Wallace Boston
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thank you, Chris. Good evening, everyone. I will begin today's call with a summary of our results and provide a brief commentary on the progress we are making with respect to our strategic goals. Then our CFO, Rick Sunderland, will discuss our financial results and provide perspective on our outlook for the first quarter of 2015. In 2014, APEI enjoyed several operational successes in the face of uncertainty and significant industry headwinds. For example, we’ve been exploring new ways to increase student persistence. We have deployed innovative technologies, classroom interventions and other recommendations from academic organizations such John Gardner Institute and the HLC Academy for Student Persistence and Completion. This work has allowed us to identify additional approaches that we intend to implement in the year ahead. I'm pleased by the success of Hondros College of Nursing. In 2014, the college completed a move to a larger more visible and accessible facility in Cleveland, Ohio at a new evening and weekend classes at both its Cleveland and Columbus campuses and prepared for transition to the Sakai Learning Management System which is used at APUS. Last year, APUS added new programs in cyber security, electrical engineering and public policy and in January of 2015 we launched our new dual degree Masters program in homeland security and emergency and disaster management. More importantly we celebrated a record graduating class of more than 10,000 AMU and APU students in 2014, a tremendous accomplishment for these students. The success leads to growing recognition. APUS undergraduate programs were ranked in the top 10% in U.S. News & World Report's 2015 national online rankings advancing seven places over its 2014 ranking to number 27 nationally out of 292 schools. In addition, Military Times Magazine recently ranked AMU number one at serving active-duty military and number nine in serving veterans. Our long-term strategy includes, among other initiatives, plans to increase the percentage of international students at APU. We currently have agreements with three New Horizons franchises that we're in the process of training to help us reach our goals for national students. In addition, we have a new pilot program with several international education agents to help us expand international outreach. Our team is working hard to finalize processes, procedures and materials to attract and serve this potential new student population. Despite increased competition and evolving regulatory landscape, changes in tuition assistance programs and other challenges that continued to confront APEI and the industry, we were able to advance on many important fronts in 2014. While total enrollment at APUS declined 1% year-over-year enrollment in our SIM programs, an area of importance to our nation and to us, increased approximately 10% year-over-year to approximate 13% of total enrollment in 2014. As of December 2014 compared to the prior year, Hondros College of Nursing achieved enrollment growth of 11% and new student enrollment growth of 16%. Moving on to Slide number 4 – fourth quarter highlights. In the fourth quarter of 2014, overall net course registrations at APUS increased 7% year-over-year while net course registrations by new students declined 6% year-over-year. Net course registrations by new and total students using military tuition assistance increased year-over-year by 31% and 38% respectively. You may remember that in the prior year period, net course registrations were adversely impacted by a partial government shutdown that temporarily prevented active-duty military students from using their TA benefits to register for courses in October of 2013. The company previously estimated that 13,100 course registrations were dropped in the fourth quarter of 2013, largely as a result of these events. Thus the company estimates that net course registrations by students using TA may have declined 9% year-over-year absent this factor. Net course registrations by both new and total students using veterans benefits increased approximately 7% year-over-year. We believe this was driven by an increase in the number of service members departing from active duty military and by our reputation for serving military and military affiliated communities. Although net course registrations by students using cash and other sources declined 4% during the quarter, net course registrations by new student using cash and other sources increased 6% year-over-year. We believe the increase is in part attributable to our efforts to build strategic relationships with corporations, associations, and public service organizations. In the fourth quarter of 2014, net course registrations by students using Federal Student Aid decreased 10% year-over-year, driven by a 22% decline in net course registrations by new students using Federal Student Aid. Although we had anticipated the decline in net course registrations by new students using Federal Student Aid, the decline in the fourth quarter was more than originally anticipated. We believe this was a result of increasing competition in higher education as well as a result of moving to a more targeted and narrow geographical approach to marketing discussed in our previous calls, that is designed to attract students with greater college readiness. We continue to develop and refine enhanced analytics and marketing tools