John Thero
Analyst · Roth Capital Partners. Please proceed with your question
Good morning. Thank you for listening to our comments today regarding Amarin’s third quarter progress in this busy and exciting time. Amarin’s growth was again positive in Q3. We reported record revenue levels, positive cash flow and a strong financial position, while adding to the breadth, depth and experience of our commercial organization. We will comment further on such operating matters during this call. First, I will address our pending sNDA with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration in which we are seeking a cardiovascular risk reduction indication for Vascepa based upon the landmark results of the REDUCE-IT cardiovascular outcome study. The targeted PDUFA date for FDA action on this sNDA is December 28th of this year. As part of its review, the FDA is planning an Advisory Committee meeting or ADCOM to be held on November 14th. We are looking forward to the ADCOM with cautious optimism. The ADCOM should be an opportunity to provide education and insights regarding the differentiated effects of Vascepa, the positive results of REDUCE-IT and the potential to use Vascepa and it’s cardio protective results to help millions of patients. Based upon REDUCE-IT results, if all statin-treated patients in the United States with elevated triglyceride levels were treated with Vascepa, we estimate that major adverse cardiovascular events such as stroke, heart attack and cardiovascular death could in aggregate be reduced by 150,000 to 450,000 per year. We believe that this represent a tremendous potential healthcare improvement, not just for at-risk patients, but also for their families and society. Fewer major adverse cardiovascular events potentially translates into increased productivity and lower healthcare spending for these expensive events and subsequent patient rehabilitation. As we have expressed previously, it is common for the FDA to have ADCOMs in conjunction with first-in-class drug applications such as our sNDA for Vascepa. At the ADCOM, we expect questions on a range of topics including questions regarding REDUCE-IT trial design, and about the demonstrated efficacy and safety of Vascepa. Some of these questions may pertain to potential labeling language. As is typical of ADCOMs, we expect that some of these questions will be intentionally tough. We are a science-driven company, and we believe that we are ready for such potential questions. Based upon our current understanding of FDA’s focus and perspectives, we expect the EMDAC meeting to cover the following topics. Among others, related to our REDUCE-IT sNDA. These topics are consistent with topics typically explored at FDA advisory committee meetings and cover matters consistent with Amarin’s prior disclosures and available data. Review of patient population studied in REDUCE-IT and how best to communicate this population to prescribers and other healthcare professionals, including considerations related to LDL-cholesterol management on statin therapy, triglyceride levels as an identifier cardiovascular risk and other identifiers of high cardiovascular risk. Analysis of the degree of treatment benefit in the overall study population for the primary endpoint of the study, as well as in different REDUCE-IT subgroups. For example, as previously disclosed, we established cardiovascular disease secondary prevention cohort, which consistent with the trial design, represented approximately 70% of enrolled patients in REDUCE-IT and had a high observed event rate experiencing a numerically higher effect size, 27% relative risk reduction, then the high-risk diabetic primary prevention cohort, which consistent with the trial design, represented approximately 30% of the enrolled patients and had a relatively lower observed event rate and experience of 12% relative risk reduction in exploratory analysis of the smaller subgroup. Analysis of the degree of treatment benefit on specific studied endpoints in the different subgroups. For example, as previously disclosed, beyond the primary endpoint and key secondary endpoint, seven secondary endpoints of different clinical relevance were achieved to varying degrees of impact and degrees of statistical significance in the order of sequential statistical testing within the pre-specified hierarchy, including myocardial infarction, cardiovascular death and stroke. Analysis related to study conduct and data robustness, quality, integrity and consistency. For example, as previously disclosed, REDUCE-IT was a single clinical trial conducted based upon a special protocol assessment agreement with the FDA and as is typical of all cardiovascular outcome studies, related analysis are expected on the overall strength and limitations of the study data to support the indication sought as described above, considering factors, including but not limited to, the use of mineral oil used in the study and questions explored in past FDA reviews and raised publicly since then over the possibility of an interaction of the placebo which done that some have argued could have led to reduced absorption of statin medications. We