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Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC)

Q4 2019 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 12, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. Welcome to Ares Capital Corporation’s Fourth Quarter and Year Ended December 31, 2019 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded on Wednesday, February 12, 2020. I will now turn the call over to Mr. John Stilmar, Managing Director of Investor Relations.

John Stilmar

Management

Great, thank you, Kate, and good afternoon, everybody. Let me start with some important reminders. Comments made during the course of this conference call and webcast as well as the accompanying documents contain forward-looking statements and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Many of these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as anticipates, believes, expects, intends, will, should, may and similar such expressions. The Company’s actual results could differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements for any reason, including those listed in its SEC filings. Ares Capital Corporation assumes no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements. Please also note that past performance or market information is not a guarantee of future results. During this conference call, the company may discuss certain non-GAAP measures as defined by SEC Regulation G, as core earnings per share or core EPS. The company believes that core EPS provides a useful information tool to investors regarding the financial performance because it is one method the company uses to measure its financial condition and results of operation. A reconciliation of core EPS to the net per share increase or decrease in stockholders’ equity resulting from operations, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure can be found in the accompanying slide presentation for this call. In addition, reconciliation of these measures may also be found in our earnings release filed this morning with the SEC on Form 8-K. Certain information discussed in this presentation, including information relating to portfolio of companies was derived from third-party sources and has not been independently verified, and accordingly, the company makes no representation or warranty in respect to this information. The company’s fourth quarter ended December 31, 2019, earnings presentation can be found on the company’s website at www.arescapitalcorp.com by clicking on the Q4 2019 Earnings Presentation link on the homepage of the Investor Resources section of the website. Ares Capital Corporation’s earnings release and 10-K are also available on the company’s website. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Kipp DeVeer, Ares Capital Corporation’s Chief Executive Officer.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Thanks, John. Hello to everyone, and thank you for joining us. I’m here with our Co-President, Michael Smith; our Chief Financial Officer, Penni Roll, and several other members of our management team. I’ll start by highlighting our fourth quarter and full year results and then provide some thoughts on the company’s position and current market conditions. This morning we reported fourth quarter core earnings of $0.45 per share, which is a strong finish to a great year for Ares Capital Corporation. Our core earnings for the year of $1.89 per share benefited from an active year of investing modest portfolio growth and higher utilization of our low-cost borrowing facilities. We generated strong GAAP earnings of $0.48 per share for the fourth quarter and $1.86 per share for the year, which drove another year of net asset value growth to $17.32 per share at year-end. Supporting these results, our portfolio continues to demonstrate stable credit performance. Looking beyond these strong results, we believe the company is well positioned. The addressable market opportunity for Ares Capital is large and growing, but small and upper middle market companies are increasingly accessing the private markets for financial solutions. We see concrete evidence of this as the pipeline of transactions that we review annually is increased by approximately 40% since 2015. We think a major factor here is our increased market share in larger deals where we feel we offer companies a more attractive solution than the alternative smaller syndicated deals that typically come with a lot of execution risk for their sponsors. As our market opportunity expands, we benefit from our large direct origination platform, extensive market reach and long-standing relationships with companies, financial sponsors and deal participants. By reviewing a large pipeline, we can remain selective and choose to invest within what we…

Penni Roll

Management

Thank you, Kipp, and good afternoon. Our core earnings per share were $0.45 for the fourth quarter of 2019 compared to $0.48 for the third quarter of 2019 and consistent with $0.45 for the fourth quarter of 2018. Excluding the $0.025 per share impact from the expired fee waiver, our fourth quarter 2019 core earnings were largely consistent with the prior two quarters of 2019. Our GAAP earnings per share for the fourth quarter of 2019 were $0.48, which compares to $0.41 for the third quarter of 2019 and $0.36 for the fourth quarter of 2018. As Kipp mentioned, we closed 2019 with strong financial results with core earnings per share of a $1.89 compared to $1.68 for 2018 and GAAP net income per share of $1.86 compared to $2.01 for 2018. As of December 31, 2019 our investment portfolio totaled $14.4 billion of fair value and we had total assets of $14.9 billion. As of December 31, 2019 the weighted average yield on our debt and other income producing securities at an amortized cost was 9.6% and the weighted average yield on total investments at amortized cost was 8.6% as compared to 9.8% and 8.8% respectively at September 30, 2019 and compared to 10.2% and 9% respectively at December 31, 2018. The year-end yields on our portfolio were down from the third quarter largely due to declines in LIBOR. Our earnings benefited in 2018 from a rising LIBOR, but we saw that upward trend began to reverse in early 2019 with one month LIBOR declining about 74 basis points during the course of 2019. This reversal created a modest headwind for us throughout the year and could continue to reduce all-in yields – further until reaching our LIBOR floors. At year-end, excluding our investment in the SDLP certificates, 78%…

