Adam Norwitt
Analyst · Citibank. Sir, your line is now open
Very good. Thank you very much, Craig. And I would like to add my welcome to all of you here on the phone today and thank you very much for taking time with us here on a lovely fall afternoon. As Craig mentioned, I am going to highlight some of our achievements in the third quarter. I will then spend some time to discuss the trends and progress across our diversified served markets. And finally, I will make a few comments on our outlook for the fourth quarter, and of course, for the full year 2016. I think Craig just went through the numbers, but I will just restate here that the third quarter was really an excellent quarter for the company. We established new records in orders, sales and EPS, all while reaching the highest level of profitability in the company’s history. These achievements are particularly significant given the ongoing uncertainties that are still present in the worldwide economy. Revenue has increased by a strong 12% in U.S. dollars and 2% organically reaching the new record of $1.636 billion and I think Craig mentioned that we booked record orders, nearly $1.7 billion, $1.698 billion in orders, which represented a very strong book-to-bill of 1.04:1. We are particularly proud of our operating margins in the quarter, which reached the all-time high of 20.3%, up 90 basis points from the second quarter. As Craig alluded to, this margin expansion resulted from excellent operational execution, including continued progress in improving the performance of FCI. Given this faster than expected margin expansion by the FCI team, we now expect the FCI acquisition to contribute $0.18 to our 2016 earnings per share. This compares to our prior outlook of $0.15 for the accretion this year. I can just tell you that we find it especially gratifying to see the benefits of the Amphenol management culture so clearly demonstrated in the performance of our new acquisitions. Craig also mentioned our operating cash flow, which was a very robust $291 million and that’s just a clear sign of the continued quality of the company’s earnings and that has then been reflected with our Board of Directors approving a 14% increase in the company’s dividend effective in the first quarter. I will just say how proud I am of the Amphenol team. Once again, this organization’s entrepreneurial agility has enabled the company to achieve strong performance amidst an uncertain and a very dynamic worldwide economy. Our financial strength in the quarter also enabled us to make further progress in our acquisition program as we recently brought two new companies into the Amphenol family. All Systems Broadband, which we closed at the end of September, is a U.S. based provider of high technology, value add copper and fiber optic interconnect solutions, in particular for the broadband market. All Systems has annual sales of approximately $40 million. This company is the leader, in particular for both consumer premises as well as important central office applications in support of high speed data and video delivery for the broadband market and a truly an exciting growth area for the company. SGX Sensortech, which closed at the beginning of October, is the Switzerland based supplier of air quality sensors with annual sales of approximately $15 million. SGX, which manufactures at its facility in Poland, is a provider of really high technology air quality sensors that are used in both the automotive and the industrial markets. It’s a real pleasure really to welcome these outstanding new teams to Amphenol, our fourth and fifth acquisitions of the year. And going forward, we remain very confident that our acquisition program will continue to create great value for the company. It is really our ability to identify and execute upon acquisition opportunities while successfully bringing these new companies into Amphenol that remains a core competitive advantage for the company. Turning to our progress across our various served markets, I just want to point out that in the third quarter, we continued to have an extremely balanced and diversified end market exposure with no single market representing more than 21% of our sales. I will tell you this diversification is truly a valuable asset for Amphenol, especially in these very dynamic times. The military market represented 9% of our sales in the quarter and sales increased from prior year by 6%, driven by growth in naval, space, airframe and communications applications. I will just say that this is really robust performance given the overall military spending environment as this was all organic growth. Sequentially, our sales increased by 7% as we began to recover from the Defense Logistic Agency stopped shipment order that we have discussed over the last couple of quarters. We are, in fact, very proud of the outstanding work of our military aerospace team, who has managed the recovery from the DLA’s stopped ship so well. We are really fortunate actually to have forged outstanding long-term relationships with both our military customers as well as our distribution partners and have truly appreciated their patience and closed collaboration during