Liz Perkins
Analyst · Barclays. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Justin. Coming off a strong third quarter, demand continued to exceed our expectations through what has historically been a seasonally slower period for our portfolio. ADR for the fourth quarter was over $131, nearly equal to our ADR for the same period in 2019. Occupancy was 68%, down just over 5 percentage points and RevPAR was $88, down less than 8% as compared to the same period in 2019. As Justin highlighted, the gap to 2019 performance narrowed as we moved through the quarter despite concerns related to the Omicron variant and December RevPAR nearly equaled December 2019 with ADR over $2 higher. Led by rate, the gap to 2019 RevPAR meaningfully decreased quarter-over-quarter as we moved throughout the year from down 26% in the second quarter to down 10% in the third quarter to less than 8% in the fourth quarter. While the Omicron variant tempered positive momentum seen during the fourth quarter and the gap to 2019 RevPAR widened some in January, year-to-date numbers are up meaningfully to 2021 and we expect continued improvement as we move into the spring and summer. For the full year 2021, comparable occupancy was 66%, ADR was $125 and RevPAR was $83 up to 2020 by 11%, 44% and 61% respectively and down 11%, 14% and 24% to 2019. Weekend occupancy remained strong throughout the fourth quarter, showing continued strength in leisure demand. October and November weekend occupancies were 85% and 80% respectively, with December weekend occupancy of 67%, in line with 2019. Weekday occupancy remained strong with October approaching 70% that declined to approximately 60% in November and December. These months are seasonally slower for business travel and we were pleased to see the gap to 2019 weekday occupancy shrink to only 3 percentage points in December. The strength of leisure demand through the fourth quarter and year-to-date through the first weeks of February, our in-house revenue team working closely with our management company revenue support and onsite sales teams to maximize top line performance, the quality of our assets, the loosening of restrictions on travel and gatherings and increasing number of companies returning to their offices with more flexible travel policies and concerns related to the Omicron variant beginning to taper, all give us confidence that our broad market diversification will continue to drive outperformance as business demand continues to improve. 38% of our hotels had RevPAR for the quarter that exceeded the same period in 2019. While the majority are located in warmer sunbelt states notable exceptions included our Home to Suites in Anchorage, Alaska, which was up 27%; our Homewood Suites in Mount Laurel, New Jersey, which was up 21% and our Hampton Inn Davenport, Iowa, which was up 17%. This further underscores the benefits of both market and demand diversification. As the recovery spreads to an increasing number of markets, we see incremental upside for our portfolio. Demand for our suburban hotels continued to outpace demand for our urban hotels in the quarter, with occupancy of 69% as compared to 62% for comparable hotels. As has been the case in prior quarters, hotels located in markets with greater historical exposure to large groups and conventions and the two full-service hotels in our portfolio also underperformed. We anticipate demand will strengthen in many of these markets as we move through 2022, further boosting performance for our portfolio and adding to the strong performance in our suburban portfolio. In terms of room night channel mix booking data, brand.com bookings were in line with third quarter at approximately 36%. OTA bookings continue to be elevated relative to prior years, but declined to 15% in the fourth quarter. Property direct bookings remained steady around 30%, still up to the same period in 2019. The result of our management companies with the support of our asset management and revenue teams continuing to adjust strategies and shift focus as the demand environment evolves. GDS bookings increased to 12% during the fourth quarter and have continued at that level into the first quarter of 2022, despite the impact of Omicron, which is a positive data point as we look at business transient trends. Looking at actual fourth quarter same-store occupancy segmentation, VAR increased to 35%, offsetting a slight decline in other discounts, which fell to 30% in the quarter. Negotiated reached 16%, up slightly from the third quarter. Turning to expenses, total payroll per occupied room for our same-store hotels was just over $33 in the fourth quarter, down 3.5% to the fourth quarter of 2019, but up from $31 per occupied room in the third quarter as we continue to fill vacant positions and adjust wages in a more competitive labor environment and as occupancy declined seasonally. Same-store rooms expenses excluding payroll were down 8% per occupied room compared to 2019 for the quarter with over half of the savings coming from adjustments to brand amenity offerings. Our team’s persistent efforts to control costs and maximize profitability resulted in fourth quarter and full year 2021 comparable adjusted hotel EBITDA of approximately $85 million and $322 million respectively and comparable adjusted hotel EBITDA margin of approximately 34% and 35% respectively. A continuation of our results in the third quarter, our actual adjusted hotel EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter exceeded that of the same period in 2019 by 40 basis points and December adjusted hotel EBITDA of $21 million exceeded 2019 EBITDA despite lower total revenue relative to 2019. MFFO was approximately $59 million or $0.26 per share for the fourth quarter and $211 million or $0.93 per share for the year. While we continue to focus on managing expenses, our bottom line performance has been meaningfully bolstered by the rapid recovery in rate, which has, in recent months, approached or exceeded pre-pandemic levels and work to offset increased wages and other inflationary pressures. Shifting to the balance sheet, as previously announced, we exited our covenant waiver period in July of 2021. As a result, we are no longer subject to the lender imposed limitations on investing and financing activities associated with the covenant waiver restriction. Interest expense decreased during the quarter as a result of exiting the covenant waiver period and lower average borrowings under our unsecured credit facilities. As of December 31, 2021, we had $1.4 billion in total outstanding debt, approximately 5x our 2021 EBITDA with a weighted average interest rate of 3.4%, cash on hand of approximately $3 million and availability under our revolving credit facility of approximately $349 million. Total outstanding debt, excluding unamortized debt issuance cost and fair value adjustment, is comprised of approximately $498 million in property level debt secured by 28 hotels and approximately $946 million outstanding on our unsecured credit facilities. At year end, our weighted average debt maturities were 3 years, with approximately $228 million net of reserves maturing in 2022. Our 2022 maturities include our revolving credit facility, which we have the option to extend for up to 1 year and $156 million of property level debt maturing in the second half of 2022. We are in the process of exploring options with our lenders and are confident in our ability to repay, refinance or extend our near-term maturity. As for our 2022 outlook though we remain confident in the broader recovery in our portfolio specifically, we are still not in a position to give specific operational guidance given the continued uncertainty and volatility related to COVID. As mentioned, we expect continued improvement relative to 2019 and 2022 with the ongoing strength in leisure demand and increase in business demand and a demonstrated ability to achieve rate growth. We are providing the following full year 2022 outlook regarding certain corporate expenses. We anticipate G&A to be between $32 million and $38 million, interest expense to be between $58 million and $63 million and capital expenditures to be between $55 million and $65 million. As Justin highlighted, we are reinstating monthly distributions beginning in March with a payment of $0.05 per share. While we have not yet recovered to pre-pandemic operating levels, our portfolio has been optimally positioned to benefit early in the recovery from increases in both leisure and business travel. We are optimistic that demand will continue to increase as we move through 2022. And together with our Board of Directors, we will continue to assess our dividend payout along with other uses of capital to drive total returns for our shareholders. As we begin 2022, we are building off a strong platform. We have weathered the worst of the pandemic without encumbering our balance sheet and have transacted in ways that optimized our portfolio for the recovery. We have a proven ability to drive strong operating results throughout economic cycles. And with current trends showing continued strength in leisure and the prospect of increased business demand in the coming year, we are optimistic about the future for our portfolio and for the broader industry. This completes our prepared remarks. We would now be happy to answer any questions that you have for us this morning.