Andrew Page
Analyst · Matthew Boss of JPMorgan
We had another strong performance in Q4 with healthy sales growth, gross margin expansion and EPS despite our decision to accelerate investment behind Salomon. The strong sales and profitability of the Amer Sports portfolio allows us to accelerate resources behind the large Solomon sneaker opportunity while still delivering great results at the group level. Let's first take a moment to reflect on the key highlights of 2025. Amer Sports Group delivered 27% growth in 2025 with broad-based strength across brand segments, regions, channels and categories. Arc’teryx continued its very strong trajectory. Salomon Softgoods entered rapid growth mode and Wilson Tennis 360 move the needle in our Ball & Racquet segment. We delivered meaningful adjusted operating margin expansion from 11.1% in 2024 to 12.8% in 2025. We also continued to reduce our leverage ratio effective tax rate and annual interest expense, leading to strong operating and free cash flow generation. Now turning to our Q4 results. Amer Sports grew sales 28% in Q4 on a reported basis and 26% in constant currency. The strong group sales performance was led by technical apparel and outdoor performance, while Ball & Racquet also delivered solid growth in the quarter. By channel, the group continued to be led by [ DTC ], which grew 38% led by Salomon Softgoods. Wholesale grew 18% globally, which was led by Arc’teryx. Regional growth was led by Asia Pacific, which grew 53%, followed by Greater China, which increased 42%. EMEA grew 21% and the Americas generated 18% growth. Moving down the P&L. Adjusted gross margin increased 140 basis points to 57.8% in Q4, primarily driven by positive segment, regional and channel mix shift. Adjusted SG&A expense as a percentage of revenue deleveraged by 220 basis points and represented 45.5% of revenues in Q4 versus 43.3% of revenues last year. The deleverage was primarily driven by outdoor performance as Salomon made the decision in Q4 to accelerate investments to support healthy long-term growth. Also, the strong growth of Wilson Softgood continues to drive elevated SG&A investment within Ball & Racquet. These factors were partially offset by Technical Apparel, which achieved SG&A leverage in Q4. Driven by the higher SG&A investments, as well as lower other operating income, our adjusted operating margin declined 110 basis points from 13.6% last year to 12.5% in Q4. Corporate expenses were $40 million, up from $12 million in Q4 last year, driven by higher share-based compensation. In addition, last year in Q4, corporate expenses benefited from certain onetime accounting reclassifications related to net finance costs. D&A was $106 million, which includes $48 million of ROU depreciation. Adjusted net finance cost in the quarter was $21 million, which comprised primarily of $20 million of interest expense. In the quarter, our adjusted income tax expense was $65 million, which equates to an adjusted effective tax rate of 27%. Adjusted net income was $176 million in Q4 compared to $90 million in the prior year period. Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.31 compared to $0.17 last year. Turning to segment results. Technical Apparel revenues increased 34% to $1 billion, led by Arc’teryx. Growth was fueled by both 37% wholesale growth and 34% D2C expansion. Technical Apparel generated a strong 6% omnicom, led by full-price selling as we intentionally pulled back our participation in key promotional events, including Black Friday and Double 11. Regionally, the Technical Apparel growth rate was led by Asia Pacific, Greater China, the Americas and EMEA. All regions grew strong double digits. Q4 was the first full quarter post the Korea distributor acquisition, which contributed a low- to mid-single-digit percentage to technical apparel's growth rate in Q4. In Q4, Arc’teryx opened 15 net new stores with 21 openings offset by the closure of 6 legacy locations as part of our ongoing strategy to optimize the quality and productivity of our store fleet. New store openings included the new Arc’teryx outlet store in Rockefeller Center in New York City and Mountain Town stores in Aspen and Park City. Arc’teryx also opened stores in Canada, Japan, Australia and China in the quarter. Looking back at full year 2025, we opened 24 net new stores, excluding the Korea acquisition, and we plan to open 25 to 30 net new Arc’teryx stores in 2026, with the largest number coming in North America and also China. Our store opening plan incorporates a similar level of gross new stores as in 2025, partially offset by the continued closure of certain outlets and other suboptimal locations. In Greater China, as planned, we had slight net store closures in 2025 which includes partner stores. However, we still grew our own store count and overall square footage in China by opening larger format, higher quality, more productive locations. In North