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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Erik Bylin. Please go ahead, sir.
EB
Erik Bylin
Analyst
Thank you, Operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to Arlo Technologies' First Quarter 2020 Financial Results Conference Call. Joining us from the company are Mr. Matthew McRae, CEO; and Ms. Christine Gorjanc, CFO. The format of the call will start with an introduction and commentary on the business provided by Matt, followed by a review of the financials for the first quarter, along with guidance provided by Christine. We'll then have time for questions. If you have not received a copy of today's press release, please visit Arlo's Investor Relations website at www.arlo.com. Before we begin the formal remarks, we advise you that today's conference call contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding expected revenue, gross margins, operating margins, tax rates, expenses, future cash outlook, our partnership with Verisure, continued new product and service differentiation, future business outlook and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business and operations. Actual results or trends could differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in Arlo's periodic filings with the SEC, including the most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly report on Form 10-Q. Any forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today, and Arlo undertakes no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. In addition, several non-GAAP financial measures will be mentioned on this call. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP to GAAP measures can be found in today's press release on our Investor Relations website. At this time, I would now like to turn the call over to Matt.
MM
Matthew McRae
Analyst
Thank you, Erik, and thank you everyone for joining us today on Arlo's first quarter 2020 earnings call. Before I discuss the quarter, I want to take a moment to address the ongoing impact of the pandemic. On behalf of the entire Arlo team, I offer my sincere gratitude to the frontline healthcare workers and first responders that have met this virus head-on. To support them, Arlo’s donated thousands of and N95 masks and is working with caregivers to use Arlo cameras for remote patient check-ins and to reduce the risk of transmission and reduce the PCP consumption at those facilities. And as the second order effects of the pandemic impacted people's ability to feed their families, we entered a partnership with Second Harvest in Silicon Valley in Orange County to provide meals with each purchase of an ultra system, Pro 3 system or a video doorbell. And this has resulted in over 30,000 meals donated to feed those in need. I would like to thank Arlo employees for their compassion and their commitment to our business as we delivered a solid quarter. Our transition to work from home went smoothly and the team is operating at nearly 100% capacity. We have worked through the supply chain disruptions brought on by COVID-19 in the first quarter and feel our ability to deliver to demand is now largely intact. However, there remains considerable disruption and uncertainty across the channels that we sell through. Retail store closures, operational changes, and a focus on essential items have made it difficult for us to serve the Arlo customer. Considering the uncertain duration of this disruption, we have decided to withdraw our guidance for the full year. Given our near term visibility and considering a range of retail channel trajectories we are providing guidance for…
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
Thank you, Matt. In the face of unprecedented challenges, the Arlo team delivered a solid quarter with revenues just above the midpoint of guidance. As can be seen in our sequential decline and operating expenses, our restructuring activities continue to go well. And in q1, we were materially below our target of $33 million to $34 million per quarter of non-GAAP OpEx. And now on to the financials. As Matt highlighted, we achieved $65.5 million of revenue just above the midpoint of our guidance, and down 46.5% sequentially, and up 13.1% year-over-year. During the first quarter, we shipped a total of approximately 642,000 devices of which approximately 636,000 are cameras. As a reminder, beginning in Q4 of 2019, we changed our metric definitions to registered accounts and paid accounts from registered users and paid subscribers. We believe this more accurately describes our metrics given the Verisure transaction, where we are now paid by Verisure for our EMEA accounts, as opposed to individuals or businesses. We added approximately 230,000 registered users to the Arlo platform in Q1. As of the end of the quarter, we had about 4.25 million registered accounts, an increase of 35.8% from a year ago. At the end of the first quarter, we had approximately 255,000 paid accounts, an increase of 25,000 in the quarter, and up more than 57% year-over-year. We're very pleased with the growth in our paid account base and believe our new business model for paid services will be a substantial driver of recurring revenue growth in the near future. Our services revenue for Q1, 2020 was $14.7 million, which is up 30.7% over last year. Our service revenue includes $1.2 million of NRE services we are providing for Verisure, along with associated costs as compared with $279,000 in Q4 of 2019. From…
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from the line of Jeffrey Rand of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
JR
Jeffrey Rand
Analyst
Just looking at gross margins, it appears gross margins are going to have to come down sequentially remodel revenue and EPS in the midpoint. What are the incremental pressures you're seeing in Q2 and how are you thinking about gross margins as we go into the back half of the year?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
Yes, when we look at the gross margins for Q2, there is a couple things, one is scale, as we look on our operations. And secondly, what we see is freight, air freight specifically, is extremely high right now. And although we're using that prudently that's the majority of what you see. And there's really the scale and the air freight. As we look to the back half of the year, we're not giving guidance, but we would like to believe that as everything comes up, so does the gross margin.
JR
Jeffrey Rand
Analyst
Great thank you. And thinking about seasonality with - the channel destocking, do you think there could be a sharper seasonality in the back half of the year because of the restocking versus a normal period?
