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Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY)

Q1 2018 Earnings Call· Thu, May 10, 2018

$6.22

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Midstates Petroleum First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Samuel, and I will be facilitating the audio portion of today’s interactive broadcast. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the show over to Mr. Jason McGlynn, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Jason McGlynn

Analyst

Thank you, Samuel. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Midstates Petroleum first quarter 2018 earnings call. Joining me on the call today is David Sambrooks, our President and Chief Executive Officer. In today’s call, David will begin with an overview of our operational and financial highlights. I will then provide additional details on our operations and financials. And finally, David will make some closing comments, and we will take your questions. Before we get started, let me read our safe harbor statement. This conference call contains forward-looking statements and assumptions, which are subject to risk and uncertainty, and actual results may differ materially from those projected in these forward-looking statements. Please refer to Midstates’ Form 10-Q that will be filed this afternoon with the SEC for a discussion of these risks. Also, please note that any non-GAAP financial measures discussed on this call are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure in the tables in yesterday’s earnings release. Now I’ll turn the call over to David for his comments.

David Sambrooks

Analyst

Good morning, everybody. Thanks, Jason, and thank you for joining us today, and thanks for your interest in Midstates. The story of the first quarter is that we’re on track and very excited about our recent progress. For the first quarter, we were on budget, on target and our production was approximately 19,200 BOE per day with 15,500 BOE per day coming from the Miss Lime assets. And you remember, we have a divestment of our Anadarko assets that we expect to close in a couple of months. We generated approximately $30 million of adjusted EBITDA and our capital expense and capital items were in line with our budget expectations. You will remember some background on the first quarter, when I came in November, we took hiatus in completions, and so we expected the first quarter production to be down from fourth quarter. Because of that, we also encountered some weather-related downtime in the first quarter, and all of that was within our forecast and our guidance. But I’m very excited to announce that as of today, we’re at 18,000 BOE per day from our Miss Lime production from our workover operations, which I’ll talk more about. Importantly, we are completing a number of initiatives laid out in our market-focus strategy of targeting activity, reducing costs, generating free cash flow and improving liquidity to realize near-term value creation and maximum optionality. We continue to operate a one-rig program in order to prudently develop our Miss Lime assets, targeting flat production and generating free cash flow. And you’ll remember that we dropped from a two-rig to a one-rig program last December. We announced the strategic sale of our Anadarko Basin producing properties for $58 million. These funds will further bolster an already pristine balance sheet. And as I mentioned, we expect…

Jason McGlynn

Analyst

Thanks, David. I’ll begin with a discussion of the company’s operational highlights and follow up with first quarter earnings and costs. I’ll then provide an update on our capital investments and finish with a discussion on our balance sheet and 2018 guidance numbers. As David mentioned, we achieved average daily production of 19,235 BOE per day during the first quarter of 2018, down from 21,217 BOE per day in the fourth quarter of 2017 due to the planned deferral of new well completions in the fourth quarter of 2017 associated with the company’s completion optimization pilot program and weather-related downtime experienced during the first quarter. Our Mississippian Lime properties contributed approximately 81% of our first quarter volumes or 15,518 BOE per day, with the balance coming from our Anadarko Basin properties. The production mix during the first quarter was 30% oil, 24% NGLs and 46% natural gas, roughly in line with the previous quarters. During the quarter, we generated net income of $4 million or $0.15 per share. Adjusted EBITDA came in at approximately $30 million during the first quarter, down from approximately $34 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. The decrease from the fourth quarter of 2017 was primarily due to lower production in the first quarter of 2018. Turning to expenses. First quarter adjusted cash operating expenses, which include LOE, production taxes and cash G&A, that exclude restructuring and advisory costs and employee severance costs, totaled $21.4 million or $12.37 per BOE, down from $24.9 million or $12.77 per BOE in the fourth quarter of 2017. The decrease quarter-over-quarter was primarily due to a reduction in gathering and transportation expense related to the company’s implementation of the new revenue recognition standard on January 1, 2018. As a result, gathering and transportation and a portion of lease operating…

David Sambrooks

Analyst

I wanted to make a few more comments about our drilling program going forward. We’re very excited by the opportunities that we’re seeing with the drill bit now in the Miss Lime. We can continue to move forward with the one-rig program, focused on the best rock in our portfolio. We’re making excellent progress on drilling and completion cost reductions, and we see real time decrease in the D&C cost for a one-mile lateral from about $3.2 million to current $2.9 million. Further, we are targeting forward one-mile lateral cost of $2.5 million to $2.7 million. We also started the drilling of our first two-mile lateral test. We have AFE-ed the well for $5 million, which obviously is an equivalent of a $2.5 million per one-mile lateral. So again, this is an effort to result in the lowest possible cost per 1,000 foot drilled. On the first well, we are two TD, and we’re significantly ahead of our days to TD, so we’re excited by the early operational successes that [Audio Dip]. With the significant increase in commodity prices that we’ve realized, our targeted well cost and our focus on our excellent core Miss Lime area, we are very excited about our go-forward drill bit economics. Finally, I like to thank our Midstates employees. I’ve asked a lot of them in a very short time and they’ve performed admirably. I’ll close by saying, I look forward to the future of Midstates, and Midstates is moving forward. Thank you.

Jason McGlynn

Analyst

All right, operator, we’re ready for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of David Beard from Coker Palmer.

David Beard

Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys. Couple of questions. Just first, when we look at the sort of fourth quarter to first quarter declines, is that a good indication of your internal decline rate? Or should we use something different? What are your thoughts there?

