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Amalgamated Financial Corp. (AMAL)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Sat, Jul 29, 2023

$41.03

-1.46%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Amalgamated Financial Corporation Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, the conference will be open for questions with instructions to follow at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Jason Darby, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead sir.

Jason Darby

Management

Thank you, operator and good morning everyone. We appreciate your participation in our second quarter 2023 earnings call. With me today is Priscilla Sims Brown, President and Chief Executive Officer. As a reminder, a telephonic replay of this call will be available on the Investors section of our website for an extended period of time. Additionally, a slide deck to complement today's discussion is also available on the Investors section of our website. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that this call may contain certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We caution investors that actual results may differ from the expectations indicated or implied by any such forward-looking information or statements. Investors should refer to slide two of our earnings deck as well as our 2022 10-K filed on March 9th, 2023 for a list of risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such statements. Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with US GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most appropriate or comparable GAAP measure can be found in our earnings release as well as on our website. Let me now turn the call over to Priscilla.

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

Thank you, Jason. Good morning everyone. We appreciate your time and interest today. Now, that we are a few months out from the banking events that occurred in early March, things have begun to return to the new normal environment, a fierce competition for deposits, higher for longer interest rates, metropolitan office credit concerns, and more. We've been operating our business from a position of strength. Demonstrating agility and the flexibility of our strategy, we quickly pivoted to a modified growth strategy centered on a flat balance sheet and building capital. Loan growth is still expected, funded mainly from runoff of our securities portfolio as is preparing our balance sheet to accommodate growing political deposits as the next presidential election cycle begins in earnest. Despite nagging headline activity in the banking sector, I believe there's reason for optimism. The economy has proved quite resilient, inflation data has improved, large and medium bank earnings have been in line, and investors are starting to move back into the banking sector. At Amalgamated, it's a very exciting time as our differentiated yet simple model uniquely positions us to win. Given that you've had our material financial information for almost two weeks, I'd like to spend our time together talking about three keys to our continued future success. Those being our deposit franchise, our lending segment, and our earnings potential. Our deposit franchise features an industry-leading cost of funds and customers that have banked with us for decades, given our shared values and union heritage. Given the strength and longevity of our customer relationships, we introduced a designation last quarter called super-core deposits, in order to provide more transparency into our deposit base. Our super-core deposits come from loyal customers that bank with Amalgamated for more than five years and cumulatively represent approximately $3.6…

Jason Darby

Management

Thank you, Priscilla. Net income for the second quarter of 2023 was $21.6 million or $0.70 per diluted share, compared to $21.3 million or $0.69 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2023. The $0.3 million increase for the second quarter of 2023 is primarily a result of a $2.7 million increase in non-interest income, a $1.1 million decrease in provision expense, a $1.1 million decrease in non-interest expense, mostly offset by a $4.3 million decrease in net interest income, and a $0.2 million increase in income tax expense. Beginning on slide five. There were no exclusions related to solar tax equity investments for the second quarter of 2023. Because of the income statement volatility associated with the accounting for these investments, we believe metrics excluding the timing impact of tax credits or accelerated depreciation is a helpful way to evaluate our current and historical performance. Core net income, excluding the impact of solar tax equity investments, a non-GAAP measure. For the second quarter of 2023 was $22 million or $0.72 per diluted share, compared to $23 million or $0.74 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2023. Turning to slide seven. Deposits at June 30, 2023, were $6.9 billion, a decrease of $146.7 million from the first quarter of 2023, while deposits, excluding brokered CDs remained essentially unchanged at $6.4 billion, demonstrating a strong and stable deposit base. Through July 21st, 2023, total deposits have decreased by approximately $197 million to $6.7 billion, which importantly includes a $242 million decline in brokered CDs previously utilized to replace the political deposit outflows that we experienced in the fourth quarter last year. Excluding brokered CDs, total deposits have increased by $46 million. Excluding brokered CDs, again, non-interest-bearing deposits represented 48% of average deposits and 46% of ending deposits for…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. And our first question is from Alex Twerdahl with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

Hey good morning.

