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Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY)

Q3 2019 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 8, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Amplify Energy's Third Quarter 2019 Investor Conference Call. Amplify's operating and financial results were released earlier today, and are available on Amplify's Web site at www.amplifyenergy.com. During this presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Today’s call is being recorded. A replay of the call will be accessible until Wednesday, November 20th by dialing 855-859-2056 and then entering conference ID 8498729, or by visiting Amplify's Web site, www.amplifyenergy.com. I would now like to turn the conference over to Martyn Willsher, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Amplify Energy Corp.

Martyn Willsher

Management

Good morning. And welcome to Amplify Energy conference call to discuss operating and financial results for the third quarter of 2019. We appreciate you joining us today. Ken Mariani, Amplify's President and Chief Executive Officer will begin the call by updating our stakeholders on our merger integration effort and follow-up with comments on our third quarter operating results. I will follow with an update on our return of capital programs and the third quarter financial results. First, we would like to remind you of some remarks may contain forward-looking statements, and are based on certain assumptions and expectations of Amplify's management team. These remarks reflect management's current views with regard to future events and are subject to various risks, uncertainties and assumptions. While their management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking things are reasonable, they can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct and undertakes no obligation and does not intend to update these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances occurring after this earnings call. Forward-looking statements, including but not limited to our statement about and discussion of, fourth quarter 2019 guidance. Please refer to our press release and SEC filings for a list of factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements made during this call. In addition, the unaudited financial information that will be highlighted here is derived from our internal financial books, records and reports. For additional detailed disclosure, we encourage you to read our quarterly report on Form 10-Q, which we expect to file later today. Also, non-GAAP financial measures may be disclosed during earnings call. Reconciliations of those measures to comparable GAAP measures may be found in our press release on our Web site at www.amplifyenergy.com. Please note that due to the closing date of the merger in early August, operational and financial results for Midstates in July were excluded from our consolidated third quarter GAAP financials. However, in order to provide our shareholders with a more complete picture of the third quarter results, unless specifically identified, the operational and financial results discussed on this call will be pro forma for the merger and will include the July results for Midstates as though the assets were consolidated for the full period of third quarter 2019. With this in mind, I'll now turn the call over to Ken Mariani. Ken?

Ken Mariani

Management

Thank you, Martyn. I appreciate our stakeholders joining us today. My remarks in this call will provide an update on the integration of our recent merger with Midstates, our operational performance in the third quarter and our guidance expectations for the fourth quarter of 2019. Since the closing of the merger on August 6, 2019, the Amplify team has been working diligently to integrate the assets and systems acquired through the merger. As we have mentioned previously, capturing synergies of at least $21 million was integral to the value of the merger. And I'm happy to report that after completing most of the integration work, we feel extremely confident that we are on track to realize that goal. In addition, based on our progress to-date, we expect these synergies should be largely realized in the fourth quarter 2019 and fully realized by the first quarter 2020. Martin will provide additional detail on our G&A outlook later on this call. Turning to operations. We generated $31.5 million of adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter, which was slightly above the midpoint of our guidance range of $28 million to $34 million. This result was a testament to strong management of these operating costs, which offset lower realized prices during the quarter. Productions for the third quarter averaged approximately 32,700 boe per day, which is also slightly above the midpoint of our guidance range for the quarter. These results were accomplished despite weather interruptions that impacted our Oklahoma operations and a reduction in gas and NGL volumes from Eagle Ford area due to high gas sales line pressure. The most significant production item during the quarter was our decision to modify the process for stripping out NGLs at our Bairoil Field due to weak NGL pricing. While the Bairoil NGL stream has always…

Martyn Willsher

Management

Thank you, Ken. I would like to first provide an update on our return of capital program, followed by an update on our third quarter financial results, liquidity and hedging positions. Amplify paid its quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share or $8.2 million on September 18th to shareholders of record on September 4th. The upcoming quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share will be paid on December 18th to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 4th. This implies a dividend yield of approximately 11% based on our closing price of $7.48 on November 1st. Amplify also initiated an open market share repurchase program at the closing of the merger with board approval to repurchase up to 25 million of the company's outstanding shares of common stock. Since the inception of our open-market share repurchase program, the company has repurchased approximately 2.4 million shares of common stock at an average price of $6.06 for a total cost of approximately $14.5 million as of November 1st. As a result, Amplify continues to have $10.5 million of repurchase capacity available under our program. Moving on to our third quarter results. Net cash from operating activities was negative $7.4 million. This is a beginning that excludes July results for Midstate and was further reduced by one-time transaction and severance costs, along with a significant change in working capital. As Tim mentioned earlier, adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $31.5 million, which was slightly above the midpoint of the guidance range of $28 to $34 million. This result was driven by lower than forecasted lease operating expenses, offsetting some lower price realizations for gas and NGLs, primarily in the Oklahoma region and to a lesser extent our East Texas region. Pro forma G&A for the third quarter was $28.2 million, which…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We do have a question from Jeff Grampp with Northland Capital. Please go ahead.

