Erin Kane
Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead
Thanks, Mike. I’m now on slide five, to discuss our nylon product line, which includes our caprolactam resin and films products and represented just over 50% of our sales in the first quarter. As you can see from the chart on the right hand side of the page, industry benzene to caprolactam spreads globally have continued to fluctuate on both the year-over-year and sequential basis in the first quarter. Although we’ve seen occasional interim moves in pricing associated with industry supply constraints, macro demand uncertainty and fluctuations in input costs, we continue to see spreads maintaining levels generally associated with marginal producer economics. From the input cost perspective, benzene prices declined in the first quarter, tracking underlying oil prices. However, we’ve seen an uptick in input costs as we’ve moved into the second quarter. From a demand prospective, we continue to monitor signs of uncertainly in auto and carpet end markets, both of which are primary end users for nylon, particularly in North America. In engineered plastics, which is used primarily in automotive applications is continuing to see falling industry demand globally. In carpet, which has a tie to broader building and construction growth here in U.S., we’ve seen softening demand as we progressed through the first quarter. As we have seen and -- as we’ve been seeing inventory destocking through the value chain, we expect continued softness into the second quarter as we watch for signs of improvement in these applications. We're also monitoring supply and demand fundamentals for the marginal producers located in China, where we expect the continued dynamic environment. The environment on safety inspections that we’ve been discussing over the past two years continued to progress, particularly in response to the more recent tragic pesticides, chemical plant explosion in China that occurred in March. There have been continued fluctuations in plant utilization rates in the region, impacting producers across the nylon chain including for key feedstock materials. Despite the macro uncertainly, we continue to run our nylon assets at high utilization rates, given our low cost position globally and we will stay focused on being the most reliable domestic suppliers to serve our customers’ requirement while also advancing our product pipeline to serve higher value applications. So, let’s turn to slide six. As I mentioned earlier, we're excited to have announced the strategic alliance with Oben Group to sell BOPA films in North America. This alliance combines our commercial excellence, customer relationships, technical expertise, industry-leading resins, and channel to North America with Oben Group’s new state-of-the-art manufacturing facility, which will position us for improved performance of nylon films. We also announced today the closure of our Pottsville, Pennsylvania films plant as part of our broader strategic efforts associated with the films product line. As a reminder, we currently have manufacturing assets which were built in the 1980s and a lease facility in Pottsville, Pennsylvania where upgrade a portion of our Nylon 6 resin to films. In 2018, our nylon film sales were approximately $34 million. Although this product line represents only 2% of total AdvanSix sales, nylon films served end users with attractive long-term growth rates, reflecting macro trends such as the shift from rigid to flexible packaging. We continue to like the space and remain committed to the films industry. However, our assets are prior generation technology and approaching end of life. Based on the three investment decisions for new films lines, which can cost upwards of $30 million or more of investment, we determined a strategic alliance with an asset light approach was the best option for us and our customers. Our sales, marketing and R&D teams will continue to ensure we support our customers through these quality products and services. And we’re excited to combine our expertise with Oben to create a powerful way to go to market and create new products to meet industry needs. Subject to the finalization of third certain estimates, we expect to take a pre-tax repositioning charge associated with the closure in the range of $10 million to $12 million in the second quarter of 2019. The expected charge consists of approximately $6 million associated with a non-cash impairment of plant and business related assets. Future cash expenses associated with the charge are anticipated to be approximately $2 million for employee separation benefits and $3 million of other exit and removal costs. The closure is expected to be completed during the third quarter of 2019, and we expect a cash payback in approximately one year. It’s now very important for me to recognize and thank our employees again for their hard work, dedication and service to the possible plant to our customers over the years. We are truly committed to ensuring a thoughtful and seamless transition for everyone. Let's flip to slide seven. In ammonium sulfate which represented just over 20% of our total sales in the quarter, as we shared earlier, we have seen wet weather in the U.S. drive a later start to the planting season. As we’ve shown previously, the graphs on the right hand side, plots urea and ammonium sulfate industry retail pricing in the Corn Belt on a nutrient basis. Now, it’s because -- it’s important to note pricing as urea contains 46% nitrogen where the ammonium sulfate contains 21%. Our ammonium sulfate product is positioned with the added value proposition of sulfur nutrition to increase the yield of key crops. Based on third party-data, we’ve seen relatively stable movement in Corn Belt ammonium sulfate industry pricing as compared to nitrogen pricing overall. As a reminder, urea is the largest nitrogen fertilizer by total consumption and tends to have an underlying influence on all other nitrogen nutrient products. Nitrogen fertilizer pricing has been dynamic over the last two quarters, following a weak fall application season in the U.S. One phenomenon we’ve seen play out in the early part of 2019, again is the late start to the season, particularly the cold and wet weather in key regions. The industry has also faced significant logistics disruptions, particularly due to high water levels and flooding along the key Mississippi River. These delays have impacted the timing of fertilizer applications. However, we continue to believe we’re well-positioned to execute on spring demand and will remain agile to move through the second quarter and the balance of the spring season. As we look towards the rest of 2019, we do expect the nitrogen fertilizer environment to strengthen seasonally into spring with the second quarter being stronger than the first. We continue to monitor several factors impacting the overall global nitrogen environment, including China urea utilization and exports, and the expectation of increased planted acres for key crops like corn and wheat. The ag environment remains dynamic and we’ll continue to stay focused on sustaining our ammonium sulfate value proposition on sulfur nutrition. Let’s turn to slide eight for an update on chemical intermediates. Our chemical intermediates product line represented just under 30% of our total sales in the quarter. As a reminder, acetone represents half of our chemical intermediates portfolio or approximately 15% of AdvanSix revenue. The chart on the right hand side of the page again shows refinery grade propylene costs and U.S acetone prices based on third-party data. Overall, acetone remains in an oversupply position. Historically, high levels of imports into the U.S., access global inventory as well as aggressive trader activity have put continued pressure on regional pricing and spreads in recent quarters. From an input prospective, acetone prices also moved lower in the first quarter, reflecting a decline in propylene costs. Moving into the second quarter, we anticipate now our realized acetone price of raw to continue to be compressed at or below what we’ve seen in the last six months. Now to the fact that the already challenged environment we’ve been discussing is now compounded with softer demand in MMA or methyl methacrylate space, following both planned and unplanned downtime at several producers as well as extended demand disruptions as a result of the recent terminal fire at the ITC Deer Park, Texas facility in the Gulf Coast. These issues have further complicated logistics getting in and out of the already backlogged Houston ship channel and impacted customers throughout the region into the second quarter. With an already oversupply condition and a significant portion of the large fire segment disrupted, acetone supply is expected to further lengthen in the near-term. I would also like to take the opportunity to provide an update on the ongoing Acetone anti dumping petition. As you’ve likely seen on April 4th, U.S. International Trade Commission voted to proceed to the U.S Department of Commerce for investigation. The Commission determined there is reasonable indication of material injury to the industry as a result of imports from Belgium, Korea, Singapore, South Africa and Spain. The investigation on acetone from Saudi Arabia was dropped, but I’d note, that represented less than 5% of the total imported volume. We expect the investigation process to be completed over the next 10 to 12 months. Let me turn the call back now over to Mike to discuss the cash flow and outlook.