Keith Anderson
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Ido, and thank you, everyone, for joining us on our second quarter call. While later in my prepared remarks I'll unpack our performance this quarter, I want to first provide some insights into the 2 acquisitions we announced simultaneously 2 weeks ago. If you recall, we discussed on our first quarter earnings call that the theme of longitudinal care, while a core functional tenet of the Converge platform, is also driving our inorganic strategy in the areas of care coordination, interoperability, device-agnostic patient monitoring and the ability for Amwell to provide programs to manage chronic conditions if the health plan or health system customer does not have their own program. Acquiring these two companies simultaneously was intentional as Conversa is focused on automation and care coordination while SilverCloud then delivers lower-acuity, CBT-based behavioral health tools to address the situations identified by Conversa. While both of these companies have been wildly successful in their own right, the combination of both of them at the same time on the Converge platform opens up many opportunities for Amwell to further deliver on our core mission: to provide the environment, the platform and the tools for our customers' own providers to deliver care to their patients or members. While Conversa is mainly automation technology that will broaden Converge's functionality, SilverCloud is a behavioral health tool that when appropriate can search the customers' own providers to treat their patients. Kaiser in their use of SilverCloud is a fantastic example of this dynamic. What is most important about SilverCloud and Conversa is that it highlights the differences of Amwell versus other virtual care companies as we are partnering with the provider and coordinators of care versus competing against them. This enablement theme and function is competitively differentiating and has been a key to our success in the selling season. In terms of financial impact, we acquired SilverCloud for $210 million and Conversa for $110 million, with both transactions paid for with a similar mix of approximately 50-50 cash and stock. Both transactions have additional earn-outs based on operational and 2022 GAAP revenue milestones that upon achievement will be paid for in Amwell stock. In aggregate, and if operating on a stand-alone basis, the companies are expected to achieve $15 million in revenue in 2021 and over $30 million in 2022. On a GAAP basis and in terms of contribution to Amwell, due to significant deferred revenue balances, we expect little to no contribution to our 2021 revenue but approximately $30 million in 2022. While the deferred revenue write-down is a headwind to 2021 revenue, on a GAAP basis, we still recognize all of the expenses, which are significant as both companies were building up the infrastructure to support their 100% growth rate. So on a GAAP basis for 2021, we will absorb an additional $10 million in EBITDA loss related to these acquisitions. Both companies in aggregate are forecasted to achieve 70% gross margins in 2022. 75% of SilverCloud's revenue comes from the U.K. from notable customers such as the NHS. From a customer base perspective, the majority of revenue from both companies comes from health systems, which was important to us, and typically achieve over 140% net revenue retention. We closed Conversa yesterday, and are expecting to close SilverCloud by the end of the month. Now turning to our second quarter results. We reported total revenue of $60.2 million, an increase of 5% over last quarter, driven mainly by expansion of our technology subscription business. Total subscription revenue in the quarter was $26.8 million, a 9% increase over last quarter and about a 15% increase compared to the second quarter of last year, if normalized for the 2 customers' lost due to M&A that we've previously discussed. The growth is a result of expanded health plan programs and health system modules. While we report average contract values on an annual basis, it's notable that average contract value is now around $700,000 for health plans versus $600,000 in 2020 due to the rapid expansion of programs being conducted through our platform. Total visits conducted this quarter on the Amwell platform was 1.3 million, and AMG performed 325,000 of these visits. Reiterating what Ido said, in spite of a Q2 and Q3 typical summer slowdown in urgent care visits, which was exacerbated by people experiencing a much-needed COVID passing euphoria, our clients continue to deliver significant care on the platform as 75% of visits were delivered by our customers' own providers. Total visit revenue was 27.5 million this quarter, which is the same level as Q1 despite the summer dynamic. Unpacking the mix, AMG volume continues to shift to higher acuity specialty visits with the average price per visit rising now to $85 per visit range from the low $80 range in Q1 and $73 per visit on average in 2020. Similar to the first quarter, this increase was also driven by the increase in behavioral health visits, especially higher acuity psychiatry delivered virtually to patients mainly in the hospital. While the number of AMG visits decreased slightly, revenue remained flat as the mix percentage continued to shift to higher revenue specialty visits versus simple urgent care. As we guided last quarter, services in Carepoint's revenue increased to $5.9 million from $5.2 million and is on plan as health systems begin to execute their capital plans in earnest in Q2. Gross margin increased over 600 basis points to 44% of revenue versus 38% last quarter. This was partially due to revenue mix shift more weighted to subscription revenue, but also efficiency measures implemented on the services side. Specifically, the efficiency aspects of our partnership with Google being realized, economies of scale and technology process improvements within our AMG business and early aspects of margin expansion as we begin to migrate clients over on the Converge. Note that in Q3 and Q4, we expect margins to slightly dip versus this quarter as we begin to migrate some of our more complex customers on to Converge, and this will take additional resources to ensure the migration is seamless. But what we are seeing in the business and what we have done operationally and with technology confirms our ability to meet our IPO target margins in the mid-50% range and with continued mix shift over time, eventually even higher margins as our subscription business, our core business, is currently