Eric McAfee
Analyst · Ascendiant Capital. Please go ahead
Thank you, Todd. Aemetis was founded in 2006 and we've grown into four lines of business focusing on supplying low carbon and below zero carbon, renewable fuels, biochemicals and byproducts to markets including transportation, renewable natural gas and carbon dioxide. Recently, we began shipping hand sanitizer alcohol and refined glycerin into the rapidly expanding antiviral sanitizer market. We own and operate production facilities with more than 110 million gallon per year capacity in the U.S. and India including our production portfolio is a 60 million gallon per year capacity ethanol, distillers grain and corn oil plant located in Keyes, California, near Modesto. We also built own and operate a 50 million gallon per year capacity distilled biodiesel and refined glycerin biorefinery on the east coast of India near the port City of Kakinada. As you may know, high quality alcohol and refined glycerin are the two key ingredients in hand sanitizer. Aemetis operates the largest production plant for high quality alcohol in California, and is one of the largest refined glycerin producers in India. The global COVID-19 crisis that began during Q1 2020 provided challenges to our business including protecting the health of our employees, while continuing to operate our California ethanol plant to supply animal feed to more than 100,000 dairy cows during a time period in which the demand for biofuels decreased significantly. Aemetis operates in three of the Federal Essential Critical Infrastructures, and has continued to operate our California ethanol plant and the construction of renewable natural gas project without interruption. To a large extent, the ability to continue to operate our California plant while fueled ethanol demand and price declined significantly during Q1 and then recovered recently in Q2 has been due to a rapid conversion of our alcohol production to produce hand sanitizer alcohol. In response to a severe lack of hand sanitizer in late March 2020, the FDA and the Treasury Department issued an approval to alcohol fuel producers to allow ethanol plants to produce alcohol for hand sanitizers. We delivered our first sanitizer alcohol within a few days thereafter, and installed upgrades to our California plant to produce higher quality ethanol for broader personal care and industrial markets. To our knowledge, Aemetis is now the largest producer of alcohol for hand sanitizer in the western US. In April, Aemetis received a distilled spirits producer certification. And we continue to invest in the upgrading of our production facilities to achieve US Pharmacopoeia and Food Grade quality for our ethanol within a few months. Our expanding production of high quality alcohol for the sanitizer market used for hand sanitizer, alcohol wipes and alcohol sprays is expected to be a long term growth market driven by the adoption of antiviral markets and products by governments, schools, private industry and consumers. About a year ago, we signed a $30 million equity funding and launched a renewable natural gas project to build biogas digesters at about a dozen local dairies near our ethanol plant in California. Construct a pipeline connecting the digesters to our plant and installed gas conditioning to reduce carbon negative renewable natural gas to reduce the carbon content of our ethanol production and to displace diesel by fueling natural gas trucks. We now have signed participation agreements with 17 dairies built and tested two dairy lagoon digesters at a cost of about $5 million. And have designed and permitted a four mile pipeline that is now under construction to connect the dairy digesters to our ethanol plant. In 2019 we signed financing term sheets to fund an advanced ethanol production facility in California to convert waste orchard wood and other waste biomass into about 12 million gallons of cellulosic ethanol per year. We're now in the final engineering and procurement cycle prior to completion of project financing and commencement of construction of the plant. The combination of these growth and cost reduction initiatives are expected to increase our revenue to more than $500 million per year, and annual cash flow the more than $130 million per year. This projected growth in revenues and cash flow reflects certain planned and completed upgrades of our existing plants, as well as planned completion of the new dairy renewable natural gas and waste wood ethanol production facilities. With the consistent support of California regulators and continued strong California low carbon fuel standard credit crisis, Aemetis has made positive progress in each of our four businesses during the first quarter of 2020. Let's first review our biodiesel business in India. After two years of investment in construction, we completed the upgrade of our India plant in 2019, including installation of a pretreatment unit to process lower cost and waste feedstock into oil. The biodiesel and refined glycerin plant is now fully commissioned using the new feedstock pretreatment unit, the new boiler unit, and other upgrades that enabled expanded plant operations toward full plant capacity of 50 million gallons per year. The stay at home order in India has restricted our production but we continue to ship biodiesel