Michael Smith

Management

Thanks, Penni and good afternoon. I would like to spend a few minutes providing more detail on our investments and portfolio performance for both the fiscal year-end and fourth quarter of 2019. I will then provide an update on post quarter-end activity and our backlog and pipeline. During 2019, our team originated $7.3 billion of new investment commitments across 163 transactions, including $1.6 billion of commitments to 43 borrowers in the fourth quarter. Our investments throughout the year came from a diverse set of high quality companies across more than 20 distinct industries. The EBITDA of the companies we financed this year range from $12 million to $670 million, which should give our investors more insight to the breadth of our sourcing capabilities. As Kipp mentioned earlier, in 2019, half of our commitments were to existing borrowers and the other half came from a significant and growing pipeline of new investment opportunities. For the full year 2019, we evaluated more than 1,600 new lending opportunities, which were diversified across industries and geographies and had an average EBITDA of $47 million. If one assumes the average company requires roughly five to six times EBITDA in debt financing, this translates into approximately $375 billion to $450 billion of potential transaction volume that we reviewed for the year. As far as the portfolio composition at year-end 2019, 80% of our portfolio inclusive of the SDLP investment was in senior secured loans, which is similar to the portfolio composition at year-end 2018 and 2017. The weighted average EBITDA of our portfolio companies of $139 million, gives greater prominence to our large hold position, while our portfolio average EBITDA of $75 million reflects our continued focus on the upper middle-market. We continued to broaden and diversify our portfolio this quarter, reaching 354 different borrowers with…

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Thanks a lot, Michael. In closing, our strong fourth quarter capped off another successful year of solid earnings and continued NAV growth. We continue to execute on the same plan that we’ve had for the past 15 years; maintaining a defensively positioned portfolio, investing in origination capabilities to see the broadest amount of deal flow, being highly selective in focusing our investments on the highest quality borrowers and maintaining a strong balance sheet with deep sources of liquidity. We enter 2020 with continued caution on the investing side, but we are confident that we’re still able to find compelling investment opportunities for the company. We also remain optimistic about our competitive position and platform advantages, which we believe will allow ARCC to continue to benefit from the growth of the middle market and the secular shift we’re seeing as more companies seek private capital. Reflecting on the year and to close out our prepared remarks, I would like to thank the investment and portfolio management teams for their tremendous effort in originating and monitoring the portfolio; the finance and accounting teams for their continued work in extending our credit facilities and long-term debt; the legal and compliance teams for always looking out for us in advancing our efforts in D.C.; and finally, thanks to our investor relations team, who always do a superb job representing the company. It was a fantastic 2019 for ARCC. That concludes our prepared remarks. We’d be happy to open the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Please note as a courtesy to those who may wish to ask a question, please limit yourself to one question and a single follow-on. If you have additional questions, you may reenter the queue. The investor relations team will be available to address any further questions at the conclusion of today’s call. The first question comes from Rick Shane with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Rick Shane

Analyst

Hey guys, thanks for taking the question. I want to make sure that we understand the movements in the non-accrual. Sometimes, names change. It appears to us that the new non-accrual this quarter is VPROP, and just want to make sure that we’re looking at this correctly in terms of that was not on non-accrual before, it is a new non-accrual and what developed there.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

That’s true. So there are two new non-accruals. One is VPROP, the other one was a small legacy loan called Ioxus from the old venture portfolio.