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

Good morning Alex.

Jason Darby

Management

Good morning.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

I first want to hone in a little bit on this $3 trillion of spending that you alluded to in your prepared remarks, Priscilla. Maybe if you could give us a little bit more about what's driving that? Is that public spending or private sector spending and sort of the types of loans and really what you guys are doing? Obviously, it's -- sustainable lending has been a big part of your model, but sort of specific things that you've been doing recently to kind of make sure that you get more than your fair share of the lending opportunities associated with that spending?

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

Yes. Thanks for bringing that up. The number comes from external research on the topic, and it's really just a mathematical calculation of what it will take for US companies to achieve the stated goal of getting to net zero by 2050. We see the opportunity in just continuing to do what we do. We're not looking to expand very far beyond that, but as you know, we've done quite a lot in this area already. We have one of the -- really the world, but certainly the country's most engaged expert on some of these topics, on our team as well as bankers, underwriters and portfolio managers who understand this business. So, we see a real opportunity to continue to do more of it.

Jason Darby

Management

Yes. And Alex I'll add to that. It lines up closely to how we've already been going through our staffing model. I think the spend is a combination of public private. And again, as Priscilla mentioned, through public -- through external research. But the things that Amalgamated does well from a banker point of view, probably being mainly in the electrification space, energy efficiency space and battery space. Those are sort of the leading areas in terms of where the investment is going to go first, at least that's what we think. And we have bankers that have already been aligned along those segments. We talked about that a bunch. Our ability to have expertise in that area, our ability to have been there first and our ability to have great referral sources. We think will give us a good position to really win. And as we've talked about before, we think the margins are good on these particular asset classes, and we think that there's going to be a really good opportunity for us to turn over our balance sheet and move into these asset classes as the quarters and years go by.

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

And the only other thing I'll add to that is, I should have mentioned, obviously, the IRA is a good step in the right direction. But by all accounts, this is only going to give us about a third of -- get us as a country only about a third of the way to that goal as well. So, to Jason's point, it is public and private that will be required to make it happen.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

Got it. And then maybe you can talk a little bit more about that sort of mix shift that you alluded to as well, the multifamily is coming off, the pace in which we might expect to see some of that mix shift and how it could actually impact loan yields over the next 18 months.

Jason Darby

Management

Yes, I think that's sort of a hidden or unlock power of the bank's balance sheet and the bank's earnings potential. As Priscilla pointed out in her comments, it's still a bit of an older balance sheet. Our lending strategy is still relatively in its early innings. We got a nice start to it throughout last year. And obviously, we've modified our growth approach throughout the rest of this year for reasons we've discussed in the past. But again, if you sort of think about the earlier multifamily deals that are still in the books in the low spread and the low margin that's on those, some of the residential assets that will continue to come off and our ability to play in the space of climate/sustainability on the commercial side, and having deals that'll price out in the 6.75%, 7% range. There's a really good opportunity for us to see asset yield expansion as we get out into probably the early part of next year. And again, we're pretty excited about that, and we think that we spent a lot of time for preparing the balance sheet for this, and we hope that the margin is going to benefit from it pretty greatly here as we get out into next year.

Alex Twerdahl

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks for taking my questions.

Jason Darby

Management

Thanks Alex.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Janet Lee with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.

Janet Lee

Analyst

Good morning.

Jason Darby

Management

Hi Janet.

Janet Lee

Analyst

Hi. On that part about favorable remix over time, can you give us a sense of that yields comparisons for different types of sustainable lending loans that you originate today versus conventional loans that are rolling-off? I just want to see, if there is any sort of data that you can provide us.

