Jay Michael Green
Analyst · Robert Cox with Goldman Sachs
Thanks, Ryan. Hello, everyone. I'm Accelerant, CFO. Our IPO was an important milestone for Accelerant, and I'm very pleased to share the second quarter performance and the opportunities ahead. In the second quarter, we accelerated our growth, reduced our percentage net retention and saw increasing margin expansion and profitability. Total Exchange Written Premium for the second quarter grew 42% to $1.1 billion compared to second quarter 2024, and revenue grew 68% to $219 million. Exchange Written Premium is the total gross written premium through our risk exchange, and it includes both premium written on behalf of Accelerant underwriting companies and written directly by third-party risk exchange insurers. This continued strong momentum in the quarter was fueled by a powerful combination of existing member growth as seen in our net revenue retention of 151% for the trailing 12 months and stellar new member growth. We added 16 new members in the quarter, bringing our total member count to 248 as of June 30, 2025. We are really thrilled with the momentum on both the existing member growth and the new member onboarding. An attractive aspect of our business is the embedded growth from our existing members continuing to win in each of their markets. While the front end of our funnel remains robust, we've also continued to reduce our net retention of Exchange Written Premium, which was only 6% as of the second quarter of 2025 on a trailing 12-month basis, allowing us to focus on our Exchange Services and MGA Operations segment. This lower retention was driven by additional reinsurance transactions that increased ceded premium for the quarter. While we continue to optimize our net retention and the use of capital with our risk capital partners, we expect that our net retention levels will trend toward our historic norms of approximately 10% in the future quarters. Overall, we feel great about the depth and diversification we have on the risk capital side of the risk exchange, and we continue to see very strong demand from our existing risk capital partners to expand their participation as well as new ones joining the platform. Shifting over to profitability. We are seeing continued and consistent expansion of our operating margins. Adjusted EBITDA was $63.5 million for the quarter versus $13 million for the second quarter of 2024. On an adjusted net income basis, we made $29 million in the quarter versus a net loss of $700,000 in the second quarter of 2024. And on a pretax net income basis, we made $22.3 million in the quarter versus a $4.3 million loss in the second quarter of 2024. In the last several years, we have made substantial investments in the business and have increasingly scaled our overhead costs. We expect that to continue to translate to expanding margins going forward. You'll notice that the net income results have a relatively large negative FX impact for the quarter, but this is almost entirely offset by FX-related other comprehensive income in the quarter, resulting in a net loss from FX of approximately $1 million in the quarter to shareholders' equity. We will always seek to asset liability match our currency exposure, and we have continued to do that. On a year-to-date basis through June 30, 2025, our adjusted EBITDA was $106 million versus $41 million for the first 6 months of last year, and our pretax net income was $37.8 million for the year-to-date period versus $7.7 million for the prior year period. Our consolidated adjusted EBITDA is also subject to certain noncash eliminations worth spending a moment on as they reduce consolidated earnings but represent free cash flow in the period. These eliminations relate to commissions paid to us to both Exchange Services and Mission and own members by Accelerant underwriting on behalf of the reinsurers and Flywheel investors who participate through our owned insurance companies. These primarily result in the current elimination of direct commissions from Accelerant underwriting as offset by ceding commission income adjustments that would be earned over time. For the first 6 months of 2025, this adjusted EBITDA elimination amounted to $41 million. The commissions are paid at the time the business is transacted, but the associated revenue is recognized over the life of the placed insurance policies. All of these factors are further described in our Management Discussion and Analysis section of our 10- Q. On a segmental basis, our Exchange Services segment remains the growing core of what we do. Our Exchange Services revenue was $86 million for the quarter, growing 60% over the comparable prior year quarter. Revenue in this segment amounted to 8% of our Exchange Written Premiums written in the quarter, an improvement versus 7.1% in the prior year quarter. The difference is largely mix shift. We increased our share of higher fee contracts with risk capital partners in the U.S. and Canada over the course of 2024 and now expect similar fee levels in all of our geographies. The segment's adjusted EBITDA of $56 million in the quarter grew 38% compared to $40 million in the second quarter of 2024, a strong demonstration of the momentum and increasing fee generation on our risk exchange platform. As demonstrated by the segment's adjusted EBITDA margin of 65% during the quarter, the consistent strong growth and profitability of the platform