Mike McFerran
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please go ahead
Thanks Mike. From a financial perspective, we are off to a great start in 2018, with year-over-year double-digit growth rates in AUM, management fees, fee-related earnings and economic net income. Based on our new funds already closed, along with our forward pipeline of new potential funds, our AUM growth outlook remains strong. The 29% year-over-year growth in our core earnings, otherwise referred to as fee-related earnings and the continued pace of strong fundraising with approximately $12 billion of capital raised since the beginning of the year, as Mike referenced, illustrate the significant momentum of our business as we continue to execute on our key business objectives. Before going into details on the quarter, I do want to highlight that we have made a change to our financial reporting to better reflect our new corporate tax status election. We will now be reporting realized income instead of distributable earnings. We believe realized income is a more appropriate measure and concise earnings measure to evaluate our current operating performance, which takes our economic net income and deducts the unrealized performance-related earnings. Since our dividend policy is to pay a fixed quarterly dividend reassessed annually and based on expected after-tax fee-related earnings, we believe realized income allows us to assess current period income, while distributable earnings was related to cash available for distributions in our old flow-through structure prior to our change in tax status. Next, I will spend a few minutes on our quarterly results. As Mike described, the strength of our fundraising has supported our AUM growth, which is up 13% year-over-year to $112.5 billion and our fee-paying AUM growth, which is up 8% to $75 billion over the same period. For the first quarter, management fees and fee-related earnings increased 11% and 29% from the first quarter of 2017 respectively. Our after-tax fee-related earnings totaled $58.7 million or $0.26 per common unit. Our improving operating leverage is illustrated by our fee-related earnings margin expansion from 26% for the first quarter a year ago to 30% for the first quarter of this year. Our first quarter performance-related earnings of $31.5 million were 8% higher year-over-year and first quarter realized income totaled $72.1 million, an increase of 34% compared to the first quarter of last year. Last, economic net income totaled $91.9 million for the quarter, reflecting an increase of 21% over the first quarter of last year. In light of our March 1 election to be taxed as a corporation, I do want to give some extra attention on how to think about our effective tax rates. As a quick refresher, fee-related earnings reflect our management fees, less compensation and operating expenses. We apply our deductions against fee-related earnings to arrive at after-tax fee-related earnings. For the first quarter, our effective tax rate on fee-related earnings was 3%. Note that this rate reflects that approximately 40% of our earned income was subject to corporate taxes during the first quarter. If 100% of our earned income were subject to corporate level taxes, we would have had a 7.5% fee-related earnings tax rate for the quarter. The effective tax rate on fee-related earnings is a function of the size of the deductions against the income and the amount of our earned income subject to corporate tax on a weighted average basis during the period. For the remainder of the year, we expect our effective tax rate will range from 3.5% to 5% or under a full conversion scenario from 8.5% and 11%. Realized income is the sum of fee-related earnings and realized net performance income. We assume a 22.4% statutory tax rate on realized net performance income. As a result, the effective tax rate on realized income will be heavily driven by the amount of realized performance income during any period. Due to the comparatively low level of realized performance income for the first quarter, our effective tax rate on realized income was only 3.9%. Note, this rate also reflects that approximately 40% of our earned income was subject to corporate tax. Under the 100% scenario described previously, the effective tax rate would have been 9.8%. Economic net income reflects realized income plus unrealized performance income. While unrealized performance income does not create an actual tax obligation until realized, we do record a tax provision for it. Similar to realized performance income, we assume a 22.4% statutory tax rate on unrealized performance income. For the first quarter, our effective tax rate on the economic net income was 5%. Again, this rate reflects the approximately 40% of our earned income subject to corporate tax. If one assumed a full conversion of our shares with 100% of Ares income subject to corporate tax, the effective tax rate would have been 12.6%. This rate will fluctuate based on the amount of unrealized and realized gains. Next, I want to touch on our dividend policy. As Carl stated earlier, we declared a quarterly dividend of $0.28 per common share. This amount is consistent with our expectations to have a $0.28 per common share dividend for each of the second, third and fourth quarters of 2018. As discussed in our prior earnings call, we set our quarterly dividend based upon the expected trajectory of our after-tax fee-related earnings and other factors principally related to tax. Our after-tax fee-related earnings for the first quarter of $0.26 per common share were slightly below our quarterly dividend. But as a reminder, we set the dividend on a forward-looking basis and take other tax factors into consideration. One of the objectives of our dividend policy we adopted in connection with our tax status election was to provide an attractive qualifying after-tax dividend for our investors and would be reassessed annually primarily based on the expected growth of after-tax fee-related earnings. On our last call, we also announced our intention to retain net realized performance income to support and as we expect to accelerate the growth of our assets under management and fee-related earnings. Some of our other metrics we focus on provide insight into the embedded growth of both fee and performance-related earnings based on the capital we currently manage. AUM, not yet earning fees, which is a subset of our available capital, is a metric that helps investors measure the potential management fees that we would earn upon the deployment of capital. Similarly, incentive eligible AUM measures the total AUM that is eligible to earn performance income and net accrued performance income reflects the amount of net accrued performance income we have at any given point in time. We ended the first quarter with $26.6 billion of available capital also referred to as dry powder. Our AUM not yet earning fees or shadow AUM increased to $17.3 billion compared to $14.5 billion at the end of the fourth quarter of 2017. Of this $17.3 billion, approximately $13.4 billion was available for future deployment with corresponding management fees totaling $126.3 million. Over 80% of the management fees tied to AUM available for development relate to our direct lending and structured credit strategies in our credit business. The continued deployment of capital from these strategies will bring these fees online in the quarters ahead and we believe will continue to serve as a key growth driver for both top line revenue and fee-related earnings. As of quarter end, incentive-eligible AUM reached a record high in the first quarter of more than $65 billion, up 17% year-over-year. Of that amount, approximately $22 billion is not yet invested and available for future deployment, which we believe represents the potential for significant future value creation over the longer term. Incentive-generating AUM of $23.4 billion is near record levels, up 16% year-over-year. Note that we ended the first quarter with $257 million of accrued carried interest allocation, an increase of 39% versus the prior year period. Looking forward, we believe our business is well positioned due to our strong mix of management fees, which have represented more than 80% of our total fees on average for the past 5 years, including this past quarter. Our fee-related earnings continue to grow and are supported by our fundraising as the potential for increased operating leverage. Our management fees are derived from long-dated capital, as 80% of our first quarter management fees were earned from funds that had a remaining life of more than 3 years, including 39% from publicly traded permanent capital vehicles. Now, I will turn this back to Mike for his thoughts on our historical and future growth.