that we believe will enable us to focus more on the quality of incoming students and eliminate less successful marketing channels. We also continue the pilot programs in academics and IT that are aimed at improving retention. For example, our investment in Fidelis led to our pilot of ClearPath, a new learning relationship management or LRM system developed by Fidelis with input from us. The results of this pilot which now includes 5000 undergraduate students who volunteered for the program were impressive. We found that ClearPath users completed the enrollment and transfer credit processes at higher rate, had lower course withdrawals and drops, exhibited the higher GPA in their initial courses and registered for subsequent classes earlier than those in the larger student population. Based on these positive results we expect to open ClearPath for all new APUS students by the end of the first quarter of 2015 and transition current and returning students into ClearPath by the end of 2015. We remain focused on improving student persistence through our pilot initiatives in academics, IT and marketing in addition to our ongoing collaborative initiatives with the Gateways to Completion program and the foundations of excellence program of the John N Gardner Institute and the HLC’s Academy for Student Persistence and Completion, all three initiatives aimed at improving quality and exploring new ways to improve retention, particularly in high enrollment Gateway courses. Moving on to Slide number 5 - API long-term strategy. We anticipate continued volatility and softness in enrollment by students using Federal Student Aid and TA in the first quarter of 2015. While the broader economy may be showing signs of improvement, competition for high-quality civilian students in higher education may continue to increase. In addition, sequestration and budgetary matters may adversely impact enrollment. In short, it could be another challenging year for us. However we now have more tools or strategies at our disposal to positively influence our quality mix of students. APUS is playing a tuition increase in the second half of 2015 which will help to support further improvements in the online learning experience and other initiatives aimed at improving student success. We believe that the increase for graduate and undergraduate registrations will be 5% and 8%. To support our active duty military students, APUS will continue providing a tuition grant that will keep the cost of tuition for these students at approximately its current level. In 2016, we will evaluate repositioning select degree programs by implementing differentiated pricing primarily to better align tuition of certain programs with higher market demand. We remain firmly committed, however, to being the champions of affordability. However the way in which we approach the matter may evolve over time. Although we’ve increased our focus on strategic relationships to positively influence our quality mix of students we believe that additional assessments of student readiness will be helpful to this effort. Beginning in the second quarter of 2015 we will require that prospective students complete a free noncredit admission course if they are not active duty military or veteran applicants, graduates from certified federal state and local law enforcement and public safety academies or prospective students with at least nine hours of transfer credit with a grade of C or better for each course from the accredited institutions. These strategic admissions requirements which are formulated based on internal and third-party research give us yet another lever with which to influence our quality mix of students and in turn may allow us greater flexibility with regards to the breadth of our future marketing campaigns. In the fourth quarter of 2015 we plan to change the method by which we disperse Federal Student Aid from a single disbursement method to a multiple disbursement method for first time APUS undergraduate students. While this change may adversely impact enrollment we believe the change has the potential to lower bad debt expense and will reduce the attractiveness of our programs to students who are seeking to take improper advantage of Federal Student Aid programs. We believe our competitive advantage will be strengthened by greater brand differentiation, realized by providing a unique and advanced learning environment for students, on campus and online. In December of 2014, APUS began a course renovation project to enhance the interactivity and appearance of our courses as well as to incorporate new rich media, gamification and simulation. We initially focused on the 50 courses with the highest drop withdrawal, incomplete and failure rates. Over the next 18 months we plan to redesign the remaining 1500 courses to enhance the student experience and further differentiate our courses. This best-in-class university experience is to be a key point of differentiation from our competition. We want to impress our students with high interactivity, collaboration, simulation and gaming technology that is designed for their own personal success and to maximize the student experience. At the same time we plan to enter new fields of study and market segments to diversify and address new opportunities in higher education. At this time, I will turn the call over to our CFO Rick Sunderland to discuss our financial results and first quarter outlook in greater detail. Rick?