Eric Colson
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead with your question
Thank you, Makela. And thank you everyone for joining the call. We begin each of these calls with the same slide laying out who we are. Artisan Partners is a high value added investment firm designed for investment talent that thrives in a thoughtful growth environment. We design and operate our firm to create an ideal atmosphere for investment professionals. Thoughtful growth is a critical component of our culture. Growth provides new opportunities for talent, enhances the return for shareholders and partners and diversifies and stabilizes our business. In 1994, when Artisan Partners was founded, open architecture and portfolio manager free agency presented risk for some firms and opportunity for others such as Artisan. Today, changing investor preferences, new regulations and technology are all disrupting the investment management industry. As the industry has disrupted, investors are rethinking how their wealth is managed. They are moving to low cost exposure oriented products on the one hand and differentiated strategies with high degrees of freedom on the other. Active closet indexes are left behind. This presents us with an exciting opportunity just like the open architecture and free agency did 20 years ago. The key for us is to continue to deliver superior or long term investment outcomes that are differentiated from indexes and other managers. If we do that, we believe that the disruption that we see today will work in our favor over the long term. In order to deliver for our clients we must continue to recruit and incentivize the best investment talent. We must also continue to work with our talent and clients to design and run investment strategies with increasing degrees of freedom so that our teams have a broad set of tools to outperform and manage risk. On slide two we have highlighted some of the ways the U.S. equity markets have changed over the years. These changes demonstrate why it’s important that investment strategies continue to evolve. Over the last 20 years the number of listed companies in the U.S. has declined by over 40%, going from more than 7000 companies to around 4000 companies. Partially as a result of roughly 50% decline in IPOs as the number of listed companies has contracted, the percentage of publicly traded companies with negative earnings has increased. In 1995, about 9% of the companies included in the Russell 3000 were losing money. For 2015, approximately 20% were losing money, further reducing the opportunity set for active managers. This investment philosophy steers them away from loss making companies. While the investment opportunity set has been shrinking competition for alpha has increased. The lower left hand chart shows the growth of active domestic equity mutual funds. While much of the AUM growth can be explained by market performance, it simply the case that there is an unprecedented level of actively managed dollars that worked today. Lastly, the chart on the lower right hand side shows the dollars flowing into passively managed mutual funds and ETFs. Dollars managed and passive products now represent a significant percentage of the market cap of many companies and also account for a significant amount of trading activity. According to the Wall Street Journal, passive mutual funds and ETFs are nearly 12% of the aggregate equity value of the S&P 500 up from about 5% only 10 years ago and clearly the passive product rely on the price discovery function provided by active decision makers. In practice, it’s arguable that the flood of passive money can distort price discovery especially over short time periods. All of this adds up to a very investment environment than 10 or 20 years ago. If an investment strategy is limited to domestic equities the opportunity is said to be shrinking. Competition is increasing and passive dollars are clouding the picture. This constantly changing investment landscape is why we have always believed that it’s important to involve in existing investment strategies towards additional flexibility and launch new strategies with high degrees of investment freedom. On slide three we’ve visually represented how we think about this evolutionary process. In the 90s and early 2000s when the domestic equity opportunities was larger and fewer active and passive dollars were at work, client won at strategies with relatively narrow investment parameters. They wanted to allocate across segmented managers and expect that those managers to stay within the assigned asset classes. Over the years, clients has increasingly appreciated that as the investment landscape changes talented investors are better able to deliver alpha and managed risk if they are given greater degrees of investment freedom within conviction related portfolios. For traditional strategies, these increasing degrees of freedom come informed of modest, but overtime significant expansions of investment guidelines. Market caps expense, international companies are permitted and geography caps are raised or eliminated. These changes expand the alpha opportunities set and provide our teams with more tools to manage risk. For existing strategies, this is an evolution, not a rapid shift. The parameters that they find at traditional asset classes continue to anchor the strategies. We expanded the tools, available to our investment teams without interfering with client expectations about the type of strategies they have invested in. We have been applying this evolutionary process to a number of our strategies for many years. As we go forward, we expect to continue considering and seeking expanded degrees of freedom in existing strategies. Change is inevitable and doing nothing is a losing proposition. Turning to slide four and developing new strategies and recruiting new talent we have applied the same philosophy of added degrees of freedom. On the bottom of this slide you can see our new strategies and teams over the last decade. The global, high income and developing world strategies each provide investment talent with additional degrees of freedom to generate alpha and manage risks. The usefulness of those additional degrees of freedom is borne out by the strategies, investment performance. The global opportunities, global value and global equity strategies have each delivered more than 448 basis points of average annual outperformance since the interception. Our newer strategies, high income and developing world have also delivered significant alpha since the interception, though over a shorter time periods. The success and growth of our newer strategies is often overshadowed by the cash flows in our larger more traditional strategy. As of quarter end, the