Jason Darby

Management

I mean I think, again, the assets that -- or the asset classes within sustainability and climate again, we're seeing, I think, as I said before, 6.75%, 7% type of yield opportunities. If you look at some of our more dated commercial loans in the multifamily side, some of those are still in the 4% range, 3.5% range. So, there is a good opportunity to find some spread there, Janet. But I don't have a specific quote for you, other than you can really just think again about the age, nature of the balance sheet. And we hadn't had really any loan growth on the book all the way up through 2021. I mean, we've kind of sat neutral from 2019 through 2021 in terms of loan growth. And then we started to pick that back up again in earnest when Priscilla arrived and we developed our lending strategy. So, it gives you a little bit of a sense for the type of assets that are still in the books that are ready to roll-off and the types of opportunities we have in our climate sustainability section.

Janet Lee

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And in terms of your NII sensitivity going back to your $1.5 million comment. So, if the Fed lowers rates, you would benefit on the net interest income side from your asset sensitivity point of view.

Jason Darby

Management

I think so. I mean it's going to -- we're in a pretty neutral position right now. So, I don't think the benefit is going to be anything significant in the immediate term. I think over time, we absolutely would benefit from it. But the cost of funds are probably not going to drop as rapidly as the Fed rate goes down. But in theory, the bank should benefit as rates decline over time. And I think we've done a pretty good job so far of protecting the earnings streams in our kind of static situation right now, right? So, not adding anything new to the books. We've got a well-protected earnings stream. And as rates decline, we should see some benefit going forward.

Janet Lee

Analyst

Okay. And I know it's tough to guess, but is it fair to say that we're nearing the trough for your non-interest-bearing deposit outflows absent the seasonality with political deposits. Do you see a scenario where your non-interest-bearing deposits could continue to go down and dip below 40% of your total deposits?

Jason Darby

Management

That's an interesting question. I suppose there's always that type of scenario, it's hard to predict what's going to happen in the rate environment going forward. Just kind of looking at the churn that we had in the current quarter and having us only decline by about a percentage point on non-interest-bearing from a mix point of view. We're not being below 40% at this point in time, but I think a 42% to 44% kind of landing spot by the end of the year is a reasonable prediction. But again, it's a little bit of a guess because a lot is dependent upon the flow of the political deposits, which we saw really have a nice impact this quarter. And at the same time, if rates stay higher for longer, over time, we could see that ratio continue to drop. But right now, we're targeting between 42% and 44% for the end of the year.

Janet Lee

Analyst

All right. That's helpful. My last question, can you give us more thoughts around your plan for share repurchases? Are you doing it as long as the buyback is accretive to book value? Or what's your plan around that over the near to intermediate term?

Jason Darby

Management

Yes, I think we've really always stood out with our repurchase authorization. I think we look for opportunities where we feel the price is attractive. Obviously, tangible book value is an important part of that calculus. But it really, Janet, becomes a function of accretive value when paired against our stated desire to continue to grow our capital base. So, I think there'll always be some level of balance between the amount that we look to repurchase and our ability to continue to provide a building capital base, so that we can achieve a leverage ratio that we think is really appropriate for this bank to create optionality for growth going forward.

Janet Lee

Analyst

What's the target leverage ratio for you?

Jason Darby

Management

We want to be at 8% on a consolidated level at a minimum by the end of the year and continue to build that into next year. I'd like to see us somewhere around 8.5% by the middle of next year. And the reason why I say that is two-fold. Number one, I think it's appropriate to have a capital base at that level, but also we want to make sure that we're not showing any type of unnecessary leverage drag as we get into the peak season for political deposit gathering as the presidential election will be nearing.

Janet Lee

Analyst

Got it. Thanks for taking my questions.

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Chris O'Connell with KBW. Please proceed with your question.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Hey good morning.

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

Good morning.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Hey. Just wanted to start on the balance sheet and the securities portfolio. I think the AFS book was down about $55 million quarter-over-quarter. And I was expecting maybe a little bit more of a reduction, given the short duration of the book. And I think last quarter, as mentioned, there is about $50 million per month of outflows in that portfolio expected. Just any reason why that was kept up a little bit larger this quarter?

