Steve Boyle
Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead
Thank you, Fred and good morning everyone. As Fred has already noted, the March quarter was a volatile and uncertain one for the market. We remained focused on what we control and delivered good results. Record trades per day, strong net new assets, particularly from retail, benefits from the December interest rate increase, and continued expense discipline drove a 15% increase year-over-year in pre-tax income. So with that, let’s begin with the financial overview on slide eight. We’ll start with the year-over-year comparison. Overall revenue was up $43 million or 5% to $846 million. On line one, transaction based revenue was $360 million, up $10 million or 3% due to higher trades per day. Average trades per day were up 33,000 or 7% due to higher volatility but average commissions per trade were lower due to mix. Oil and off hours events drove higher futures volumes. The number of retail clients trading futures and ForEx increased 23% year-over-year, which led to a 34% increase in futures trades per day. We also saw lower options contracts per trade and a higher percentage of institutional trades, which carry a lower average commission rate. On line two, asset based revenue was up $31 million or 7%, primarily due to net balance growth offset by overall NIM compression, as the benefit of the Fed hike was more than offset by mix, principally lower stock lending revenue and lower margin balances. Both have begun to recover but remained below peak levels. On line five, operating expenses excluding advertising totaled $422 million for the quarter, down 1%. We will continue to manage expenses closely. We would expect quarterly total operating expenses would be relatively level with the March quarter, as seasonal declines in marketing will be offset by increased investments in the business and DOL related expenses. On line 10, pre-tax income was $330 million, up 15% year-over-year with pre-tax margins at the strong 39%. The effective tax rate for the quarter was 38%, up somewhat due to favorable prior year settlement. All of this resulted in earnings per share of $0.38, up $0.03 or 9% from last year. Key ratios remained strong. On line 14, return on equity was 17% for the quarter and on line 17 and 18 our EBITDA was $387 million or 46% of revenue. Now, I’ll move to year-to-date comparisons. On line four, revenue was up $38 million or 2%. Transaction based revenue was down 3% due to lower commission rates. Asset based revenue increased 6% due to IDA, both balances and rates, and investment product fees. On line seven, operating expenses were down $9 million or 1% due to continued expense discipline. On line 10, pre-tax income was up 6%. The effective tax rate was 37% versus 36% last year. On line 13 earnings per share was up $0.05 or 7% to $0.78. Let’s now take a more detailed look at our spread based revenue, starting with slide nine. Spread based revenue was 382 million, up 8% year-over-year. However for the fourth consecutive quarter, we experienced the sequential increase in spread based revenue, primarily due to IDA balance growth and the benefits of December rate move. Net stock lending revenue declined $9 million sequentially to $32 million for the quarter. As we have noted several times, predicting stock lending is very difficult but higher volatility and fewer IPOs are two factors. Average margin balances declined sequentially from $12.3 billion to $11.6 billion, primarily due to the market’s impact on buying power and investor sentiment. Margin balances ended the quarter at $11.3 billion. Net interest margin declined sequentially which may be a surprise given the Fed’s rate increase in December. We realized the anticipated benefits from margin loan pricing and IDA float yields, but those benefits were mitigated by lower stock lending revenue and lower margin balances, which are high spread products. Said another way, had stock lending revenue and margin balances been flat sequentially, overall spread based NIM would have been approximately 1.49%, up from the 1.45% in the December quarter and revenue would have been in line with our $50 million to $80 million annualized guidance. Now, let’s take a closer look at the IDA on slide 10. Year-over-year average IDA balances were up $9 billion or 12% to $84 billion and net yields increased as well, driving revenue up 15%. Sequentially, average balances increased 5%, driven primarily by the institutional channel, as RIAs moved clients out of the market into cash, although we are now seeing institutional coming down partially replaced by retail increases. Net yields increased slightly as floating balances realized the benefits of December rate move as expected. Of the 25 basis-point move, 12.5 basis points were paid to TD Bank with a management fee and floating rate balances now at 20 basis points, as a result of the move. This is important to note as we will only have to share five basis points on further moves, since we are nearing the 25 basis-point management fee cap on floating balances. Strong institutional floating growth in the quarter resulted in the slightly lower duration and lower average yield plus however revenue positive. Finally on March 15, the FDIC issued a press release announcing their final rule to increase the deposit insurance fund. This will impact our IDA net yield beginning in July of this year and will last for eight quarters. The additional FDIC fee to us will be 2.25 basis points or $4 million to $5 million pre-tax per quarter, dampening expected IDA yield growth. Now, let’s turn to the next slide to discuss interest rate sensitive assets. Interest rate sensitive balances were at a record 112 billion, up $11 billion or 11% from last year. This increase is primarily due to growth in the IDA. Cash as a percentage of total client assets ended the period at 15%. Now, let’s turn to the final slide. We continue focus on what we can control. We produced good results as our strong profit margins and disciplined expense control meant that the revenue growth we experienced in the quarter all resulted in improved pre-tax income. Operating expenses declined 1% versus the prior year. Net new assets were solid in the quarter, driven by record retail asset gathering, while the institutional sales pipeline remained strong. We reported record trading as a result of high intraday volatility and our ability to provide our clients with ongoing investor education and reliable and diverse trading platforms to execute their individual strategies in a variety of market conditions. Investment product fees declined a bit overall during the quarter as compared to the prior quarter, driven by market uncertainty but we remain committed to growing this third revenue stream. We have teams in place analyzing the new fiduciary rule and its related exemptions. We are considering how its many details and requirements will impact our business. We will keep you updated as we move from assessing to effecting changes in line with the rule. We returned $322 million to shareholders this quarter through cash dividends and share repurchases, which we pay $28.78 per share on average. Year-to-date, we have returned 101% of our cash earnings, which is above our annual target of 60% to 80%. We will likely end up near the high end of that range for the full year as share repurchases are expected to slow. In conclusion, we’ve had a good quarter and strong first half of the year, driven by focusing on what we can control. We’re pleased with what we have done and expect to deliver solid second half of the year, positioning us well as we move into fiscal 2017, but we still have a lot of work to do. And now, I will turn the call back over to the operator for Q&A.