this challenging time. In fact, our customers and partners have been extremely pleased with the agility and reactivity of our aerospace team and it again reaffirms our reputation as a leader in this important market. Looking to the fourth quarter, we expect our sales to again increase from these levels and we continue to anticipate modest growth for the full year 2016 and that’s even with the impact from the DLA issue. Our long-term leadership position in the military market remains very strong as we continue to have the broadest range of high technology products designed into virtually all defense equipment. We look forward to building upon this position of strength into the future. The commercial aerospace market represented 5% of our sales in the quarter. Sales grew by a strong 7% in U.S. dollars and 9% in local currencies from prior year as we realized stronger sales of our products designed into new airplane platforms. As we had expected, sales were up moderately from the second quarter. Looking ahead, we anticipate a modest increase in sales in the fourth quarter. And for the full year 2016, we continue to expect sales to be flat to modestly up as the impact from the DLA issue, together with lower expected demand for helicopters and business jets, offsets the positive impact that we have seen from growing production volumes of new airplane platforms. I will just tell you that we remain very encouraged by the long-term opportunity in the commercial air market. With our strong technology position with airplane manufacturers around the world, together with the proliferation of electronics on and increasing volumes of new aircraft platforms, we are very confident for the long-term in this exciting market. The industrial market represented 17% of our sales in the quarter. Sales in this market grew by a very strong 22% from prior year. This growth was driven by contributions from the FCI and AUXEL acquisitions as well as by growth in the hybrid bus and truck, battery, heavy equipment and instrumentation segments, which were in part offset by slower sales in the oil and gas and rail mass transit. Organically, our sales in the quarter increased by 2%. Sequentially, sales grew slightly as contributions from AUXEL were offset by a normal seasonal moderation of sales that we would typically see in the third quarter. For the fourth quarter, we anticipate sales in the industrial market to grow moderately from these levels. And we continue to expect very strong sales growth in the industrial market for the full year as we benefit from the contributions of FCI and AUXEL together with organic growth from a range of exciting segments within the industrial market. We are continuing to build upon our successful diversified industrial business as we expand our high technology interconnect, sensor and antenna products across a broad array of industrial customers around the globe. The automotive market represented 17% of our sales in the quarter. Sales increased by 11% in U.S. dollars and 9% organically as we made continued progress in penetrating new interconnect and sensor applications in both traditional and hybrid electric vehicles and also accelerated our sales in Asia. Sales were up slightly from prior quarter on typical summer seasonality in the U.S. and Europe. Looking to the fourth quarter, we expect our sales to grow from these levels. And for the full year 2016, we remain confident to achieve continued strong growth in the automotive market. We continued to be excited by our long-term prospects in the automotive market as we are still making excellent progress in designing in our broadened range of interconnect sensors and antennas into new electronic systems incorporated into a wide array of vehicle platforms. The acquisition of SGX, while relatively small, builds out our sensor product line for air quality application, an important growth area for the automotive industry. We look forward to realizing the benefits of our strengthened position for many years to come. The mobile devices market represented 16% of our sales in the quarter. Sales were down as expected by 22% from prior year on reduced sales into all categories of mobile devices with the notable exception of wearables. Sequentially, our sales rose by a strong 17% from the second quarter. Looking into the fourth quarter, we expect the mid-teens sales decline and we continue to expect full year sales in the mobile devices market to decline by more than 10% from 2015. Regardless of the still challenging outlook for 2016, we remain extremely confident that our highly reactive and agile organization will continue to secure a strong position in the mobile devices market by capitalizing on our excellent technology positions across a wide range of next generation mobile computing platforms. The mobile networks market represented 9% of our sales in the quarter. Sales in this market grew by a very strong 20% in U.S. dollars and 4% organically. This was a bit stronger than expected as we again benefited from the contributions of FCI together with stronger sales of antennas and interconnect products to network operators, particularly in Europe. Our sales moderated slightly