Bill Wulfsohn
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is now open
Thank you, Seth, and good morning everyone. In my remarks this morning, there are three key themes I would like to cover. First, we have taken action to offset areas outside of our control to stabilize earnings in a very difficult environment. As largely anticipated when we established our annual plan, we have been impacted by the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and the loss related to the Colgate-Gantrez oral care reformulation. Now more recently, unlike others, we have been impacted by market demand weakness and negative trade dynamics. More specifically, impacting our demand was a weak season for sunscreen products in the U.S. and Europe and also new tariffs for materials exported out of China. The 25% tariffs impact of the competitiveness of certain sunscreen and other products we export into the U.S. New China regulatory requirements also impacted demand for certain preservative formulations. In the aggregate, we estimate that on a year-to-date basis, these factors could have negatively impacted ASIs EBITDA by approximately 10% year-over-year. In this context, the team has taken meaningful action. More specifically, we have grown our sales at or faster than the market in Pharma, nutraceuticals, Coatings and Nutrition. We have raised prices over and above raw material inflation, we have reduced year-to-date SG&A spend by 9% on an FX-neutral basis and we have also reduced plant fixed cost by consolidating our production footprint and by improving reliability and reducing costs with the implementation of Ashland's production system. And while the net result is not what we expected earlier this year, we have achieved year-to-date earnings growth versus prior year for Ashland, a 90 basis point improvement in EBITDA margins and essentially flat Specialty Ingredients adjusted EBITDA margins on a year-to-date basis. Importantly, these results demonstrate that our actions and our portfolio evolution has led to much lower levels of cyclicality than in prior periods. Second, we are confident in our strategy and our future. In fiscal year 2018, we grew Ashland's adjusted EBITDA by 20% and adjusted EPS by 47%. The same operating levers have made a meaningful impact on our fiscal year '19 results to date. As we take a very early look at fiscal year 2020, the negative factors beyond our control should lessen substantially. We are on track to largely lap in Q1, the impact of negative FX and the Colgate reformulation. And while difficult to predict in terms of exact timing, we believe, current market weakness is short-term in nature. More importantly, we are taking aggressive action to drive improved results including, driving share gain through new product launches, renegotiating contracts in adapting our supply chain to offset negative tariff related impacts, reformulating and gaining approval for new products in response to new ingredient regulations, achieving the full impact of our $120 million cost out program by the end of the calendar year. And lastly, we continue to make strong manufacturing gains as we increase our focus on lean and plant reliability. Stepping back in the bigger picture from an innovation perspective, while we faced challenges this year, we view ongoing changes in Personal Care regulatory and consumer preference trends as an opportunity to leverage our core innovation and customer partnering skills to enable Ashland to ultimately grow our share position. We have made significant changes to our innovation process and resource deployment over the last two years. The result is an increase in the size of our new product pipeline and the impact of new product sales. We are currently working additional actions to redeploy existing technical resources to focus less on business maintenance activities and instead focus more on new product development. It is important also to note that we remain committed to meeting our 25% to 27% ASI EBITDA margin targets, through a combination of pricing actions, mix improvements, volume leverage and additional cost productivity initiatives. Thirdly, we remain on track to close the Composites and Marl business sale late this summer as anticipated. Following continued discussions with the FTC, we announced an agreement with INEOS to exclude the Maleic Anhydride business from the sale. The purchase price will be adjusted to $1.015 billion, and Ashland will retain all rights to the Maleic business including the retention of any subsequent sale proceeds. The Maleic business consists of one facility in Neal, West Virginia and generates annual revenues of approximately $75 million. We continue to work with INEOS to close the transaction, and preparations for the divestiture remain on track. We anticipate receiving remaining regulatory approvals shortly and expect to close the transaction by late summer. We continue to expect to use the net proceeds now estimated at roughly $930 million for debt repayment and reduction following the close of the transaction in support of our commitment to reduce our leverage to about 2.5 turns. So in summary, we had strong growth expectations for this fiscal year. Like others, we have had significant factors outside of our control. We have taken action and are implementing our operating strategy. Gains from our actions are helping to offset the current market dynamics, the result, while less than what we are targeting is year-over-year earnings stability. We intend to complete the portfolio transformation this summer, and we expect to return to more normalized sales and earnings growth, when the market demand recovers likely later this year. We believe we have a great business, a clear strategy and a strong team focused on driving results. I will now turn the call over to Kevin for a more detailed discussion of our third quarter results.