Martin H. Loeffler - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Merrill Lynch
Thank you very much Diana. Welcome and thank you all for joining this conference call at the occasion of our earnings release. As Diana just mentioned, I will give you some highlights of our achievements in the third quarter, discuss the trends and the progress in our served markets and the comment on the outlook for the fourth quarter and for the full year 2007. First some highlights, we're extremely pleased with the third quarter results. They were strong in all respects. New records in sales and earnings, we were able to sustain the long-term trend of achieving industry leading growth and profitability. And we most importantly further strengthened our competitive position across our served markets. This combined with our opportunities that we see in front of us will continue to give us a very positive outlook for the rest of 2007 and as we move into 2008. Few comments for the sales. Sales increased a strong 15% over prior year. Obviously currency helped somewhat in that by two points, so in local currency, it was 13% as Diana mentioned. This is a very strong performance in a generally moderate demand environment. We're very pleased because the growth was very broad based across our end markets as well as our geographic regions in which we do business. The growth was particularly strong in the military and commercial aircraft market and the automotive market and in mobile phones or generally in mobile devices. We're very pleased especially with our sequential sales increase of 7% from Q... from the record level of Q2 into a seasonally slower quarter Q3. This is an outstanding performance and just reflects the strength that we have built in the various market segments that we are serving. Most of this growth that we have generated and the majority of this was organic growth. Diana mentioned that we made a small tuck-in acquisition. It was essentially completed towards the end of the quarter, so the contribution from that acquisition was very minimal to our growth in the third quarter. But we are very pleased with having added Stewart Enterprises, a Texas-based company to our portfolio in especially... in this for the industrial market. Stewart Enterprises is a leading supplier to the geophysical exploration market and complements very strongly our already strong position in the oil and gas and power generation markets. It's truly a tuck-in acquisition of the nature that Amphenol likes to see. It meets all the criteria that we always look for these small acquisitions. First of all, they are very complimentary and add into a marketplace where value-added opportunities are important which generate good margins. So it's a company that is really not in the mainstream of commodity products. It allows Amphenol to add significant value to essentially locally operating company in Texas with our broad expansion opportunities that we have for that company in the international market. And most importantly, it adds very fine management, management that has been there as the founders of the business and will continue with us in the future and it is accretive. This was one of the small tuck-in acquisitions that we certainly were working on for some time. And it's always difficult to convince them entrepreneurs and the founders to want to become part of a larger organization. But I am very pleased to say that our acquisition pipeline continues to expand. And we are very confident that additional acquisitions will happen over time, as a complement to our strong organic growth. In the quarter, profitability and cash flow also remained strong. We were able to further expand our leading operating margins to 19.5%. This is an excellent achievement considering that the price down pressure from the customers persists, and in general, costs continue to rise. However, with our continued strategy to focus on the value-added opportunities in the electronic markets with providing advanced technologies that create value with our customers and certainly with a continued stringent and innovative cost controls, we believe that there is continued opportunity for further margin expansion as we move forward. EPS reached the new record of $0.50 a share, 28% over prior year, which is approximately a rate of growth... twice the rate of our sales growth. As you all know this is kind of our target that we have over a period of time. This EPS growth reflects our strong operating leverage in the business. Amphenol remains also a strong generator of cash. A $109 million in the third quarter is an outstanding achievement and equals almost... essentially exceeds a little bit our net income, which was over 12% in the quarter, which is another indication of the strong financial performance of the company. This sustained performance of our industry leading growth and profitability, we believe is a direct result of the diversity of our company, in terms of its markets, the very broad customer base that we serve in each of our served markets, that product range that is tailored to each of these markets, and the diverse geography. We have built in each of these markets, a competitive strength that allow us to effectively compete against the set of competitors that we meet in each of these market segments and they are usually not the same. The results are also a direct result of our close relationships to our customers, as a preferred supplier, that allows us to be involved with the next generation product at an early stage and create value for our customers. Another value creation that drives margins and also growth is our strong emphasis on technology. We are providing to our customers, and we try to provide always value in form of complete interconnect solutions and advanced technologies that allow and enable our customers to enhance the performance of their own equipments. Another result that we... why we attribute this performance to is our ongoing programs of cost control, and they go far beyond just looking for low cost labor. It is the look for low cost overhead in general. It is a look for finding new materials that are lower cost but have better performance in many other areas that we are focusing on. Our global footprint is a true advantage, because it allows us, not only to be very close to the design centers of our customers, but it is also gives us the access to low cost labor and in many instances, access to new emerging markets as well. 70%... over 70% of our labor force, total labor force headcount is now in low cost areas. And last, not least all of this is driven and managed by a very, very strong entrepreneurial and agile organization and management team. A brief word to the trends and progress in our served markets. We are very pleased to again be able to achieve a double-digit market in a generally more moderate demand