Michael Casamento
Analyst · Jeff Zekauskas with JPMorgan
Hello, everyone, and thank you, PK for those kind words. It's been a privilege to work with our talented teams over the years, and I look forward to continuing to support Amcor's strategic objectives, over the next several months while helping Steve transition into the, role and ensure that he is well equipped to continue delivery of the significant opportunities ahead and value capture from the transformational Berry acquisition. Now, before we get into further detail, I note that comparative data throughout our earnings materials will continue to represent the legacy Amcor business only for most of the fiscal year. However, we also understand that insights on the performance of the business on a like-for-like basis is important to understand. And several of our comments today related to volumes and adjusted EBIT will be focused on first quarter performance compared with estimated prior period results for the combined legacy Amcor and Berry businesses. So starting with the Global Flexible Packaging Solutions segment on Slide 7. Net sales increased 25% on a constant currency basis, primarily driven by the Berry acquisition. On a comparable basis, net sales were down 2%, with favorable price/mix dynamics offset by a 2.8% decline in volumes. By region, demand across the developed markets of North America and Europe was down low single digits, with volumes across emerging markets in line with last year, reflecting growth in Asia offset by lower demand in Latin America. From an end market perspective, volumes in our focus categories reflected relative strength and were broadly in line with the prior year. We saw good growth in pet care and dairy categories and volumes comparable to last year in health care, offsetting softer demand in fresh meat and liquids. Broader Nutrition was weaker, including in categories such as snacks and confectionery coffee and condiments, partly offset by growth in other categories, including fresh produce and prepared meals. Adjusted EBIT rose 28% on a constant currency basis to $426 million, driven primarily by approximately $75 million in acquired earnings net of divestments, and on a comparable basis, EBIT was up approximately 2%, reflecting synergy benefits and improved cost performance and productivity, partly offset by the unfavorable impact of lower volumes. The quality of the business continues to improve, with EBIT margin of 13.1%, up 20 basis points over last year. Turning to Slide 8 and the Global Rigid Packaging Solutions segment. Net sales increased 205% on a constant currency basis, mainly driven by the Berry acquisition. On a comparable basis, net sales were lower than the prior year, reflecting a 1% volume decline excluding noncore North American beverage as well as unfavorable price/mix. By region, demand in North America was in line with the prior year, excluding North America Beverage. And outside of the U.S., volumes in Europe were marginally down, and Latin American volumes were down low single digits. From an end market perspective, our strategic focus categories were broadly in line with last year, with strong performance in pet care and continued growth in Europe in health care, helping offset softer demand in Foodservice and premium Beauty and Wellness. Adjusted EBIT of $295 million increased 365% on a constant currency basis, driven primarily by approximately $240 million in acquired earnings, net of divestments. On a comparable basis, and excluding noncore North America beverage, adjusted EBIT was up approximately 3%, reflecting synergy benefits and disciplined cost performance, partly offset by the unfavorable impact of lower volumes. The strength and value creation from the combination with Berry Global is clear in this segment, with EBIT margin increasing to 11.9%, which is 420 basis points higher than last year. Moving to Slide 9, covering cash flow and the balance sheet. Free cash outflow for the first quarter was $343 million and in line with expectations. It represented a year-over-year improvement of more than $160 million prior to funding acquisition-related costs. CapEx was $238 million, up from last year as anticipated, primarily due to the acquisition of Berry. And we continue to expect capital spending in the range of $850 million to $900 million for fiscal 2026, with depreciation expected to slightly exceed CapEx. Leverage exiting the quarter was 3.6x, in line with our expectations given seasonality of cash flows, and we expect solid cash flows in Q2 and remain on track to reach the 3.1x to 3.2x by fiscal year-end. This outlook includes $100 million of proceeds from the small asset sales announced today, but excludes proceeds from any additional asset sales through the balance of the year, which would support further deleveraging. Our commitment to maintaining investment-grade balance sheet and as a dividend aristocrat to growing our dividend annually, as we did again this quarter is unwavering. We are confident that our strong annual cash flow generation fully supports these priorities. Turning to Slide 10 and our financial outlook. Q1 EPS came in above the midpoint of our August guidance, reinforcing our confidence in delivering a year of strong EPS and cash flow growth. As PK noted, we are reaffirming our guidance for adjusted EPS of $0.80 to $0.83 per share on a reported basis, representing strong year-over-year growth of 12% to 17%. Our confidence in delivering at least 12% earnings growth is fully supported by continued execution against our identified synergy opportunities and does not rely on any improvement in the macro environment or increases in customer consumer demand. In terms of the December quarter, which historically has been a seasonally weaker quarter, particularly for the legacy Berry business. We expect EPS of $0.16 to $0.18 per share including approximately $50 million to $55 million of synergy benefits. At the midpoint, this represents around 12% comparable growth against prior year estimated combined EPS of approximately $0.15 per share. Interest expense and effective tax rate are both expected to be similar to the September quarter. This also means that earnings phasing is expected to be consistent with Amcor's historical performance with approximately 55% of EPS being delivered in H2. Growth is also expected to accelerate in the second half and particularly in the fourth quarter as synergies build throughout the year. We're also reaffirming our free cash flow guidance of $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion in FY '26, which is double fiscal 2025 cash flow and is after funding approximately $220 million of cash integration and transaction costs, of which $115 million was funded in the first quarter. Our full year net interest expense range of $570 million to $600 million remains unchanged, and we are currently tracking towards the lower end of our effective tax guidance range of 19% to 21%. So in summary, we had a solid start to the year, executing well against the outlook we provided in August. And with that, I'll hand back to you, PK.