MM
Matthew McRae
Analyst
Yes, I think that's fair. I mean, if you look at - the way we're looking at the second half, is really on a year-over-year basis. So - for level setting, if you look at Q2 year-over-year, our guidance that we're providing today is roughly 35% down year-over-year at the midpoint obviously, due to coronavirus and some of the channel implications. We do see some recovery coming into the second half, which would accentuate the normal seasonality. And so the way we look at the second half is really year-over-year basis, take the entire second half and maybe it's 20% down on a year-over-year basis showing some recovery as we accelerate into that second half. So that would provide a little bit of additional, boost on the seasonality you would normally see as we think the year-over-year would be lower, moving from 35% Q2 to kind of a 20% in the second half on a year-over-year basis.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Adam Tindle of Raymond James. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
AT
Adam Tindle
Analyst
Congrats to Christine on retirement and Gordon on the new role. Matt, I just wanted to start on services just double clicking there. I guess, what would you attribute the record ads in the quarter two, is there a way to maybe parse out how much is incremental from the Verisure partnership versus converting the existing core base of subscribers? Just kind of a little bit more granularity on the record adds in the quarter and also the sustainability of that cadence? You talked about strong performance on subs quarter to-date are we added kind of a new normal where we're going to add 25,000 a quarter?
MM
Matthew McRae
Analyst
Yes, so it's a really good question. What I would say is, especially when you look at the current quarter, and in the quarter, we just announced the biggest portion of that boost in subscribers is coming from the new business model. And I know it's something we've been talking about probably for the last two or three quarters on the calls that it's coming. And it's great to actually report real numbers underlying that. And so that 50% conversion rate compared to the last conversion rate on the legacy, which was hovering just about 5%. I mean, that's an order of magnitude change. And so as we see POS start to transition from old legacy products to new business model products, which is just starting to happen in the quarter, we just reported, you're going to see that boost. So I think it is the new normal, we are commenting a bit on the current quarter that we're seeing the strength continue. And so I would that going forward. We have done a good job at actually, mining that legacy base. We're seeing good subscriptions from Verisure as well. But the bulk of this transformational kind of change in subscriber is coming in on a quarterly basis, is coming from the new business model.
AT
Adam Tindle
Analyst
Got it, okay that's helpful. And maybe just double-clicking on the question on gross margin for Q2 if the current quarter is still strong on services, I'd imagine that should be a boost. We already thank you for the color on revenue and we know the EPS number you gave a lot of color on OpEx. I know it's a slight headwind, but the only I guess, piece of that that's missing that would be an incremental headwind would be I guess, product gross margin? Any more color I know Christine you mentioned airfreight, just we were already negative product gross margin in Q1. Are we like double-digit negative in Q2 is that kind of what we're implying here, just give me a sense of, kind of the bridge?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
No, I wouldn't say that. But what I would say is in the services and we mentioned that while we're still going into all the trials on all of these products and really in Q2, we'll see more of all the - with our floodlights, it's just coming out now we'll have more products that go into the automatic 90-day trial that kind of burdens the service gross margin to. So what you will see as we're fully into the new products, which we really expect to be into that, more and more every quarter, then you're going to start to see that service gross margin rise.
AT
Adam Tindle
Analyst
Okay. I wanted to ask the U.S. distribution channel inventory is obviously very elevated. I'd imagine that somewhat related to retail closures, but maybe just a little bit color because it's just such an order of magnitude elevated and how quickly that comes down?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
Sure, two things are on that. One is, it is based on the last six weeks of the quarter is the way we give our numbers and those were the slowest on the distribution channel. But I say secondly, we had some inventory in there that was going to go out for a broadcast deal in Q2. So we should see that number come down.
AT
Adam Tindle
Analyst
Got it, and last one from me. Thank you for the color on the full year of cash guidance without the credit facility I guess more near term any reversals that are going to hit in Q2, I'm just thinking that - the loss is going to slightly widen. I know Q2 is typically a weak cash flow quarter as it stands, should we be thinking about kind of a greater use of cash in Q2 than Q1 and if not, why not?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
I think it what you'll see is - when you look at Q4 to Q1, you saw the accounts payable from giving how Q4 is coming down quite a bit. I don't think you'll see that big drop like that in Q2, and that should lessen, same with accounts receivable to be honest on the other side, that should make that not as big of a magnitude.
AT
Adam Tindle
Analyst
Okay, so the loss should improve sequentially then or the use of cash should improve sequentially, I'm sorry?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
Yes, the use of cash won't be the same given the drop from Q4 to Q1 from a seasonality standpoint.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from a Hamed Khorsand of BWS Financial. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
HK
Hamed Khorsand
Analyst
So first off, I just want to ask you, do you have enough components is your supply chain okay and do you have the inventory to sell into the channel once they begin to restock?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
Go ahead Matt.
MM
Matthew McRae
Analyst
So I am sorry, the supply chain is basically very close to fully operational. We are seeing a couple of weeks delay here and there on certain components. But based on the forecasts we have going forward we don't see a lot of issues coming from the supply chain.