Jason Darby

Management

Yes. Great question. Great observation. Really, we put one of our PACE purchases into available for sale in this particular quarter. We want to have a little bit more flexibility to be able to move with that asset class. So that was the first purchase that we've ever classified as available for sale, it was about $20 million. And that's probably the difference, Chris, because the actual pay down on the traditional, we're really kind of trying to make sure we get this terminology at, but traditional securities portfolio, which would exclude PACE. So, if you look at traditional AFS, we actually did have a decline excluding the mark of about $70 million, which should track pretty close to the cash flow that we had talked about in previous quarters.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Okay, got it. That makes sense. And on a go-forward basis, how are you thinking about the traditional securities portfolio? And how much those balances move in the back half of the year versus the PACE portfolio?

Jason Darby

Management

Yes, I think they're going to move a bit in opposite directions. We still think PACE is a great asset class for us. It's highly credit secure, has really nice attractive returns. And because people are staying in their homes given kind of the current rate environment, the energy efficient improvement opportunities for residencies has greatly improved. And we benefited also from a consolidation in the market. So our provider has got more access to origination and the flow opportunity for us is great. So, I think you'll see that continue to move possibly in the same type of PACE that we're -- possibly at the same rate as you saw in the first quarter -- I'm sorry, in this current quarter, which is about a net of $40 million, $45 million somewhere in that range. But with regard to the traditional portfolio, we're going to see that continue to come down. We're not looking to add any positions in that particular portfolio from an agency or non-agency position. We're going to be using the cash flow to fund the growth. I think the $70 million that I quoted for you just a moment ago is a good way to think about that between the third and the fourth quarter in terms of a run rate. So, again, a little bit of an opposite moving direction between PACE and traditional securities. But we do expect that to continue to run down and be the primary funding source for our origination side on linear PACE.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Okay, got it. That's helpful. And as far as the multifamily book goes, I know you guys are talking about running it down, but it was the biggest growth driver this quarter. Just maybe if you could break down kind of where the loan pipeline is on various lending segments and just the decision to grow multifamily. I think it's up about $100 million or so this year versus what you guys are talking about with the rundown over time.

Jason Darby

Management

Yes. So, I want to maybe make a quick clarification. I think the rundown or the de-risking we've talked about is mainly in our traditional commercial real estate portfolio and not specifically multifamily. I think for the commercial real estate, we're really looking at the portfolio it has as any type of office exposure or things of that nature. The multifamily, I think that's a spot where we wanted to see some growth, and we talked about having that be one of our drivers for the year. I think we did about $32 million or $33 million net in multifamily. I think the good side of that story is that it really gets right into the sweet spot of the team that we brought over from M&T a while back. The originations are largely impact-oriented and its workforce housing, and has a really strong mission impact for us as well. And we're able to find pretty decent returns on these. And also, it allows us to continue to turn over that portfolio for some of the legacy assets that we've had, Chris. But I think the -- what we're really trying to focus on was really reducing the commercial real estate side of our portfolio. And I think we've done that to a large degree. We had a little bit of an uptick in that portfolio this quarter. I think we talked before, we're not totally out of the asset class. We're just simply not looking for office-only related exposure. But if we find -- and it's an unique opportunity for us given some of our union routes, if we find a really strong opportunity to do an own occupied commercial real estate type of deal that has a lot of security, a lot of deposits that might come with. I think there's opportunities for us to be able to put that on the books. And that's really what occurred mostly in this quarter. I hope I answered your question.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Yes, definitely. And of the multifamily that you're putting on, what kind of origination yields are you getting on those?

Jason Darby

Management

They're coming in 5.75% to 6% right now. So, we're getting a good clip. It's a little tighter, obviously, than what we could do in the C&I sustainability space, and we're trying to balance out our capital allocation between good solid multifamily deals that have mission alignment and higher yielding C&I deals. But I think what you're seeing from us is an opportunity for us to be really selective and basically take our time, with making sure we're putting on the right type of assets.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Got it. And I was just surprised, I guess, this quarter to see the loan yield move down a bit on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Any specific factors driving that? And I mean, if you have any look into kind of where you think loan yields could move back half of the year, that would be helpful?

