Gordon Mattingly
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is open
Thank you, Matt. While the lockdown and supply chain disruption induced by the pandemic hampered our growth in 2020. We made excellent progress running the business, improving our P&L during the year. Even with the financial burden, the business model transition and pandemic induced challenges in the first half. We produce meaningful margin expansion for the full year across both product and service, which resulted in a 610 basis point increase in non-GAAP gross margin. We outperformed the target we laid out in our 2019 restructuring plan and lowered our non-GAAP operating expenses by more than $20 million in 2020. Importantly our results have shown incremental improvements as we progress through the year as we transition to the new business model, and began to realize its benefits. In total, we reduced our non-GAAP operating loss by more than $14 million for the year but much of this improvement coming in the back half. A trend of sequential improvement culminated in strong results for the fourth quarter of 2020. With revenue at the high end of our guided range, considerable margin expansion and EPS well above guidance. We ended the year with more than $206 million in cash, cash equivalents and short term investments, an excellent outcome given the complexity and transformation we navigated through during 2020. And now, moving on to the Q4 financial detail. Revenue came in at $114.8 million from 4.2% currently to down 6.2% year-on-year. Product revenue for Q4 2020 with $93.3 million, which was down 15.1% compared to last year and up 2.2% sequentially. Our year-on-year revenue decline was largely due to Verisure's stocking in the third quarter for the European market. That's internal pattern that was much different from what we had seen in the past. Our service revenue for Q4 2020 was again a record that $21.6 million up 72.1% over last year and up 13.7% sequentially. This was primarily driven by our paid account growth under our new business model, from which we have seen consistently strong conversion for our paid subscription service Arlo Smart after the free trial has ended. Our service revenue also includes $2.4 million of NRE services, we are providing for Verisure along with the associated cost as compared with $2.3 million in the third quarter of 2020 and zero a year ago. During the fourth quarter, we shipped approximately 1167,000 devices, of which approximately 1164,000 were cameras. From this point on, my discussion points will focus on non-GAAP numbers. The reconciliation from GAAP to non-GAAP is detailed in our earnings release distributed earlier today. Our non-GAAP gross profit for the fourth quarter of 2020 was up $10.9 million or 73% year-over-year to $25.7 million, which resulted in a non-GAAP gross margin of 22.4%, up from 20.6% in Q3 2020 and up more than 10 percentage point from 12.2% in Q4 2019. The improvement in non-GAAP gross margin came from both products and services. Non-GAAP product gross margin, we've came in at 14.8%, up from 6.8% a year ago, benefited from scale across the product supply chain, lower promotional spending and progress in the transition to products under our new business model. This is our highest growth margin in nine quarters. The $10.9 million year-on-year improvement in non-GAAP gross profit included improvements of $8.4 million from services and $2.5 million from product. This exemplifies the beneficial effect of services business is having on our P&L. Non-GAAP product gross margin was 14% down 70 basis points sequentially due to typical Q4 promotions and up 440 basis points from 9.6% a year ago. Non-GAAP service gross margin came in at 58.9% up substantially from 48.8% in Q3, 2020 and 34.3% in Q4 2019. This was driven by continued paid account growth under our new business model, compounded by benefits from cost saving assets. In 2020, we successfully delivered four consecutive quarters of service margin expansion. In Q4 operating expenses, once again benefitted from last year's restructuring, along with our continued expense management. Total non-GAAP operating expenses were $32.2 million, down $3.8 million or 10.5% year-on-year, and up 3.3% sequentially. This was again slightly below our $33 million to $34 million guidance, but up sequentially due to the plan seasonal increase in our sales and marketing activities. We continue to believe our non-GAAP operating expenses will be in a $33 million to $34 million range each quarter this year. Our total non-GAAP R&D expense in the fourth quarter was slightly down sequentially at $12.5 million. Our headcount at the end of Q4 was 359 employees, compared to 358 in the prior quarter. As a reminder, during the early stages of the Verisure relationship, we agreed to provide them with transition services which include training with our employees, as well as systems costs, and some outside service costs. We've included these costs in our normal operating expenses. Reimbursement from Verisure is included in other income, and was approximately $0.9 million during Q4. Additionally, in Q4 Verisure, made their contractual $14 million prepayment for future product purchases, which can be seen both in our cash balance and in deferred revenue. Our non-GAAP tax expense for the fourth quarter of 2020 was $185,000. For the fourth quarter of 2020, we posted a non-GAAP net loss per diluted share of $0.08, much better than the high end of our guidance. We ended the quarter with $206.1 million in cash, cash equivalents and short term investments up to $12.5 million sequentially and down $50.5 million year-on-year. We continue to make progress on our working capital management during Q4. Our DSO came in at 64 days, down nicely from 97 days a year ago, but up from 47 days sequentially due to seasonal dating terms with certainly tailors and a shift in customer mix. Q4 inventory closed at $64.7 million. The decrease of $4.3 million over Q3 2020 returns increasing to $5 million as compared to $4.6 million last quarter. Now, turning to our outlook. As it's syncing across many industries Arlo is facing supply constraints, driven largely by chip shortages, which are exacerbated by elongated shipping timeframes. In consideration of this, we expect first quarter revenue to be in the range of $70 million to $80 million. Except these supply constraints could limit our ability to deliver through the first half of 2021. With our current visibility, we still believe we can achieve revenue of approximately $400 million for the fiscal year as we shared last quarter. We expect our GAAP net loss per diluted share to come in between $0.35 and $0.29 per share and our non-GAAP net loss per diluted share to come in between $0.23 and $0.17 per share for the first quarter of 2021. In Q1, consistent with the pattern we saw in Q1 2020, we will see a working capital outflow and expect our cash, cash equivalents and short term investments to end the quarter in $150 million to $160 million range. Also consistent with 2020, we expect our cash consumption to moderate considerably through the rest of the fiscal year and to end the year, with more than $120 million in cash, cash equivalents and short term investments. We will continue to monitor our performance and prudently manage our operations to preserve our cash position. Now, I'll pass it back to Matt, for a few comments before we open it up for questions.