and refined glycerin from inventory. This month, we expect to begin production at the India plant to meet expanding biodiesel and refined glycerin needs in India. Though the global price of diesel has declined, along with the price of crude oil, the domestic price of diesel in India has remained largely unchanged due to the increased India government taxes that offset crude oil price declines. Since our biodiesel sold to the price linked to India domestic diesel prices, our biodiesel prices in India have remained steady, despite the significant decrease in the price of crude oil. In addition, refined glycerin prices have increased in response to the need for hand sanitizer and other consumer products. In May of last year, we announced that our Universal Biofuels India subsidiary was awarded a $23 million biodiesel supply contract with the three Indian government owned oil marketing companies in the public tender process. Additional oil marketing company purchase requests for biodiesel have been issued for year 2020 and the award of supply agreements should occur in the next month. We expect to continue to participate as a key supplier under these biodiesel contracts. During the months of December and January the primary constraint on biodiesel revenues growth in India is a seasonal colder weather from lower winter temperatures. And the high cost of feedstock in late 2019 has now decreased significantly. Our three businesses in the U.S. have achieved major milestones toward increasing revenues and sustained profitability. Let's review our California ethanol business. Similar to our strategy in India, where we added a technology that allowed the use of the lower cost waste feedstock to produce biofuels, we've been upgrading our Keyes, California ethanol plant to lower input costs, reduce the carbon intensity of our biofuel, and significantly increase the value of the ethanol we supply to the 1.5 billion gallon California ethanol market and now the sanitizer alcohol market. To produce higher quality ethanol for the sanitizer market, we installed the carbon filtering units and now we're doubling the amount of carbon filter systems this week. We are also engineering and planning to install upgrades to our distillation system in order to produce high quality of alcohol that exceeds U.S. pharmacopoeia and food grade standards in the third quarter of 2020. A second upgrade to the Keyes plant has now been completed. In early May, we announced the completion of construction and commencement of commercial shipments of CO2 to the newly constructed Messer Gas Plant next to our ethanol plant to capture and reuse carbon dioxide. After three years of project development, Messer leased about five acres owned by Aemetis adjacent to the Keyes ethanol plants to build a CO2 liquification plant. We are now converting more than 150,000 tons per year of renewable CO2 produced by our ethanol plant into liquid CO2 for sale to local food processors, beverage producers and other CO2 industrial users. Ethanol plants produce about 40% of the CO2 in the U.S. So a significant national shortage of CO2 has occurred due to the shutdown or idling of ethanol plants. About $1.5 million per year of cash is expected to be received from CO2 sales and the land lease for the CO2 plant. We also expect to qualify for a CO2 carbon capture and reuse federal tax credit that we calculate is initially worth about $4 million per year and grows to $6 million per year over the next five years under the IRS 45(Q) rules. We are currently working on an arrangement to monetize the tax credits with a financial partner. The third upgrade to the Keyes plan is a construction of an $8 million membrane dehydration system financed by Mitsubishi Chemical of Japan and a $1.5 million PG&E grant as a strategic implementation of the Mitsubishi Zebrogs Technology for the first time at a corn ethanol plant. The Mitsubishi unit was delivered to the Keyes plant in late February 2020 and is in the installation process. The ethanol dehydration unit is designed to significantly reduce petroleum natural gas usage and decrease the carbon intensity of our ethanol. And once implemented, is expected to generate an estimated $3 million per year of increased cash flow. A fourth upgrade to the Keyes plant is a solar microarray and artificial intelligence energy management system that received an $8 million grant from the California Energy Commission. This solar system will decrease the carbon intensity of our biofuel, through the use of solar energy to displace higher carbon energy sources. This upgrade to the Keyes plant is a high efficiency heat exchanger project that was awarded a $1.3 million Pacific Gas and Electric grant. And the sixth grade to the Keyes plant is mechanical vapor recompression system that was awarded a $6 million grant from the California Energy Commission that is expected to reduce natural gas use significantly. These projects at the Keyes plant are targeted to reduce petroleum natural gas usage and costs by up to 80% while increasing the number of low carbon fuel standard credits generated each year. The combined impact of these projects is expected to be a $30 million per year increase in operating cash flow at the Keyes plant, not including any improvement in profit margins that are expected to occur if the