Jason Darby

Management

Yes, great question. It was a little surprising for us as well, not that's something that we think is going to continue. I think there's really some discrete events that occurred within the consumer solar portfolio. I think the first we made an accounting election change in terms of how we run our discount accretions on some of these portfolios, which lowered the yield a little bit in quarter, but you can see that as being something predictable going forward, it's not going to be another blip that way. That's kind of the first piece of it. And then I think the second was really related to some of the higher yielding consumer solar loans that we've had, the charge-offs or the payoffs that were related to those clipped down the yield a little bit. So, figure that blip really is an in-quarter event only in our mind, it's not really a continuing erosion as far as we see from our yield projections. All of the other asset classes that we had in our portfolio were up on average yield. So, you can get a sense for the kind of the balancing -- or the balancing out effect of how the asset yields work with one another in the quarter. And Chris, I think where we're at right now, we should be able to see continued yield expansion in a controlled manner, but yield expansion going forward, and I'm not expecting there to be more erosion.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Okay, got it. And then lastly, just any look into how you guys are feeling about credit moving forward? It looks like the consumer solar charge-offs were down a bit from the past couple of quarter's pace. Any outlook as to if that -- somewhat of a downturn continue going forward? And then just any update as to -- I know you guys mentioned a few items, including a return payer on the office. But just any outlook or what you're seeing inside your office portfolio in terms of the relative risk moving forward as these things mature over the next year, year and a half?

Jason Darby

Management

Absolutely. So, on -- and Chris, I did get a note from my group just back to your multifamily yields, I was coming a little low in our estimates, it's between 6.25% and 6.5% that they're coming on right now. So, a little bit wider margin. I just wanted to correct myself and take a moment there. On the charge-offs for consumer solar, I think -- and Janet asked a couple of times in previous quarters about this. I think what we're able to see is some of the governors and the credit structuring that we put together for these is starting to take hold and limit the amount of charge-offs that the bank needs to incur. We're reaching buyback provisions with our providers. We're reaching loss recoveries with our original providers. So, I feel like we're in a decent spot there relative to stability in that charge-off line. As you know, we're not adding any new flow from those original providers that have the bulk of the assets on the books and any of the new providers that we've been working with have very, very, very tight credit standards, and they're performing quite well, albeit it's pretty early in their cycle. So, not ready to declare a declining trend at this point, but I feel good about saying stable looks pretty good going forward right now. With regard to the commercial real estate portfolio, our office exposure, I think we pointed out in our release is down from last quarter, it's down to about $66 million from $71 million in the previous quarter. We had a nearly $4 million payoff of one of our special mention classified assets, which I think we talked about last quarter as well, we still felt really good about collectability in our special mention group for our commercial real estate portfolio. So, of the six remaining, there is still one that's classified as special mention that's set to mature first quarter of next year. We're in regular contact with the borrower, and we feel pretty good about our ability to work with them and maintain that in an accruing and paying status at this time. And then, again, nothing's really changed characteristically, it's still really low LTV on those assets in that office-only portfolio, about 37% or so of LTV. So, all of them are performing, all are paying, and good collateral value right now. So, on a relative risk basis, I think we're good. And then we are carrying roughly 75 basis points of coverage through our allowance anyway on those. So, we feel like from an all-in risk point of view, we're in a good spot relative to commercial real estate office in particular.

Chris O'Connell

Analyst

Okay, great. That’s helpful. That’s all I had. Thanks for taking my questions.

Jason Darby

Management

Welcome Chris. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back over to President and Chief Executive Officer, Priscilla Brown for closing comments.

Priscilla Sims Brown

Management

Well, thank you, operator, and thank you for those great questions and for your continued interest in the company. We look forward to taking your questions offline and wish you all a great day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and enjoy the rest of your day.