do not believe such an interaction occurred for reasons previously disclosed among others. Consistent with the publication of REDUCE-IT results in the New England Journal of Medicine, We believe FDA has assessed that even if placebo based upon indirect evidence of potential effect, that exploratory analysis indicates the effect, if any of mineral oil on bio-marker values, such as LDL-cholesterol values on the time to the primary endpoint is numerically small and unlikely to change the overall conclusion of treatment benefit. We also expect analysis on safety data and related risk benefit considerations in light of the above. For example, as previously disclosed, overall safety findings in REDUCE-IT were generally consistent with product labeling in available data on the omega-3 class. More patients in the Vascepa group experienced an adjudicated event of atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter requiring hospitalization 24 hours or greater compared with patients in the placebo group, 3.1% versus 2.1%. And more patients experience any treatment-emergent adverse event of atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter in the placebo arm versus placebo. The incidence of fibrillation and atrial flutter was greater in the subset of patients with the previous history of atrial fibrillation or flutter and the relative imbalance was numerically greater between arms in the subgroup compared with the imbalance in those patients without a previous history. Additionally, more patients in the placebo group experienced an adverse event of bleeding, compared with patients in the placebo group. Excluding hemorrhagic stroke, which was an adjudicated efficacy event, 482 patients, 11.8%, in the Vascepa treatment arm experience bleeding events, compared to 404 patients, 9.9% in the placebo treatment arm, in each case consistent with prior disclosures. Such discussion is likely to include consideration of disclosure of safety information to prescribers and patients. And also to consider the downstream effects typically associated with these adverse events, which in the case of atrial fibrillation, in atrial flutter, were generally lower on the Vascepa arm than the placebo arm with consideration of relative benefit risk. We cannot be sure that the same content or more or less will be presented or discussed as key topics at the EMDAC meeting. In preparing for the FDA’s ADCOM, we have held a series of market comps in which we invited leading physicians and statisticians to challenge us and our advisors with questions which the invited professionals believe could or should be asked at the actual ADCOM. We believe we are ready for a successful ADCOM. Regarding potential labeling of Vascepa, some panelists at the mock ADCOMs have suggested that the language of label should be relatively broad reflecting that educated healthcare professionals know their patients best and don’t need a label to be unnecessarily prescriptive or restrictive. Other panelists have expressed a preference for having more detail in a label. Some of this discussion has involved, for example, the degree to which reference to patient characteristics, patient age, cholesterol levels and triglyceride levels should be in the label. And for the primary prevention patients, some of the discussion has involved the degree to which patients need to have diabetes and to what other risk factors should be considered when selecting patients who might benefit from use of the drug. While opinions have varied regarding the levels of such detail the overall perspective of these mock ADCOMs has been that there is a meaningful cardiovascular risk reduction indication, which is applicable for Vascepa. Again, we cannot be assured that the ADCOM on November 14th will parallel while we have heard at the mock ADCOMs regarding questions, feedback or general support for Vascepa label expansion. And as is typical, we don’t yet know the identities of the panelists whom the FDA has selected for the ADCOM. The team leading the presentation for Amarin will include the study’s principal investigator, Dr. Deepak Bhatt. In preparations for ADCOMs, there are briefing books prepared, first by the drug sponsor, in this case, Amarin; and then by the FDA. After these briefing books are drafted, they go through a quality review process at the FDA, which includes, among other matters, reduction of any patient specific information following this quality review process, an appropriate redaction of personal information, the FDA makes the briefing books public. It is up to the FDA, and not Amarin, to make the briefing books public. Making the briefing books public typically occurs two days before the commencement of the ADCOM. We expect this process to be no different for the upcoming ADCOM for Vascepa. As is typical, panelists at the ADCOM will be supplied the briefing books and they may ask their own questions regardless of whether such questions are covered in the briefing books or not. In addition to briefing books both the sponsor and the FDA will prepare slides to present to the invited panelists at the ADCOM. As is typical, Amarin will not