environment as I said earlier. But in some of the market segments we see good demand strength and military and aerospace is one of them. It represented 19% of our sales in the third quarter. Sales increased a strong 40% over prior year, but when adjusting for the flood the increase is estimated around 21% year-over-year. This strong growth is certainly a result of a very healthy demand environment on a broad basis both in commercial aircraft as well as on the military side itself. We all have heard about the delay of the Boeing program by another six months. For us these delays are just a normal life. We know about these delays that come along, whether it's in commercial aircraft or whether it's in military. But our broad program participation in general in military as well as in commercial aircraft will allow us to have a strong continuation of our growth in 2007 and into 2008. We don't see any major impact coming from that delay. I mean the delay of six months to the ten-year program before it goes into production is really a minute thing for Amphenol to face. Industrial market represented 12% of our sales in the third quarter, and the sales increased a strong 9% over the prior year. We continue to benefit from our strategic focus on growth markets in the industrial area. One of them is the oil and gas, and power generation market. And with the addition of Stewart Enterprises in the geophysical exploration market, we are expanding further our opportunities in this generally, very strong market. The rail mass transit markets as well as the medical instrumentation markets are other markets that have sustained good growth. And we expect the trend of growth in these markets to continue as more and more electronics is being used in these applications. The automotive market represented 8% of our sales in the third quarter and sales increased a strong 29% over last year. We all know that most of our automotive business is... resides in Europe, so currency adjusted, the growth in the automotive market was 21%, very strong still especially considering that we are dealing with a seasonally slower quarter in Q3. The majority of this growth was driven by the introduction of our next generation interconnect product for the electronics used in cars. That includes certainly next generation for safety devices, where we have new customer wins and new platform wins. They give us a very positive outlook into 2008 with continued strong growth. Now some of the communication and information technology-related market. First, the broadband communications market over Hybrid Fiber Coax networks represented 10% of our sales. The majority of these sales are comprised of the coaxial cable side of our business. Sales increased a strong 9% over the prior year. And this is essentially a result of a very healthy demand in a typically strong build period. We believe that the success of the new broadband services over these networks will continue to drive demand, although we expect in the fourth quarter, and at the beginning of the first quarter a somewhat tapering off of that demand, as we enter a slower build period. The IT and data communication market is a very large segment of Amphenol with 23% of our sales generated in that market. The sales were relatively flat when compared to a very strong third quarter of 2006. We are pleased however that on a sequential basis the sales in that market were up a strong 4% in end market that it has mix demand patterns and is generally relatively moderate. However, our new high-speed products are gaining strong momentum, broad acceptance in the marketplace and certainly have excellent prospects for the future, especially as we are now offering to our customers complete interconnect solutions, a complete interconnect system architecture, as we call it, that will drive growth for years to come. Mobile infrastructure market, we had a very strong performance. It represented 14% of our sales, and sales increased by 8% over prior year. The growth in this generally soft market was essentially driven by our strong performance in emerging markets and by our participation on high growth platform in that market. Long term the outlook is positive. As the subscriber growth continues, there are increased data and multimedia traffic requirements that drive growth as well. New IP mobile networks are also encouraging, as we see the development coming, and our increasing participation in the TDS, CDMA market in China, which is essentially dominated by Chinese customers only, no global manufacturers are really participating in that build-out. And we have good opportunities in this market to participate, as we move into 2008. Last of our market, served market is the mobile device market, which represented in the quarter 14% of our sales. And sales increased a very strong 30% over prior year. We certainly benefited from a seasonally improved demand environment. But to a larger extent, however, our growth was... is a result of the successful introduction of our broad spectrum of innovative products across several customers and the number of new platforms. We are very encouraged to continue our growth in this marketplace as it has long term very positive outlook, as mobility continues to grow around the world. However, we will continue to deal with seasonalities more than in other markets in that segment. In summary, we are extremely pleased with our progress of enhancing our position across our served markets. And we are confident in the ability of our organization to the trend, the trends that we have right now in our strong performance in terms of growth and profitability. And we believe that we can continue to capitalize on our leading position in the diverse markets, capitalize on our superior technology and capitalize on many new opportunities we have created for ourselves. On that basis our confidence that, and our position in the marketplace and the demands that we see we have been raising our guidance and outlook substantially for the fourth quarter and for the total year 2007. For the fourth quarter we expect now sales in the range of $740 million to $755 million and EPS in the range of $0.50 to $0.52 a share. Obviously, this increased guidance is a result of adjusting for the better result of the third quarter and for... a generally stronger outlook for the fourth quarter that compared to what we saw in the middle of the year. For the full year that means that sales are now guided in the range of $2.814 billion to $2.829 billion and EPS in the range of $1.89 to $1.91 for the full year 2007. We look forward with confidence to close 2007 with a new record for Amphenol, and we are very excited about the future as we prepare for a strong 2008 and a very strong close of 2007. Thank you very much. And with this I would like to open it for any questions that you may have. Question And Answer