Jeff Grampp

Analyst

I was curious -- maybe for you, Ken, if you could talk about the acquisition side of things for you guys, and then maybe if we bifurcated into smaller asset level packages versus the bigger type of mid state deals. Any traction or what -- can you just talk about what you're seeing the on the bid ask spread side of thing, or just overall your thoughts on what you're seeing there?

Ken Mariani

Management

The question regards kind of the A&D market, in general. And obviously, we have ongoing effort to continually monitor the markets. And we are seeing quite a bit of assets on the market, and what I'd call mature producing type assets. And we are obviously focused on, not just doing a deal but doing good a deal that’s aligned with what we call our internal score cards. And we're looking at assets that are similar in nature to what we already have. We're looking at assets that we can use our operating expertise to maybe extract the incremental free cash flow from. So we are seeing quite a bit of assets on the market in mature producing basins. Obviously, with this fall borrowing base season, we think there will be continual pressure on companies to divest them self of these type assets. And again, we're going to be very opportunistic and very selective, because again what -- our whole purposes is not just to acquire assets or increase production, it's to make strategic decisions that are accretive to our model and free cash flow generation capabilities. So again, bottom line is I think it is a target rich market. And I do think with this fall borrowing bases season, you're going to see even more opportunities out there in the market. I don't Martyn if may have some additional insight as well he'd like to share.

Martyn Willsher

Management

Jeff, I will just add that I think there is target on the acquisition side, but also on the merger potential as well. So we're looking at a variety of options and we've high graded the ones that we think are the most actionable. And in regards to your question about bid ask spread, I would say that it's still real. Obviously, the assets that we're looking at are -- there is a certain price we would be willing to pay and in some cases the sellers are still wanting more. But I think it is shrinking a little bit as and people are coming to kind of more of a realization on that side as well, so more to come on that. But we're certainly in the market and looking at both the merger and acquisition side.

Jeff Grampp

Analyst

And I was also curious on the buybacks, and like you guys were real active to your last couple months on that front. Wondering about how you guys are maybe evaluating expanding that should you guys go through that? And then let's say in your medium term and maybe how you guys can weigh the pros and cons of the buyback relative to the trading volumes that we see in your stock?

Ken Mariani

Management

So I think obviously if we start to look at our budget for next year, we'll weigh exactly what you said the pros and cons of it adding to the buyback versus paying down debt, or adding to the dividend, or uses of the free cash flow on the acquisition side. So it's kind of a balancing act, it's what we will decide to do. But I think we will have an update on the next earnings call for something like that.

Jeff Grampp

Analyst

And last one for me. With the tweaks that you guys made up in the Rockies with the NGL recovery. Can you just maybe ballpark us on what type of improvement you need to see from the NGL market for you guys to kind of revert back to the status quo there, if you will. And then can you talk about operationally is that an intensive thing to do, like if you guys make that switch relatively quickly, or is it really, I guess from a shutting down time perspective, any tweaks that you guys need to make to make that change back.

Martyn Willsher

Management

Jeff, on the operational side, it's a relatively easy tweak. Basically what we're doing is adjusting the temperature of our chiller. And obviously, by adjusting the temperature the chiller, you either going to increase or decrease recoveries, that's essentially what we're doing. So we never want to make short-term decisions that have long-term implications. So this is something obviously we can adjust, if the market was to go back the other way. And I think it's probably at $6 or $7 barrel type of different right now, Jeff. I mean, it's just -- you've heard this probably on the calls across a variety of basins. NGLs are just weak relatively and we had the specific opportunities where the value of the condensate, even adjusting for the small reduction impact, which was basically 10% and 25% to 30% revenue, is significantly better than even with 10% of production decrease. So we felt this was more than worth it. And like I said, NGLs consistently moved up kind of in that range and have to be in that range relative to the value of the condensate then we can obviously switch back and it'd be a relatively easy process.

Ken Mariani

Management

And I think I'll add one thing, not to get overly technical. When we talk about the mix here, it's a very rich mix, meaning its much higher percentage of heavies. A lot of times when we talk about some of these other resources plays, they have a much higher component of the lighter end of the mix. This is a mature producing CO2 flood where all the lighter ends have already been stripped out, so again that make it again even more attractive.

Martyn Willsher

Management

Yes, I mean -- so 70 to 80% C5 previously, it's just worth more as condensate now as opposed to stripping out the propanes and the butanes, et cetera.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And at this time, there are no further questions.

Ken Mariani

Management

In closing, I'd like to like to thank the entire Amplify team across all of our locations of business for their commitment to safety, production and the relentless effort on cost containment. The seamless integration and the Midstates merger is a great demonstration of what this platform is built to accomplish, and I'm very fortunate to lead such a talented and hard-working team. As always, I'd like to again thank our investors for their support. We believe our strategy of combining significant generation of free cash flow and sustainable return of capital will create long-term value for our investors. And we appreciate your support today as we continue to execute on our plans. This concludes our prepared remarks. Thank you again for joining us today. And as always, please don’t hesitate to reach out to us with any questions.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference call. You may now disconnect.