Heath Sampson
Analyst · H.C. Wainwright
Thanks, Greg. I'd like to take a moment to review our go-forward strategy in each of our business segments. Let's start on Slide 7 and talk about the current refined coal environment. As I mentioned earlier and on our last earnings call, the refined coal environment has undergone favorable shifts this year. After somewhat of a frozen environment in 2016, the IRS' publication of the technical advice memorandum as well as more favorable outlook on domestic coal production has led to significant build in our tax equity investor pipeline. The publication of the TAM and what we believe was a validation of our tax equity model has brought both new and legacy investors to the discussion table and we have been very pleased with the pace and cadence of those negotiations. We see the July closure and the expected near-term future RC deal closures as affirmation that our model, approach and the favorable landscape has provided an environment that is more conducive to multiple RC closures. Slide 8 shows the current invested in operational facilities versus the non-invested facilities that are not operating. As of September 30, Tinuum has leased or sold 15 facilities with the remaining 13 facilities either installed and awaiting a tax equity investor or awaiting for a utility and tax equity investor. But the challenge here again does not necessarily lie within identifying the utilities, but rather in identifying tax equity investors to invest in the idle units. As shown in the right side of the slide, there is enough capacity for Tinuum to effectively double production provided the remaining facilities can be leased or sold. Slide 9 provides the quarter-by-quarter breakdown of Tinuum operating volumes and retained tonnage. As a reminder, retained tonnage is tonnage we operate on our own behalf. We pay the operating expenses, but also receive the tax benefits. You'll see that the sequential tonnage has increased as is normal with third quarter volumes, but also was positively impacted by the increased number of invested facilities. These increases and related increases in cash payments from Tinuum will continue to allow us to execute our capital allocation initiatives as we collect future cash flows. Our top priority is to obtain more investors as fast as possible and build on the cash payments we receive through 2021. Slide 10 shows the royalty versus non-royalty schedule. This schedule has been updated to reflect the July closure of half of a facility. This closure pushed the number of royalty bearing facilities to be greater than non-royalty bearing facilities. Again, all future RC closures are expected to be at power utilities that are royalty bearing to the company. Let's continue to Slide 12, which outlines the emissions control opportunity environment. As I discussed earlier, over the last few quarters we have observed an increasingly competitive environment as numerous industry players continue to compete for market share that was significantly overestimated a few years ago. The rapidly changing market dynamics have required a nimble and proactive approach to remain competitive and win customers in what has appeared to be a race to the bottom type environment. This is evidence of excess inventory in the market as well as shown by the recent idle facilities by a major activated carbon producer and the sale of another major activated carbon producer to an international company. Going forward, we do expect to see some consolidation coming given the level of fragmentation in the market. We anticipate that the companies will simply have to buy size in order to salvage margin. In addition, as we previously discussed, the market is increasingly driving to a commodity type market without significant consideration for IP advantages. In response, we've had to adjust our pricing to reflect this added inventory and tight competition. I would also like to quickly mention that the current administration's repeal of the previous administration's clean power plan regulation will not affect MATS regulations. So, these changes are unlikely to have a material effect on our normal business operations and go-forward strategy. Lastly, regarding the emission control segment, I'd like to reiterate that our operating income will be entirely driven by the chemicals business as our equipment business is no longer material. We believe that it is important to compete in this emission control segment as the surviving entities that have scale will have recurring revenue for many years to come. I expect that the winners and losers in this marketplace will shake out over the next 12 months. Flipping to Slide 13, this slide shows the expected future cash flows through 2021. As of September 30, we are expecting between $225 million to $250 million in consolidated cash flows through 2021. This figure is based on the 15 currently invested facilities and does not reflect the expectation of any future RC closures. Slide 14 shows our balanced capital allocation plan moving forward. As previously mentioned, our high cash flows continue to fund our Tinuum initiatives, our organic investment in chemicals business, optimization of our public platform as well as our shareholder return initiatives. The company paid its second ever quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share on September 7 for over $5.2 million and a total of $10.5 million returned between the first two dividend payments combined. In addition, yesterday the board approved the third dividend payment, which will be paid on December 6. This dividend plan is expected to return in excess of $21 million to our shareholders annually. Finally, I'd like to like to again lay out our strategic approach to M&A moving forward. Given our strong generation of free cash and the expected further consolidation within the industry, we remain diligent for strategic roll-up type acquisitions that could theoretically complement our emissions control segment as well as provide both revenue and expense synergies by leveraging the ability to provide bundled products and services to our customers. On the other hand, we will also look for investment opportunities outside of the power market that do not require operating resources and allow us to monetize our tax assets. We've outlined an explicit set of criteria any acquisition would have to be -- have to be an ideal fit. Basically we need to clearly believe that an acquisition will provide more shareholder value than buying back stock or dividending additional cash. We are committing additional resources to increase deal flow as the current activity has not met our expectations. Let me conclude today by revisiting our 2017 goals and priorities on Slide 16. We remain focused on helping Tinuum close the remaining RC facilities with tax equity investors; completing the remaining EC equipment commitments on time, on schedule and on budget; capturing an increased share of the $300 million to $500 million mercury control market and continuing to build out the viability of our chemicals business; evaluating a dynamic and fragmented fossil fuel market in the U.S. and/or other markets to potentially provide investment or M&A opportunities and finally, executing against our balanced capital allocation program to distribute and create value for our shareholders. Let me extend my thanks to both our team and the extended Tinuum team for their efforts this quarter. We are entering a new stage for this company and I am extremely excited to continue to execute -- execute on our strategy and provide near-term and long-term shareholder value. Lastly, I'd like to once again thank our shareholders for your ongoing support. With that, we'll open the line for questions. Operator?