see the FDA slides prior to their presentation at the ADCOM. In our mock ADCOMs, we have attempted to prepare for a range of potential questions beyond those which we most anticipate will be asked. Recall that the REDUCE-IT study was designed under a Special Protocol Assessment agreement with the FDA. Further before this important study was completed and unblinded, Amarin reached agreement with the FDA regarding the details of the statistical analysis plan and the definitions of the clinical endpoints. These factors combined with Amarin having collected final vital data, a 99.8% of the patients studied should, we believe, help mitigate some of the types of concerns often heard at ADCOMs pertaining to quality of data or differing views on methods of data analysis. While it is possible that FDA may ask Amarin additional questions in conjunction with its review of Amarin’s sNDA. We have thus far responded to all of the FDA’s questions and data requests. As you know, it would not be constructive to our interactions with the FDA for us to disclose the details of all such interactions. And during this review all Amarin personnel with knowledge of such interactions have been in a closed window period regarding public trading in shares of Amarin. And of course, we have taken extensive steps to safeguard sensitive information. The outpouring of support Amarin has received from healthcare professionals, patients, investors and other stakeholders has been overwhelming and gratifying. Approximately 100 comments have been written to FDA expressing their reasons for why Vascepa should be approved promptly for cardiovascular risk reduction. And many doctors and patient advocacy groups have volunteered to help Amarin with the ADCOM. Reading these letters, many of which reflect personal experiences, is inspiring. If you’re interested in reading them, they are publicly available at bit.ly/36ypKev. As you know, various Medical societies have already, in advance of FDA approval, change their treatment guidelines or otherwise provided notice recognizing the cardioprotective effects of of icosapent ethyl, the brand name, which is Vascepa. Beyond statin treatment in patients with triglyceride levels of 135 mgs per deciliter or greater. These are leading organizations in Cardiology, endocrinology and lipidology, including ADA, ESC, EAS, AHA and NLA. It is notably inspiring to see ESC, which is the European Society of Cardiology and EAS, which is the European Atherosclerosis Society recognize the value of Vascepa in their guidelines as Vascepa is not yet available in Europe. And we appreciate getting the support of NLA, the National Lipid Association as the multi-factorial effects of Vascepa extend beyond lipid management. Each of these Medical societies recognizes the significant cardiovascular risk, which exist beyond current standards of care for cardiovascular risk management, including cholesterol management. Because the ADCOM will be conducted during the trading day on November 14th, for reasons which I hope are obvious, we intend to ask NASDAQ to halt trading in Amarin shares until the ADCOM is complete and its results are communicated by us. Please do not read anything positive or negative into such trading halt other than our desire to ensure a level playing field. The FDA makes a live broadcast of its ADCOM available. In addition to pursuing U.S. regulatory approval of Vascepa for cardiovascular risk reduction, our international initiatives remain on track. For Europe we plan before the end of this year to submit an application seeking approval of Vascepa for the first therapy in Europe to address the substantial residual cardiovascular risk that persists beyond cholesterol management as studied in REDUCE-IT. In Canada, it is our understanding that Health Canada is progressing on its review. In the Middle East, we continue to anticipate further approvals of Vascepa. In China, in the clinical study of Vascepa being conducted by our partner, the pace of patient enrollment has been increasing positioning that biomarker focused study for potential completion in 2020. Coincidentally, starting on the weekend following the ADCOM for Vascepa, the American Heart Association or AHA is holding its Annual Scientific Sessions. At that meeting, which this year will be in Philadelphia, there were seven known presentations, which pertain to Vascepa. We are pleased to support these scientific presentations. We believe that these presentations include valuable insights. However, in our view, none of the data being presented is needed for the review of the sNDA we have submitted to the FDA. Because not everyone can attend AHA, at the end of their program, Amarin intends to conduct a webcast in which leading physicians will summarize information presented at the AHA Conference, which they believe are potentially applicable to Vascepa in the patient population we seek to address. I now hand the discussion over to Mike Kalb, our CFO, to cover Amarin’s recent financial results. When he is done, I will add a few comments for further perspective, and then with the time remaining, we will respond to some questions. Mike?