America, I want to highlight our second New York City [ Alpa ] store, which opened in October on Fifth Avenue at Rockefeller Center. The store is the most pinnacle expression of the brand in the U.S. and we are encouraged by the strong sales this winter. The newly opened Mountain town stores in [ Aspen ] and Park City are also off to great starts. We were very pleased by Technical Apparel strong operating margin expansion in Q4. Adjusted operating margin expanded 160 basis points to 25.9% driven by strong flow-through of revenue upside in the form of SG&A leverage. This is a great proof point behind our confidence in the scalability of Arc’teryx highly productive store model as they comp positively over time. Moving to our Outdoor Performance segment, which saw revenues increased 29% to $764 million, driven by very strong performance in Salomon footwear, apparel, bags and socks and also supported by strong double-digit growth in Winter Sports Equipment. By channel, outdoor performance D2C grew 55% led by new doors and higher productivity across markets, especially in APAC and Greater China. Outdoor performance generated a 28% omni comp with strength in both stores and online. Wholesale grew 17%, driven especially by strong results in Greater China and EMEA Regionally, the outdoor performance growth rate was led by APAC in Greater China, followed by EMEA and the Americas. The popularity of Salomon footwear continues to inflect globally, and we are doing everything we can to ensure we are well positioned to fully develop this large opportunity over time. Salomon is positioned for significant growth in all three consumer regions, and we are working hard to build the right team, operational, go-to-market and brand-building functions to support our growth. In Asia, D2C continues to be the critical growth channel for Salomon led by our highly productive Salomon compact shop format. We opened 33 net new Salomon shops in Greater China this quarter, including both owned stores and partner stores, bringing our total count a year in to 286 stores, adding nearly 100 new doors in 2025. In 2026, we expect to continue store expansion in Greater China, but at a more moderate rate, adding approximately 35 net stores to the fleet. In December, we reopened the Salomon flagship store in Chendu. The store design is inspired by local [ Sechin ] mountain scenery and it is the first flagship store combining winter sports and trail ready. In APAC, we opened eight new Salomon stores in Q4, including Japan, Australia and Korea. The region finished the year with 113 Salomon stores, including partner stores with 44 net new openings in 2025. Overall brand awareness and demand for Salomon footwear is growing rapidly across Asia. In the Americas, Salomon's Softgoods growth further accelerated as we continue to lay the groundwork to support significant future growth. We are excited to see very strong order books for both spring/summer and fall/winter for 2026 with growing demand across a variety of high-quality retail partners, including RAI, Nordstrom, JD Sports, run specialty shops and other specialty retailers. We also have improved our inventory position to answer the growing demand. Our brand awareness continues to rise across the Greater New York area as our shop in Soho continues to show great traction with consumers and we opened our second New York store in Williamsburg, Brooklyn in Q4. The Williamsburg location strengthens our presence in the core New York Epicenter performing very well out the gate. Globally and in North America, we will continue to focus on our Epicenter Strategy in 2026 and beyond, particularly New York, Los Angeles and Miami. We currently plan to open 7 to 10 new Salomon shops in the U.S. this year. In EMEA, we continue to expand our store fleet and key episodes, including a third brand store in Milan and a fourth in London. And we will further develop our Europe epicenters into Spain, Germany and other key U.K. cities in 2026. For our Winter Sports equipment brands, Q4 was a strong quarter with double-digit growth despite lower snow levels in the [ ALP ] and the Rockies. In addition to strong market share in our core ski, boot and binding franchises, we continue to see incremental growth opportunities in areas such as snowboarding and protective equipment. Moving to Outdoor Performance P&L. Adjusted operating profit margin contracted 490 basis points to 6.2% as Salomon made the decision to accelerate SG&A investments to support its significant growth opportunity in the global softgoods market. Outdoor Performance gross margin continued to expand, driven by positive mix shift across product, region and channel. This was more than offset by higher SG&A in Q4 driven by key investments to fuel Salomon's long-term global growth. These investments include impactful marketing campaigns to drive long-term brand awareness, including XT-Whisper and gravel, the MECO