Earnings Labs

American Public Education, Inc. (APEI)

Q1 2017 Earnings Call· Wed, May 10, 2017

$57.26

+0.46%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the American Public Education, Inc. Q1 2017 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. It is now my pleasure to hand the conference over to Mr. Chris Symanoskie, Vice President of Investor Relations. Sir, you may proceed.

Chris Symanoskie

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good evening and welcome to the American Public Education conference call to discuss financial and operating results for the first quarter of 2017. Please note that statements made in this conference call regarding American Public Education or its subsidiaries that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements based on current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections about American Public Education and the industry. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual future events or results to differ materially from such statements. Forward-looking statements can be identified by words, such as anticipate, believe, seek, could, estimate, expect, intend, may, should, will and would. These forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding expected growth, expected registrations and enrollments, expected revenues and expected earnings and plans with respect to recent and future initiatives, investments and partnerships. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, including the risk factors described in the risk factors section and elsewhere in the company’s annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC, quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed with the SEC and the company’s other SEC filings. The company undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason, unless required by law even if new information becomes available or other events occur in the future. This evening, it’s my pleasure to introduce Dr. Wallace Boston, our President and CEO and Rick Sunderland, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Now at this time, I’ll turn the call over to Dr. Boston.

Wallace Boston

Analyst

Thank you, Chris. Starting off with Slide 3, recent results and highlights. Thank you everybody for joining us. We are pleased to conduct today’s earnings call from Salt Lake City, the location of this year’s ASU GSP Summit. The annual conference is a gathering of some of the most successful creative and innovative organizations within the e-learning community. We feel that American Public Education’s dedication to affordability and intense focus on student outcomes closely aligns with the goals of those gathered here and as reflected by our recent progress in improving student persistence at APUS and by continued new student enrollment growth at Hondros College of Nursing or HCN. For the three months ending February 28, 2017, which is our most recent available information, the first course pass and completion rate of undergraduate students using federal student aid, or FSA at APUS increased approximately 19% compared to the same period last year. We believe the improvement in this persistence indicator suggest that our efforts to attract and retain students with greater college readiness are continuing to produce positive results. In the first quarter of 2017, net course registrations at APUS declined 9% compared to the prior year period. Although net course registrations by new students declined by 16% year-over-year, net course registrations by returning students decreased 8% compared to the prior year period. We believe that the difference in the rate of decline of registrations by new students and that of returning students relates at least in part to improvements in persistence and the quality mix of students. The overall decline in net course registrations by new students at APUS was primarily driven by a 26% year-over-year decrease in net course registrations by new students using FSA and an 18% year-over-year decrease in net course registrations by new students using…

Rick Sunderland

Analyst

Thank you, Wally. American Public Education’s first quarter 2017 consolidated financial results include a 9.9% decline in revenue to $75.5 million compared to $84.0 million in the prior year period. Both our APEI segment and our Hondros segment reported declines in revenue when compared to the prior year. In the first quarter, our APEI segment revenue decreased 10.7% to $68.1 million compared to $76.3 million in the prior year period. Decline in APEI segment revenue is primarily attributable to a decrease in net course registrations. Hondros segment revenue decreased 1.8% to $7.6 million in the first quarter of 2017 compared to $7.7 million in the same period of 2016. The decline in Hondros segment revenue is primarily due to a decline in total enrollment at Hondros. On a consolidated basis, cost and expenses decreased 0.9% to $67.4 million compared to $68.0 million in the prior year period. For the first quarter, consolidated instructional costs and services expense or ICS as a percentage of revenue increased to 38.3% compared to 35.4% in the prior year period. Our ICS expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2017, were $29.0 million representing a decrease of 2.5% from $29.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2016, as a result of a decrease in employee compensation expenses in our APEI segment. The increase as a percentage of revenue was primarily due to our consolidated revenue decreasing at a rate greater than the decrease in our instructional costs and services excellences. Selling and promotional expense or S&P as a percentage of revenue increased to 20.4% of revenue compared to 19.6% in the prior year period. Year-over-year, S&P costs decreased 6.3% to $15.4 million compared to $16.5 million in the prior year. The increase as a percentage of revenue was due to our consolidated…

Operator

Operator

Thank you, sir. [Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from the line of Peter Appert with Piper Jaffray. Please proceed.

Peter Appert

Analyst

Thank you. Wally, can you give us any more color on what’s driving the improved military performance?

Wallace Boston

Analyst

I would say that we really are unable to predict that Peter. It was somewhat seasonal, I think in the first quarter, the month of February was up and other two months were down. And we are seeing a projected improvement in the second quarter. I don’t know that I can – technically, the $25 billion extra that was approved for the military and the defense budget isn’t going to improve the number of soldiers we have on duty for probably another 18 months based on my estimate. So maybe it’s just some people who have been looking at the estimated time that will end their investment and saying that they would rather have education paid for by TA before they become be a VA student, really unable to make a prediction at this point in time.

Peter Appert

Analyst

So it’s not better access to basis, it’s more or something, it some sounds like just a random occurrence from your perspective?

Wallace Boston

Analyst

Well, in fact the base access issues that we have spoken about really haven’t ended because the new administration doesn’t have their appointees in place yet, so it’s definitely not better access to basis.