has allowed us to continue to make the technology investments that will solidify the Accelerant risk exchange as the marketplace of the future. We believe that is a great use of capital and sets us up well for continuing future margin expansion. Our MGA Operations segment had revenue of $58 million during the quarter, representing growth of 77% over the prior year's quarter, the majority of which was driven by Mission, where our member incubations continue to scale rapidly. We are extremely pleased with the progress we continue to make and the continued outperformance of both our Mission strategy and our other owned members. The segment's adjusted EBITDA was $24 million in the quarter versus $6 million over the prior year's quarter, primarily driven by outperformance in premium volumes and net commission margins within Mission. Underwriting segment's revenue was $110 million in the quarter, growing 39% over the prior year period, primarily driven by earning through our small share of net retained premium. Our insurance companies serve the important role as a conduit for placing business with the reinsurers and institutional investor risk capital providers. We expect less need for these entities going forward as more business is placed with third-party insurers directly, which will see our share of retained premium declining over time. We would also expect, as a result, that over time, the revenue growth of this segment will moderate more than the other segments that we anticipate will grow faster at more attractive expanding margins. Having that infrastructure is a great strategic capability for us even if we don't expect to use it as much in the future. For the second quarter 2025, our adjusted EBITDA in this segment was $16 million. Our gross loss ratio of 50.5% improved roughly 4 points compared to the 54.7% in the second quarter of 2024. This year-over-year improvement was driven by the impact of stable claims experience during the second quarter 2025 compared against additional reserve strengthening taken during the second quarter of 2024 on some of our pre-2023 European and U.K. lines. We believe we are well positioned on the overall book going forward as our technology continues to drive better underwriting outcomes. Overall, we feel great about the improved operating leverage of the Underwriting segment as the deferred recognition of our revenue associated with excess ceding commissions and net earned premiums catches up with overhead, driving the profitability that you see here. We expect our Underwriting segment to be breakeven to mildly profitable over the medium term. So in summary, Q2 2025 was a strong start to Accelerant's journey as a public company with accelerated organic growth and demonstrated operating leverage leading to strong adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income growth. We have a powerful mixture of hard charging organic growth embedded in our existing members and new ones continually joining the platform. As we look ahead, we'll share our thoughts on Exchange Written Premium and adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2025. In the third quarter of 2025, we estimate Exchange Written Premiums to be in the range of $1.01 billion to $1.04 billion, representing growth of between 14% and 17% over the same quarterly period in 2024. For our third quarter '25 adjusted EBITDA, we will break out our estimate to 2 components as well as the total due to the expected meaningful contribution from the sale of a minority interest of one of our own member MGAs during the quarter. We estimate third quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA from underlying business performance, excluding this transaction, to be in the range of $41 million to $51 million, representing an increase in the range of 58% to 95% over the same quarterly period in 2024, assuming normalized underwriting portfolio performance. The sale of the minority interest in one of our own members is expected to add adjusted EBITDA from both unrealized and realized gains in the range of $25 million to $30 million during the quarter, bringing our total estimate for third quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA to a range of $66 million to $81 million, representing an increase in the range of 154% to 210% over the same quarterly period in 2024. We are not providing a GAAP reconciliation for this quarterly guidance, including net income due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying items such as tax rate variations, foreign currency fluctuations or a onetime adjustment prior to the quarter close. In the third quarter of '25, as further disclosed in our 10-Q, we also expect an elevated level of noncash stock-based compensation expense to be incurred in connection with our initial public offering. As disclosed in the S-1, there were RSUs and options granted in connection with the IPO. These noncash expenses totaled $50 million and $243 million, respectively, and will be expensed as they vest over the coming 4 years. Additionally, our S-1 included a detailed disclosure on the $1.38 billion noncash stock-based compensation associated with the onetime settlement of pre-IPO profit interest that were converted to common stock at IPO. The settlement of these profit interest was equity neutral and did not impact the post-IPO diluted share count. With that, we'll open the call to any questions. Thank you.