Rick Shane

Analyst

Got it. And, Kipp, do you mind providing a little bit – VPROP is a relatively large investment on a cost basis. The marks have been pretty benign at this point so the impact’s relatively low, but want to make sure we understand the risks there and also the impact from an interest income perspective.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes. I mean, Penni can take a quick look. I think she probably has the interest income number. But, look, Vista is one of the oil and gas investments that we’ve been in for quite a long period of time. We’ve upsized it over the years. It’s a company privately-held that process and distributes fracking sand for the drilling industry, the fracking and drilling industry. If you go look at some of the public comps in this space, you’ll see that there’s quite a lot of stress in that industry. There’s been a fair amount of overcapacity. This company, I think the good news is, has high-quality assets that are largely in drilling regions, i.e., all their assets are in Texas. So the company has done a nice job over the years growing its business because it’s had logistics advantages. That being said, 2019 was a difficult year for that industry as the commodity price, because of the oversupply of sand assets and sand mines in the industry, had been overbuilt. You just saw commodity price collapse. So I think we’re being cautious on the mark but there is real work to do there. I mean, we’re engaged day-to-day with the management team there working on a restructuring.

Rick Shane

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much.

Penni Roll

Management

Yes. And then – I’m sorry.

Rick Shane

Analyst

I’m sorry, Penni.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes. I don’t know if you need the numbers from Penni but you may have them.

Rick Shane

Analyst

Yes. Please go ahead.

Penni Roll

Management

Sorry. Yes, if you look at the earnings loss for 2020, we did put it on non-accrual in the fourth quarter as we had a little bit of earnings loss for 2019. But if you look at a full year’s loss to 2020, it’s about $0.03 a share, net of fee.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes. So I mean, look, the good news is we’ve got, and I tried to emphasize this, too, quarter-to-quarter, we’ve got a highly diversified company. And unlike some of the other BDCs that people may be invested in or you all may follow as analysts, it’s really difficult to have an impact in any way, shape or form on our company’s operating profile with a single or even a couple of defaults even in larger names, right? The diversity allows us to generate very consistent income and keep the dividend where it is, obviously, even if we have some bumps along the road.

Rick Shane

Analyst

Got it. Thank you guys very much.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Thanks, Rick.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Arren Cyganovich of Citi. Please go ahead.

Arren Cyganovich

Analyst

Thanks. Not to hark on credit quality too much, but in the release, you had mentioned that 9% of the exits were in non-accruals, but I didn’t see anything that large last quarter that was on non-accrual. Was there something intra-quarter that got based on non-accrual and then exited?

Kipp DeVeer

Management

I had not noticed that. So the – there were three names realized. One, I know for sure that was on non-accrual, which was Indra Holdings. I’m looking at you – what is it? I’m sorry. Dan is saying, yes. The recognition of an old oil and gas names that we have put on non-accrual years back called PetroFlow.

Arren Cyganovich

Analyst

Okay.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

But nothing specific in this quarter, but we can check the numbers with you, if you want offline, Arren, but that’s the…

Arren Cyganovich

Analyst

It’s possible I just missed them. Okay. And then in terms of – you raised a small amount of equity in the ATM. Just curious as to why you would utilize that when you’re not quite at your leverage range that you wanted to be in, obviously, in the low end.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes, I think we think of the ATM program as a convenient and accretive way to raise small amounts of equity and to not have us think about a marketed or bought offering in a larger way. So we just think it’s good long-term planning as we continue to want to grow the company. Obviously, the company requires equity over the long haul for its growth, so just we take a long-range view on that.

Arren Cyganovich

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

You’re welcome.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Ryan Lynch of KBW. Please go ahead.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon, and thanks for taking my questions. I did want to follow up on the equity ATM offering. So because you guys issued some equity this quarter but you guys still actually had deployments that actually grew your overall leverage. Are we expect – should we expect that the ATM should just complement portfolio growth, and we should actually expect leverage to continue to grow? Or are you going to manage your target leverage right around this level via capital deployments as well as now ATM equity offerings?

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes, we’re not – look, the direction that we’d like to take the leverage is up. You’ve seen that over the last couple of quarters. Again, the ATM issuance has been minimal but we found it to be a useful tool. So I think the simple answer is yes, i.e., we’re going to probably continue to raise a little bit of equity and, with that, grow the portfolio and take leverage up as well.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst

Okay. And then my follow-up, I wanted to talk about the dividend. Obviously, you guys had a really strong year in 2019. You paid out some special dividends and actually even while paying out a special dividend, still grew your spillover income pretty meaningfully. I think it shows the strong results you had. You guys did not declare a special dividend for 2020. Can you just talk about why that decision was made, to not declare one at all? And so far in 2020, which is a little bit unlike the policy you guys said in 2019 of declaring quarterly special dividends to kind of start the year.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Sure. So the additional dividend for last year that we announced – we really announced, if you remember, because we had really significant sort of unusual net gains in 2018. So obviously, shareholders benefited from that with the payouts throughout 2019. There are a couple of things that are different as we look forward into 2020. Number one, LIBOR is down 90 basis points or so in the last 12 months, and there’s a forward curve that forecasted being lower, so I think we’re being cautious today. The other thing I’d say is, look, we’ve been running the company now a long time. This is a space obviously where investors have conditioned us to be cautious around the dividend because there are pretty negative ramifications from dividend cuts, as we’ve seen in other companies. So I think we’re just being conservative for the time being, wanting to look at the LIBOR environment and the good performance. I appreciate you providing that comment, Ryan. May allow us to do that in the future, but we just thought this quarter, we’d let the specials from last year roll off and evaluate it as we get further into the year.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst

Okay. Thank you for taking my questions. I appreciate the time.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Kyle Joseph of Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Kyle Joseph

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon, and thanks very much for taking my questions. Just first, in the quarter, can you give us a sense for the pace or the timing of deployments and repayments? Just to give us a better sense for yield dynamics in the quarter.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

We typically don’t provide that kind of color. We don’t provide guidance with this company, so I don’t want to – I don’t want to really answer that question directly, if that’s okay, Kyle. I mean, look, as I said, activity is slow. Smitty gave you some numbers in terms of pipeline and backlog and all of that. So if you look over the last four quarters, I would tell you that our pacing is reasonably consistent quarter-to-quarter. So take the last four quarters of last year, divide it by four and then subtract the pipeline and backlog and probability adjusted, and you can probably get to a number that tells you what it looked like over the last six weeks. But I don’t want to provide any guidance really regarding Q1.

Kyle Joseph

Analyst

Oh, no, sorry, Kipp. I was talking about Q4 in terms of were the – any of the deployment sort of backed your quarter?

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Q4, I don’t know. I’d have to go back and look. I actually don’t, I’m not sure we have that in front of us. I just say nothing remarkable, but I don’t think it’s going to, nothing that’s going to change your modeling exercise or your thought on the quarter.

Kyle Joseph

Analyst

Got it. And then my follow-up, just stepping back you guys commented on where rates have gone. And then also given, we’ve seen many peers raise leverage in the BDC space. Can you just refresh us on sort of any competitive changes you’re seeing either from banks or other BDCs?

Kipp DeVeer

Management

No, I’d say it’s the same, still competitive. A lot of capital has been brought into this space. I made the comment about slower activity to start the year, kind of wait and see approach on a lot of fronts for people. And again, we’re watching LIBOR because obviously we’re in a spread based business. We’ve got largely LIBOR plus assets on the left side of the balance sheet and about half the right side, in terms of liabilities anywhere floating rate. But I can’t tell you what, I don’t really have a view away from looking at the forward curve around LIBOR. If I had to guess, I see stability. We don’t see any need for decreases, but I also don’t really see it floating up. So, I hope that answers the question.

Kyle Joseph

Analyst

It does. Thanks very much for answering my questions.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is Kenneth Lee of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Kenneth Lee

Analyst

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Just one in terms of the funding costs, you’ve recently extended maturities and you’ve also recently embarked on efforts to diversify funding sources. Just wondering, given the current environment, whether you anticipate any further changes to your funding mix right now? Thanks.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

I’ll let Penni comment but I don’t think we do. We’ve tried to keep it balanced between secured and unsecured, between floating and fixed and keep the average duration of liabilities in-line with where we think the average maturity or average sort of tenure of the assets.

Penni Roll

Management

I mean, I think, it’s really same as usual. We try to watch the markets and continue to issue into the markets when we see a strong market to issue into just like we did back in January. But as far as the composition of the balance sheet, I see a lot of the same as we move forward.

Kenneth Lee

Analyst

Gotcha. And just one follow-up. If I may just in terms of the – in the investment backlog the pipeline and realized this is just a snapshot but just looking at the industry breakdowns there when and how that lines up to what you think, which sectors are the most favorable or at least favorable to invest in, in the current environment, also realizing that you tend to prefer non-cyclical industries. Thanks.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

I’m sure. Yes. I mean we have kept the industry mix albeit changing the way that we reported it as Smitty mentioned this quarter. Very similar. The places that we’re being cautious I think are the places where we’ve seen issues, oil and gas, retail, probably some aspects of the healthcare services business. But generally, the backlog and pipeline is in-line with what you’ve seen from us in the past.