Olympics-related marketing, Also, we accelerated retail expansion, especially in China, where we opened 25 net new brand stores in Q4. And Lastly, we increased investment in talent and operations, including higher incentive compensation given Salomon's performance versus plan, new talent acquisitions, such as our new Creative Director, [ Endostim ], and opening Salomon's new Paris hub. I want to emphasize that we are seeing tangible benefits and high returns from our accelerated investments, including meaningful uplift in Salomon's brand awareness since 2023, which has increased 15 points globally, including plus 15 points in Paris and plus 10 points in London. Moving to Ball & Racquet. Revenue increased 14% to $337 million, driven by soft goods, baseball and golf. We continue to see very strong momentum in Tennis 360 globally. By category, the growth was led by soft goods, up very strong double digits with continued momentum in all regions. Softgoods now represents approximately 15% of segment revenue. Racquets had slower growth in the quarter due to timing of product launches and wholesale shipments, while underlying demand remained strong, with double-digit growth 2025 was a great year for rackets, and we have exciting performance racket launches in 2026. Baseball returned to growth driven by strong performance in bets, driven by successful product launches in fall of 2025 and golf ended the year with improved margins and solid growth, especially in EMEA and APAC driven by a strong product offering. In other categories, we saw inflatable stabilizing in Q4 and returning to slight growth following a challenging first 9 months. Regionally, the Ball & Racquet growth rate was led by China, followed by meaningfully accelerating growth in Americas, EMEA and partially offset by a slight decline in APAC. We had 10 new owned Wilson brand stores opening globally in Q4, split between Greater China and APAC. Wilson Tennis 360 shops are performing well in China, and we opened 13 new shops in Q4, including partner doors. This brings the total owned and partner store count 77. And in 2026, we plan to open approximately 30 Wilson Tennis 360 shops in China between owned and partnered doors. APAC also continues to drive meaningful Wilson Softgoods growth. Our first store in Japan in Tokyo's Marinucci District and two stores in Melbourne, Australia are off to great starts. In North America, improving Ball & Racquet growth was led by baseball and softgoods. In softgoods, we saw strong e-commerce comp growth in the region. Our expansion into warmer southern markets is continuing to drive strong results. Our Dallas NorthPark Mall continues to perform very well, and we continue to expand our new Tennis 360 concept store into more Southern and coastal locations including our new shops in Beverly Hills and Miami. We also continue to expand our Tennis 360 60 offering into more [ Dick ] sporting goods locations, including House of Sports. Ball & Racquet segment adjusted operating profit margin improved 110 basis points to negative 2.6%, driven by solid gross margin expansion related to less promotional activity and better regional channel mix. This was partially offset by SG&A deleverage due to investments in softgoods. Now turning to the group balance sheet. Ending 2025 with $291 million of net debt and only 0.3x net leverage, our financial foundation has never been stronger. We generated $730 million of operating cash flow in 2025 compared to $425 million last year driven by strong profit growth and disciplined working capital management. Additionally, given our strong financial position, post year-end in January, we announced a redemption of $80 million of our outstanding $800 million, 6.75% senior secured notes at a redemption price of 103. We ended 2025 with inventories up 33% year-over-year, slightly elevated compared to our 27% sales growth as expected. We remain very comfortable with the level and quality of our inventory. The higher inventory growth is primarily related to four factors. Number one, earlier of seasonal arctic merchandise to prepare for better in-stock position two, higher Arc’teryx goods in transit resulting from the greater use of ocean shipping versus airfreight. Three, FX translation from the weaker U.S. dollar and four, the addition of Arc’teryx Korea inventory following the recent acquisition. We expect inventory growth rate to normalize beginning in the second half of 2026 when we start to cycle our improved in-stock positions and the higher use of ocean freight. A quick housekeeping item as we turn to guidance. Beginning in Q1 2026, we would discontinue allocating certain corporate expenses that are not directly attributable to the operating performance of our reportable segments. There will be no impact to our overall group adjusted operating profit margin it is simply reallocating certain costs from segments to corporate. For the full year of 2026, we expect group corporate expenses to increase by approximately 60 basis points or approximately $50 million related to costs reallocated from the segments. These cost reallocations to corporate will most benefit the outdoor performance and Ball & Racquet segment margins and have a much more muted benefit to technical apparel. Now turning to guidance. Guidance assumes the latest tariff rates on all countries will stay in place for the remainder of 2026 and beyond. 