Joshua Levine
Analyst · Cowen. Your line is now open.
So if you just think about that the sheer number of hospitals in the country and not just the existing ones, but the ones -- the projected growth rates of new facilities, I mean, there are new facilities being built, private-sector funded, private capital funded, probably not a lot more or not nearly the kind of growth on the public or PLA side, that you'll see comparatively with what the growth would look like prospect wise on the private side. There's again, I mean, the estimates are that you're talking about in the aggregate for all product types, a market that -- again, it depends on who's numbers you like today, but something that would be maybe on the conservative end of the spectrum 5,000 incremental devices if you really wanted to get very aggressive go 1 100% more than that. Say, 10,000, but there is a vast under capacity today in radiotherapy capability in the ground available to treat patients today. And you start to do the math around the demographics, the estimates are 15 years from now, Josh, they will be about a quarter of a billion people, aged 65 years or older in China. And you overlay that population, the growth in that aging population overlaid on top of what again the projections would say are some of the most aggressive projected incidences and forecasted rates of cancer diagnosis by anywhere in the world, especially in lung and liver. So, maybe take some of that -- some of those data points and kind of work your own math on it, but its -- I’m not sure that anybody can actually calibrate how high up is on this, but it's a big number.