David Sambrooks

Analyst

No. No, it’s not. I think what you have to do is – you got a couple of data points that they are right. You’ve got the fourth quarter, obviously, where we averaged for the first quarter and then where we are today, which is fully backup. So the effects in the first quarter that we described that brought production down fourth quarter to first quarter were an intentional hiatus in completions to study alternate possibilities going forward. And we begun to complete those wells in the first quarter and catching up, so that production is going to start coming into the system, call it, the second quarter and on. So we had that kind of designed downtime, so to speak. We also were hit pretty hard with weather in the first quarter. With our electrical system out there, the high winds and freezing, we have a fair amount of downtime that we traditionally see. Usually it is in January and February, which is where it hit us this year. So I think one thing that we can kind of quantitatively say is that we’re back up to 18,000 BOE per day for the Miss Lime, and we’re strongly reconfirming our guidance. So I think what you saw there was not a base decline rate, it was due to completion hiatus and weather downtime.

David Beard

Analyst

Fair enough. And will you able to quantify some of the weather impact? Or is there anyway to bracket that?

Jason McGlynn

Analyst

Yes. It’s a little bit tough to bracket that, but I mean – I think put the roundabout figure. Your decline from Q4 to Q1 was about 10% in the Miss Lime. I would say, probably two to three of that was weather-related and the rest of it was more related to the hiatus and well completions, as David mentioned.

David Beard

Analyst

Okay, that’s helpful. And then switching a little bit next to acquisitions and M&A. We’ll start with the easy question. Is there some infill opportunities to lease acreage or acquire acreage? And do you feel you need to do that with the program you’re ramping?

David Sambrooks

Analyst

I think the quick answer is yes, and not really – not necessarily. So yes, there is – we feel like there is continuing opportunities to bolt-on to our acreage position. We are – the best deals that you can do or the ones that we’re kind of adding into what you’re doing now and moving opportunities up to the top of the stack, we’re happy with the inventory that we have. And we have picked up targets for the next many, many months, year to years easily and kind of what we currently have. But we’re always looking around and seeing if there is something that can be added in that would compete with that and move up in the stack. So I think there definitely is opportunities nearby and in the basin for us.

David Beard

Analyst

All right, good. And then when you look at larger or corporate acquisitions, are you really sticking in your geographies and looking for synergies that way? Or are you kind of evaluating every and any basin out there?

David Sambrooks

Analyst

No, we’re – I mean, it’s a step-wise process, and I would say discipline is the kind of word to apply to it. We’ve done a lot in the short time here, and that’s been where our focus is. And only after we’re gaining all that we think we can gain out of doing that, which is we still have more to do, do we start getting more outward looking. And I think the outward looking kind of begins with what’s around this and what makes sense to bolt-on. That’s going to be something we can convert to cash as quickly as possible. Obviously, we made our statement pretty clear earlier this year with the offer for SandRidge. And we continue to remain interested in that deal and deals that have the same sort of sense around them that does, where there is the opportunity to consolidate like-kind assets, reduced costs in terms of the overall cost structure and really gain the ability to generate enhanced free cash flow. So that theme applies to what we’re really kind of focused at looking at for a next step if there is a next big step that we could make.

David Beard

Analyst

All right, good. That’s great. I appreciate all time in the color. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Next question Amer Tiwana from Cowen.

David Sambrooks

Analyst

Hi, Amer.

Amer Tiwana

Analyst

Hi, guys. I wanted to ask you a couple of questions. The first one is on one of your slides you show that the sales price is $58 million. Adjusted EBITDA for that transaction is $4.6 million, and you show that the current adjusted EBITDA multiple of $2.6 million. That’s post that sale price and getting that cash in? Or is that – how do you get to that because it seems like our numbers are a little bit higher?

Jason McGlynn

Analyst

Yes. So really how we get back to that is we take – the first one is just saying what’s the adjusted EBITDA multiple would be at that sales price versus what we would be forecasting that asset to produce EBITDA, that were you get the $4.6 million. And the $2.6 million is roughly what the trading multiple was of the company on the stock exchange whenever we put that out. So it’s just showing that we’re capturing a higher multiple than what we are getting credit for within the market today.

Amer Tiwana

Analyst

Sure. Moving on to opportunities clearly with the higher oil price at this point in time. Are there any opportunities where you get a higher return as a consequence that may be worth pursuing at this point in time? I know you haven’t really increased your rig count at this point in time, but any thoughts around that?

David Sambrooks

Analyst

Yes, it’s a good point. Like I mentioned, we are excited about where we’re seeing the drill bit economics in our Miss Lime. Like the rest of the things that I talked about, we are urgently but in a disciplined manner kind of evaluating how best we can optimize really all aspects of the business and the drill and complete is still underway. So we’re very – we just dropped the rig count late last year to allow us to gain that focus, and that’s the mode that we’re in right now still. But I do think, when we look forward on some of our targets on drill and complete, where – as an example with the two-mile laterals, we’re significantly bringing down the per 1,000 foot cost of these wells and maybe even better than what we’re kind of currently estimating right now. You couple that with the increased oil price going forward and we certainly get very excited about where we’re seeing the economics. And it’s too early really for us to prognosticate that there is a ramp-up that make sense, but we are certainly excited about where we are right now and looking at those opportunities.

Amer Tiwana

Analyst

Thank you very much.

David Sambrooks

Analyst

Thank you, Amer.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time.

David Sambrooks

Analyst

Well, thanks, everybody. We appreciate your time and interest at Midstates, and feel free to follow up with us if you have any further questions. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.