strategies listed on this page have year-to-date positive net client cash flows of nearly $2.2 billion. Over the last three years, these strategies have positive net flows of $8.8 billion. The high income and developing world strategies have gathered assets at a quicker pace than any strategies in Artisan’s history. The strategies listed on this page provide a blue print as we think about additional new strategies and investment talent. They also support our plan to add additional degrees of freedom to our existing strategies as and when it makes sense to do so. Moving to slide five, our newest portfolio manager, Chris Smith started with us just a few days ago. Chris is in the early stages of establishing our eight investment team, the Artisan Thematic team. Prior to joining Artisan, Chris managed a pool of capital as a senior analyst at Kingdon Capital. Chris brings to Artisan a wealth of experience and concentrated long only and long short investing. At Artisan we expect that Chris and his team will manage both a concentrated long only strategy and a long short strategy. These strategies will represent a further evolution for Artisan towards additional investment flexibility and risk management tools. Also want to know that Jason Gottlieb recently joined the firm as Chief Operating Officer of Investments. Jason joins Artisan after 20 years with Goldman Sachs where he was a partner and most recently worked as a senior member of the team responsible for manager selections. In that capacity Jason evaluated hundreds of investment managers across the globe with a broad range of investment strategies. Jason’s knowledge in the alternatives areas will be particularly helpful as our investment teams continue to broaden degrees of freedom and we continue to search for new talent that will fit well within our business and culture. Moving to slide six, as I mentioned at the beginning of the call ultimately our growth will depend on long term investment results. These slide shows a percentage of rolling five year periods in which our strategies have outperformed their benchmarks by more than the fee we currently charge on the corresponding mutual fund. As you can see in the vast majority of rolling five year periods, our teams have outperformed their benchmarks by more than our management fee? On the right side of the page, we have highlighted the strategies performance since interception. We believe that investors should analyze the strategies performance across the full market cycles which won’t necessarily be reflected in five year data. But if you look at the since the interception performance you’ll see that most of our strategies with the longest term track records have generated very strong absolute returns and beaten their benchmarks by meaningful amounts. Over 20 years, the global equity team have compounded assets in the non-U.S. gross strategy at an average annual rate of over 10%. That’s more than twice the average annual rate of the benchmark. The midcap value and midcap gross strategies have compounded assets since the late 90s at an average annual rate in excess of 13% and 15% respectively. And the global values teams’ first strategy non-U.S. value has average annual returns of over 12% since the interception, representing 670 basis points of average annual value added. Towards the bottom of the slide you’ll see our emerging market strategy which we launched in 2006. Over the strategy of 10-year history the emerging markets index has returned about the same as the EAFE index and considerably less than the U.S. equity markets. The fact that over such a long time period taking greater risk has not rewarded investors with greater returns suggest that even a 10-year period may not encapsulate the fall market cycle. Over the last year, emerging market index is up almost 17% and our emerging market strategy is up almost 30%. In spaces like EM, it’s particularly important to invest with a thoughtful time horizon. In the aggregate our long term results, both on an absolute and relative basis have translated into more wealth for our clients and investors to use for their retirement, education, charity and other purposes and goals. While the world seems to be focusing on shorter and shorter time periods, the sophisticated clients and investors that we target are long term investors, because they have long term goals, but their trust and patience combined with increasing degrees of investment freedom, we are confident that our teams will continue to deliver long term results. Slide seven shows a distribution of the sophisticated client investor base that we target. When I look at this page and think about the changing investment landscape and our involving investment strategies, several things come to mind. First, I look forward to seeing the Artisan Thematic team added to the investment team pie chart and our addition of Jason Gottlieb will help us add and involve strategies with broader investment degrees of freedom. Looking at our distribution channels, we believe that our strategies with greater degrees of freedom will work well for clients and investors in both the institutional and intermediary channels. Our global strategies have proven popular with the institutional clients that form the backbone of our business. These clients are long term partners who understand our strategies and what we are trying to accomplish. We maintain the integrity of our strategies; these clients are patient and willing to give us the time that they know is necessary for long term investment strategies to play out. Much of the recent growth in our institutional business has come from outside of the United States, a trend that I expect will continue. Year-to-date non U.S. net flows are positive $600 million and asset management non-U.S. clients now represent 16% of our total AUM. We also see strong demand in the intermediary channel for the kind of evolving strategies I have been discussing. Most of the early growth of our high income and developing world strategies has come through the intermediary channel, where wealth managers are looking to place their clients in differentiated strategies that can deliver alpha and include enhanced tools to manage risks. Lastly, the evolution I have been discussing will also be reflected in the vehicle chart. In particular, for certain future strategies private offered funds will be the best vehicle in which to provide our investment talent the necessary degrees of freedom and risk management tools. That will be another indication of how we are adjusting to their changing landscape and doing what’s necessary to continue to deliver for clients and investors over the long term. I’ll now turn it over to C.J. to discuss our more recent financial results.