Stephen Carey
Analyst · Guggenheim
Great. And to answer your second question, Dana, and thank you for the questions. Yes, a few inputs on the stronger second half. So, the foundational piece of it, for sure, would just be the strength of the portfolio operating in a non-COVID-19 type backdrop as you're hearing on all of your industry calls and pharma client calls, whether it's framed out as a decline driven by destocking in the second quarter or a decline driven by softness in script activities, right? When we look at IMS data for the second quarter versus prior year, total scripts for generics were down 6% year-over-year and for brands, about 10% year-over-year. And so that is the single biggest factor in terms of the softness of the top line in the second quarter. And well, obviously, there's no crystal ball in terms of what the second half is going to bring. If we presume that there's less disruption or essentially no disruption to patient-physician activity, we would look to be delivering stronger quarters just based upon that. And then you layer on top of the fact that our operating plan and our previous guidance before it was withdrawn, always was built upon sequential growth throughout the course of 2020. And that was driven by product launches and the biggest of which was the continued uptake of our Vancomycin oral solution product, which was launched back in the fourth quarter of 2019. Now that product in particular, while it was called out as a favorable in our year-over-year comps, did get set back in the second quarter as that product, the main indication is for C. diff, which is largely comes out of folks being in the hospital. And so the Vancomycin market took kind of an outsized step backwards in the second quarter as folks pushed off elective procedures. So, we look to see that product start to post sequential gains as well in the second half, again driven with an assumption that activity returns to normal, elective procedures return to normal, etc. And then I think you had a third leg of your question on the organic portfolio. And clearly, the big three products that we talked about last year that took competitive hits, Ezetimibe-Simvastatin, EES and EEMT, we will start to lap those competitive hits as the second half continues. So the Ezetimibe-Simvastatin losses occurred around mid-year of last year. So we're kind of we'll start lapping that impact in the third quarter, and EES was a little bit later, kind of the end of third quarter and beginning of fourth quarter of 2019. So we'll lap those comps in the fourth quarter. And EEMT was the latest of the 3. So you'll start to see relative performance as compared to prior year comps start to improve as those impacts get further in the rearview mirror.