operating at above 60% gross margin. But again, that will take time as AMG visits currently represent half of our business. Moving to OpEx. We've also achieved similar efficiencies within company operations. R&D expense in the second quarter was $22.4 million, representing 37% of total revenue, which compared to 40% of revenue in the first quarter for a favorable $600,000. We achieved these efficiencies through better leveraging our strategic partners in the development of Converge and also offshoring some aspects of engineering that we originally thought we'd keep in-house. These changes have been reflected and our favorable adjustments were revised and narrowed EBITDA guidance that we will discuss later in the call. Sales and marketing spend of $14.8 million is an increase of $1.1 million sequentially versus Q1, but was mainly due to our Client Forum. G&A expense in the quarter increased $2.8 million, mainly due to onetime legal and M&A expenses that have been excluded from our adjusted EBITDA calculation. We are reporting an adjusted EBITDA loss of $23.7 million compared to a loss of $26.4 million last quarter. The majority of sequential favorable increase was due to our gross margin expansion, but also successful operational and technology efficiency measures in our operations. We expect R&D and sales and marketing spending to increase over the remainder of the year as Converge spending increases and marketing events take place, but at a lower cost versus our original guidance, and thus the favorable revision to adjusted EBITDA. We ended the quarter with $975 million in cash. In terms of active providers, we closed Q2 with 71,000 active providers delivering care on the platform, of which 4,000 were AMG providers. As we touched on in Q1, the number of active providers in Q2 and the next quarter will decline as those doctors, which we added solely to handle the COVID spike during the peak of last year will roll off in Q2 and Q3. Amwell also added a number of providers to the platform when we were doing 40,000 visits in a single day, but good for everyone, this has now passed, and we do not need this level of AMG doctors on the platform. Since then, we have added more specialists as our visit mix is migrating to that of higher revenue part of our business and our customers and doctors are delivering more care through their own providers. Regarding our annual guidance. As Ido discussed, we are now reflecting the impact of how we believe the new Delta COVID variant will affect the flu season. While no one has a crystal ball with COVID and now especially with the Delta variant, our revised guidance range reflects a moderated flu season on the high end and a low flu season on the low end of guidance versus a normal flu season, which we originally assume when we provided guidance in March. We are confirming original guidance for our technology subscription business as it is operating at or above plan, and we're also confirming our original guidance for our services and Carepoints business. There is potential for upside in the Carepoints business given the recent CMS announcements regarding grants for health systems. And we will update you more on this dynamic on our Q3 call. For visits, we are narrowing and lowering our visit forecast to a range of 1.4 million to 1.5 million visits from our original range of 1.5 million to 1.7 million visits. This translates to a revised total overall revenue guidance of $252 million to $262 million. I want to give you the math for your model so that you can isolate the adjustment solely within your visits line. The top end of our original guidance range was $270 million, and this represented approximately 1.6 million visits. The difference between the top end of the visit ranges, 1.6 million declining to 1.5 million visits is 100,000 visits. And at $80 average revenue per visit equates to a change in about $8 million of total revenue. Thus, we are lowering the top end of our range $8 million, from $270 million to $262 million. A low flu season in our forecast model equates to approximately 1.4 million visits, a further 100,000-visit decrease. So again, using the same math, we are setting the lower end of our revised range at $252 million. In terms of the 2 M&A transactions' contribution to our 2021 results. On a GAAP basis, they are adding little to nothing to our revenue due to the significant deferred revenue write-offs, but will burden EBITDA by $10 million, mainly due to the significant ramp-up of operational expenses in anticipation of supporting their 100% growth in 2022. So in terms of EBITDA, we are favorably increasing and narrowing our organic EBITDA range by $12 million and netted together against the $10 million of EBITDA burden caused by the 2 M&A deals, equals a range of $154 million to $146 million EBITDA loss on a GAAP basis. Said differently, on an organic basis, our revised EBITDA range will be $144 million to $136 million EBITDA loss. But on a GAAP basis, combined with the 2 M&A deals, is $154 million to $146 million loss. Next quarter subscription revenue will be flat to slightly up as specific new logo implementations will hit starting in Q4. Services and Carepoints will sequentially increase double digits each quarter as hospitals continue to execute on their capital spend, and we execute marketing campaigns for both systems and plans. With visits, since we're halfway through the third quarter, we can say that we are seeing specialty visits continue to grow, less so with urgent care visits. In terms of distribution of visit revenue, assume high single digits over Q2 with a balance majority of growth coming in Q4. As Ido discussed, gross margins are expected to temporarily decline next quarter and in Q4 as we have begun to migrate some more complex clients onto the Converge platform, which will temporarily burden gross margins. In conclusion, we are pleased with another good quarter, especially noting the positive results we are seeing in our gross margins and operational spend. We're pleased to announce our 2 acquisitions 2 weeks ago, and yesterday closing the Conversa acquisition. We continue to evaluate opportunities to enhance the overall functionality of Converge to deliver full longitudinal and coordinated care and have ample funds to execute on our inorganic strategy. We are happy with the progress of our Converge development and rollout and especially the competitive and operational advantages we are seeing steepen the slope of our growth opportunities and expanding our efficiencies. I'll now turn the call back over to Ido for his closing remarks. Ido?