HK
Hamed Khorsand
Analyst
Okay. And then just being able to restock the channel in time, right - are you just at the mercy of how much air freight you could allocate to?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
Why I say there is no when you look at retail the reset days aren't the same as that. So there's probably a little more flexibility on that side. So we're managing both sides of that, but we're definitely seeing the supply side come back up to normal.
HK
Hamed Khorsand
Analyst
And because of what COVID and everything that's going on from actually selling the device, are you implementing any new promotions? Are you discounting more aggressively?
MM
Matthew McRae
Analyst
I mean, we're seeing different activity in the channel. And so, I would say we're doing some things differently, but I wouldn't say we're moving to a completely different footprint. And I'll give you an example of that obviously, Best Buy is a predominant brick and mortar shop with online. And our sales, we're predominantly through the stores obviously, that's inverted and now it's predominantly online and it's not in the stores besides the curbside pickup. So you're seeing promotional are shift in the way they're being spent. But for the most part, we're not being more aggressive. It's really around cost things like air freight and some other effects that we've had as coronavirus kind of hit the supply chain going out to the customer.
HK
Hamed Khorsand
Analyst
So is sales and marketing expense sustainable at current levels or will have to go back up once the COVID pandemic subsides?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
Obviously, we'll take a look with some of our new products. There's some launch expenses, and then depending on Black Friday in that, but we'll manage that and depending on where it is, it should come down a little bit.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from Jeff Osborne of Cowen and Company. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
JO
Jeff Osborne
Analyst
A couple of questions on my end. Christine, I was wondering if you could just share with us the qualitative, recognizing you're not giving guidance for the year. But what the thought process was on the $125 million to $150 million of cash which is helpful. I think last quarter was $150 million that you talked about. So obviously a $25 million difference is that all just the EBIT loss and some working capital or is there tighter measures that you've taken? It looks like headcount went up sequentially. I'm just trying to understand the puts and takes as it relates to getting to that numbers. If you give guidance, any help and backing into it would be helpful?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
Sure, yes so you can see our OpEx went significantly down, even though headcount was up. So sometimes, you’re hiring someone and not spending it on outside services is actually better for the company. What I would say is we've gone through several scenarios of modeling, and this was the numbers that we come up with, and we feel very good about hitting those numbers. And so it's really just from a high range to a low range as we go forward.
JO
Jeff Osborne
Analyst
Got it. And then on the Verisure NRE is there any help you can give us in the lower margin, flow through of that the $1.2 million this quarter what the cadences of that is the next three quarters of the year?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
It's just pretty flat. So I mean, we don't comment on that specifically, but it's just included in the numbers. And we wanted to make sure people knew that was in there.
JO
Jeff Osborne
Analyst
Okay. I just want to make sure it wasn't doubling or tripling as we ramped up into more of their territories and whatnot and train them. How is the training going in bringing on-boarding there?
CG
Christine Gorjanc
Analyst
I think that's going very nicely and I think that Matt comment on that.
MM
Matthew McRae
Analyst
Yes, it's everything's on track. So there's several tracks that we're actually taking with them. One is, obviously on-boarding of their running up the channel and some of the operational pieces as several, actually over 20, 25 employees of Arlo moved over. So that was relatively smooth and just needed to be ingested from an operations perspective on the Verisure side. Also, there's a lot of technology integration being done ahead of some ramp of some business with them and some other areas in 2021. And that is actually proceeding on schedule as well, which is why you're seeing the NRE payments actually flow through. So we're really happy with the way that's progressing, everything is on time. And we're going to continue to focus on execution ahead of 2021.
JO
Jeff Osborne
Analyst
Got it? And then maybe Matt, the last question I had for you is on the subscription side. I know its super early, but is there any noticeable trends between product SKUs and particular say 50% is impressive that was higher than I was anticipating on the subscription side. But is doorbell above that and say floodlight or camera below, I didn't know if there's any a wide deviation in and around the 50% number based on the type of product?
MM
Matthew McRae
Analyst
Yes on a qualitative basis, there is very little change between the product, it is remarkably consistent across all the different product types we have with the data that we've got today. So it looks like it's a very solid foundation to build from. And of course, our focus now is refining the model refining the model, refining the messaging or iterating around promotions and marketing, messaging and positioning to actually increase it from here if we can. But the floor is remarkably consistent across all the different cameras that are on the new business model and the video doorbell to the example you gave.
OP
Operator
Operator
There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call over to Matt McRae for closing remarks.
MM
Matthew McRae
Analyst
Thank you for joining us today. Despite the headwinds across the channel presented by the current environment, we are seeing strength in the services business driven by the new business model even as I look at the current quarter. And I'm confident our continued execution through the year will result in a more profitable, predictable company in the future. Stay healthy and safe and we look forward to engaging with many of you throughout the quarter.
OP
Operator
Operator
This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.