2026 is off to a strong start, and given the continued momentum from our highest-margin Arc’teryx franchise, accelerating solo and soft goods plus the solid foundation of our equipment franchises, we are confident in our ability to deliver another very strong financial performance in 2026. For the full year, we expect reported group revenue growth between 16% and 18%, which assumes a 200 basis point benefit from favorable FX impact at current exchange rates. We expect group adjusted gross margin of approximately 59% for the full year with the margin expansion continuing to be driven by mix shift benefits, as we said in the past, we are confident in our position to manage through a variety of tariff scenarios given our relatively low exposure to the U.S., strong brand portfolio with pricing power and clean balance sheet. We continue to expect an immaterial impact on our group P&L from higher tariffs in 2026. We expect adjusted operating margin of 13.1% to 13.3% towards the low end of our long-term guidance of 30 to 70 bps of improvement, primarily due to the accelerating Salomon investment, opting for long-duration profitable growth over near-term profit flow-through. We are committed to investing behind the large growth opportunities in front of our Arc’teryx, Solomon and Wilson Tennis 360 while still delivering against our long-term financial algorithm. Our tariff size and profitability and our strong sales growth and gross margin expansion at the group level allow us the flexibility to invest behind Salomon and Wilson Tennis 360 in a way they could not as stand-alone entities. We believe this is a unique advantage of our portfolio. Corporate expense is expected to be approximately $225 million, which includes approximately $50 million of costs previously allocated to the segments that I mentioned above. We assume full year net finance costs of $105 million to $110 million, higher than 2025 due to a normalizing FX impact on the revaluation of certain nonmonetary assets as well as higher imputed interest expense on store leases as our retail network grows. The effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 28%. And this is an increase from 2025 as we generate a higher percentage of our taxable income and higher tax jurisdictions and also as we cycle a onetime discrete tax benefit in the second quarter of 2025. We expect adjusted diluted EPS of $1.10 to $1.15, which is based on approximately 564 million fully diluted shares. Also, we are assuming depreciation and amortization of approximately $400 million, including approximately $170 million of ROU depreciation. CapEx is expected to be approximately $400 million versus $310 million in 2025. The increase is mainly driven by increasing key investments in IT infrastructure and retail expansion. Turning to the segments. Our full year sales forecast incorporates 18% to 20% growth in Technical Apparel, 18% to 20% growth in outdoor performance and 7% to 9% growth in Ball & Racquet. For Technical Apparel, we expect adjusted operating margin of approximately 22%. We expect Outdoor Performance segment margin of 14.5% to 14.8% and we expect Ball & Racquet margin of 4.7% to 5%. All 3 segments should generate gross margin expansion driven by mix shift, partially offset by higher SG&A reinvestment. While we don't usually provide quarterly segment guidance, given the Q4 2025 margin fluctuation in outdoor performance resulting from accelerated Salomon investments, I want to provide a little extra margin color for Q1 2026. Although we will continue to invest heavily to support Salomon's growth, we do expect outdoor performance to return to modest year-over-year margin expansion in Q1. Turning to first quarter guidance. We expect reported revenue growth for the group in the range of 22% to 24%, which assumes a 500 basis point benefit from favorable FX impact at current exchange rates. We expect adjusted gross margin to be approximately 59% in 1Q 2026 and adjusted operating profit margin to be 14% to 14.5%. Our net finance cost for the quarter will be approximately $27 million, and the effective tax rate would be approximately 28%. We expect adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.28 to $0.30. Lastly, I would note that should strong trends continue and better-than-anticipated demand materialize, we believe we are well positioned to deliver financial performance ahead of our expectations. With that, I'll turn it back to the operator for Q&A.