Kenneth Lee

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Casey Alexander of Compass Point. Please go ahead.

Casey Alexander

Analyst

Hi. Good morning, or good afternoon. I just have one question and no follow-up. I noticed in your originations a couple of sub-debt loans made in the solar power industry, which has been an area that has been kind of tricky for BDCs to lend to. So I was kind of wondering, what was unique or interesting about those opportunities that led you to go ahead and lend into those?

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes. Thanks Casey. Yes, we did, the structure of that market is a little bit different. You tend to see more, mezzanine paper or equity like paper behind, longer termed out senior financing. So, I think we did a hundred, $135 million deal to develop a residential solar one of the in the U.S. the other one is a vertically integrated developer of utility scale solar projects. So look, we’ve got a team that’s been here a long time making investments in this space for us. We think, the two that they found this past quarter were particularly interesting. We’ve actually had great experience and have had no defaults in our power investing vertical, so to speak these days. So we’re nothing, nothing unusual. Maybe just two deals that happen to come in the same quarter.

Casey Alexander

Analyst

All right. Thanks for taking my question. I appreciate it.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes, you’re welcome.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Fin O’Shea with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Fin O’Shea: Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. Just a small one on the SDLP. I think with some of your opening remarks on execution risk in the syndicated market and some peers talking about this as well in the unitranche opportunity, would we look at the SDLP as perhaps a candidate for a leg-up in investment in size this year?

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Maybe. I mean, I think it’ll grow. I think your point on some of these larger deals getting done by non-banks is a phenomenon that’s likely to continue to increase. That being said, Fin with the size of our balance sheet overall, these we can do those deals either on our own or in the SDLP so, and they could all perhaps be a beneficiary, but I think the company as a whole will be a beneficiary, whether it’s an SDLP or not. Fin O’Shea: Sure. Thank you for the color. And then just one, Ivy Hill. This mark obviously moves around a little bit. Correct me if I’m wrong, the dividend was up this quarter. That’s also been sort of a normal thing for the fourth quarter, but any change in the course of business in Ivy Hill? Anything to look into on the valuation improvements?

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes. No, I mean, it was just – maybe it was actually just a fair value increase. I don’t think the dividend increased this quarter. But look, I mean, they were a little bit under-invested, so they got more cash to work in their vehicles. And obviously, with less cash drag in a CLO, you’re generating better returns. The other thing I’d say, look, the market conditions have been more favorable, i.e., spreads have tightened and that’s a beneficiary for them or that’s a benefit for them, rather. Fin O’Shea: Okay. That’s all for me. Thank you.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Thanks, Fin.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Robert Dodd with Raymond James, please go ahead.

Robert Dodd

Analyst

Hi guys. In the LIBOR floor issue, and I appreciate the color that you gave on that already. I mean, you said 79% of the floating book has them. The new commitments were at slightly higher floors, but in the upper, upper end of the markets floors seem to be getting [better], which seems a little odd with LIBOR floor falling, but on the – so on the new commitments, is it, are they as relatively easy to get? Should we expect the round numbers, 80%, the uploading book that has floors, to stay stable? Or are they getting harder to achieve in the book, but where you can get them, at slightly higher floors? Any color on that?

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Yes, I mean, I think the general answer is yes. With the prospect of, LIBOR likely to increase, call it whatever that was 12 months ago, the expectation was that short rates were going up. When that changes, obviously it forces us and the rest of the market to be more cautious and insist upon LIBOR floors. So I think over the last two quarters, I’d say it’s gotten easier to do that and we think it’ll continue in that direction, particularly with the forward curve showing a 40 basis point decline on the LIBOR side. I think we’re going to be pretty focused on it.

Robert Dodd

Analyst

I appreciate it. Thank you.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

Welcome.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Kipp DeVeer for any closing remarks.

Kipp DeVeer

Management

I’d just thank everybody for joining the call and your interest in the company and we’ll catch up with you all next quarter.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our conference call for today. If you missed any part of today’s call an archived replay of this conference call will be available approximately one hour after the end of the call through February 20, 2020 at 5:00 PM, to domestic collars by dialing 1-877-344-7529 and to international callers by dialing +1-412-317-0088. For all replays please reference conference number one zero one three seven six two six an archived replay will also be available on a webcast link located on the homepage of the investor resources section of Ares Capital website. The conference has now concluded. Please disconnect. Thank you for attending today’s presentation.