EPA decides to enforce existing federal biofuels laws. Let's briefly review our Aemetis Biogas dairy digester and pipeline project. Methane, commonly known as natural gas, is a potent greenhouse gas that is up to 30x more powerful than carbon dioxide at capturing earth's heat. About 25% of California's methane emissions are from the waste ponds on dairy farms. To reduce damaging methane emissions, in late 2016, California passed the law known as Senate Bill 1383 that mandates the capture of biogas from dairies. Biomethane sourced from dairies can be used to replace gasoline or diesel fuel in trucks and in buses to significantly reduce carbon emissions and air pollution. Along with the State mandate, California has funded about $75 million of annual matching grants to dairies to build biogas digesters and related systems. We believe that capturing biogas from dairies and converting it into renewable natural gas to generate negative carbon intensity biofuels is an excellent way to reduce climate change, and create value for dairies while lowering costs for diesel truck fleets and electric vehicles. Based on our existing animal feed supply relationships with about 100 dairies and the ability to use biogas in our plant until utility pipeline approvals are obtained and pipeline injection is completed, we believe that Aemetis is uniquely positioned as 1 of only 3 ethanol companies in California who can use existing infrastructure in this manner. After more than a year of project development and financing work, last year, we announced $30 million of equity financing and a grant award from the California Department of Food and Agriculture of 2 matching grants for a total of about $3 million to build the first 2 dairies in our biogas project. Construction of the first 2 dairy digesters was completed and we are now building the 4-mile pipeline to connect the digesters with the Aemetis ethanol plant with an expectation of beginning renewable natural gas revenues during late Q2 2020. We have signed 17 participation agreements with diaries and plan to complete construction of the next 15 lagoon digesters by approximately the end of the year 2021. Let's finish with an update on our below zero carbon cellulosic ethanol project in Riverbank California. We were pleased with the Aemetis advanced biorefinery under development in Riverbank California near Modesto was named as the number one waste to value projects in the world by Biofuels Digest, the world's largest daily biofuels publisher. The Aemetis project earned its number 1 ranking as a result of our fixed price, low-cost, almond and walnut wood waste contract for 20 years with a cost of about $20 per ton for the first half of the contract period. Planned production of high-value cellulosic ethanol is expected to be worth more than $5 per gallon, as well as valuable fish meal and other byproducts and our use of the patented LanzaTech gas microbe ethanol production technology. The LanzaTech technology is now in full commercial operation at a plant that opened in 2018 in Northern China that converts waste gases from a steel plant to produce ethanol. During 2019, we announced 3 significant financings related to the Riverbank project. A $5 million California Energy Commission grant to fund engineering and equipment, a $12.5 million tax waiver that offsets equity funding required for the project, and the signing of a $125 million U.S. Department of Agriculture conditional commitment letter for a 20-year debt financing under the 9003 Biorefinery program. We are working to update the USDA loan to match the current capital expenditure budget for the project. We're focused on completing engineering of the plant required for the negotiation of the EPC contract. That will include a bonded maximum construction cost. The Riverbank cellulosic ethanol plant is expected to generate more than $80 million of revenue and more than 50 million per year of positive cash flow by producing cellulosic ethanol from low cost waste, orchard vineyard, forest and construction demolition of wood as feedstock. The financial closing to begin construction of the Riverbank plant is dependent on completing the engineering and procurement work required for the signing of the construction contract. In summary, we believe that Aemetis holds a unique position with the production of both higher quality ethanol and refined glycerin for the rapidly expanding sanitizer market. We also have diversified production of low carbon renewable fuels in two attractive markets, in California and India. The profitability and 120% of revenue growth at our India plant during 2019 was achieved while repaying a 100% of our long-term debt in the India subsidiary. The increased margins from plant upgrades related to the Keyes biorefinery are expected to begin to be realized in Q2 2020. The Aemetis Biogas dairy digester and pipeline project is expected to begin first gas production in late Q2 2020. And our planned deployment of the patented LanzaTech cellulosic ethanol technology at the Riverbank plant has positioned Aemetis to rapidly produce expanding positive cash flow from the production of low carbon clean burning, high performance renewable fuels from abundant low cost waste of biomass feedstocks. Now let's take a few questions from of our call participants. Melinda?