Peter Appert

Analyst

Okay. And Rick, can you talk about the year-to-year increase in G&A, what drove that and is this a new run rate number we should be thinking about?

Rick Sunderland

Analyst

No, we are looking hard at G&A. I wouldn’t take that as a new run rate number. Broadly, there are some professional fees we incurred in the first quarter, which drove that year-over-year increase. I would not project that as a new run rate.

Peter Appert

Analyst

Okay. And then can you give us an update on where things stand from a regulatory standpoint at Hondros?

Wallace Boston

Analyst

Sure. We had issued a Q talking about a show cause that we had gotten from the current accreditor, ACICS. And on the good news perspective, we pointed out to ACICS that there were some placements that the show cause was related to placement rate. There were some placements that had not been accounted. They allowed us to open up the data files that they keep and started those placements and then it took a month or so before they reviewed them and then they vacated the show cause last Friday.

Peter Appert

Analyst

Excellent, great. Where do things stand on your new accreditation?

Wallace Boston

Analyst

It’s in process. We have had some interim meetings. I believe that we will have our visit in November. So we are anticipating based on our preliminary visits with liaison we have been assigned, that all is in order there. It’s a good line of communications and we are certainly hopeful that the visit happens in November. We have good result and they inform us of a successful outcome in January or February.

Peter Appert

Analyst

And then lastly Wally, on the issue around the NCLEX scores, where do things stand on that?

Wallace Boston

Analyst

They are improving Peter, we have put in a new curriculum primarily because the types of questions that were asked on the NCLEX, we had a nationally renowned consultant who said one of your reasons for your pass rates is they have changed type of questions more didactic and less memorization. So we changed our curriculum to be much more reflective of that. The curriculum was put in place last January. And so from the RN program, our first graduates test in the second quarter, but everything looks good and we have gotten – otherwise, we hired also somebody with experience in just improving NCLEX test rates in general, without even changing the curriculum. And in the latter part of last year, those test results started improving. And so far in the first quarter, they are improving. But the ones that we really expect to improve, we will start taking the test in the second quarter.

Peter Appert

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks Wally and Rick.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from the line of Jeff Silber with BMO. Please proceed.

Henry Chien

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon guys. It’s Henry Chien calling for Jeff.

Wallace Boston

Analyst

Hey, Henry.

Henry Chien

Analyst

Hi, guys. Just a question on some of your initiatives to stabilize enrollment, I know you touched a little bit on marketing enrollments. Is there anything that you can point to where you are seeing some signs of improvement or some signs of stabilization or any kind of – any metrics or anything that you follow where you are starting to see some kind of impacts from your initiatives?

Wallace Boston

Analyst

Well, I think to give you really granular specifics is probably a little too soon to tell on that, but we have implemented – part of the issues we had, we were not satisfied with the first course pass rate of many of our FSA students. And it’s been a slow and arduous process. We put in an admissions assessment was the first thing that we did. After that admissions assessment, we looked at the test results. We altered the test results. We had a mandatory essay. We made some adjustments to that. And slowly, but surely, we have improved our quality, but we have reduced the number of FSA students as you can see, the pass rate has improved dramatically quarter-by-quarter. So we are doing the right thing and screening candidates to make sure that we accept students who are capable of completing our college courses and earning a degree in general. As far as non-FSA, the VA market has been pretty good for us and still continues to be pretty good, but it’s what I would call a market that is tough to predict because of the fact that the housing allowance for distance education students is only 50% versus a 100% for students who attend on-ground or face-to-face education. I think the slight improvement that we have seen with cash paid paying students is just due to a renewed focus on corporate – partnerships with corporations and relationships with those corporations and one of which we announced recently was our new relationship with the TSA.

Henry Chien

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And my follow-up, you actually just was curious on what drove the, I believe, you said it was 8% increase in new enrollments for cash, was that directly related to some of the corporate relationships that you are pursuing?

Wallace Boston

Analyst

Yes, cash is pretty much related to corporate relationships.

Henry Chien

Analyst

Got it.

Wallace Boston

Analyst

I mean, we have a too few oversea students who you may know that oversea students are not eligible for federal aid, but I think that – they are not as material as our students who get reimbursed for their tuition from employers.

Henry Chien

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And just finally on the TA improvement for next quarter, I know it’s hard to kind of parse out what’s driving that, but is there any sense of – if you have any confidence that it is kind of trying to keep continued?

Wallace Boston

Analyst

Well, I would like to think that maybe it’s because there is a new attitude in Washington, but that’s – I can’t tell you that I’ve got any algebraic or magic formula that tells me that.

Henry Chien

Analyst

Yes, fair enough. Alright. Thanks so much, guys.

Wallace Boston

Analyst

Sure. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I am showing no further questions in queue. So now it’s my pleasure to hand the conference back over to Mr. Chris Symanoskie, Vice President of Investor Relations, for closing comments and remarks. Sir?

Chris Symanoskie

Analyst

Thank you, operator. That will conclude our call for today. We wish to thank you for participating and for your interest in American Public Education. Have a great evening.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participation on today’s conference. This does conclude the program and you may all disconnect. Everybody, have a good day.