from the second quarter. Looking into the fourth quarter, we anticipate a further moderation of sales due to the typical year end seasonality. Nevertheless, we continued to expect to achieve low to mid single-digit organic growth for the full year 2016, which together with the very strong contributions from the FCI acquisition will result in an excellent growth year for the mobile networks market. Our strong performance in this market in 2016 is really a direct reflection of our team’s unwavering drive to promote our leading technology interconnect and antenna products to OEMs as well as service providers around the world and that’s regardless of the normal ebbs and flows of wireless capital spending. The information technology and data communications market represented 21% of our sales in the quarter. Our performance in IT datacom was much stronger than expected in the third quarter as sales grew 55% in U.S. dollars and a very strong 19% organically. This excellent performance was driven by contributions from FCI and Custom Cable as well as by robust organic growth in servers, storage and networking applications. And in particular, we accelerated our progress in selling into next-generation web service providers. Sales increased a very robust 14% in U.S. dollars and 11% organically from the second quarter. Looking ahead into the fourth quarter, we now expect a modest increase of sales from these higher levels. Given our much stronger-than-expected performance in the third quarter, we now expect for the full year growth of more than 40%, which reflects the contributions of the FCI and Custom Cable acquisitions as well as approximately 10% organic growth. I will just say that our team focused on the important IT datacom market is clearly doing an outstanding job of positioning Amphenol as the leader with a broad range of customers with the widest array of high technology products. We continue to support our traditional and next-generation customers in their ongoing quest to upgrade their equipment to handle the continued dramatic increases in data traffic. The broadband market represented 6% of our sales in the quarter and we are very pleased that our sales increased from prior year by a stronger than expected 10% in U.S. dollars and 8% organically as broadband operators continue to expand their network build-out activity to enable better network performance. Sales in this market were slightly down on a sequential basis. For the fourth quarter, we expect an increase of sales with the addition of All Systems Broadband and we now expect to achieve low double-digit growth in the broadband market for the full year of 2016. With the acquisition of ASB, we now have a broader offering of products used in both consumer premises as well as in the service provider head-end systems including importantly, an array of value-add fiber-optic solutions. That newly expanded range of interconnect and cable products, together with our excellent position with broadband operators around the world, positions us very well for the long-term. So just in summary, I want to say that we are extremely proud of the company’s outstanding record results here in the third quarter of 2016. While the global market environment remains uncertain, the Amphenol organization is executing extremely well through our consistent dual-pronged strategy of driving organic growth while pursuing complementary acquisitions. And that strategy is enabling us to expand our market position while also strengthening the company’s financial performance. And ultimately, the company’s superior performance is really a direct reflection of our distinct, competitive advantages: our leading technology, our increasing position with customers in diverse markets around the world, a lean and flexible cost structure, a highly effective acquisition program as well as most importantly, an agile, entrepreneurial management team. Now, turning to the outlook for the fourth quarter and the full year and based on the continuation of current global economic environment and as well as assuming constant exchange rates, we now expect the following results. For the fourth quarter, we expect sales in the range of $1.585 billion to $1.625 billion and earnings per share in the range of $0.71 to $0.73 respectively. This represents a sales and EPS increase versus prior year of $0.11 to 13% and 13% to 16% respectively. For the full year 2016, we expect sales in the range of $6.220 billion to $6.260 billion and adjusted EPS in the range of $2.68 to $2.70. For the full year, this represents sales and adjusted EPS growth of 12% and 10% to 11% respectively over 2015 levels. We are really encouraged by the company’s strength and outlook now for 2016 and we all look forward to driving further success going forward despite the many dynamics in the global economy. I remain truly confident in the ability of Amphenol’s outstanding management team to build upon these robust results and to continue to capitalize on the many opportunities to both grow our market position and expand our profitability in 2016 and beyond. Thank you very much. And operator, at this time, we would be happy to take any questions.