstrated solid progress in 2017 and are well-positioned for growth. Given our strong balance sheet, significant cash flow, and long-term financial outlook, we intend to continue to opportunistically repurchase shares and reduce debt. Based upon our share price and other environmental factors, we plan to purchase approximately 1 million or more of our shares in 2018. Looking towards 2019, we believe our adjusted pre-tax income will be the same or better than 2018. Revenue growth from our client wins along with lower investment spend should offset the normal run-off of business from Ocwen and NRZ. We expect to further reduce investment spend in 2019 as we complete the development of some of our Origination Solutions' core technologies. Further, we believe Owners.com will benefit from ongoing operational improvements, generating strong growth in home closings in 2019. Now I would like to provide you with a brief overview of the market and the progress we are making with each of our four strategic businesses. Our Servicer Solutions business is operating at a very attractive time in the mortgage market lifecycle. As you can see on Slide 13, delinquencies remained close to all-time lows. However, we believe the general loosening of credit standards, FHA's increasing market share, and a growing adoption of online auction by the GSEs and FHA suggest that the opportunity for large nationwide default service and technology providers will grow. As you can see on Slide 9, during the third and fourth quarters, we had strong sales momentum, which continued to build in the first quarter of this year. During this period we received notification from 13 prospects that we've won their business. This new business includes property preservation and inspection services, real estate asset management, brokerage and auction services, and settlement services. Further, we continue to maintain a very active sales pipeline. As a result of these wins and the pipeline, we [indiscernible] non-Ocwen revenue growth. In an environment with lower origination volumes, fewer refi as a percentage of total originations, and higher underwriting costs, Altisource's Origination Solutions business differentiates itself with our unique ability to drive closed loan volume to originators and also perform fulfillment and other underwriting services at the same or lower cost as other providers. Further, as lenders expand their origination products to include non-qualified mortgages, they are increasingly looking to Altisource for loan certification insurance against loan manufacturing defects, creating additional demand for our fulfillment business. On our last conference call, we mentioned that a couple of platform correspondent lenders were expanding their wallet share with Altisource. During the first quarter of 2018, our growth trend continued as we are notified that we won two additional platform customers. These recent wins should position our Origination Solutions business for attractive revenue growth in 2018. Our next strategic business is Real Estate Investor Solutions. This business provides turnkey solutions for residential real estate investors with a focus on single-family rentals. Against the macroeconomic backdrop of low home ownership and increasing rents, we offer investors renovated and rented homes at attractive cap rates. Our vertically integrated operation has limited competition in the highly fragmented single-family rental market. During 2017, we substantially grew our BRS business, largely offsetting the decline in revenue from the services we provide to RESI. We continued to develop our acquisition and disposition programs. We grew home purchases to 257 in 2017, compared to 119 in 2016. We increased dispositions to 158 homes from 14 in 2016. We still have more work to do to get to our targeted returns and holding period, but we believe that on a stabilized basis we will be able to turn over our capital close to 2x per year and generate an annual stabilized return on capital before internal cost in the mid-teens. We are diligently scaling our operations, inventory and sales program and improving our property-level returns to achieve our 2018 objectives. Finally, our Consumer Real Estate Solutions business continues to capitalize on the growing trend of consumers using online tools to buy and sell homes. With new senior leadership in place, we implemented an agile operating model inspired by best-in-class Internet companies. In the fourth quarter, we more than doubled the number of new tests run across our Web-site and apps, compared to the third quarter. Driven by this model, Owners.com completed 862 home transactions in 2017, an improvement of 713% over the 106 transactions in 2016. We finished the year working with approximately 2,300 clients. In 2018, we anticipate close to doubling our home closings. In conclusion, I'm proud of the hard work of our team to position Altisource for long-term growth. Our customer relationships, strong cash flows, investments in our businesses, recent client wins, and robust sales pipeline, position us well for 2018 and beyond. I'd now like to open up the call for questions. Operator?